Carlisle United FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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League One · 2023-24

Carlisle United FC

1 – 4

Full Time

Bolton Wanderers FC

Sat 27 Jan 2024 · 15:00 UTC Brunton Park 11,443 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 31' Zac Ashworth

0–2 36' Edmond-Paris Maghoma

Jordan Gibson 71' 1–2

1–3 90+1' Kyle Dempsey

1–4 90+7' Nathanael Ogbeta

Jon Mellish 51' Y

Y 62' Eoin Toal

Y 85' Josh Dacres-Cogley

Overview

Match Preview

Carlisle United FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC — League One at Brunton Park.

Carlisle United FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Bolton Wanderers FC 46 games · 75 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Scott Oldham
Assistant 1 Lewis Raper (England)
Assistant 2 Alex Gray (England)

3 games this season 🟨 1.0/game ⚽ 3.0 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Bradford City AFC	7	15
2	Sheffield Wednesday FC	7	14
3	Stockport County FC	8	13
4	Plymouth Argyle FC	8	13
5	Cambridge United FC	8	13
6	Huddersfield Town AFC	7	12
7	Burton Albion FC	8	12
8	AFC Wimbledon	8	12
9	Reading FC	7	11
10	Oxford United FC	6	11
11	Leyton Orient FC	7	10
12	Wycombe Wanderers FC	8	10
13	Stevenage FC	7	9
14	Leicester City FC	7	9
15	Blackpool FC	7	8
16	Luton Town FC	7	8
17	Mansfield Town FC	7	8
18	Barnsley FC	7	8
19	Bromley FC	7	8
20	Notts County FC	7	7
21	Doncaster Rovers FC	7	6
22	Milton Keynes Dons FC	7	6
23	Peterborough United FC	8	5
24	Wigan Athletic FC	7	4

Head-to-Head

Carlisle United FC 2 games · Avg 4.5 goals Bolton Wanderers FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-01-27 Carlisle United FC 1–4 Bolton Wanderers FC 2023-10-07 Bolton Wanderers FC 1–3 Carlisle United FC

Recent Form

Carlisle United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Jan	Bolton Wanderers FC	H	1–4	L
16 Jan	Barnsley FC	A	1–2	L
13 Jan	Oxford United FC	H	1–3	L
06 Jan	Exeter City FC	A	1–2	L
01 Jan	Port Vale FC	H	2–1	W
29 Dec	Wigan Athletic FC	A	0–2	L

Bolton Wanderers FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Jan	Carlisle United FC	A	4–1	W
23 Jan	Cheltenham Town FC	H	1–0	W
20 Jan	Leyton Orient FC	A	0–1	L
16 Jan	Luton Town FC	H	1–2	L
07 Jan	Luton Town FC	A	0–0	D
01 Jan	Burton Albion FC	H	1–0	W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)

100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' The wait is over. Carlisle United FC get us underway at Brunton Park.
5' Northern Ireland international Dion Charles has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 2 assists in the Array this season.
10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
15' Carlisle United FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
20' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Carlisle United FC and Bolton Wanderers FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
25' Carlisle United FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
30' Carlos Mendes Gomes has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
31' GOAL! Zac Ashworth fires home to make it 0-1!
36' What a moment for Edmond-Paris Maghoma! That strike on 36 puts his side firmly in control.
41' Bolton Wanderers FC is showing some good football. However, Bolton Wanderers FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
46' It is a substitution in Carlisle United FC team. Daniel Butterworth is replaced by Jack Diamond on 46 minute.
51' Controversy at the stadium! Jon Mellish argues furiously but the card stands.
56' Carlisle United FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Bolton Wanderers FC's shape.
61' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
62' That is a card for Bolton Wanderers FC. Eoin Toal will be fuming at that decision.
67' Carlisle United FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Bolton Wanderers FC backline.
71' Jordan Gibson makes no mistake. The score reads 1-2 and Carlisle United FC are in front.
72' A tactical swap from Carlisle United FC — Josh Vela on, Owen Moxon off on 72 minutes.
74' The Bolton Wanderers FC manager makes a substitution. Victor Adeboyejo departs to be replaced by Jon Bodvarsson.
79' It looks like no one’s ball. Carlisle United FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
81' Joe Garner is ready to make an impact after coming on for Harrison Neal at the 81 minute mark.
82' Fresh legs for Bolton Wanderers FC! Aaron Morley comes on to replace Edmond-Paris Maghoma.
85' Bolton Wanderers FC player sees a card in front of him.
90' Kyle Dempsey makes way for Carlos Mendes Gomes at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from Bolton Wanderers FC.
1-4 the final result. Carlisle United FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Carlisle United FC Lineups

