Saturday , 14 November 2026

Derby County FC vs Fleetwood Town FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 19 Aug 2023 · 14:00 UTC Pride Park Stadium 24,565 HT 45' · FT 45'
Martyn Waghorn 23' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Fleetwood Town FC — League One at Pride Park Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Lee Swabey
  • Assistant 1 Steven Plane
  • Assistant 2

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Aug Fleetwood Town FC H 1–0 W
15 Aug Oxford United FC H 1–2 L
12 Aug Burton Albion FC A 3–0 W
05 Aug Wigan Athletic FC H 1–2 L
07 May Sheffield Wednesday FC A 0–1 L
29 Apr Portsmouth FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Aug Derby County FC A 0–1 L
15 Aug Bolton Wanderers FC A 1–3 L
12 Aug Cambridge United FC H 0–2 L
05 Aug Carlisle United FC A 1–1 D
07 May Ipswich Town FC H 2–2 D
29 Apr Bolton Wanderers FC A 0–2 L

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Derby County FC have kicked off against Fleetwood Town FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Curtis Nelson, as he is very good at scoring at Pride Park Stadium with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 10' Derby County FC have won 462 goals from 396 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 15' The home supporters are growing impatient. Derby County FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 20' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 23' Derby County FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Martyn Waghorn on 23.
  • 28' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 30' Derby County FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 35' With 0 assists to his name this season, Josh Vela is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Derby County FC.
  • 39' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Danny Mayor on 39 minutes.
  • 40' Liam Thompson is having his name booked by the referee on 40.
  • 45' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 45 minutes.
  • 50' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 55' Martyn Waghorn catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 55.
  • 60' Fleetwood Town FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 60.
  • 61' Time for substitution for Fleetwood Town FC. Danny Mayor is replaced by Junior Quitirna.
  • 62' A change in the Derby County FC ranks — Conor Washington exits the field as James Collins enters on 62.
  • 67' Fleetwood Town FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 68' Fresh legs for Fleetwood Town FC! Promise Omochere comes on to replace Ryan Broom.
  • 69' Carl Johnston was booked on 69.
  • 74' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Derby County FC and Fleetwood Town FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 77' Fleetwood Town FC make a change. Carl Johnston trudges off to be replaced by Toto Nsiala on 77 minutes.
  • 82' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 83' Sonny Bradley has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jake Rooney on 83 minute.
  • 88' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 90' A moment of madness from Junior Quitirna on 90 minutes earns him a card. Fleetwood Town FC will be frustrated.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Derby County FC 1-0 Fleetwood Town FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.15 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93 Fleetwood Town FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Draw 74% + Under 2.5 goals 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC44% Draw30% Fleetwood Town FC26%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.08
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 62%
38%
± 2.5 34%
66%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Fleetwood Town FC
56%
Derby County FC or Fleetwood Town FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC27% Draw54% Fleetwood Town FC19%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
14.9%
1 – 1
14.3%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
10.3%
2 – 0
7.9%
2 – 1
7.5%
1 – 2
6%
0 – 2
5.1%
2 – 2
3.6%
3 – 0
3%
3 – 1
2.9%
1 – 3
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Fleetwood Town FC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 22% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 18% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
40% ✗
Fleetwood Town FC keeps clean sheet
32% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.