Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Carlisle United FC vs Port Vale FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Mon 1 Jan 2024 · 15:00 UTC Brunton Park 7,758 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 49' Ben Garrity
Jordan Gibson pen 80' 1–1
Jon Mellish 90+3' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Carlisle United FC vs Port Vale FC — League One at Brunton Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Thomas Kirk (England)
  • Assistant 1
  • Assistant 2 Emily Carney (England)
3 games this season 🟨 2.0/game ⚽ 5.3 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
1
Carlisle United FC 2 games · Avg 2.0 goals Port Vale FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Jan Port Vale FC H 2–1 W
29 Dec Wigan Athletic FC A 0–2 L
26 Dec Fleetwood Town FC A 1–1 D
23 Dec Cheltenham Town FC H 0–1 L
16 Dec Northampton Town FC H 2–2 D
09 Dec Blackpool FC A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Jan Carlisle United FC A 1–2 L
29 Dec Blackpool FC H 3–0 W
26 Dec Barnsley FC H 2–3 L
23 Dec Wycombe Wanderers FC A 1–1 D
16 Dec Wigan Athletic FC H 3–2 W
12 Dec Stevenage FC H 3–4 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.33 Carlisle United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.09 Port Vale FC xG
I would bet for: Carlisle United FC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Carlisle United FC44% Draw28% Port Vale FC28%
Actual: Carlisle United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.42
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Carlisle United FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Port Vale FC
56%
Carlisle United FC or Port Vale FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Carlisle United FC29% Draw50% Port Vale FC21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
11%
1 – 0
10.7%
0 – 1
8.5%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
7.6%
1 – 2
6.7%
0 – 2
5.1%
2 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
3.7%
3 – 0
3.3%
1 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Carlisle United FC

Handicap Carlisle United FC covers Push Port Vale FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 21% 59%
-0.5 41% — 59%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 17% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Carlisle United FC keeps clean sheet
34% ✓
Port Vale FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.