Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Lincoln City FC vs Carlisle United FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 16 Sep 2023 · 14:00 UTC Sincil Bank Stadium 8,514 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 19' Luke Plange
Ethan Hamilton 49' 1–1
Y 59' Luke Plange
Y 72' Joe Garner
Dylan Duffy 77' Y
Y 77' Jon Mellish
Y 83' Sam Lavelle
Y 89' Owen Moxon

Overview

Match Preview

Lincoln City FC vs Carlisle United FC — League One at Sincil Bank Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Tom Nield
  • Assistant 1
  • Assistant 2 Matthew Jones
4 games this season 🟨 1.5/game ⚽ 2.0 goals/game

Head-to-Head

2
1
Lincoln City FC 3 games · Avg 2.7 goals Carlisle United FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Sep Carlisle United FC H 1–1 D
02 Sep Bristol Rovers FC A 1–1 D
26 Aug Blackpool FC H 3–0 W
19 Aug Shrewsbury Town FC A 1–0 W
15 Aug Northampton Town FC A 2–2 D
12 Aug Wycombe Wanderers FC H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Sep Lincoln City FC A 1–1 D
09 Sep Stevenage FC A 2–2 D
02 Sep Shrewsbury Town FC H 2–0 W
26 Aug Port Vale FC A 0–1 L
19 Aug Exeter City FC H 0–2 L
15 Aug Wigan Athletic FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Lincoln City FC launch into their encounter with Carlisle United FC.
  • 5' The 30-year-old Ted Bishop has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 15' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Lincoln City FC and Carlisle United FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 19' Against the run of play, Luke Plange has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 24' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Lincoln City FC and Carlisle United FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 29' The travelling Carlisle United FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 34' A quiet spell here at Sincil Bank Stadium. Carlisle United FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 39' Carlisle United FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 44' Carlisle United FC is showing some good football. However, Carlisle United FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 46' Hakeeb Adelakun gets the nod from Lincoln City FC. He replaces Alistair Smith and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 49' Ethan Hamilton does the damage! The net is bulging and Lincoln City FC surge ahead!
  • 54' Carlisle United FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 59' That is a card for Carlisle United FC. Luke Plange will be fuming at that decision.
  • 64' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Lincoln City FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 68' Lincoln City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Dylan Duffy is hanging Recco Hackett-Fairchild on the field on 68 minute.
  • 72' A moment of madness from Joe Garner on 72 minutes earns him a card. Carlisle United FC will be frustrated.
  • 75' Jaden Brown gets the nod from Lincoln City FC. He replaces Ted Bishop and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 77' Lincoln City FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 82' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Lincoln City FC that had 326 games and scored 389 goals.
  • 83' It’s a booking for Carlisle United FC player. Sam Lavelle gets a card.
  • 88' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 89' That is a card for Carlisle United FC. Owen Moxon will be fuming at that decision.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.5 Lincoln City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87 Carlisle United FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Lincoln City FC51% Draw27% Carlisle United FC22%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.37
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Lincoln City FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Carlisle United FC
49%
Lincoln City FC or Carlisle United FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Lincoln City FC35% Draw49% Carlisle United FC16%
Actual: Carlisle United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
12.9%
0 – 0
11.5%
2 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
8.9%
0 – 1
7%
1 – 2
5.1%
3 – 0
5%
3 – 1
4.5%
2 – 2
3.9%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Lincoln City FC

Handicap Lincoln City FC covers Push Carlisle United FC covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 16% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 24% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 14% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Lincoln City FC keeps clean sheet
42% ✓
Carlisle United FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.