Saturday , 14 November 2026

Bolton Wanderers FC vs Carlisle United FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 7 Oct 2023 · 14:00 UTC University of Bolton Stadium 23,187 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jon Mellish og 28' 1–0
1–1 44' Jordan Gibson pen
1–2 70' Jordan Gibson
1–3 90+5' Jordan Gibson

Overview

Match Preview

Bolton Wanderers FC vs Carlisle United FC — League One at University of Bolton Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Sebastian Stockbridge (England)
  • Assistant 1 Steven Rushton (England)
  • Assistant 2 Lee Freeman (England)

Head-to-Head

1
1
Bolton Wanderers FC 2 games · Avg 4.5 goals Carlisle United FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Oct Carlisle United FC H 1–3 L
03 Oct Stevenage FC H 3–2 W
30 Sep Port Vale FC A 1–0 W
23 Sep Peterborough United FC H 1–1 D
16 Sep Reading FC A 1–2 L
02 Sep Derby County FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Oct Bolton Wanderers FC A 3–1 W
03 Oct Peterborough United FC H 1–1 D
30 Sep Wycombe Wanderers FC A 0–2 L
23 Sep Derby County FC H 0–2 L
16 Sep Lincoln City FC A 1–1 D
09 Sep Stevenage FC A 2–2 D

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds University of Bolton Stadium will turn into a battlefield for Bolton Wanderers FC and Carlisle United FC.
  • 5' Wales international Josh Sheehan has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 7' Carlisle United FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 7.
  • 12' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 17' Carlisle United FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 22' Luke Plange needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 27' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 28' Jon Mellish has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 28 minutes.
  • 33' The energy levels are beginning to show. Ian Evatt might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 35' Kyle Dempsey catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 35.
  • 38' A meaty challenge results in booking for Alfie McCalmont on 38.
  • 43' Josh Dacres-Cogley, a England , has 1 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 44' Jordan Gibson does the damage! The net is bulging and Carlisle United FC surge ahead!
  • 49' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 54' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jayden Harris suffering a number of foals already.
  • 55' Aaron Morley is replacing George Thomason for the Bolton Wanderers FC side.
  • 60' It looks like no one’s ball. Carlisle United FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 63' The crowd applauds Randell Williams as he leaves the pitch. Zac Ashworth steps in for Bolton Wanderers FC.
  • 68' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 68 minutes.
  • 69' A tactical swap from Carlisle United FC — Terry Ablade on, Sean Maguire off on 69 minutes.
  • 70' Jordan Gibson doubles the advantage! 0-3 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 73' A tactical swap from Bolton Wanderers FC — Dan N'Lundulu on, Kyle Dempsey off on 73 minutes.
  • 74' The Bolton Wanderers FC manager makes a substitution. Victor Adeboyejo departs to be replaced by Jon Bodvarsson.
  • 79' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 82' Dion Charles catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 82.
  • 87' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Bolton Wanderers FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 89' The whistle greets Joe Garner as he departs to be replaced by Jayden Harris.
  • 90' Jack Armer picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 1-3 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.36 Bolton Wanderers FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.7 Carlisle United FC xG
I would bet for: Bolton Wanderers FC or Carlisle United FC 73% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Bolton Wanderers FC32% Draw27% Carlisle United FC41%
Actual: Carlisle United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.06
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Bolton Wanderers FC or Draw
59%
Draw or Carlisle United FC
68%
Bolton Wanderers FC or Carlisle United FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Bolton Wanderers FC23% Draw44% Carlisle United FC33%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
1 – 2
8.9%
0 – 1
7.2%
2 – 1
7.1%
0 – 2
6.7%
0 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
6%
1 – 0
5.5%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 0
4.3%
0 – 3
3.8%
2 – 3
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Bolton Wanderers FC

Handicap Bolton Wanderers FC covers Push Carlisle United FC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 16% 70%
-0.5 30% — 70%
+0.5 56% — 44%
+1 56% 20% 24%
+1.5 76% — 24%
+2 76% 14% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

Bolton Wanderers FC keeps clean sheet
19% ✓
Carlisle United FC keeps clean sheet
26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.