Indian Arrows vs ACF Fiorentina, 2017

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Serie A 2017/18 · 2017

Indian Arrows

1 – 0

Full Time

ACF Fiorentina

Mon 22 Jan 2018 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Indian Arrows vs ACF Fiorentina — Serie A .

Indian Arrows 0 games · 0 pts
ACF Fiorentina 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Indian Arrows 1.19

Draw 6.50

ACF Fiorentina 17.00

Head-to-Head

Indian Arrows 8 games · Avg 2.5 goals ACF Fiorentina

Last 5 meetings

2018-01-22 Indian Arrows 1–0 ACF Fiorentina 2017-08-26 ACF Fiorentina 2–4 Indian Arrows 2017-04-23 Indian Arrows 4–0 ACF Fiorentina 2016-11-27 ACF Fiorentina 3–1 Indian Arrows 2016-02-03 Indian Arrows 1–0 ACF Fiorentina

Recent Form

Indian Arrows

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
22 Jan	ACF Fiorentina	H	1–0	W
16 Jan	NEROCA FC	H	0–2	L
12 Jan	Gokulam Kerala FC	A	1–0	W
08 Jan	Shillong Lajong FC	A	0–1	L
06 Jan	Chennai City FC	A	1–0	W
05 Jan	NEROCA FC	A	1–2	L

ACF Fiorentina

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
22 Jan	Indian Arrows	A	0–1	L
06 Jan	AC Milan	H	1–0	W
30 Dec	Parma Calcio 1913	A	0–0	D
23 Dec	Frosinone Calcio	H	1–0	W
17 Dec	Empoli FC	A	0–0	D
12 Dec	AC Chievo Verona	H	1–2	L

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' The game is set. ACF Fiorentina kicks off things out of here…
Another three points for Indian Arrows.

Lineups

Indian Arrows Lineups

ACF Fiorentina Lineups

H2H

Head to Head

Indian Arrows Form

2018-01-22 Indian Arrows 1–0 ACF Fiorentina W 2018-01-16 Indian Arrows 0–2 NEROCA FC L 2018-01-12 Gokulam Kerala FC 0–1 Indian Arrows W 2018-01-08 Shillong Lajong FC 1–0 Indian Arrows L 2018-01-06 Chennai City FC 0–1 Indian Arrows W 2018-01-05 NEROCA FC 2–1 Indian Arrows L

ACF Fiorentina Form

2018-01-22 Indian Arrows 1–0 ACF Fiorentina L 2018-01-06 ACF Fiorentina 1–0 AC Milan W 2017-12-30 Parma Calcio 1913 0–0 ACF Fiorentina D 2017-12-23 ACF Fiorentina 1–0 Frosinone Calcio W 2017-12-17 Empoli FC 0–0 ACF Fiorentina D 2017-12-12 ACF Fiorentina 1–2 AC Chievo Verona L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.24 Indian Arrows xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.88 ACF Fiorentina xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 65% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Indian Arrows48% Draw29% ACF Fiorentina23%

Actual: Indian Arrows win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes43% 0% No57%

Avg goals/match: 2.12

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	86%	14%
± 1.5	63%	37%
± 2.5	35%	65%
± 3.5	17%	83%
± 4.5	7%	93%

Double Chance

Indian Arrows or Draw

77%

Draw or ACF Fiorentina

52%

Indian Arrows or ACF Fiorentina

71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Indian Arrows29% Draw53% ACF Fiorentina18%

Actual: Indian Arrows win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

14.3%

1 – 1

14%

1 – 0

Actual

0 – 1

9.2%

2 – 0

8.9%

2 – 1

7.9%

1 – 2

5.5%

0 – 2

4.4%

3 – 0

3.6%

2 – 2

3.6%

3 – 1

3.3%

1 – 3

1.6%

Asian Handicap — Indian Arrows

Handicap	Indian Arrows covers	Push	ACF Fiorentina covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	13%	80%
-1.5	20%	—	80%
-1	20%	23%	57%
-0.5	43%	—	57%
+0.5	76%	—	24%
+1	76%	16%	8%
+1.5	92%	—	8%
+2	92%	6%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Indian Arrows keeps clean sheet

42% ✗

ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.