Saturday , 14 November 2026

Exeter City FC vs Carlisle United FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 6 Jan 2024 · 15:00 UTC St. James Park 6,420 HT 45' · FT 45'
Reece Cole 57' 1–0
Sonny Cox 77' 2–0
2–1 86' Daniel Butterworth

Overview

Match Preview

Exeter City FC vs Carlisle United FC — League One at St. James Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Carl Brook
  • Assistant 1 Kevin Howick
  • Assistant 2
7 games this season 🟨 4.3/game ⚽ 12.4 goals/game

Head-to-Head

2
Exeter City FC 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Carlisle United FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Jan Carlisle United FC H 2–1 W
01 Jan Reading FC A 2–3 L
29 Dec Portsmouth FC H 0–0 D
26 Dec Wycombe Wanderers FC H 1–0 W
22 Dec Cambridge United FC A 0–2 L
16 Dec Stevenage FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Jan Exeter City FC A 1–2 L
01 Jan Port Vale FC H 2–1 W
29 Dec Wigan Athletic FC A 0–2 L
26 Dec Fleetwood Town FC A 1–1 D
23 Dec Cheltenham Town FC H 0–1 L
16 Dec Northampton Town FC H 2–2 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.5 Exeter City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.81 Carlisle United FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 60% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Exeter City FC54% Draw27% Carlisle United FC19%
Actual: Exeter City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.31
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Exeter City FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Carlisle United FC
46%
Exeter City FC or Carlisle United FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Exeter City FC36% Draw50% Carlisle United FC14%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.9%
1 – 1
12.9%
0 – 0
12.1%
2 – 0
10.9%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
6.9%
3 – 0
5.3%
1 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
4.5%
2 – 2
3.6%
0 – 2
3.1%
4 – 0
2%

Asian Handicap — Exeter City FC

Handicap Exeter City FC covers Push Carlisle United FC covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 16% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 25% 48%
-0.5 52% — 48%
+0.5 81% — 19%
+1 81% 13% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Exeter City FC keeps clean sheet
45% ✓
Carlisle United FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.