AVS vs CD Nacional, Primeira Liga 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AVS vs CD Nacional — Primeira Liga at Estadio do CD Aves.
- AVS 33 games · 20 pts (2026/27)
- CD Nacional 11 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 11 | 33 |
| 2 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 11 | 28 |
| 3 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 11 | 24 |
| 4 | CD Santa Clara | 11 | 21 |
| 5 | FC Arouca | 11 | 20 |
| 6 | Académico de Viseu FC | 11 | 20 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente FC | 11 | 18 |
| 8 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 11 | 17 |
| 9 | Moreirense FC | 11 | 14 |
| 10 | FC Famalicão | 11 | 13 |
| 11 | FC Alverca | 11 | 12 |
| 12 | CF Estrela da Amadora | 11 | 10 |
| 13 | CD Nacional | 11 | 10 |
| 14 | Vitória SC | 11 | 9 |
| 15 | CS Marítimo | 10 | 8 |
| 16 | Casa Pia AC | 11 | 8 |
| 17 | Rio Ave FC | 11 | 7 |
| 18 | GD Estoril Praia | 10 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug | CD Nacional | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug | AVS | A | 1–1 | D |
| 19 May | Rio Ave FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 16 May | FC Famalicão | A | 0–3 | L |
| 11 May | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | H | 1–3 | L |
| 06 May | Moreirense FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 01 May | Sporting Clube de Portugal | A | 0–2 | L |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season
CD Nacional this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
CD Nacional
0-15
1/3
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/7
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/4
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CD Nacional
| Matchoi Djalo | 2 G | |
| Miguel Baeza | 2 G | |
| Abdel Kader Njoya | 2 G | |
| Liziero | 1 G | 1 A |
| Leo Santos | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Estadio do CD Aves as AVS face off against CD Nacional in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering CD Nacional that had 277 games and scored 117 goals.
- 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
- 15' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both AVS and CD Nacional are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 20' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 25' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 30' It looks surprising CD Nacional does not make any changes. Daniel Penha has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 35' What a moment for Miguel Baeza! That strike on 35 puts his side firmly in control.
- 40' A quiet spell here at Estadio do CD Aves. CD Nacional seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 45' AVS are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 46' It’s gonna be a card for Ulisses.
- 46' Kiki is replacing Rafael Rodrigues for the AVS side.
- 51' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Vítor Campelos will be considering his options from the bench.
- 56' Assisted by Kiki with the perfectly-timed delivery and John Mercado makes no mistake. 1-1!
- 58' Daniel Penha is ready to make an impact after coming on for Arvin Appiah at the 58 minute mark.
- 63' AVS is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 68' The AVS bench stirs into life. Giorgi Aburjania is withdrawn and Jonatan Lucca gets his opportunity.
- 71' CD Nacional make a change. Miguel Baeza trudges off to be replaced by Bruno Costa on 71 minutes.
- 76' Nigel Thomas, a Curacao , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 81' The energy levels are beginning to show. Vítor Campelos might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 83' Nene catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 83.
- 88' The travelling CD Nacional supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 90' Another substitution for AVS to replace Samuel by Yair Mena Palacios on 90 minute.
- will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.
Lineups
AVS Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 14
- 18
- 8
- 6
-
70
Samuel ↓ Yair Mena Palacios 90'
-
17
John Mercado ↓ Eric Veiga 90'
-
3
Rafael Rodrigues ↓ Kiki 46'
- 42
- 93
- 40
- 22
Bench
- 88
-
24
Kiki ↑ 46'
-
47
Jonatan Lucca ↑ 68'
- 5
-
27
Eric Veiga ↑ 90'
-
16
Yair Mena Palacios ↑ 90'
- 23
Coach
Vítor Campelos
CD Nacional Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
-
70
Arvin Appiah ↓ Daniel Penha 58'
- 37
-
19
Miguel Baeza ↓ Bruno Costa 71'
- 10
- 22
- 38
- 9
-
11
Nigel Thomas ↓ Ruben Macedo 58'
-
88
Matheus Dias ↓ Andre Sousa 71'
- 4
-
5
Jose Gomes ↓ Afonso Freitas 71'
Bench
-
18
Andre Sousa ↑ 71'
-
8
Bruno Costa ↑ 71'
-
7
Ruben Macedo ↑ 58'
-
17
Daniel Penha ↑ 58'
- 72
- 1
-
25
Afonso Freitas ↑ 71'
- 33
Coach
Tiago Margarido
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rodrigo Ribeiro | 1 |
| Filipe Soares | 1 |
| Pedro Lima | 1 |
| Guilherme Neiva | 1 |
| Miguel Baeza | 1 |
| John Mercado | 1 |
| Dudu | 1 |
| Bruno Costa | 1 |
Head to Head
AVS Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.31
AVS xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01
CD Nacional xG
I would bet for:
AVS or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.32
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 2.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
AVS or Draw
73%
Draw or CD Nacional
56%
AVS or CD Nacional
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: CD Nacional win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
12%
1 – 0
11.7%
0 – 1
8.7%
2 – 1
8.2%
2 – 0
8.2%
1 – 2
6.3%
0 – 2
4.8%
2 – 2
4.3%
3 – 1
3.7%
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
2.1%
Asian Handicap — AVS
| Handicap | AVS covers | Push | CD Nacional covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 13% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 22% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 17% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
AVS keeps clean sheet
37%
✓
CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

