Sunday , 15 November 2026

Port Vale FC vs Carlisle United FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 26 Aug 2023 · 14:00 UTC Vale Park 6,997 HT 45' · FT 45'
James Wilson pen 50' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Port Vale FC vs Carlisle United FC — League One at Vale Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Tom Reeves
  • Assistant 1 Stephen Wade
  • Assistant 2 Mark Jones
5 games this season 🟨 4.4/game ⚽ 14.0 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
1
Port Vale FC 2 games · Avg 2.0 goals Carlisle United FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Aug Carlisle United FC H 1–0 W
19 Aug Charlton Athletic FC A 3–2 W
15 Aug Blackpool FC A 0–0 D
12 Aug Reading FC H 1–0 W
05 Aug Barnsley FC A 0–7 L
07 May Plymouth Argyle FC H 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Aug Port Vale FC A 0–1 L
19 Aug Exeter City FC H 0–2 L
15 Aug Wigan Athletic FC H 1–1 D
12 Aug Oxford United FC A 0–1 L
05 Aug Fleetwood Town FC H 1–1 D
26 Nov Walsall FC A 1–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Vale Park. Port Vale FC are looking to make home advantage count against Carlisle United FC.
  • 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 10' Port Vale FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Carlisle United FC's shape.
  • 15' Port Vale FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 20' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Port Vale FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 25' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Port Vale FC and Carlisle United FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 30' The travelling Carlisle United FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 35' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Port Vale FC and Carlisle United FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 40' Alfie Devine is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Port Vale FC so far.
  • 45' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 50' A stunning finish from James Wilson — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 55' Sam Lavelle needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 60' Carlisle United FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 61' Another change for Port Vale FC made on 61 minute. Ethan Chislett leaves to be changed by Ben Garrity.
  • 66' It looks like no one’s ball. Carlisle United FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 68' The Carlisle United FC manager makes a substitution. Sean Maguire departs to be replaced by Jordan Gibson.
  • 73' With 0 assists to his name this season, Sean Maguire is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Port Vale FC.
  • 76' Alfie Devine is replacing Gavin Massey for the Port Vale FC side.
  • 81' Carlisle United FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 84' Jason Lowe has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ollie Arblaster on 84 minute.
  • 85' The Port Vale FC manager makes a substitution. James Plant departs to be replaced by Thomas Sang.
  • 90' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • Full Time. Port Vale FC beats Carlisle United FC

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.2 Port Vale FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.67 Carlisle United FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 71% + Under — clean sheet likely 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Port Vale FC51% Draw30% Carlisle United FC19%
Actual: Port Vale FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes36% 0% No64%
Avg goals/match: 1.87
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 82%
18%
± 1.5 56%
44%
± 2.5 29%
71%
± 3.5 13%
87%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Port Vale FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Carlisle United FC
49%
Port Vale FC or Carlisle United FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Port Vale FC31% Draw56% Carlisle United FC13%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17.8%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.3%
2 – 0
10.6%
0 – 1
8.9%
2 – 1
7.4%
3 – 0
4.2%
1 – 2
4%
0 – 2
3.2%
3 – 1
3%
2 – 2
2.6%
4 – 0
1.3%

Asian Handicap — Port Vale FC

Handicap Port Vale FC covers Push Carlisle United FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 14% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 26% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 81% — 19%
+1 81% 14% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Port Vale FC keeps clean sheet
51% ✓
Carlisle United FC keeps clean sheet
31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.