GD Estoril Praia vs CD Nacional, Primeira Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
GD Estoril Praia vs CD Nacional — Primeira Liga at Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota.
- GD Estoril Praia 10 games · 2 pts (2026/27)
- CD Nacional 11 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 11 | 33 |
| 2 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 11 | 28 |
| 3 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 11 | 24 |
| 4 | CD Santa Clara | 11 | 21 |
| 5 | FC Arouca | 11 | 20 |
| 6 | Académico de Viseu FC | 11 | 20 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente FC | 11 | 18 |
| 8 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 11 | 17 |
| 9 | Moreirense FC | 11 | 14 |
| 10 | FC Famalicão | 11 | 13 |
| 11 | FC Alverca | 11 | 12 |
| 12 | CF Estrela da Amadora | 11 | 10 |
| 13 | CD Nacional | 11 | 10 |
| 14 | Vitória SC | 11 | 9 |
| 15 | CS Marítimo | 10 | 8 |
| 16 | Casa Pia AC | 11 | 8 |
| 17 | Rio Ave FC | 11 | 7 |
| 18 | GD Estoril Praia | 10 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep | CD Nacional | H | 1–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | Boavista FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Aug | Gil Vicente FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Aug | Vitória SC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Aug | CD Santa Clara | H | 1–4 | L |
| 18 May | Moreirense FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep | GD Estoril Praia | A | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Sep | SC Farense | H | 2–0 | W |
| 25 Aug | FC Arouca | A | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Aug | Sporting Clube de Portugal | H | 1–6 | L |
| 10 Aug | AVS | A | 1–1 | D |
| 19 May | Rio Ave FC | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| GD Estoril Praia | CD Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| #18 | Position | #13 |
| 2 | Points | 10 |
| 10 | Played | 11 |
| 0 / 2 / 8 | W / D / L | 3 / 1 / 7 |
| 5 | Scored | 11 |
| 19 | Conceded | 19 |
| -14 | GD | -8 |
| 0.20 | PPG | 0.91 |
| 0% | Win % | 27% |
Key Stats
40%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
11%
Clean Sheets
GD Estoril Praia this season
GD Estoril Praia this season
27%
Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season
CD Nacional this season
GD Estoril Praia are 18th (2 pts). CD Nacional are 13th (10 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
GD Estoril Praia
0-15
–/4
16-30
–/2
31-45
–/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
2/6
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CD Nacional
0-15
1/3
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/7
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/4
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
GD Estoril Praia
| Yanis Begraoui | 2 G |
CD Nacional
| Matchoi Djalo | 2 G | |
| Miguel Baeza | 2 G | |
| Abdel Kader Njoya | 2 G | |
| Liziero | 1 G | 1 A |
| Leo Santos | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. CD Nacional kicks off things out of here…
- 5' GD Estoril Praia player sees a card in front of him.
- 10' CD Nacional started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
- 15' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 4-3-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 19' GD Estoril Praia is taking the lead after the goal scored by Joao Carvalho on 19.
- 24' GD Estoril Praia have won 193 goals from 182 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 29' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 34' Pedro Carvalho is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for GD Estoril Praia so far.
- 39' CD Nacional come into this ranked 14 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 44' Helder Costa needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 7 Yellow cards this season.
- 48' Helder Costa makes way for Alejandro Marques at the 48 minute mark. A tactical switch from GD Estoril Praia.
- 52' Michel Costa is having his name booked by the referee on 52.
- 54' Another substitution for CD Nacional to replace Arvin Appiah by Isaac Aguiar on 54 minute.
- 59' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 62' Pedro Carvalho makes way for Wagner Pina at the 62 minute mark. A tactical switch from GD Estoril Praia.
- 63' Time for substitution for CD Nacional. Tiago Reis is replaced by Dyego Sousa.
- 65' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Ulisses on 65 minutes.
- 69' That is a card for CD Nacional. Ze Vitor will be fuming at that decision.
- 70' It is a substitution in CD Nacional team. Matheus Dias is replaced by Leo Santos on 70 minute.
- 75' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kevin Boma suffering a number of foals already.
- 76' GD Estoril Praia manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Eliaquim Mangala is hanging Xeka on the field on 76 minute.
- 81' It looks like no one’s ball. GD Estoril Praia is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 86' Over 86 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- The final score is 1-0.
Lineups
GD Estoril Praia Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 12
- 11
-
88
Xeka ↓ Eliaquim Mangala 76'
- 14
- 27
- 24
-
8
Michel Costa ↓ Jandro Orellana 62'
- 23
- 44
- 7
-
22
Pedro Carvalho ↓ Wagner Pina 62'
Bench
-
5
Eliaquim Mangala ↑ 76'
- 1
-
6
Jandro Orellana ↑ 62'
-
9
Alejandro Marques ↑ 48'
- 18
-
20
Wagner Pina ↑ 62'
-
17
Fabricio Garcia ↑ 76'
- 19
- 3
CD Nacional Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
-
70
Arvin Appiah ↓ Isaac Aguiar 54'
- 37
-
7
Ruben Macedo ↓ Bruno Costa 54'
-
17
Daniel Penha ↓ Gabriel Santos 70'
-
72
Tiago Reis ↓ Dyego Sousa 63'
- 10
- 22
- 38
-
88
Matheus Dias ↓ Leo Santos 70'
- 4
- 5
Bench
-
34
Leo Santos ↑ 70'
- 2
- 18
-
89
Dyego Sousa ↑ 63'
-
8
Bruno Costa ↑ 54'
- 19
- 1
-
77
Gabriel Santos ↑ 70'
-
23
Isaac Aguiar ↑ 54'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Joao Carvalho | 1 |
| Dudu | 1 |
| Daniel Penha | 1 |
| Felix Bacher | 1 |
| Andre | 1 |
| Leo Santos | 1 |
| Ze Vitor | 1 |
Head to Head
GD Estoril Praia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.85
GD Estoril Praia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88
CD Nacional xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 75% + GD Estoril Praia or Draw 71%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: GD Estoril Praia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.73
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 1.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 2.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 3.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
| ± 4.5 | 4% |
|
96% |
Double Chance
GD Estoril Praia or Draw
71%
Draw or CD Nacional
62%
GD Estoril Praia or CD Nacional
67%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: GD Estoril Praia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
20.3%
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 1
14.2%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 2
6.5%
2 – 0
5.9%
1 – 2
5.8%
2 – 1
5.5%
2 – 2
2.6%
0 – 3
1.9%
1 – 3
1.8%
3 – 0
1.7%
Asian Handicap — GD Estoril Praia
| Handicap | GD Estoril Praia covers | Push | CD Nacional covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 8% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 20% | 70% |
| -0.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 21% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
GD Estoril Praia keeps clean sheet
42%
✗
CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
43%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.