Wednesday , 30 September 2026

AVS vs CD Nacional, Primeira Liga 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2026
AVS
1 – 1
Full Time
CD Nacional
Sat 10 Aug 2024 · 14:30 UTC Estadio do CD Aves 1,596 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 35' Miguel Baeza
John Mercado 56' 1–1
Y 46' Ulisses
Nene 83' Y

Overview

Match Preview

AVS vs CD Nacional — Primeira Liga at Estadio do CD Aves.

  • AVS 33 games · 20 pts (2026/27)
  • CD Nacional 7 games · 4 pts (2026/27)

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Porto 7 21
2 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 7 16
3 Sporting Clube de Portugal 7 15
4 CD Santa Clara 7 15
5 FC Arouca 7 11
6 Sporting Clube de Braga 6 11
7 Académico de Viseu FC 7 11
8 CF Estrela da Amadora 7 10
9 Moreirense FC 7 8
10 Gil Vicente FC 6 8
11 CS Marítimo 7 8
12 FC Alverca 7 8
13 FC Famalicão 7 7
14 Vitória SC 7 5
15 CD Nacional 7 4
16 Rio Ave FC 7 4
17 Casa Pia AC 7 4
18 GD Estoril Praia 7 2

Head-to-Head

1
2
1
AVS 4 games · Avg 3.3 goals CD Nacional
Last 5 meetings
2024-08-10 AVS 1–1 CD Nacional

Recent Form

AVS
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Aug CD Nacional H 1–1 D
CD Nacional
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Aug AVS A 1–1 D
19 May Rio Ave FC H 1–2 L
16 May FC Famalicão A 0–3 L
11 May Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 1–3 L
06 May Moreirense FC A 2–2 D
01 May Sporting Clube de Portugal A 0–2 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

CD Nacional
0-15
1/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/6
46-60
–/1
61-75
2/2
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CD Nacional
Liziero 1 G 1 A
Leo Santos 1 G
Miguel Baeza 1 G
Ze Vitor 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — AVS and CD Nacional get this one started.
  • 5' With 0 assists to his name this season, Jose Gomes is clearly more than just a goal scorer for AVS.
  • 10' AVS is showing some good football. However, AVS are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Arvin Appiah made 375 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 20' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 20 minutes.
  • 25' Bruno Costa has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 8 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 30' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Tiago Margarido will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 35' CD Nacional is taking the lead after the goal scored by Miguel Baeza on 35.
  • 40' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 45' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AVS side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 46' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ulisses on 46.
  • 46' Kiki is ready to make an impact after coming on for Rafael Rodrigues at the 46 minute mark.
  • 51' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 56' Brilliant from the forward! John Mercado makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 56.
  • 58' Daniel Penha is ready to make an impact after coming on for Arvin Appiah at the 58 minute mark.
  • 63' The 43-year-old Nene has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 68' AVS ring the changes. Giorgi Aburjania has done his job and it is now time for Jonatan Lucca to step up.
  • 71' Another change for CD Nacional made on 71 minute. Miguel Baeza leaves to be changed by Bruno Costa.
  • 76' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both AVS and CD Nacional are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 81' The home supporters are growing impatient. AVS must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 83' That is a card for AVS. Nene will be fuming at that decision.
  • 88' Adrian Butzke has been relatively quiet despite scoring 14 goals in his last 255 appearances.
  • 90' A change in the AVS ranks — Samuel exits the field as Yair Mena Palacios enters on 90.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 1-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

AVS Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Vítor Campelos

CD Nacional Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Tiago Margarido

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.31 AVS xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01 CD Nacional xG
I would bet for: AVS or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AVS44% Draw29% CD Nacional27%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.32
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

AVS or Draw
73%
Draw or CD Nacional
56%
AVS or CD Nacional
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AVS29% Draw51% CD Nacional20%
Actual: CD Nacional win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
12%
1 – 0
11.7%
0 – 1
8.7%
2 – 1
8.2%
2 – 0
8.2%
1 – 2
6.3%
0 – 2
4.8%
2 – 2
4.3%
3 – 1
3.7%
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
2.1%

Asian Handicap — AVS

Handicap AVS covers Push CD Nacional covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 22% 58%
-0.5 42% — 58%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 17% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

AVS keeps clean sheet
37% ✓
CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.