Port Vale FC vs Carlisle United FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Port Vale FC vs Carlisle United FC — League One at Vale Park.
- Port Vale FC 46 games · 42 pts (2026/27)
- Carlisle United FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Tom Reeves
- Assistant 1 Stephen Wade
- Assistant 2 Mark Jones
7 games this season
🟨 2.7/game
⚽ 11.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bradford City AFC | 7 | 15 |
| 2 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | Stockport County FC | 8 | 13 |
| 4 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 8 | 13 |
| 5 | Cambridge United FC | 8 | 13 |
| 6 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 7 | 12 |
| 7 | Burton Albion FC | 8 | 12 |
| 8 | AFC Wimbledon | 8 | 12 |
| 9 | Reading FC | 7 | 11 |
| 10 | Oxford United FC | 6 | 11 |
| 11 | Leyton Orient FC | 7 | 10 |
| 12 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 13 | Stevenage FC | 7 | 9 |
| 14 | Leicester City FC | 7 | 9 |
| 15 | Blackpool FC | 7 | 8 |
| 16 | Luton Town FC | 7 | 8 |
| 17 | Mansfield Town FC | 7 | 8 |
| 18 | Barnsley FC | 7 | 8 |
| 19 | Bromley FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Notts County FC | 7 | 7 |
| 21 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 7 | 6 |
| 22 | Milton Keynes Dons FC | 7 | 6 |
| 23 | Peterborough United FC | 8 | 5 |
| 24 | Wigan Athletic FC | 7 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug | Carlisle United FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Aug | Charlton Athletic FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 15 Aug | Blackpool FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Aug | Reading FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Aug | Barnsley FC | A | 0–7 | L |
| 07 May | Plymouth Argyle FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug | Port Vale FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Aug | Exeter City FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 15 Aug | Wigan Athletic FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Aug | Oxford United FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 05 Aug | Fleetwood Town FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Nov | Walsall FC | A | 1–2 | L |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! Port Vale FC vs Carlisle United FC — let the football do the talking.
- 5' Port Vale FC have won 112 goals from 153 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 10' Carlisle United FC is showing some good football. However, Carlisle United FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 15' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 20' James Wilson has been relatively quiet despite scoring 14 goals in his last 357 appearances.
- 25' Jason Lowe needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 30' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 35' Sam Lavelle, a Scotland , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 40' Supporters expect more eagerness from Joshua Thomas, as he is very good at scoring at Vale Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 45' Port Vale FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Carlisle United FC backline.
- 50' Against the run of play, James Wilson has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 55' Fin Back has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 60' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Luke Plange made 393 appearances and scored 7 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 61' Ben Garrity is replacing Ethan Chislett for the Port Vale FC side.
- 66' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 68' The whistle greets Sean Maguire as he departs to be replaced by Jordan Gibson.
- 73' Carlisle United FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 76' Another change for Port Vale FC made on 76 minute. Gavin Massey leaves to be changed by Alfie Devine.
- 81' Port Vale FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 84' It is a substitution in Port Vale FC team. Ollie Arblaster is replaced by Jason Lowe on 84 minute.
- 85' Thomas Sang gets the nod from Port Vale FC. He replaces James Plant and will look to change the dynamic.
- 90' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Carlisle United FC.
Lineups
Port Vale FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
19
Gavin Massey ↓ Alfie Devine 76'
- 1
- 7
- 6
- 17
-
29
James Wilson ↓ Joshua Thomas 76'
-
10
Ethan Chislett ↓ Ben Garrity 61'
- 2
-
18
Ollie Arblaster ↓ Jason Lowe 84'
-
21
James Plant ↓ Thomas Sang 85'
- 14
Bench
-
16
Jason Lowe ↑ 84'
- 13
-
4
Thomas Sang ↑ 85'
-
8
Ben Garrity ↑ 61'
-
11
Alfie Devine ↑ 76'
-
44
Joshua Thomas ↑ 76'
- 23
Coach
Andy Crosby
Carlisle United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
-
24
Sean Maguire ↓ Jordan Gibson 68'
- 6
- 8
- 5
- 10
- 3
- 25
- 2
- 27
- 4
Bench
- 26
- 9
- 1
- 11
- 15
- 12
-
7
Jordan Gibson ↑ 68'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| James Wilson | 1 |
| Jon Mellish | 1 |
| Jordan Gibson | 1 |
| Ben Garrity | 1 |
Head to Head
Port Vale FC Form
Carlisle United FC Form
2023-08-26
Port Vale FC
1–0
Carlisle United FC
L
2023-08-19
Carlisle United FC
0–2
Exeter City FC
L
2023-08-15
Carlisle United FC
1–1
Wigan Athletic FC
D
2023-08-12
Oxford United FC
1–0
Carlisle United FC
L
2023-08-05
Carlisle United FC
1–1
Fleetwood Town FC
D
2022-11-26
Walsall FC
2–1
Carlisle United FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.2
Port Vale FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.67
Carlisle United FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 71% + Under — clean sheet likely 64%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Port Vale FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.87
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 1.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 2.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 3.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
| ± 4.5 | 5% |
|
95% |
Double Chance
Port Vale FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Carlisle United FC
49%
Port Vale FC or Carlisle United FC
70%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17.8%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.3%
2 – 0
10.6%
0 – 1
8.9%
2 – 1
7.4%
3 – 0
4.2%
1 – 2
4%
0 – 2
3.2%
3 – 1
3%
2 – 2
2.6%
4 – 0
1.3%
Asian Handicap — Port Vale FC
| Handicap | Port Vale FC covers | Push | Carlisle United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 14% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 26% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +1 | 81% | 14% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Port Vale FC keeps clean sheet
51%
✓
Carlisle United FC keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.