GD Estoril Praia vs CD Nacional, Primeira Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
GD Estoril Praia vs CD Nacional — Primeira Liga at Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota.
- GD Estoril Praia 34 games · 39 pts (2025/26)
- CD Nacional 34 games · 34 pts (2025/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 34 | 88 |
| 2 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 34 | 82 |
| 3 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 34 | 80 |
| 4 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 34 | 59 |
| 5 | FC Famalicão | 34 | 56 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente FC | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Moreirense FC | 34 | 43 |
| 8 | FC Arouca | 34 | 42 |
| 9 | Vitória SC | 34 | 42 |
| 10 | GD Estoril Praia | 34 | 39 |
| 11 | FC Alverca | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Rio Ave FC | 34 | 36 |
| 13 | CD Santa Clara | 34 | 36 |
| 14 | CD Nacional | 34 | 34 |
| 15 | CF Estrela da Amadora | 34 | 30 |
| 16 | Casa Pia AC | 34 | 30 |
| 17 | CD Tondela | 34 | 28 |
| 18 | AVS | 34 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep | CD Nacional | H | 1–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | Boavista FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Aug | Gil Vicente FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Aug | Vitória SC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Aug | CD Santa Clara | H | 1–4 | L |
| 18 May | Moreirense FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep | GD Estoril Praia | A | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Sep | SC Farense | H | 2–0 | W |
| 25 Aug | FC Arouca | A | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Aug | Sporting Clube de Portugal | H | 1–6 | L |
| 10 Aug | AVS | A | 1–1 | D |
| 19 May | Rio Ave FC | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| GD Estoril Praia | CD Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #14 |
| 39 | Points | 34 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 10 / 9 / 15 | W / D / L | 9 / 7 / 18 |
| 54 | Scored | 37 |
| 57 | Conceded | 45 |
| -3 | GD | -8 |
| 1.15 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 29% | Win % | 26% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
GD Estoril Praia this season
GD Estoril Praia this season
24%
Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season
CD Nacional this season
GD Estoril Praia are 10th (39 pts). CD Nacional are 14th (34 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
GD Estoril Praia
0-15
1/6
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CD Nacional
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
3/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — GD Estoril Praia and CD Nacional get this one started.
- 5' Pedro Alvaro has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 5.
- 10' Isaac Aguiar has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 15' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 19' What a strike from Joao Carvalho! The score is 1-0.
- 24' CD Nacional have won 106 goals from 266 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 29' CD Nacional come into this ranked 14 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 34' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with GD Estoril Praia winning 50% of all matches.
- 39' Brazil international Tiago Reis has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 44' GD Estoril Praia are deployed in a 4-3-3 today, looking to exploit space against CD Nacional's 4-3-3 shape.
- 48' The crowd applauds Helder Costa as he leaves the pitch. Alejandro Marques steps in for GD Estoril Praia.
- 52' Michel Costa was booked on 52.
- 54' The CD Nacional manager makes a substitution. Arvin Appiah departs to be replaced by Isaac Aguiar.
- 59' GD Estoril Praia are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined CD Nacional backline.
- 62' It is a substitution in GD Estoril Praia team. Pedro Carvalho is replaced by Wagner Pina on 62 minute.
- 63' The whistle greets Tiago Reis as he departs to be replaced by Dyego Sousa.
- 65' CD Nacional receives a card for a hard tackle on 65.
- 69' CD Nacional receives a card for a hard tackle on 69.
- 70' Leo Santos gets the nod from CD Nacional. He replaces Matheus Dias and will look to change the dynamic.
- 75' The 23-year-old Kevin Boma has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
- 76' The crowd applauds Xeka as he leaves the pitch. Eliaquim Mangala steps in for GD Estoril Praia.
- 81' GD Estoril Praia is showing some good football. However, GD Estoril Praia are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 86' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
- With this win, GD Estoril Praia is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
GD Estoril Praia Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 12
- 11
-
88
Xeka ↓ Eliaquim Mangala 76'
- 14
- 27
- 24
-
8
Michel Costa ↓ Jandro Orellana 62'
- 23
- 44
- 7
-
22
Pedro Carvalho ↓ Wagner Pina 62'
Bench
-
5
Eliaquim Mangala ↑ 76'
- 1
-
6
Jandro Orellana ↑ 62'
-
9
Alejandro Marques ↑ 48'
- 18
-
20
Wagner Pina ↑ 62'
-
17
Fabricio Garcia ↑ 76'
- 19
- 3
CD Nacional Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
-
70
Arvin Appiah ↓ Isaac Aguiar 54'
- 37
-
7
Ruben Macedo ↓ Bruno Costa 54'
-
17
Daniel Penha ↓ Gabriel Santos 70'
-
72
Tiago Reis ↓ Dyego Sousa 63'
- 10
- 22
- 38
-
88
Matheus Dias ↓ Leo Santos 70'
- 4
- 5
Bench
-
34
Leo Santos ↑ 70'
- 2
- 18
-
89
Dyego Sousa ↑ 63'
-
8
Bruno Costa ↑ 54'
- 19
- 1
-
77
Gabriel Santos ↑ 70'
-
23
Isaac Aguiar ↑ 54'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Joao Carvalho | 1 |
| Dudu | 1 |
| Daniel Penha | 1 |
| Felix Bacher | 1 |
| Andre | 1 |
Head to Head
GD Estoril Praia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.37
GD Estoril Praia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.84
CD Nacional xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: GD Estoril Praia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.21
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 2.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 3.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
GD Estoril Praia or Draw
78%
Draw or CD Nacional
50%
GD Estoril Praia or CD Nacional
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: GD Estoril Praia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 0
13.2%
2 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
8.4%
0 – 1
8%
1 – 2
5.1%
3 – 0
4.4%
3 – 1
3.9%
0 – 2
3.7%
2 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
1.8%
Asian Handicap — GD Estoril Praia
| Handicap | GD Estoril Praia covers | Push | CD Nacional covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 15% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 24% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 14% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
GD Estoril Praia keeps clean sheet
43%
✗
CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

