Carlisle United FC vs Exeter City FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Carlisle United FC vs Exeter City FC — League One at Brunton Park.
- Carlisle United FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Exeter City FC 46 games · 49 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Adam Herczeg
- Assistant 1 Graeme Fyvie
- Assistant 2 Mark Cunliffe
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City FC | 46 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff City FC | 46 | 91 |
| 3 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 46 | 75 |
| 4 | Exeter City FC | 46 | 49 |
| 5 | Port Vale FC | 46 | 42 |
| 6 | Rotherham United FC | 46 | 41 |
| 7 | Northampton Town FC | 46 | 35 |
| 8 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Stockport County FC | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Bradford City AFC | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Luton Town FC | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Cambridge United FC | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Mansfield Town FC | 1 | 3 |
| 14 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 1 | 3 |
| 15 | Bromley FC | 1 | 3 |
| 16 | Oxford United FC | 1 | 1 |
| 17 | Milton Keynes Dons FC | 1 | 1 |
| 18 | Stevenage FC | 1 | 1 |
| 19 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 1 | 1 |
| 20 | Blackpool FC | 1 | 1 |
| 21 | Burton Albion FC | 1 | 1 |
| 22 | Leicester City FC | 1 | 1 |
| 23 | Notts County FC | 1 | 1 |
| 24 | Reading FC | 1 | 0 |
| 25 | Wigan Athletic FC | 1 | 0 |
| 26 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 1 | 0 |
| 27 | Leyton Orient FC | 1 | 0 |
| 28 | Barnsley FC | 1 | 0 |
| 29 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 1 | 0 |
| 30 | Peterborough United FC | 1 | 0 |
| 31 | AFC Wimbledon | 1 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug | Exeter City FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 15 Aug | Wigan Athletic FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Aug | Oxford United FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 05 Aug | Fleetwood Town FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Nov | Walsall FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 05 Nov | Tranmere Rovers FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug | Carlisle United FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | Portsmouth FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Aug | Blackpool FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Aug | Wycombe Wanderers FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 07 May | Morecambe FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 29 Apr | Ipswich Town FC | A | 0–6 | L |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Carlisle United FC kicks off things out of here…
- 5' It looks surprising Exeter City FC does not make any changes. Jon Mellish has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Will Aimson made 4 appearances and scored 12 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 15' Paul Huntington has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 378 appearances.
- 20' It is a cagey affair so far. Carlisle United FC in their trying to find a way past Exeter City FC's compact .
- 25' A moment of madness from Demetri Mitchell on 25 minutes earns him a card. Exeter City FC will be frustrated.
- 30' Carlisle United FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Exeter City FC backline.
- 35' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 40' A quiet spell here at Brunton Park. Exeter City FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 45' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Gary Caldwell will be considering his options from the bench.
- 50' Pierce Sweeney has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 55' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Viljami Sinisalo suffering a number of foals already.
- 60' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 60 minutes.
- 62' Zak Jules makes way for Sonny Cox at the 62 minute mark. A tactical switch from Exeter City FC.
- 64' Carlisle United FC ring the changes. Ryan Edmondson has done his job and it is now time for Daniel Butterworth to step up.
- 68' Ryan Trevitt does the damage! The net is bulging and Exeter City FC surge ahead!
- 73' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 78' A tactical swap from Carlisle United FC — Taylor Charters on, Callum Guy off on 78 minutes.
- 79' The Carlisle United FC manager makes a substitution. Jon Mellish departs to be replaced by Alfie McCalmont.
- 81' Demetri Mitchell adds to his 0 season tally! Exeter City FC lead 0-2 — and this changes everything.
- 86' The Exeter City FC manager makes a substitution. Jack Aitchison departs to be replaced by Cheick Diabate.
- 0-2 the final result. Carlisle United FC will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Carlisle United FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
22
Jon Mellish ↓ Alfie McCalmont 79'
- 24
- 6
- 9
- 1
-
8
Callum Guy ↓ Taylor Charters 78'
- 5
- 3
- 2
- 4
-
7
Jordan Gibson ↓ Luke Plange 64'
Bench
- 26
-
11
Daniel Butterworth ↑ 64'
- 14
-
10
Alfie McCalmont ↑ 79'
-
15
Taylor Charters ↑ 78'
- 25
-
27
Luke Plange ↑ 64'
Exeter City FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 4
- 26
- 5
- 3
- 12
- 7
-
29
Jack Aitchison ↓ Cheick Diabate 86'
- 1
- 8
- 21
Bench
- 6
- 33
- 23
-
39
Cheick Diabate ↑ 86'
- 41
-
31
Vincent Harper ↑ 86'
-
19
Sonny Cox ↑ 62'
Coach
Gary Caldwell
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Demetri Mitchell | 1 |
| Ryan Trevitt | 1 |
| Daniel Butterworth | 1 |
| Reece Cole | 1 |
| Sonny Cox | 1 |
Head to Head
Carlisle United FC Form
2023-08-19
Carlisle United FC
0–2
Exeter City FC
L
2023-08-15
Carlisle United FC
1–1
Wigan Athletic FC
D
2023-08-12
Oxford United FC
1–0
Carlisle United FC
L
2023-08-05
Carlisle United FC
1–1
Fleetwood Town FC
D
2022-11-26
Walsall FC
2–1
Carlisle United FC
L
2022-11-05
Carlisle United FC
2–1
Tranmere Rovers FC
W
Exeter City FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.98
Carlisle United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.35
Exeter City FC xG
I would bet for:
Exeter City FC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Exeter City FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.33
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 2.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
Carlisle United FC or Draw
58%
Draw or Exeter City FC
72%
Carlisle United FC or Exeter City FC
70%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 1
12%
0 – 0
11.9%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
8.4%
1 – 0
8.3%
2 – 1
6.1%
2 – 0
4.5%
2 – 2
4.2%
1 – 3
3.8%
0 – 3
3.8%
3 – 1
2%
Asian Handicap — Carlisle United FC
| Handicap | Carlisle United FC covers | Push | Exeter City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 7% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 16% | 74% |
| -0.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| +0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +1 | 56% | 23% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +2 | 79% | 13% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Carlisle United FC keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Exeter City FC keeps clean sheet
38%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.