Carlisle United FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Carlisle United FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC — League One at Brunton Park.
- Carlisle United FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Bolton Wanderers FC 46 games · 75 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Scott Oldham
- Assistant 1 Lewis Raper (England)
- Assistant 2 Alex Gray (England)
7 games this season
🟨 2.1/game
⚽ 5.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 14 | 29 |
| 2 | Stockport County FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Oxford United FC | 13 | 26 |
| 4 | Luton Town FC | 14 | 24 |
| 5 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 14 | 23 |
| 6 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 15 | 23 |
| 7 | Reading FC | 15 | 22 |
| 8 | Bradford City AFC | 13 | 22 |
| 9 | Milton Keynes Dons FC | 14 | 21 |
| 10 | Cambridge United FC | 14 | 21 |
| 11 | Leicester City FC | 13 | 19 |
| 12 | Mansfield Town FC | 13 | 19 |
| 13 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 13 | 18 |
| 14 | Leyton Orient FC | 13 | 17 |
| 15 | Burton Albion FC | 15 | 17 |
| 16 | Stevenage FC | 12 | 16 |
| 17 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 16 |
| 18 | Notts County FC | 12 | 14 |
| 19 | Blackpool FC | 13 | 12 |
| 20 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 13 | 12 |
| 21 | Wigan Athletic FC | 15 | 12 |
| 22 | Barnsley FC | 13 | 10 |
| 23 | Peterborough United FC | 13 | 10 |
| 24 | Bromley FC | 13 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan | Bolton Wanderers FC | H | 1–4 | L |
| 16 Jan | Barnsley FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Jan | Oxford United FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 06 Jan | Exeter City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Jan | Port Vale FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Dec | Wigan Athletic FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan | Carlisle United FC | A | 4–1 | W |
| 23 Jan | Cheltenham Town FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Jan | Leyton Orient FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Jan | Luton Town FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Jan | Luton Town FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 01 Jan | Burton Albion FC | H | 1–0 | W |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Brunton Park will turn into a battlefield for Carlisle United FC and Bolton Wanderers FC.
- 5' Nathan Baxter needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 10' A quiet spell here at Brunton Park. Carlisle United FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 20' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 25' Carlisle United FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Bolton Wanderers FC's shape.
- 30' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 31' Goal! Zac Ashworth scores his 3 goal in 389 matches.
- 36' What composure from Edmond-Paris Maghoma! The England international strokes it home. 0-2.
- 41' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Carlisle United FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 46' The whistle greets Daniel Butterworth as he departs to be replaced by Jack Diamond.
- 51' Controversy at the stadium! Jon Mellish argues furiously but the card stands.
- 56' Over 56 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 61' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Carlisle United FC and Bolton Wanderers FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 62' It’s a booking for Bolton Wanderers FC player. Eoin Toal gets a card.
- 67' The 30-year-old Josh Dacres-Cogley has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 71' A goal from the England international Jordan Gibson! He fires home on 71 to make it 1-2!
- 72' Carlisle United FC ring the changes. Owen Moxon has done his job and it is now time for Josh Vela to step up.
- 74' Fresh legs for Bolton Wanderers FC! Jon Bodvarsson comes on to replace Victor Adeboyejo.
- 79' The travelling Bolton Wanderers FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 81' Joe Garner is replacing Harrison Neal for the Carlisle United FC side.
- 82' Bolton Wanderers FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Aaron Morley is hanging Edmond-Paris Maghoma on the field on 82 minute.
- 85' Bolton Wanderers FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 85.
- 90' Carlos Mendes Gomes is replacing Kyle Dempsey for the Bolton Wanderers FC side.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-4 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Carlisle United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
- 35
- 40
- 6
- 11
- 5
-
10
Alfie McCalmont ↓ Jordan Gibson 46'
- 19
-
4
Owen Moxon ↓ Josh Vela 72'
- 18
-
33
Harrison Neal ↓ Joe Garner 81'
Bench
-
27
Jack Diamond ↑ 46'
- 24
-
36
Josh Vela ↑ 72'
-
14
Joe Garner ↑ 81'
- 13
-
7
Jordan Gibson ↑ 46'
- 34
Bolton Wanderers FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 8
- 14
- 22
-
10
Dion Charles ↓ Cameron Jerome 74'
- 18
- 3
- 19
-
26
Zac Ashworth ↓ Nathanael Ogbeta 90'
- 12
- 5
Bench
-
16
Aaron Morley ↑ 82'
- 41
- 13
-
7
Carlos Mendes Gomes ↑ 90'
-
35
Cameron Jerome ↑ 74'
-
17
Nathanael Ogbeta ↑ 90'
-
9
Jon Bodvarsson ↑ 74'
Coach
Ian Evatt
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jordan Gibson | 4 |
| Kyle Dempsey | 1 |
| Edmond-Paris Maghoma | 1 |
| Nathanael Ogbeta | 1 |
| Zac Ashworth | 1 |
Head to Head
Carlisle United FC Form
2024-01-27
Carlisle United FC
1–4
Bolton Wanderers FC
L
2024-01-16
Barnsley FC
2–1
Carlisle United FC
L
2024-01-13
Carlisle United FC
1–3
Oxford United FC
L
2024-01-06
Exeter City FC
2–1
Carlisle United FC
L
2024-01-01
Carlisle United FC
2–1
Port Vale FC
W
2023-12-29
Wigan Athletic FC
2–0
Carlisle United FC
L
Bolton Wanderers FC Form
2024-01-27
Carlisle United FC
1–4
Bolton Wanderers FC
W
2024-01-23
Bolton Wanderers FC
1–0
Cheltenham Town FC
W
2024-01-20
Leyton Orient FC
1–0
Bolton Wanderers FC
L
2024-01-16
Bolton Wanderers FC
1–2
Luton Town FC
L
2024-01-07
Luton Town FC
0–0
Bolton Wanderers FC
D
2024-01-01
Bolton Wanderers FC
1–0
Burton Albion FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.37
Carlisle United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.78
Bolton Wanderers FC xG
I would bet for:
Carlisle United FC or Bolton Wanderers FC 73% + Both teams to score 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Bolton Wanderers FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.15
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 3.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
Carlisle United FC or Draw
57%
Draw or Bolton Wanderers FC
70%
Carlisle United FC or Bolton Wanderers FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Bolton Wanderers FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 1–4 not predicted1 – 4Actual
1 – 1
11.3%
1 – 2
9%
0 – 1
6.9%
2 – 1
6.9%
0 – 2
6.8%
2 – 2
6.1%
0 – 0
5.9%
1 – 3
5.3%
1 – 0
5.1%
2 – 0
4%
0 – 3
3.9%
2 – 3
3.7%
Asian Handicap — Carlisle United FC
| Handicap | Carlisle United FC covers | Push | Bolton Wanderers FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 8% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 16% | 71% |
| -0.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| +0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +1 | 54% | 20% | 25% |
| +1.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +2 | 75% | 14% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
Carlisle United FC keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Bolton Wanderers FC keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.