Carlisle United FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Carlisle United FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC — League One at Brunton Park.
- Carlisle United FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Bolton Wanderers FC 46 games · 75 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Scott Oldham
- Assistant 1 Lewis Raper (England)
- Assistant 2 Alex Gray (England)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City FC | 46 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff City FC | 46 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County FC | 46 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City AFC | 46 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 46 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage FC | 46 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton Town FC | 46 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 46 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 46 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield Town FC | 46 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 46 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading FC | 46 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley FC | 46 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan Athletic FC | 46 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton Albion FC | 46 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough United FC | 46 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter City FC | 46 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale FC | 46 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham United FC | 46 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton Town FC | 46 | 35 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan | Bolton Wanderers FC | H | 1–4 | L |
| 16 Jan | Barnsley FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Jan | Oxford United FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 06 Jan | Exeter City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Jan | Port Vale FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Dec | Wigan Athletic FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan | Carlisle United FC | A | 4–1 | W |
| 23 Jan | Cheltenham Town FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Jan | Leyton Orient FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Jan | Luton Town FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Jan | Luton Town FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 01 Jan | Burton Albion FC | H | 1–0 | W |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Carlisle United FC and Bolton Wanderers FC is underway.
- 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 15' Bolton Wanderers FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 20' The travelling Bolton Wanderers FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 25' It looks like no one’s ball. Bolton Wanderers FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 30' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 31' Zac Ashworth puts Bolton Wanderers FC on the lead.
- 36' GOAL! Edmond-Paris Maghoma scores on 36. Assisted by Zac Ashworth
- 41' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Carlisle United FC that had 57 games and scored 53 goals.
- 46' The whistle greets Daniel Butterworth as he departs to be replaced by Jack Diamond.
- 51' Carlisle United FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 51.
- 56' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Bolton Wanderers FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 61' Bolton Wanderers FC is showing some good football. However, Bolton Wanderers FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 62' It’s gonna be a card for Eoin Toal.
- 67' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Dion Charles suffering a number of foals already.
- 71' GOAL! Jordan Gibson scores on 71.
- 72' The whistle greets Owen Moxon as he departs to be replaced by Josh Vela.
- 74' The whistle greets Victor Adeboyejo as he departs to be replaced by Jon Bodvarsson.
- 79' Bolton Wanderers FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 79.
- 81' The Carlisle United FC manager makes a substitution. Harrison Neal departs to be replaced by Joe Garner.
- 82' It is a substitution in Bolton Wanderers FC team. Edmond-Paris Maghoma is replaced by Aaron Morley on 82 minute.
- 85' Josh Dacres-Cogley is having his name booked by the referee on 85.
- 90' Another substitution for Bolton Wanderers FC to replace Kyle Dempsey by Carlos Mendes Gomes on 90 minute.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-4.
Lineups
Carlisle United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
- 35
- 40
- 6
- 11
- 5
-
10
Alfie McCalmont ↓ Jordan Gibson 46'
- 19
-
4
Owen Moxon ↓ Josh Vela 72'
- 18
-
33
Harrison Neal ↓ Joe Garner 81'
Bench
-
27
Jack Diamond ↑ 46'
- 24
-
36
Josh Vela ↑ 72'
-
14
Joe Garner ↑ 81'
- 13
-
7
Jordan Gibson ↑ 46'
- 34
Bolton Wanderers FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 8
- 14
- 22
-
10
Dion Charles ↓ Cameron Jerome 74'
- 18
- 3
- 19
-
26
Zac Ashworth ↓ Nathanael Ogbeta 90'
- 12
- 5
Bench
-
16
Aaron Morley ↑ 82'
- 41
- 13
-
7
Carlos Mendes Gomes ↑ 90'
-
35
Cameron Jerome ↑ 74'
-
17
Nathanael Ogbeta ↑ 90'
-
9
Jon Bodvarsson ↑ 74'
Coach
Ian Evatt
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jordan Gibson | 4 |
| Kyle Dempsey | 1 |
| Edmond-Paris Maghoma | 1 |
| Nathanael Ogbeta | 1 |
| Zac Ashworth | 1 |
Head to Head
Carlisle United FC Form
2024-01-27
Carlisle United FC
1–4
Bolton Wanderers FC
L
2024-01-16
Barnsley FC
2–1
Carlisle United FC
L
2024-01-13
Carlisle United FC
1–3
Oxford United FC
L
2024-01-06
Exeter City FC
2–1
Carlisle United FC
L
2024-01-01
Carlisle United FC
2–1
Port Vale FC
W
2023-12-29
Wigan Athletic FC
2–0
Carlisle United FC
L
Bolton Wanderers FC Form
2024-01-27
Carlisle United FC
1–4
Bolton Wanderers FC
W
2024-01-23
Bolton Wanderers FC
1–0
Cheltenham Town FC
W
2024-01-20
Leyton Orient FC
1–0
Bolton Wanderers FC
L
2024-01-16
Bolton Wanderers FC
1–2
Luton Town FC
L
2024-01-07
Luton Town FC
0–0
Bolton Wanderers FC
D
2024-01-01
Bolton Wanderers FC
1–0
Burton Albion FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.37
Carlisle United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.78
Bolton Wanderers FC xG
I would bet for:
Carlisle United FC or Bolton Wanderers FC 73% + Both teams to score 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Bolton Wanderers FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.15
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 3.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
Carlisle United FC or Draw
57%
Draw or Bolton Wanderers FC
70%
Carlisle United FC or Bolton Wanderers FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Bolton Wanderers FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 1–4 not predicted1 – 4Actual
1 – 1
11.3%
1 – 2
9%
0 – 1
6.9%
2 – 1
6.9%
0 – 2
6.8%
2 – 2
6.1%
0 – 0
5.9%
1 – 3
5.3%
1 – 0
5.1%
2 – 0
4%
0 – 3
3.9%
2 – 3
3.7%
Asian Handicap — Carlisle United FC
| Handicap | Carlisle United FC covers | Push | Bolton Wanderers FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 8% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 16% | 71% |
| -0.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| +0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +1 | 54% | 20% | 25% |
| +1.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +2 | 75% | 14% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
Carlisle United FC keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Bolton Wanderers FC keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

