Thursday , 2 July 2026

Port Vale FC vs Carlisle United FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 26 Aug 2023 · 14:00 UTC Vale Park 6,997 HT 45' · FT 45'
James Wilson pen 50' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Port Vale FC vs Carlisle United FCLeague One at Vale Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Tom Reeves
  • Assistant 1 Stephen Wade
  • Assistant 2 Mark Jones
3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 5.0 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
1
Port Vale FC 2 games · Avg 2.0 goals Carlisle United FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Aug Carlisle United FC H 1–0 W
19 Aug Charlton Athletic FC A 3–2 W
15 Aug Blackpool FC A 0–0 D
12 Aug Reading FC H 1–0 W
05 Aug Barnsley FC A 0–7 L
07 May Plymouth Argyle FC H 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Aug Port Vale FC A 0–1 L
19 Aug Exeter City FC H 0–2 L
15 Aug Wigan Athletic FC H 1–1 D
12 Aug Oxford United FC A 0–1 L
05 Aug Fleetwood Town FC H 1–1 D
26 Nov Walsall FC A 1–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Vale Park. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Carlisle United FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 20' It looks like no one’s ball. Port Vale FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 25' The travelling Carlisle United FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 30' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 35' Port Vale FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 40' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 40 minutes.
  • 45' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jason Lowe made 318 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 50' Port Vale FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by James Wilson on 50.
  • 55' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 60' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Mitchell Clark suffering a number of foals already.
  • 61' The Port Vale FC manager makes a substitution. Ethan Chislett departs to be replaced by Ben Garrity.
  • 66' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 68' The whistle greets Sean Maguire as he departs to be replaced by Jordan Gibson.
  • 73' Port Vale FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 73.
  • 76' Another substitution for Port Vale FC to replace Gavin Massey by Alfie Devine on 76 minute.
  • 81' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Carlisle United FC that had 57 games and scored 53 goals.
  • 84' Time for substitution for Port Vale FC. Ollie Arblaster is replaced by Jason Lowe.
  • 85' It is a substitution in Port Vale FC team. James Plant is replaced by Thomas Sang on 85 minute.
  • 90' Jon Mellish needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.2 Port Vale FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.67 Carlisle United FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 71% + Under — clean sheet likely 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Port Vale FC51% Draw30% Carlisle United FC19%
Actual: Port Vale FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes36% 0% No64%
Avg goals/match: 1.87
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 82%
18%
± 1.5 56%
44%
± 2.5 29%
71%
± 3.5 13%
87%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Port Vale FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Carlisle United FC
49%
Port Vale FC or Carlisle United FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Port Vale FC31% Draw56% Carlisle United FC13%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17.8%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.3%
2 – 0
10.6%
0 – 1
8.9%
2 – 1
7.4%
3 – 0
4.2%
1 – 2
4%
0 – 2
3.2%
3 – 1
3%
2 – 2
2.6%
4 – 0
1.3%

Asian Handicap — Port Vale FC

Handicap Port Vale FC covers Push Carlisle United FC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 14% 79%
-1.5 21% 79%
-1 21% 26% 53%
-0.5 47% 53%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 14% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Port Vale FC keeps clean sheet
51%
Carlisle United FC keeps clean sheet
31%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.