Sunday , 16 August 2026

Lincoln City FC vs Carlisle United FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 16 Sep 2023 · 14:00 UTC Sincil Bank Stadium 8,514 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 19' Luke Plange
Ethan Hamilton 49' 1–1
Y 59' Luke Plange
Y 72' Joe Garner
Dylan Duffy 77' Y
Y 77' Jon Mellish
Y 83' Sam Lavelle
Y 89' Owen Moxon

Overview

Head-to-Head

2
1
Lincoln City FC 3 games · Avg 2.7 goals Carlisle United FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Sep Carlisle United FC H 1–1 D
02 Sep Bristol Rovers FC A 1–1 D
26 Aug Blackpool FC H 3–0 W
19 Aug Shrewsbury Town FC A 1–0 W
15 Aug Northampton Town FC A 2–2 D
12 Aug Wycombe Wanderers FC H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Sep Lincoln City FC A 1–1 D
09 Sep Stevenage FC A 2–2 D
02 Sep Shrewsbury Town FC H 2–0 W
26 Aug Port Vale FC A 0–1 L
19 Aug Exeter City FC H 0–2 L
15 Aug Wigan Athletic FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Lincoln City FC gets underway.
  • 5' It looks like no one’s ball. Carlisle United FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 10' It is a cagey affair so far. Lincoln City FC in their trying to find a way past Carlisle United FC's compact .
  • 15' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 19' The deadlock is broken! Luke Plange gets on the scoresheet on 19 minutes.
  • 24' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 24 minutes.
  • 29' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 34' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Mark Kennedy will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 39' The home supporters are growing impatient. Lincoln City FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 44' The travelling Carlisle United FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 46' A change in the Lincoln City FC ranks — Alistair Smith exits the field as Hakeeb Adelakun enters on 46.
  • 49' Ethan Hamilton does the damage! The net is bulging and Lincoln City FC surge ahead!
  • 54' Carlisle United FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 59' That looks like a foul for a card for Luke Plange.
  • 64' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 68' Another substitution for Lincoln City FC to replace Recco Hackett-Fairchild by Dylan Duffy on 68 minute.
  • 72' Joe Garner has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 72.
  • 75' Fresh legs for Lincoln City FC! Jaden Brown comes on to replace Ted Bishop.
  • 77' Lincoln City FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 77.
  • 82' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 83' Carlisle United FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 83.
  • 88' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Alistair Smith suffering a number of foals already.
  • 89' Owen Moxon has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 89.
  • It finishes all square. Lincoln City FC and Carlisle United FC share the spoils 1-1.

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.5 Lincoln City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87 Carlisle United FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Lincoln City FC51% Draw27% Carlisle United FC22%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.37
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Lincoln City FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Carlisle United FC
49%
Lincoln City FC or Carlisle United FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Lincoln City FC35% Draw49% Carlisle United FC16%
Actual: Carlisle United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
12.9%
0 – 0
11.5%
2 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
8.9%
0 – 1
7%
1 – 2
5.1%
3 – 0
5%
3 – 1
4.5%
2 – 2
3.9%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Lincoln City FC

Handicap Lincoln City FC covers Push Carlisle United FC covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 16% 74%
-1.5 26% 74%
-1 26% 24% 50%
-0.5 50% 50%
+0.5 79% 21%
+1 79% 14% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Lincoln City FC keeps clean sheet
42%
Carlisle United FC keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.