ACF Fiorentina vs Cagliari Calcio, 2016

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Serie A 2016/17 · 2016

ACF Fiorentina

2 – 2

Full Time

Cagliari Calcio

Sat 15 Apr 2017 · 13:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

ACF Fiorentina vs Cagliari Calcio — Serie A .

ACF Fiorentina 0 games · 0 pts
Cagliari Calcio 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

ACF Fiorentina 5.00

Draw 3.75

Cagliari Calcio 1.67

Head-to-Head

ACF Fiorentina 22 games · Avg 2.5 goals Cagliari Calcio

Last 5 meetings

2017-04-15 ACF Fiorentina 2–2 Cagliari Calcio 2016-11-20 Cagliari Calcio 3–1 ACF Fiorentina 2016-02-06 ACF Fiorentina 0–0 Cagliari Calcio 2015-09-23 Cagliari Calcio 2–0 ACF Fiorentina 2015-02-09 Cagliari Calcio 0–1 ACF Fiorentina

Recent Form

ACF Fiorentina

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Apr	Cagliari Calcio	H	2–2	D
09 Apr	Genoa CFC	A	0–3	L
02 Apr	AC Chievo Verona	H	0–5	L
18 Mar	Bologna FC 1909	A	0–1	L
11 Mar	Atalanta BC	H	0–1	L
05 Mar	RFK Akhmat Grozny	A	2–0	W

Cagliari Calcio

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Apr	ACF Fiorentina	A	2–2	D
09 Apr	Churchill Brothers SC	H	0–3	L
01 Apr	AC Milan	A	2–1	W
19 Mar	Chennai City FC	A	0–0	D
13 Mar	Parma Calcio 1913	H	3–1	W
05 Mar	SPAL 2013	A	2–0	W

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for ACF Fiorentina to score. At the same time, Cagliari Calcio does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
It finishes all square. ACF Fiorentina and Cagliari Calcio share the spoils 2-2.

Lineups

ACF Fiorentina Lineups

Cagliari Calcio Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Dusan Vlahovic	4
Nicolas Gonzalez	4
Joao Pedro Galvao	3
Giovanni Simeone	1
Roberto Piccoli	1
Robin Gosens	1
Lucas Beltran	1
Leonardo Pavoletti	1

Head to Head

ACF Fiorentina Form

2017-04-15 ACF Fiorentina 2–2 Cagliari Calcio D 2017-04-09 Genoa CFC 3–0 ACF Fiorentina L 2017-04-02 ACF Fiorentina 0–5 AC Chievo Verona L 2017-03-18 Bologna FC 1909 1–0 ACF Fiorentina L 2017-03-11 ACF Fiorentina 0–1 Atalanta BC L 2017-03-05 RFK Akhmat Grozny 0–2 ACF Fiorentina W

Cagliari Calcio Form

2017-04-15 ACF Fiorentina 2–2 Cagliari Calcio D 2017-04-09 Cagliari Calcio 0–3 Churchill Brothers SC L 2017-04-01 AC Milan 1–2 Cagliari Calcio W 2017-03-19 Chennai City FC 0–0 Cagliari Calcio D 2017-03-13 Cagliari Calcio 3–1 Parma Calcio 1913 W 2017-03-05 SPAL 2013 0–2 Cagliari Calcio W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.1 ACF Fiorentina xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.49 Cagliari Calcio xG

I would bet for: ACF Fiorentina or Cagliari Calcio 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

ACF Fiorentina29% Draw29% Cagliari Calcio42%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes52% 0% No48%

Avg goals/match: 2.59

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	73%	27%
± 2.5	47%	53%
± 3.5	27%	73%
± 4.5	13%	87%

Double Chance

ACF Fiorentina or Draw

58%

Draw or Cagliari Calcio

71%

ACF Fiorentina or Cagliari Calcio

71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

ACF Fiorentina21% Draw48% Cagliari Calcio31%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.2%

0 – 1

10.1%

0 – 0

9.5%

1 – 2

8.8%

0 – 2

8.1%

1 – 0

7.2%

2 – 1

6.5%

2 – 2

Actual

1 – 3

4.4%

2 – 0

4.4%

0 – 3

2 – 3

2.5%

Asian Handicap — ACF Fiorentina

Handicap	ACF Fiorentina covers	Push	Cagliari Calcio covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	7%	89%
-1.5	11%	—	89%
-1	11%	16%	73%
-0.5	27%	—	73%
+0.5	55%	—	45%
+1	55%	22%	23%
+1.5	77%	—	23%
+2	77%	14%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Cagliari Calcio keeps clean sheet

34% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.