Exeter City FC vs Carlisle United FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Exeter City FC vs Carlisle United FC — League One at St. James Park.
- Exeter City FC 46 games · 49 pts (2026/27)
- Carlisle United FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Carl Brook
- Assistant 1 Kevin Howick
- Assistant 2
7 games this season
🟨 4.3/game
⚽ 12.4 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 14 | 29 |
| 2 | Stockport County FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Oxford United FC | 13 | 26 |
| 4 | Luton Town FC | 14 | 24 |
| 5 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 14 | 23 |
| 6 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 15 | 23 |
| 7 | Reading FC | 15 | 22 |
| 8 | Bradford City AFC | 13 | 22 |
| 9 | Milton Keynes Dons FC | 14 | 21 |
| 10 | Cambridge United FC | 14 | 21 |
| 11 | Leicester City FC | 13 | 19 |
| 12 | Mansfield Town FC | 13 | 19 |
| 13 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 13 | 18 |
| 14 | Leyton Orient FC | 13 | 17 |
| 15 | Burton Albion FC | 15 | 17 |
| 16 | Stevenage FC | 12 | 16 |
| 17 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 16 |
| 18 | Notts County FC | 12 | 14 |
| 19 | Wigan Athletic FC | 15 | 14 |
| 20 | Blackpool FC | 13 | 12 |
| 21 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 13 | 12 |
| 22 | Peterborough United FC | 13 | 10 |
| 23 | Barnsley FC | 13 | 9 |
| 24 | Bromley FC | 13 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan | Carlisle United FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Jan | Reading FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 29 Dec | Portsmouth FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Dec | Wycombe Wanderers FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Dec | Cambridge United FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Dec | Stevenage FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan | Exeter City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Jan | Port Vale FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Dec | Wigan Athletic FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Dec | Fleetwood Town FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Dec | Cheltenham Town FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Dec | Northampton Town FC | H | 2–2 | D |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to St. James Park that hosts another battle between Exeter City FC and Carlisle United FC.
- 5' Luke Harris has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 5.
- 10' Zak Jules has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 15' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 20' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
- 25' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 30' Exeter City FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 35' Supporters expect more eagerness from Sam Lavelle, as he is very good at scoring at St. James Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 40' Sean Maguire is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Carlisle United FC so far.
- 45' With 0 assists to his name this season, Pierce Sweeney is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Carlisle United FC.
- 50' It looks like no one’s ball. Carlisle United FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 55' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 57' Exeter City FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Reece Cole on 57.
- 62' The Carlisle United FC bench stirs into life. Jack Robinson is withdrawn and Alfie McCalmont gets his opportunity.
- 64' The referee shows Carlisle United FC player a card on 64.
- 67' Zak Jules picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 72' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 74' Taylor Charters makes way for Joe Garner at the 74 minute mark. A tactical switch from Carlisle United FC.
- 75' Ilmari Niskanen has so much to prove this time. He replaces Zak Jules on 75 minute.
- 77' Sonny Cox adds to his 0 season tally! Exeter City FC lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
- 78' Time for substitution for Exeter City FC. Sonny Cox is replaced by Yanic Wildschut.
- 79' Tom Carroll makes way for Kyle Taylor at the 79 minute mark. A tactical switch from Exeter City FC.
- 84' Tom Carroll has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 13 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 85' Josh Emmanuel makes way for Dylan McGeouch at the 85 minute mark. A tactical switch from Carlisle United FC.
- 86' Daniel Butterworth makes no mistake. The score reads 2-1 and Carlisle United FC are in front.
- 88' Exeter City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. James Scott is hanging Dion Rankine on the field on 88 minute.
- 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Yanic Wildschut.
- With this win, Exeter City FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Exeter City FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
6
Tom Carroll ↓ Kyle Taylor 79'
- 26
- 5
-
3
Zak Jules ↓ Ilmari Niskanen 75'
- 12
- 29
- 39
- 1
- 20
-
21
Dion Rankine ↓ James Scott 88'
-
19
Sonny Cox ↓ Yanic Wildschut 78'
Bench
-
13
Yanic Wildschut ↑ 78'
-
11
James Scott ↑ 88'
-
14
Ilmari Niskanen ↑ 75'
- 30
-
23
Kyle Taylor ↑ 79'
- 41
Coach
Gary Caldwell
Carlisle United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
- 35
- 24
-
32
Josh Emmanuel ↓ Dylan McGeouch 85'
- 17
- 5
-
15
Taylor Charters ↓ Joe Garner 74'
-
19
Jack Robinson ↓ Alfie McCalmont 62'
- 33
- 13
- 7
Bench
-
21
Dylan McGeouch ↑ 85'
- 9
- 1
- 11
-
14
Joe Garner ↑ 74'
-
10
Alfie McCalmont ↑ 62'
- 3
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Demetri Mitchell | 1 |
| Ryan Trevitt | 1 |
| Daniel Butterworth | 1 |
| Reece Cole | 1 |
| Sonny Cox | 1 |
Head to Head
Exeter City FC Form
Carlisle United FC Form
2024-01-06
Exeter City FC
2–1
Carlisle United FC
L
2024-01-01
Carlisle United FC
2–1
Port Vale FC
W
2023-12-29
Wigan Athletic FC
2–0
Carlisle United FC
L
2023-12-26
Fleetwood Town FC
1–1
Carlisle United FC
D
2023-12-23
Carlisle United FC
0–1
Cheltenham Town FC
L
2023-12-16
Carlisle United FC
2–2
Northampton Town FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.5
Exeter City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.81
Carlisle United FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 60% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Exeter City FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.31
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 2.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
Exeter City FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Carlisle United FC
46%
Exeter City FC or Carlisle United FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.9%
1 – 1
12.9%
0 – 0
12.1%
2 – 0
10.9%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
6.9%
3 – 0
5.3%
1 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
4.5%
2 – 2
3.6%
0 – 2
3.1%
4 – 0
2%
Asian Handicap — Exeter City FC
| Handicap | Exeter City FC covers | Push | Carlisle United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 16% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 25% | 48% |
| -0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +0.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +1 | 81% | 13% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 5% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Exeter City FC keeps clean sheet
45%
✓
Carlisle United FC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

