Thursday , 2 July 2026

Lincoln City FC vs Carlisle United FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 16 Sep 2023 · 14:00 UTC Sincil Bank Stadium 8,514 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 19' Luke Plange
Ethan Hamilton 49' 1–1
Y 59' Luke Plange
Y 72' Joe Garner
Dylan Duffy 77' Y
Y 77' Jon Mellish
Y 83' Sam Lavelle
Y 89' Owen Moxon

Overview

Match Preview

Lincoln City FC vs Carlisle United FCLeague One at Sincil Bank Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Tom Nield
  • Assistant 1
  • Assistant 2 Matthew Jones

Head-to-Head

2
1
Lincoln City FC 3 games · Avg 2.7 goals Carlisle United FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Sep Carlisle United FC H 1–1 D
02 Sep Bristol Rovers FC A 1–1 D
26 Aug Blackpool FC H 3–0 W
19 Aug Shrewsbury Town FC A 1–0 W
15 Aug Northampton Town FC A 2–2 D
12 Aug Wycombe Wanderers FC H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Sep Lincoln City FC A 1–1 D
09 Sep Stevenage FC A 2–2 D
02 Sep Shrewsbury Town FC H 2–0 W
26 Aug Port Vale FC A 0–1 L
19 Aug Exeter City FC H 0–2 L
15 Aug Wigan Athletic FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Lincoln City FC and Carlisle United FC has kicked off!
  • 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 10' Lincoln City FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Lincoln City FC that had 318 games and scored 382 goals.
  • 19' Luke Plange puts Carlisle United FC on the lead.
  • 24' Alexander Mitchell has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 47 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 29' Lincoln City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 29.
  • 34' Lincoln City FC is showing some good football. However, Lincoln City FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 39' It looks surprising Lincoln City FC does not make any changes. Fin Back has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 44' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Callum Guy suffering a number of foals already.
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Hakeeb Adelakun. He replaces Alistair Smith on 46 minute.
  • 49' What an equalizer from Ethan Hamilton!
  • 54' Recco Hackett-Fairchild needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 59' That looks like a foul for a card for Luke Plange.
  • 64' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 68' Another substitution for Lincoln City FC to replace Recco Hackett-Fairchild by Dylan Duffy on 68 minute.
  • 72' Carlisle United FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 75' The whistle greets Ted Bishop as he departs to be replaced by Jaden Brown.
  • 77' That looks like a foul for a card for Dylan Duffy.
  • 82' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 83' Sam Lavelle was booked on 83.
  • 88' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Sam Lavelle made 98 appearances and scored 8 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 89' It’s a booking for Carlisle United FC player. Owen Moxon gets a card.
  • The final score is 1-1.

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.5 Lincoln City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87 Carlisle United FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Lincoln City FC51% Draw27% Carlisle United FC22%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.37
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Lincoln City FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Carlisle United FC
49%
Lincoln City FC or Carlisle United FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Lincoln City FC35% Draw49% Carlisle United FC16%
Actual: Carlisle United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
12.9%
0 – 0
11.5%
2 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
8.9%
0 – 1
7%
1 – 2
5.1%
3 – 0
5%
3 – 1
4.5%
2 – 2
3.9%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Lincoln City FC

Handicap Lincoln City FC covers Push Carlisle United FC covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 16% 74%
-1.5 26% 74%
-1 26% 24% 50%
-0.5 50% 50%
+0.5 79% 21%
+1 79% 14% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Lincoln City FC keeps clean sheet
42%
Carlisle United FC keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.