Bolton Wanderers FC vs Carlisle United FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Bolton Wanderers FC vs Carlisle United FC — League One at University of Bolton Stadium.
- Bolton Wanderers FC 46 games · 75 pts (2026/27)
- Carlisle United FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Sebastian Stockbridge (England)
- Assistant 1 Steven Rushton (England)
- Assistant 2 Lee Freeman (England)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City FC | 46 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff City FC | 46 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County FC | 46 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City AFC | 46 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 46 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage FC | 46 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton Town FC | 46 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 46 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 46 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield Town FC | 46 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 46 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading FC | 46 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley FC | 46 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan Athletic FC | 46 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton Albion FC | 46 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough United FC | 46 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter City FC | 46 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale FC | 46 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham United FC | 46 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton Town FC | 46 | 35 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct | Carlisle United FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 03 Oct | Stevenage FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 30 Sep | Port Vale FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Sep | Peterborough United FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Sep | Reading FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 02 Sep | Derby County FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct | Bolton Wanderers FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 03 Oct | Peterborough United FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Sep | Wycombe Wanderers FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 23 Sep | Derby County FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Sep | Lincoln City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 09 Sep | Stevenage FC | A | 2–2 | D |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Bolton Wanderers FC and Carlisle United FC has kicked off!
- 5' Carlisle United FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 7' Sam Lavelle was booked on 7.
- 12' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Josh Sheehan suffering a number of foals already.
- 17' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 22' Carlisle United FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 27' It looks like no one’s ball. Carlisle United FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 28' Goal! Jon Mellish scores his 12 goal in 13 matches.
- 33' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 35' The referee calls foul for Kyle Dempsey. He receives a card.
- 38' The referee calls foul for Alfie McCalmont. He receives a card.
- 43' Sean Maguire has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 47 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 44' What a strike from Jordan Gibson! The score is 0-2.
- 49' Supporters expect more eagerness from Nathan Baxter, as he is very good at scoring at University of Bolton Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 54' Bolton Wanderers FC is showing some good football. However, Bolton Wanderers FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 55' Aaron Morley is replacing George Thomason for the Bolton Wanderers FC side.
- 60' Carlisle United FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 60.
- 63' Zac Ashworth has so much to prove this time. He replaces Randell Williams on 63 minute.
- 68' Kyle Dempsey needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 24 Yellow cards this season.
- 69' Time for substitution for Carlisle United FC. Sean Maguire is replaced by Terry Ablade.
- 70' What a strike from Jordan Gibson! The score is 0-3.
- 73' Time for substitution for Bolton Wanderers FC. Kyle Dempsey is replaced by Dan N'Lundulu.
- 74' Another substitution for Bolton Wanderers FC to replace Victor Adeboyejo by Jon Bodvarsson on 74 minute.
- 79' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 82' It’s gonna be a card for Dion Charles.
- 87' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 89' Time for substitution for Carlisle United FC. Joe Garner is replaced by Jayden Harris.
- 90' It’s a booking for Carlisle United FC player. Jack Armer gets a card.
- With this win, Carlisle United FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Bolton Wanderers FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 8
- 14
-
22
Kyle Dempsey ↓ Dan N'Lundulu 73'
-
27
Randell Williams ↓ Zac Ashworth 63'
- 10
- 18
- 3
-
4
George Thomason ↓ Aaron Morley 55'
- 15
- 12
Bench
-
16
Aaron Morley ↑ 55'
- 41
- 13
- 35
-
26
Zac Ashworth ↑ 63'
-
11
Dan N'Lundulu ↑ 73'
-
9
Jon Bodvarsson ↑ 74'
Coach
Ian Evatt
Carlisle United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
-
24
Sean Maguire ↓ Terry Ablade 69'
- 1
- 8
-
14
Joe Garner ↓ Jayden Harris 89'
- 5
- 10
- 3
- 2
-
4
Owen Moxon ↓ Luke Plange 89'
- 7
Bench
- 9
- 17
-
16
Jayden Harris ↑ 89'
- 25
- 19
-
27
Luke Plange ↑ 89'
-
12
Terry Ablade ↑ 69'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jordan Gibson | 4 |
| Kyle Dempsey | 1 |
| Edmond-Paris Maghoma | 1 |
| Nathanael Ogbeta | 1 |
| Zac Ashworth | 1 |
Bolton Wanderers FC Form
2023-10-07
Bolton Wanderers FC
1–3
Carlisle United FC
L
2023-10-03
Bolton Wanderers FC
3–2
Stevenage FC
W
2023-09-30
Port Vale FC
0–1
Bolton Wanderers FC
W
2023-09-23
Bolton Wanderers FC
1–1
Peterborough United FC
D
2023-09-16
Reading FC
2–1
Bolton Wanderers FC
L
2023-09-02
Bolton Wanderers FC
2–1
Derby County FC
W
Carlisle United FC Form
2023-10-07
Bolton Wanderers FC
1–3
Carlisle United FC
W
2023-10-03
Carlisle United FC
1–1
Peterborough United FC
D
2023-09-30
Wycombe Wanderers FC
2–0
Carlisle United FC
L
2023-09-23
Carlisle United FC
0–2
Derby County FC
L
2023-09-16
Lincoln City FC
1–1
Carlisle United FC
D
2023-09-09
Stevenage FC
2–2
Carlisle United FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.36
Bolton Wanderers FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.7
Carlisle United FC xG
I would bet for:
Bolton Wanderers FC or Carlisle United FC 73% + Both teams to score 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Carlisle United FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.06
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 3.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
Bolton Wanderers FC or Draw
59%
Draw or Carlisle United FC
68%
Bolton Wanderers FC or Carlisle United FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
1 – 2
8.9%
0 – 1
7.2%
2 – 1
7.1%
0 – 2
6.7%
0 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
6%
1 – 0
5.5%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 0
4.3%
0 – 3
3.8%
2 – 3
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Bolton Wanderers FC
| Handicap | Bolton Wanderers FC covers | Push | Carlisle United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 9% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 16% | 70% |
| -0.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| +0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +1 | 56% | 20% | 24% |
| +1.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +2 | 76% | 14% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
Bolton Wanderers FC keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Carlisle United FC keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

