Sunday , 16 August 2026

Bolton Wanderers FC vs Carlisle United FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 7 Oct 2023 · 14:00 UTC University of Bolton Stadium 23,187 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jon Mellish og 28' 1–0
1–1 44' Jordan Gibson pen
1–2 70' Jordan Gibson
1–3 90+5' Jordan Gibson

Overview

Match Preview

Bolton Wanderers FC vs Carlisle United FCLeague One at University of Bolton Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Sebastian Stockbridge (England)
  • Assistant 1 Steven Rushton (England)
  • Assistant 2 Lee Freeman (England)

Head-to-Head

1
1
Bolton Wanderers FC 2 games · Avg 4.5 goals Carlisle United FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Oct Carlisle United FC H 1–3 L
03 Oct Stevenage FC H 3–2 W
30 Sep Port Vale FC A 1–0 W
23 Sep Peterborough United FC H 1–1 D
16 Sep Reading FC A 1–2 L
02 Sep Derby County FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Oct Bolton Wanderers FC A 3–1 W
03 Oct Peterborough United FC H 1–1 D
30 Sep Wycombe Wanderers FC A 0–2 L
23 Sep Derby County FC H 0–2 L
16 Sep Lincoln City FC A 1–1 D
09 Sep Stevenage FC A 2–2 D

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.36 Bolton Wanderers FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.7 Carlisle United FC xG
I would bet for: Bolton Wanderers FC or Carlisle United FC 73% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Bolton Wanderers FC32% Draw27% Carlisle United FC41%
Actual: Carlisle United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.06
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Bolton Wanderers FC or Draw
59%
Draw or Carlisle United FC
68%
Bolton Wanderers FC or Carlisle United FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Bolton Wanderers FC23% Draw44% Carlisle United FC33%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
1 – 2
8.9%
0 – 1
7.2%
2 – 1
7.1%
0 – 2
6.7%
0 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
6%
1 – 0
5.5%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 0
4.3%
0 – 3
3.8%
2 – 3
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Bolton Wanderers FC

Handicap Bolton Wanderers FC covers Push Carlisle United FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 16% 70%
-0.5 30% 70%
+0.5 56% 44%
+1 56% 20% 24%
+1.5 76% 24%
+2 76% 14% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

Bolton Wanderers FC keeps clean sheet
19%
Carlisle United FC keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.