Carlisle United FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Carlisle United FC vs Derby County FC — League One at Brunton Park.
- Carlisle United FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Martin Coy
- Assistant 1 Alan Clayton
- Assistant 2 Paul Newhouse
3 games this season
🟨 0.0/game
⚽ 6.0 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City FC | 46 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff City FC | 46 | 91 |
| 3 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 46 | 75 |
| 4 | Exeter City FC | 46 | 49 |
| 5 | Port Vale FC | 46 | 42 |
| 6 | Rotherham United FC | 46 | 41 |
| 7 | Northampton Town FC | 46 | 35 |
| 8 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Stockport County FC | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Bradford City AFC | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Luton Town FC | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Cambridge United FC | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Mansfield Town FC | 1 | 3 |
| 14 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 1 | 3 |
| 15 | Bromley FC | 1 | 3 |
| 16 | Oxford United FC | 1 | 1 |
| 17 | Milton Keynes Dons FC | 1 | 1 |
| 18 | Stevenage FC | 1 | 1 |
| 19 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 1 | 1 |
| 20 | Blackpool FC | 1 | 1 |
| 21 | Burton Albion FC | 1 | 1 |
| 22 | Leicester City FC | 1 | 1 |
| 23 | Notts County FC | 1 | 1 |
| 24 | Reading FC | 1 | 0 |
| 25 | Wigan Athletic FC | 1 | 0 |
| 26 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 1 | 0 |
| 27 | Leyton Orient FC | 1 | 0 |
| 28 | Barnsley FC | 1 | 0 |
| 29 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 1 | 0 |
| 30 | Peterborough United FC | 1 | 0 |
| 31 | AFC Wimbledon | 1 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep | Derby County FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Sep | Lincoln City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 09 Sep | Stevenage FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 02 Sep | Shrewsbury Town FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Aug | Port Vale FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Aug | Exeter City FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep | Carlisle United FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Sep | Portsmouth FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Sep | Bolton Wanderers FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Aug | Peterborough United FC | A | 4–2 | W |
| 19 Aug | Fleetwood Town FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | Oxford United FC | H | 1–2 | L |
Key Stats
0%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Carlisle United FC host Derby County FC — let the battle begin!
- 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Carlisle United FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Carlisle United FC that had 57 games and scored 53 goals.
- 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Eiran Cashin suffering a number of foals already.
- 18' GOAL! James Collins scores on 18. Assisted by Nathaniel Mendez-Laing
- 23' With 0 assists to his name this season, Kane Wilson is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Carlisle United FC.
- 28' Derby County FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 33' A quiet spell here at Brunton Park. Carlisle United FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 38' Jokull Andresson is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Derby County FC so far.
- 43' Craig Forsyth, a Scotland , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 48' Carlisle United FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 53' The 25-year-old Jack Robinson has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 58' It’s high time Paul Warne made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 61' A tactical swap from Derby County FC — Kane Wilson on, Martyn Waghorn off on 61 minutes.
- 66' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Martyn Waghorn made 385 appearances and scored 40 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 68' A change in the Carlisle United FC ranks — Luke Plange exits the field as Terry Ablade enters on 68.
- 69' Another change for Carlisle United FC made on 69 minute. Jon Mellish leaves to be changed by Joe Garner.
- 74' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 74 minutes.
- 75' Eiran Cashin picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 77' The supporters are chanting for Ryan Edmondson. He replaces Jack Armer on 77 minute.
- 80' Time for substitution for Derby County FC. Nathaniel Mendez-Laing is replaced by Conor Washington.
- 84' James Collins doubles the advantage! 0-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 89' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 90' Sam Lavelle has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
- 0-2 the final result. Carlisle United FC will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Carlisle United FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
22
Jon Mellish ↓ Joe Garner 69'
-
24
Sean Maguire ↓ Jack Robinson 77'
- 6
- 8
- 5
-
3
Jack Armer ↓ Ryan Edmondson 77'
- 25
- 2
-
27
Luke Plange ↓ Terry Ablade 68'
- 4
- 7
Bench
-
9
Ryan Edmondson ↑ 77'
- 1
-
14
Joe Garner ↑ 69'
- 17
- 10
-
19
Jack Robinson ↑ 77'
-
12
Terry Ablade ↑ 68'
Derby County FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 12
- 3
-
10
Martyn Waghorn ↓ Kane Wilson 61'
- 11
- 24
- 35
- 9
- 17
- 22
- 6
- 1
Bench
-
14
Conor Washington ↑ 80'
-
2
Kane Wilson ↑ 61'
- 5
- 13
- 20
- 26
-
7
Thomas Barkhuizen ↑ 77'
Coach
Paul Warne
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| James Collins | 3 |
| Max Bird | 1 |
Head to Head
Carlisle United FC Form
2023-09-23
Carlisle United FC
0–2
Derby County FC
L
2023-09-16
Lincoln City FC
1–1
Carlisle United FC
D
2023-09-09
Stevenage FC
2–2
Carlisle United FC
D
2023-09-02
Carlisle United FC
2–0
Shrewsbury Town FC
W
2023-08-26
Port Vale FC
1–0
Carlisle United FC
L
2023-08-19
Carlisle United FC
0–2
Exeter City FC
L
Derby County FC Form
2023-09-23
Carlisle United FC
0–2
Derby County FC
W
2023-09-16
Derby County FC
1–1
Portsmouth FC
D
2023-09-02
Bolton Wanderers FC
2–1
Derby County FC
L
2023-08-26
Peterborough United FC
2–4
Derby County FC
W
2023-08-19
Derby County FC
1–0
Fleetwood Town FC
W
2023-08-15
Derby County FC
1–2
Oxford United FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.93
Carlisle United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.51
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Derby County FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.44
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
Carlisle United FC or Draw
55%
Draw or Derby County FC
75%
Carlisle United FC or Derby County FC
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Derby County FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
0 – 1
12.2%
0 – 0
10.8%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
8.9%
1 – 0
7%
2 – 1
5.5%
0 – 3
4.8%
1 – 3
4.5%
2 – 2
4.2%
2 – 0
3.6%
2 – 3
2.2%
Asian Handicap — Carlisle United FC
| Handicap | Carlisle United FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 6% | 92% |
| -1.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -1 | 8% | 14% | 78% |
| -0.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| +0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +1 | 51% | 24% | 25% |
| +1.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +2 | 75% | 15% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
Carlisle United FC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
40%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.