Thursday , 2 July 2026

Exeter City FC vs Carlisle United FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 6 Jan 2024 · 15:00 UTC St. James Park 6,420 HT 45' · FT 45'
Reece Cole 57' 1–0
Sonny Cox 77' 2–0
2–1 86' Daniel Butterworth

Overview

Match Preview

Exeter City FC vs Carlisle United FCLeague One at St. James Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Carl Brook
  • Assistant 1 Kevin Howick
  • Assistant 2

Head-to-Head

2
Exeter City FC 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Carlisle United FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Jan Carlisle United FC H 2–1 W
01 Jan Reading FC A 2–3 L
29 Dec Portsmouth FC H 0–0 D
26 Dec Wycombe Wanderers FC H 1–0 W
22 Dec Cambridge United FC A 0–2 L
16 Dec Stevenage FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Jan Exeter City FC A 1–2 L
01 Jan Port Vale FC H 2–1 W
29 Dec Wigan Athletic FC A 0–2 L
26 Dec Fleetwood Town FC A 1–1 D
23 Dec Cheltenham Town FC H 0–1 L
16 Dec Northampton Town FC H 2–2 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to St. James Park that hosts another battle between Exeter City FC and Carlisle United FC.
  • 5' That looks like a foul for a card for Luke Harris.
  • 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 15' Carlisle United FC is showing some good football. However, Carlisle United FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 20' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 25' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Sean Maguire suffering a number of foals already.
  • 30' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 30 minutes.
  • 35' It looks surprising Exeter City FC does not make any changes. Dion Rankine has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 40' It’s high time Gary Caldwell made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 45' Sam Lavelle has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 50' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 55' It looks like no one’s ball. Carlisle United FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 57' Exeter City FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Reece Cole on 57.
  • 62' Another change for Carlisle United FC made on 62 minute. Jack Robinson leaves to be changed by Alfie McCalmont.
  • 64' Harrison Neal was booked on 64.
  • 67' Exeter City FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 72' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 74' Joe Garner is replacing Taylor Charters for the Carlisle United FC side.
  • 75' Ilmari Niskanen has so much to prove this time. He replaces Zak Jules on 75 minute.
  • 77' Goal! Sonny Cox scores his 6 goal in 198 matches.
  • 78' The whistle greets Sonny Cox as he departs to be replaced by Yanic Wildschut.
  • 79' Exeter City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kyle Taylor is hanging Tom Carroll on the field on 79 minute.
  • 84' Exeter City FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 85' Dylan McGeouch is replacing Josh Emmanuel for the Carlisle United FC side.
  • 86' Goal! Daniel Butterworth scores his 9 goal in 382 matches.
  • 88' Exeter City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. James Scott is hanging Dion Rankine on the field on 88 minute.
  • 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Yanic Wildschut.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.5 Exeter City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.81 Carlisle United FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 60% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Exeter City FC54% Draw27% Carlisle United FC19%
Actual: Exeter City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.31
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Exeter City FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Carlisle United FC
46%
Exeter City FC or Carlisle United FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Exeter City FC36% Draw50% Carlisle United FC14%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.9%
1 – 1
12.9%
0 – 0
12.1%
2 – 0
10.9%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
6.9%
3 – 0
5.3%
1 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
4.5%
2 – 2
3.6%
0 – 2
3.1%
4 – 0
2%

Asian Handicap — Exeter City FC

Handicap Exeter City FC covers Push Carlisle United FC covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 16% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 25% 48%
-0.5 52% 48%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 13% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Exeter City FC keeps clean sheet
45%
Carlisle United FC keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.