Starting XI

22
Jon Mellish
35
Luke Armstrong
40
Harry Lewis
6
Paul Huntington
11
Daniel Butterworth ↓ Jack Diamond 46'
5
Sam Lavelle
10
Alfie McCalmont ↓ Jordan Gibson 46'
19
Jack Robinson
4
Owen Moxon ↓ Josh Vela 72'
18
Jack Ellis
33
Harrison Neal ↓ Joe Garner 81'

Bench

27
Jack Diamond ↑ 46'
24
Sean Maguire
36
Josh Vela ↑ 72'
14
Joe Garner ↑ 81'
13
Gabriel Breeze
7
Jordan Gibson ↑ 46'
34
Sean Grehan

Bolton Wanderers FC Lineups

Starting XI

1
Nathan Baxter
8
Josh Sheehan
14
Victor Adeboyejo ↓ Jon Bodvarsson 74'
22
Kyle Dempsey ↓ Carlos Mendes Gomes 90'
10
Dion Charles ↓ Cameron Jerome 74'
18
Eoin Toal
3
Jack Iredale
19
Edmond-Paris Maghoma ↓ Aaron Morley 82'
26
Zac Ashworth ↓ Nathanael Ogbeta 90'
12
Josh Dacres-Cogley
5
Ricardo Santos

Bench

16
Aaron Morley ↑ 82'
41
Luke Matheson
13
Joel Coleman
7
Carlos Mendes Gomes ↑ 90'
35
Cameron Jerome ↑ 74'
17
Nathanael Ogbeta ↑ 90'
9
Jon Bodvarsson ↑ 74'

Coach Ian Evatt

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Jordan Gibson	4
Kyle Dempsey	1
Edmond-Paris Maghoma	1
Nathanael Ogbeta	1
Zac Ashworth	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.37 Carlisle United FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.78 Bolton Wanderers FC xG

I would bet for: Carlisle United FC or Bolton Wanderers FC 73% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Carlisle United FC30% Draw27% Bolton Wanderers FC43%

Actual: Bolton Wanderers FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes62% 0% No38%

Avg goals/match: 3.15

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	82%	18%
± 2.5	60%	40%
± 3.5	38%	62%
± 4.5	21%	79%

Double Chance

Carlisle United FC or Draw

57%

Draw or Bolton Wanderers FC

70%

Carlisle United FC or Bolton Wanderers FC

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Carlisle United FC23% Draw43% Bolton Wanderers FC34%

Actual: Bolton Wanderers FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–4 not predicted

1 – 4

Actual

1 – 1

11.3%

1 – 2

0 – 1

6.9%

2 – 1

6.9%

0 – 2

6.8%

2 – 2

6.1%

0 – 0

5.9%

1 – 3

5.3%

1 – 0

5.1%

2 – 0

0 – 3

3.9%

2 – 3

3.7%

Asian Handicap — Carlisle United FC

Handicap	Carlisle United FC covers	Push	Bolton Wanderers FC covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	8%	87%
-1.5	13%	—	87%
-1	13%	16%	71%
-0.5	29%	—	71%
+0.5	54%	—	46%
+1	54%	20%	25%
+1.5	75%	—	25%
+2	75%	14%	11%
+2.5	89%	—	11%

Clean Sheet

Carlisle United FC keeps clean sheet

18% ✓

Bolton Wanderers FC keeps clean sheet

26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

Carlisle United FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Overview

Match Preview

Match Details

Standings

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

Key Stats

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Carlisle United FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Bolton Wanderers FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Head to Head

Carlisle United FC Form

Bolton Wanderers FC Form

Predictions

Match Result

Both Teams to Score

Over / Under Goals

Double Chance

Half-Time Result

Correct Score

Asian Handicap — Carlisle United FC

Clean Sheet