Wednesday , 30 September 2026

CD Nacional vs FC Arouca, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
CD Nacional
1 – 2
Full Time
FC Arouca
Sat 20 Sep 2025 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

CD Nacional vs FC Arouca — Primeira Liga .

Match Details

  • Referee Joao Goncalves (Portugal)
3 games this season 🟨 4.3/game ⚽ 13.3 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Porto 7 21
2 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 7 16
3 Sporting Clube de Portugal 7 15
4 CD Santa Clara 7 15
5 FC Arouca 7 11
6 Sporting Clube de Braga 6 11
7 Académico de Viseu FC 7 11
8 CF Estrela da Amadora 7 10
9 Moreirense FC 7 8
10 Gil Vicente FC 6 8
11 CS Marítimo 7 8
12 FC Alverca 7 8
13 FC Famalicão 7 7
14 Vitória SC 7 5
15 CD Nacional 7 4
16 Rio Ave FC 7 4
17 Casa Pia AC 7 4
18 GD Estoril Praia 7 2

Head-to-Head

4
CD Nacional 4 games · Avg 2.5 goals FC Arouca
Last 5 meetings
2025-09-20 CD Nacional 1–2 FC Arouca 2025-02-01 CD Nacional 1–2 FC Arouca 2024-08-25 FC Arouca 1–0 CD Nacional

Recent Form

CD Nacional
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Sep FC Arouca H 1–2 L
13 Sep FC Porto A 0–1 L
30 Aug Casa Pia AC A 2–0 W
23 Aug Sporting Clube de Portugal H 1–4 L
17 Aug Rio Ave FC A 1–1 D
09 Aug Gil Vicente FC H 0–2 L
FC Arouca
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Sep CD Nacional A 2–1 W
14 Sep Casa Pia AC H 0–2 L
30 Aug Vitória SC A 1–1 D
23 Aug Rio Ave FC H 3–3 D
17 Aug Sporting Clube de Portugal A 0–6 L
09 Aug AVS H 3–1 W

Season Stats

CD Nacional FC Arouca
#15 Position #5
4 Points 11
7 Played 7
1 / 1 / 5 W / D / L 3 / 2 / 2
7 Scored 10
15 Conceded 7
-8 GD +3
0.57 PPG 1.57
14% Win % 43%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season
43% Clean Sheets
FC Arouca this season

CD Nacional are 15th (4 pts). FC Arouca are 5th (11 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CD Nacional
0-15
1/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/6
46-60
–/1
61-75
2/2
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Arouca
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
–/1
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CD Nacional
Liziero 1 G 1 A
Leo Santos 1 G
Miguel Baeza 1 G
Ze Vitor 1 G
FC Arouca
Barbero 4 G
Jose Fontan 2 G
Dylan Nandin 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' CD Nacional have kicked off against FC Arouca. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from FC Arouca to claim maximum points.

Lineups

CD Nacional Lineups

FC Arouca Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.03 CD Nacional xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.01 FC Arouca xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 58% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
CD Nacional22% Draw25% FC Arouca53%
Actual: FC Arouca win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 3.04
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

CD Nacional or Draw
46%
Draw or FC Arouca
78%
CD Nacional or FC Arouca
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
CD Nacional16% Draw42% FC Arouca42%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.7%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
9.6%
0 – 1
9%
1 – 3
6.4%
0 – 0
6.4%
0 – 3
6.3%
2 – 2
4.9%
2 – 1
4.9%
1 – 0
4.2%
2 – 3
3.4%
1 – 4
3.3%

Asian Handicap — CD Nacional

Handicap CD Nacional covers Push FC Arouca covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% — 93%
-1 7% 11% 82%
-0.5 18% — 82%
+0.5 41% — 59%
+1 41% 23% 36%
+1.5 64% — 36%
+2 64% 18% 18%
+2.5 82% — 18%

Clean Sheet

CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
14% ✓
FC Arouca keeps clean sheet
36% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.