Thursday , 2 July 2026

Derby County FC vs Fleetwood Town FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 19 Aug 2023 · 14:00 UTC Pride Park Stadium 24,565 HT 45' · FT 45'
Martyn Waghorn 23' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Fleetwood Town FCLeague One at Pride Park Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Lee Swabey
  • Assistant 1 Steven Plane
  • Assistant 2

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Aug Fleetwood Town FC H 1–0 W
15 Aug Oxford United FC H 1–2 L
12 Aug Burton Albion FC A 3–0 W
05 Aug Wigan Athletic FC H 1–2 L
07 May Sheffield Wednesday FC A 0–1 L
29 Apr Portsmouth FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Aug Derby County FC A 0–1 L
15 Aug Bolton Wanderers FC A 1–3 L
12 Aug Cambridge United FC H 0–2 L
05 Aug Carlisle United FC A 1–1 D
07 May Ipswich Town FC H 2–2 D
29 Apr Bolton Wanderers FC A 0–2 L

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Pride Park Stadium will turn into a battlefield for Derby County FC and Fleetwood Town FC.
  • 5' It looks like no one’s ball. Derby County FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Joshua Earl, as he is very good at scoring at Pride Park Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 20' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Shaun Rooney suffering a number of foals already.
  • 23' Derby County FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Martyn Waghorn on 23.
  • 28' Fleetwood Town FC is showing some good football. However, Fleetwood Town FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 30' The referee shows Derby County FC player a card on 30.
  • 35' Derby County FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 39' Fleetwood Town FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 40' Derby County FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 45' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 45 minutes.
  • 50' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 55' That looks like a foul for a card for Martyn Waghorn.
  • 60' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Derby County FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 61' Junior Quitirna is replacing Danny Mayor for the Fleetwood Town FC side.
  • 62' The Derby County FC manager makes a substitution. Conor Washington departs to be replaced by James Collins.
  • 67' The travelling Fleetwood Town FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 68' Another substitution for Fleetwood Town FC to replace Ryan Broom by Promise Omochere on 68 minute.
  • 69' The referee shows Fleetwood Town FC player a card on 69.
  • 74' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Scott Robertson made 410 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 77' Another substitution for Fleetwood Town FC to replace Carl Johnston by Toto Nsiala on 77 minute.
  • 82' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 83' The Derby County FC manager makes a substitution. Jake Rooney departs to be replaced by Sonny Bradley.
  • 88' It looks surprising Fleetwood Town FC does not make any changes. Josh Vela has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 90' Fleetwood Town FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • Another three points for Derby County FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.15 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93 Fleetwood Town FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Draw 74% + Under 2.5 goals 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC44% Draw30% Fleetwood Town FC26%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.08
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 62%
38%
± 2.5 34%
66%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Fleetwood Town FC
56%
Derby County FC or Fleetwood Town FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC27% Draw54% Fleetwood Town FC19%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
14.9%
1 – 1
14.3%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
10.3%
2 – 0
7.9%
2 – 1
7.5%
1 – 2
6%
0 – 2
5.1%
2 – 2
3.6%
3 – 0
3%
3 – 1
2.9%
1 – 3
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Fleetwood Town FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 22% 61%
-0.5 39% 61%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 18% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
40%
Fleetwood Town FC keeps clean sheet
32%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.