Cagliari Calcio vs ACF Fiorentina, 2017

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Serie A 2017/18 · 2017

Cagliari Calcio

1 – 2

Full Time

ACF Fiorentina

Mon 5 Feb 2018 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Cagliari Calcio vs ACF Fiorentina — Serie A .

Cagliari Calcio 0 games · 0 pts
ACF Fiorentina 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Cagliari Calcio 1.50

Draw 4.20

ACF Fiorentina 7.00

Head-to-Head

Cagliari Calcio 22 games · Avg 2.5 goals ACF Fiorentina

Last 5 meetings

2018-02-05 Cagliari Calcio 1–2 ACF Fiorentina 2017-09-17 ACF Fiorentina 2–3 Cagliari Calcio 2017-04-15 ACF Fiorentina 2–2 Cagliari Calcio 2016-11-20 Cagliari Calcio 3–1 ACF Fiorentina 2016-02-06 ACF Fiorentina 0–0 Cagliari Calcio

Recent Form

Cagliari Calcio

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Feb	ACF Fiorentina	H	1–2	L
28 Jan	Bologna FC 1909	A	1–2	L
24 Jan	Genoa CFC	H	3–0	W
21 Jan	UC Sampdoria	H	5–1	W
06 Jan	US Sassuolo Calcio	A	5–2	W
30 Dec	Udinese Calcio	A	0–0	D

ACF Fiorentina

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Feb	Cagliari Calcio	A	2–1	W
28 Jan	Genoa CFC	H	0–1	L
22 Jan	Indian Arrows	A	0–1	L
06 Jan	AC Milan	H	1–0	W
30 Dec	Parma Calcio 1913	A	0–0	D
23 Dec	Frosinone Calcio	H	1–0	W

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' Three points are at stake. Cagliari Calcio host ACF Fiorentina — let the battle begin!
Cagliari Calcio will have plenty to reflect on. ACF Fiorentina were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Cagliari Calcio Lineups

ACF Fiorentina Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Dusan Vlahovic	4
Nicolas Gonzalez	4
Joao Pedro Galvao	3
Giovanni Simeone	1
Roberto Piccoli	1
Robin Gosens	1
Lucas Beltran	1
Leonardo Pavoletti	1

Head to Head

Cagliari Calcio Form

2018-02-05 Cagliari Calcio 1–2 ACF Fiorentina L 2018-01-28 Bologna FC 1909 2–1 Cagliari Calcio L 2018-01-24 Cagliari Calcio 3–0 Genoa CFC W 2018-01-21 Cagliari Calcio 5–1 UC Sampdoria W 2018-01-06 US Sassuolo Calcio 2–5 Cagliari Calcio W 2017-12-30 Udinese Calcio 0–0 Cagliari Calcio D

ACF Fiorentina Form

2018-02-05 Cagliari Calcio 1–2 ACF Fiorentina W 2018-01-28 ACF Fiorentina 0–1 Genoa CFC L 2018-01-22 Indian Arrows 1–0 ACF Fiorentina L 2018-01-06 ACF Fiorentina 1–0 AC Milan W 2017-12-30 Parma Calcio 1913 0–0 ACF Fiorentina D 2017-12-23 ACF Fiorentina 1–0 Frosinone Calcio W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.56 Cagliari Calcio xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.13 ACF Fiorentina xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Cagliari Calcio45% Draw28% ACF Fiorentina27%

Actual: ACF Fiorentina win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes54% 0% No46%

Avg goals/match: 2.69

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	75%	25%
± 2.5	50%	50%
± 3.5	28%	72%
± 4.5	14%	86%

Double Chance

Cagliari Calcio or Draw

73%

Draw or ACF Fiorentina

55%

Cagliari Calcio or ACF Fiorentina

72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Cagliari Calcio33% Draw47% ACF Fiorentina20%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.9%

1 – 0

9.7%

2 – 1

0 – 0

8.8%

2 – 0

8.1%

0 – 1

6.7%

1 – 2

Actual

2 – 2

5.1%

3 – 1

4.7%

0 – 2

4.2%

3 – 0

4.2%

3 – 2

2.7%

Asian Handicap — Cagliari Calcio

Handicap	Cagliari Calcio covers	Push	ACF Fiorentina covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	14%	76%
-1.5	24%	—	76%
-1	24%	22%	54%
-0.5	46%	—	54%
+0.5	74%	—	26%
+1	74%	15%	11%
+1.5	89%	—	11%
+2	89%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Cagliari Calcio keeps clean sheet

33% ✓

ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.