Thursday , 2 July 2026

Bolton Wanderers FC vs Carlisle United FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 7 Oct 2023 · 14:00 UTC University of Bolton Stadium 23,187 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jon Mellish og 28' 1–0
1–1 44' Jordan Gibson pen
1–2 70' Jordan Gibson
1–3 90+5' Jordan Gibson

Overview

Match Preview

Bolton Wanderers FC vs Carlisle United FCLeague One at University of Bolton Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Sebastian Stockbridge (England)
  • Assistant 1 Steven Rushton (England)
  • Assistant 2 Lee Freeman (England)

Head-to-Head

1
1
Bolton Wanderers FC 2 games · Avg 4.5 goals Carlisle United FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Oct Carlisle United FC H 1–3 L
03 Oct Stevenage FC H 3–2 W
30 Sep Port Vale FC A 1–0 W
23 Sep Peterborough United FC H 1–1 D
16 Sep Reading FC A 1–2 L
02 Sep Derby County FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Oct Bolton Wanderers FC A 3–1 W
03 Oct Peterborough United FC H 1–1 D
30 Sep Wycombe Wanderers FC A 0–2 L
23 Sep Derby County FC H 0–2 L
16 Sep Lincoln City FC A 1–1 D
09 Sep Stevenage FC A 2–2 D

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Bolton Wanderers FC and Carlisle United FC has kicked off!
  • 5' Carlisle United FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 7' Sam Lavelle was booked on 7.
  • 12' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Josh Sheehan suffering a number of foals already.
  • 17' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 22' Carlisle United FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 27' It looks like no one’s ball. Carlisle United FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 28' Goal! Jon Mellish scores his 12 goal in 13 matches.
  • 33' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 35' The referee calls foul for Kyle Dempsey. He receives a card.
  • 38' The referee calls foul for Alfie McCalmont. He receives a card.
  • 43' Sean Maguire has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 47 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 44' What a strike from Jordan Gibson! The score is 0-2.
  • 49' Supporters expect more eagerness from Nathan Baxter, as he is very good at scoring at University of Bolton Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 54' Bolton Wanderers FC is showing some good football. However, Bolton Wanderers FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 55' Aaron Morley is replacing George Thomason for the Bolton Wanderers FC side.
  • 60' Carlisle United FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 60.
  • 63' Zac Ashworth has so much to prove this time. He replaces Randell Williams on 63 minute.
  • 68' Kyle Dempsey needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 24 Yellow cards this season.
  • 69' Time for substitution for Carlisle United FC. Sean Maguire is replaced by Terry Ablade.
  • 70' What a strike from Jordan Gibson! The score is 0-3.
  • 73' Time for substitution for Bolton Wanderers FC. Kyle Dempsey is replaced by Dan N'Lundulu.
  • 74' Another substitution for Bolton Wanderers FC to replace Victor Adeboyejo by Jon Bodvarsson on 74 minute.
  • 79' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 82' It’s gonna be a card for Dion Charles.
  • 87' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 89' Time for substitution for Carlisle United FC. Joe Garner is replaced by Jayden Harris.
  • 90' It’s a booking for Carlisle United FC player. Jack Armer gets a card.
  • With this win, Carlisle United FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.36 Bolton Wanderers FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.7 Carlisle United FC xG
I would bet for: Bolton Wanderers FC or Carlisle United FC 73% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Bolton Wanderers FC32% Draw27% Carlisle United FC41%
Actual: Carlisle United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.06
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Bolton Wanderers FC or Draw
59%
Draw or Carlisle United FC
68%
Bolton Wanderers FC or Carlisle United FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Bolton Wanderers FC23% Draw44% Carlisle United FC33%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
1 – 2
8.9%
0 – 1
7.2%
2 – 1
7.1%
0 – 2
6.7%
0 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
6%
1 – 0
5.5%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 0
4.3%
0 – 3
3.8%
2 – 3
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Bolton Wanderers FC

Handicap Bolton Wanderers FC covers Push Carlisle United FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 16% 70%
-0.5 30% 70%
+0.5 56% 44%
+1 56% 20% 24%
+1.5 76% 24%
+2 76% 14% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

Bolton Wanderers FC keeps clean sheet
19%
Carlisle United FC keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.