Sunday , 16 August 2026

Exeter City FC vs Carlisle United FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 6 Jan 2024 · 15:00 UTC St. James Park 6,420 HT 45' · FT 45'
Reece Cole 57' 1–0
Sonny Cox 77' 2–0
2–1 86' Daniel Butterworth

Overview

Head-to-Head

2
Exeter City FC 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Carlisle United FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Jan Carlisle United FC H 2–1 W
01 Jan Reading FC A 2–3 L
29 Dec Portsmouth FC H 0–0 D
26 Dec Wycombe Wanderers FC H 1–0 W
22 Dec Cambridge United FC A 0–2 L
16 Dec Stevenage FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Jan Exeter City FC A 1–2 L
01 Jan Port Vale FC H 2–1 W
29 Dec Wigan Athletic FC A 0–2 L
26 Dec Fleetwood Town FC A 1–1 D
23 Dec Cheltenham Town FC H 0–1 L
16 Dec Northampton Town FC H 2–2 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at St. James Park as Exeter City FC face off against Carlisle United FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' A meaty challenge results in booking for Luke Harris on 5.
  • 10' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 20' Reece Cole needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 25' Carlisle United FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 30' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 35' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Dion Rankine suffering a number of foals already.
  • 40' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 45' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Joe Garner made 380 appearances and scored 23 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 50' Both keepers have barely been tested. Exeter City FC and Carlisle United FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 55' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 57' Magnificent from Reece Cole! That is 11 goals in 10 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 62' Alfie McCalmont gets the nod from Carlisle United FC. He replaces Jack Robinson and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 64' Carlisle United FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 67' A meaty challenge results in booking for Zak Jules on 67.
  • 72' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 74' Carlisle United FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Joe Garner is hanging Taylor Charters on the field on 74 minute.
  • 75' Time for substitution for Exeter City FC. Zak Jules is replaced by Ilmari Niskanen.
  • 77' Brilliant from the ! Sonny Cox makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 77.
  • 78' The supporters are chanting for Yanic Wildschut. He replaces Sonny Cox on 78 minute.
  • 79' Another substitution for Exeter City FC to replace Tom Carroll by Kyle Taylor on 79 minute.
  • 84' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 85' Dylan McGeouch has so much to prove this time. He replaces Josh Emmanuel on 85 minute.
  • 86' GOAL! Daniel Butterworth fires home to make it 2-1!
  • 88' Dion Rankine makes way for James Scott at the 88 minute mark. A tactical switch from Exeter City FC.
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Yanic Wildschut. He receives a card.
  • Full Time. Exeter City FC beats Carlisle United FC

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.5 Exeter City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.81 Carlisle United FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 60% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Exeter City FC54% Draw27% Carlisle United FC19%
Actual: Exeter City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.31
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Exeter City FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Carlisle United FC
46%
Exeter City FC or Carlisle United FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Exeter City FC36% Draw50% Carlisle United FC14%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.9%
1 – 1
12.9%
0 – 0
12.1%
2 – 0
10.9%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
6.9%
3 – 0
5.3%
1 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
4.5%
2 – 2
3.6%
0 – 2
3.1%
4 – 0
2%

Asian Handicap — Exeter City FC

Handicap Exeter City FC covers Push Carlisle United FC covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 16% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 25% 48%
-0.5 52% 48%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 13% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Exeter City FC keeps clean sheet
45%
Carlisle United FC keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.