Bolton Wanderers FC vs Carlisle United FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Bolton Wanderers FC vs Carlisle United FC — League One at University of Bolton Stadium.
- Bolton Wanderers FC 46 games · 75 pts (2026/27)
- Carlisle United FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Sebastian Stockbridge (England)
- Assistant 1 Steven Rushton (England)
- Assistant 2 Lee Freeman (England)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City FC | 46 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff City FC | 46 | 91 |
| 3 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 46 | 75 |
| 4 | Exeter City FC | 46 | 49 |
| 5 | Port Vale FC | 46 | 42 |
| 6 | Rotherham United FC | 46 | 41 |
| 7 | Northampton Town FC | 46 | 35 |
| 8 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Stockport County FC | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Bradford City AFC | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Luton Town FC | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Cambridge United FC | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Mansfield Town FC | 1 | 3 |
| 14 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 1 | 3 |
| 15 | Bromley FC | 1 | 3 |
| 16 | Oxford United FC | 1 | 1 |
| 17 | Milton Keynes Dons FC | 1 | 1 |
| 18 | Stevenage FC | 1 | 1 |
| 19 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 1 | 1 |
| 20 | Blackpool FC | 1 | 1 |
| 21 | Burton Albion FC | 1 | 1 |
| 22 | Leicester City FC | 1 | 1 |
| 23 | Notts County FC | 1 | 1 |
| 24 | Reading FC | 1 | 0 |
| 25 | Wigan Athletic FC | 1 | 0 |
| 26 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 1 | 0 |
| 27 | Leyton Orient FC | 1 | 0 |
| 28 | Barnsley FC | 1 | 0 |
| 29 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 1 | 0 |
| 30 | Peterborough United FC | 1 | 0 |
| 31 | AFC Wimbledon | 1 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct | Carlisle United FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 03 Oct | Stevenage FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 30 Sep | Port Vale FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Sep | Peterborough United FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Sep | Reading FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 02 Sep | Derby County FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct | Bolton Wanderers FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 03 Oct | Peterborough United FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Sep | Wycombe Wanderers FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 23 Sep | Derby County FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Sep | Lincoln City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 09 Sep | Stevenage FC | A | 2–2 | D |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds University of Bolton Stadium will turn into a battlefield for Bolton Wanderers FC and Carlisle United FC.
- 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 7' A meaty challenge results in booking for Sam Lavelle on 7.
- 12' Tomas Holy is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Bolton Wanderers FC so far.
- 17' Bolton Wanderers FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Carlisle United FC backline.
- 22' The energy levels are beginning to show. Ian Evatt might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 27' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Ian Evatt will be considering his options from the bench.
- 28' GOAL! Jon Mellish scores on 28.
- 33' Bolton Wanderers FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 35' Bolton Wanderers FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 38' Alfie McCalmont is having his name booked by the referee on 38.
- 43' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 44' Jordan Gibson has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 44 minutes.
- 49' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 54' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 55' A tactical swap from Bolton Wanderers FC — Aaron Morley on, George Thomason off on 55 minutes.
- 60' Eoin Toal has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 63' The Bolton Wanderers FC bench stirs into life. Randell Williams is withdrawn and Zac Ashworth gets his opportunity.
- 68' The travelling Carlisle United FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 69' Carlisle United FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Terry Ablade is hanging Sean Maguire on the field on 69 minute.
- 70' A goal from the England international Jordan Gibson! He fires home on 70 to make it 0-3!
- 73' A change in the Bolton Wanderers FC ranks — Kyle Dempsey exits the field as Dan N'Lundulu enters on 73.
- 74' Victor Adeboyejo makes way for Jon Bodvarsson at the 74 minute mark. A tactical switch from Bolton Wanderers FC.
- 79' Bolton Wanderers FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 82' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Dion Charles on 82 minutes.
- 87' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Bolton Wanderers FC and Carlisle United FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 89' Carlisle United FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jayden Harris is hanging Joe Garner on the field on 89 minute.
- 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Jack Armer on 90.
- Full Time. Carlisle United FC beats Bolton Wanderers FC
Lineups
Bolton Wanderers FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 8
- 14
-
22
Kyle Dempsey ↓ Dan N'Lundulu 73'
-
27
Randell Williams ↓ Zac Ashworth 63'
- 10
- 18
- 3
-
4
George Thomason ↓ Aaron Morley 55'
- 15
- 12
Bench
-
16
Aaron Morley ↑ 55'
- 41
- 13
- 35
-
26
Zac Ashworth ↑ 63'
-
11
Dan N'Lundulu ↑ 73'
-
9
Jon Bodvarsson ↑ 74'
Coach
Ian Evatt
Carlisle United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
-
24
Sean Maguire ↓ Terry Ablade 69'
- 1
- 8
-
14
Joe Garner ↓ Jayden Harris 89'
- 5
- 10
- 3
- 2
-
4
Owen Moxon ↓ Luke Plange 89'
- 7
Bench
- 9
- 17
-
16
Jayden Harris ↑ 89'
- 25
- 19
-
27
Luke Plange ↑ 89'
-
12
Terry Ablade ↑ 69'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jordan Gibson | 4 |
| Kyle Dempsey | 1 |
| Edmond-Paris Maghoma | 1 |
| Nathanael Ogbeta | 1 |
| Zac Ashworth | 1 |
Bolton Wanderers FC Form
2023-10-07
Bolton Wanderers FC
1–3
Carlisle United FC
L
2023-10-03
Bolton Wanderers FC
3–2
Stevenage FC
W
2023-09-30
Port Vale FC
0–1
Bolton Wanderers FC
W
2023-09-23
Bolton Wanderers FC
1–1
Peterborough United FC
D
2023-09-16
Reading FC
2–1
Bolton Wanderers FC
L
2023-09-02
Bolton Wanderers FC
2–1
Derby County FC
W
Carlisle United FC Form
2023-10-07
Bolton Wanderers FC
1–3
Carlisle United FC
W
2023-10-03
Carlisle United FC
1–1
Peterborough United FC
D
2023-09-30
Wycombe Wanderers FC
2–0
Carlisle United FC
L
2023-09-23
Carlisle United FC
0–2
Derby County FC
L
2023-09-16
Lincoln City FC
1–1
Carlisle United FC
D
2023-09-09
Stevenage FC
2–2
Carlisle United FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.36
Bolton Wanderers FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.7
Carlisle United FC xG
I would bet for:
Bolton Wanderers FC or Carlisle United FC 73% + Both teams to score 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Carlisle United FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.06
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 3.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
Bolton Wanderers FC or Draw
59%
Draw or Carlisle United FC
68%
Bolton Wanderers FC or Carlisle United FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
1 – 2
8.9%
0 – 1
7.2%
2 – 1
7.1%
0 – 2
6.7%
0 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
6%
1 – 0
5.5%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 0
4.3%
0 – 3
3.8%
2 – 3
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Bolton Wanderers FC
| Handicap | Bolton Wanderers FC covers | Push | Carlisle United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 9% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 16% | 70% |
| -0.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| +0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +1 | 56% | 20% | 24% |
| +1.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +2 | 76% | 14% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
Bolton Wanderers FC keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Carlisle United FC keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

