ACF Fiorentina vs Cagliari Calcio, 2017

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Serie A 2017/18 · 2017

ACF Fiorentina

2 – 3

Full Time

Cagliari Calcio

Sun 17 Sep 2017 · 18:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

ACF Fiorentina vs Cagliari Calcio — Serie A .

ACF Fiorentina 0 games · 0 pts
Cagliari Calcio 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

ACF Fiorentina 3.80

Draw 3.50

Cagliari Calcio 2.00

Head-to-Head

ACF Fiorentina 22 games · Avg 2.5 goals Cagliari Calcio

Last 5 meetings

2017-09-17 ACF Fiorentina 2–3 Cagliari Calcio 2017-04-15 ACF Fiorentina 2–2 Cagliari Calcio 2016-11-20 Cagliari Calcio 3–1 ACF Fiorentina 2016-02-06 ACF Fiorentina 0–0 Cagliari Calcio 2015-09-23 Cagliari Calcio 2–0 ACF Fiorentina

Recent Form

ACF Fiorentina

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 Sep	Cagliari Calcio	H	2–3	L
10 Sep	Genoa CFC	A	0–1	L
26 Aug	Indian Arrows	H	2–4	L
20 Aug	AC Milan	A	0–0	D
28 May	SS Lazio	A	2–3	L
21 May	Parma Calcio 1913	H	2–1	W

Cagliari Calcio

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 Sep	ACF Fiorentina	A	3–2	W
10 Sep	Bologna FC 1909	H	4–1	W
27 Aug	UC Sampdoria	A	2–1	W
20 Aug	US Sassuolo Calcio	H	0–0	D
28 May	Torino FC	A	1–3	L
21 May	Udinese Calcio	H	1–3	L

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' The ball is rolling at . ACF Fiorentina are looking to make home advantage count against Cagliari Calcio.
2-3 the final result. ACF Fiorentina will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

ACF Fiorentina Lineups

Cagliari Calcio Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Dusan Vlahovic	4
Nicolas Gonzalez	4
Joao Pedro Galvao	3
Giovanni Simeone	1
Roberto Piccoli	1
Robin Gosens	1
Lucas Beltran	1
Leonardo Pavoletti	1

Head to Head

ACF Fiorentina Form

2017-09-17 ACF Fiorentina 2–3 Cagliari Calcio L 2017-09-10 Genoa CFC 1–0 ACF Fiorentina L 2017-08-26 ACF Fiorentina 2–4 Indian Arrows L 2017-08-20 AC Milan 0–0 ACF Fiorentina D 2017-05-28 SS Lazio 3–2 ACF Fiorentina L 2017-05-21 ACF Fiorentina 2–1 Parma Calcio 1913 W

Cagliari Calcio Form

2017-09-17 ACF Fiorentina 2–3 Cagliari Calcio W 2017-09-10 Cagliari Calcio 4–1 Bologna FC 1909 W 2017-08-27 UC Sampdoria 1–2 Cagliari Calcio W 2017-08-20 Cagliari Calcio 0–0 US Sassuolo Calcio D 2017-05-28 Torino FC 3–1 Cagliari Calcio L 2017-05-21 Cagliari Calcio 1–3 Udinese Calcio L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.47 ACF Fiorentina xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.74 Cagliari Calcio xG

I would bet for: ACF Fiorentina or Cagliari Calcio 74% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct

ACF Fiorentina31% Draw26% Cagliari Calcio43%

Actual: Cagliari Calcio win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes64% 0% No36%

Avg goals/match: 3.21

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	83%	17%
± 2.5	61%	39%
± 3.5	40%	60%
± 4.5	23%	77%

Double Chance

ACF Fiorentina or Draw

57%

Draw or Cagliari Calcio

69%

ACF Fiorentina or Cagliari Calcio

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

ACF Fiorentina25% Draw43% Cagliari Calcio32%

Actual: Cagliari Calcio win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.2%

1 – 2

8.6%

2 – 1

7.3%

2 – 2

6.3%

0 – 1

6.2%

0 – 2

6.1%

0 – 0

5.6%

1 – 0

5.1%

1 – 3

2 – 0

4.3%

2 – 3

Actual

3 – 1

3.6%

Asian Handicap — ACF Fiorentina

Handicap	ACF Fiorentina covers	Push	Cagliari Calcio covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	9%	85%
-1.5	15%	—	85%
-1	15%	16%	68%
-0.5	32%	—	68%
+0.5	57%	—	43%
+1	57%	20%	23%
+1.5	77%	—	23%
+2	77%	13%	10%
+2.5	90%	—	10%

Clean Sheet

ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet

18% ✓

Cagliari Calcio keeps clean sheet

24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.