Bolton Wanderers FC vs Carlisle United FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Bolton Wanderers FC vs Carlisle United FC — League One at University of Bolton Stadium.
- Bolton Wanderers FC 46 games · 75 pts (2026/27)
- Carlisle United FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Sebastian Stockbridge (England)
- Assistant 1 Steven Rushton (England)
- Assistant 2 Lee Freeman (England)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 14 | 29 |
| 2 | Stockport County FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Oxford United FC | 13 | 26 |
| 4 | Luton Town FC | 14 | 24 |
| 5 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 14 | 23 |
| 6 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 15 | 23 |
| 7 | Reading FC | 15 | 22 |
| 8 | Bradford City AFC | 13 | 22 |
| 9 | Milton Keynes Dons FC | 14 | 21 |
| 10 | Cambridge United FC | 14 | 21 |
| 11 | Leicester City FC | 13 | 19 |
| 12 | Mansfield Town FC | 13 | 19 |
| 13 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 13 | 18 |
| 14 | Leyton Orient FC | 13 | 17 |
| 15 | Burton Albion FC | 15 | 17 |
| 16 | Stevenage FC | 12 | 16 |
| 17 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 16 |
| 18 | Notts County FC | 12 | 14 |
| 19 | Wigan Athletic FC | 15 | 14 |
| 20 | Blackpool FC | 13 | 12 |
| 21 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 13 | 12 |
| 22 | Peterborough United FC | 13 | 10 |
| 23 | Barnsley FC | 13 | 9 |
| 24 | Bromley FC | 13 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct | Carlisle United FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 03 Oct | Stevenage FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 30 Sep | Port Vale FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Sep | Peterborough United FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Sep | Reading FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 02 Sep | Derby County FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct | Bolton Wanderers FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 03 Oct | Peterborough United FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Sep | Wycombe Wanderers FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 23 Sep | Derby County FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Sep | Lincoln City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 09 Sep | Stevenage FC | A | 2–2 | D |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds University of Bolton Stadium will turn into a battlefield for Bolton Wanderers FC and Carlisle United FC.
- 5' Wales international Josh Sheehan has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 7' Carlisle United FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 7.
- 12' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 17' Carlisle United FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 22' Luke Plange needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 27' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 28' Jon Mellish has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 28 minutes.
- 33' The energy levels are beginning to show. Ian Evatt might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 35' Kyle Dempsey catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 35.
- 38' A meaty challenge results in booking for Alfie McCalmont on 38.
- 43' Josh Dacres-Cogley, a England , has 1 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 44' Jordan Gibson does the damage! The net is bulging and Carlisle United FC surge ahead!
- 49' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 54' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jayden Harris suffering a number of foals already.
- 55' Aaron Morley is replacing George Thomason for the Bolton Wanderers FC side.
- 60' It looks like no one’s ball. Carlisle United FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 63' The crowd applauds Randell Williams as he leaves the pitch. Zac Ashworth steps in for Bolton Wanderers FC.
- 68' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 68 minutes.
- 69' A tactical swap from Carlisle United FC — Terry Ablade on, Sean Maguire off on 69 minutes.
- 70' Jordan Gibson doubles the advantage! 0-3 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 73' A tactical swap from Bolton Wanderers FC — Dan N'Lundulu on, Kyle Dempsey off on 73 minutes.
- 74' The Bolton Wanderers FC manager makes a substitution. Victor Adeboyejo departs to be replaced by Jon Bodvarsson.
- 79' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 82' Dion Charles catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 82.
- 87' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Bolton Wanderers FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 89' The whistle greets Joe Garner as he departs to be replaced by Jayden Harris.
- 90' Jack Armer picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- Game over. The scoreline of 1-3 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
Bolton Wanderers FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 8
- 14
-
22
Kyle Dempsey ↓ Dan N'Lundulu 73'
-
27
Randell Williams ↓ Zac Ashworth 63'
- 10
- 18
- 3
-
4
George Thomason ↓ Aaron Morley 55'
- 15
- 12
Bench
-
16
Aaron Morley ↑ 55'
- 41
- 13
- 35
-
26
Zac Ashworth ↑ 63'
-
11
Dan N'Lundulu ↑ 73'
-
9
Jon Bodvarsson ↑ 74'
Coach
Ian Evatt
Carlisle United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
-
24
Sean Maguire ↓ Terry Ablade 69'
- 1
- 8
-
14
Joe Garner ↓ Jayden Harris 89'
- 5
- 10
- 3
- 2
-
4
Owen Moxon ↓ Luke Plange 89'
- 7
Bench
- 9
- 17
-
16
Jayden Harris ↑ 89'
- 25
- 19
-
27
Luke Plange ↑ 89'
-
12
Terry Ablade ↑ 69'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jordan Gibson | 4 |
| Kyle Dempsey | 1 |
| Edmond-Paris Maghoma | 1 |
| Nathanael Ogbeta | 1 |
| Zac Ashworth | 1 |
Bolton Wanderers FC Form
2023-10-07
Bolton Wanderers FC
1–3
Carlisle United FC
L
2023-10-03
Bolton Wanderers FC
3–2
Stevenage FC
W
2023-09-30
Port Vale FC
0–1
Bolton Wanderers FC
W
2023-09-23
Bolton Wanderers FC
1–1
Peterborough United FC
D
2023-09-16
Reading FC
2–1
Bolton Wanderers FC
L
2023-09-02
Bolton Wanderers FC
2–1
Derby County FC
W
Carlisle United FC Form
2023-10-07
Bolton Wanderers FC
1–3
Carlisle United FC
W
2023-10-03
Carlisle United FC
1–1
Peterborough United FC
D
2023-09-30
Wycombe Wanderers FC
2–0
Carlisle United FC
L
2023-09-23
Carlisle United FC
0–2
Derby County FC
L
2023-09-16
Lincoln City FC
1–1
Carlisle United FC
D
2023-09-09
Stevenage FC
2–2
Carlisle United FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.36
Bolton Wanderers FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.7
Carlisle United FC xG
I would bet for:
Bolton Wanderers FC or Carlisle United FC 73% + Both teams to score 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Carlisle United FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.06
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 3.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
Bolton Wanderers FC or Draw
59%
Draw or Carlisle United FC
68%
Bolton Wanderers FC or Carlisle United FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
1 – 2
8.9%
0 – 1
7.2%
2 – 1
7.1%
0 – 2
6.7%
0 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
6%
1 – 0
5.5%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 0
4.3%
0 – 3
3.8%
2 – 3
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Bolton Wanderers FC
| Handicap | Bolton Wanderers FC covers | Push | Carlisle United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 9% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 16% | 70% |
| -0.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| +0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +1 | 56% | 20% | 24% |
| +1.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +2 | 76% | 14% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
Bolton Wanderers FC keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Carlisle United FC keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

