Sunday , 16 August 2026

AVS vs CD Nacional, Primeira Liga 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2026
AVS
1 – 1
Full Time
CD Nacional
Sat 10 Aug 2024 · 14:30 UTC Estadio do CD Aves 1,596 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 35' Miguel Baeza
John Mercado 56' 1–1
Y 46' Ulisses
Nene 83' Y

Overview

Match Preview

AVS vs CD Nacional — Primeira Liga at Estadio do CD Aves.

  • AVS 33 games · 20 pts (2026/27)
  • CD Nacional 1 games · 1 pts (2026/27)

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Porto 2 6
2 Sporting Clube de Portugal 2 4
3 CD Santa Clara 2 4
4 CS Marítimo 1 3
5 FC Arouca 1 3
6 Gil Vicente FC 1 3
7 CF Estrela da Amadora 2 2
8 Moreirense FC 1 1
9 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 1 1
10 Sporting Clube de Braga 1 1
11 Académico de Viseu FC 2 1
12 FC Famalicão 1 1
13 GD Estoril Praia 1 1
14 CD Nacional 1 1
15 FC Alverca 2 1
16 Casa Pia AC 1 0
17 Vitória SC 2 0
18 Rio Ave FC 2 0

Head-to-Head

1
2
1
AVS 4 games · Avg 3.3 goals CD Nacional
Last 5 meetings
2024-08-10 AVS 1–1 CD Nacional

Recent Form

AVS
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Aug CD Nacional H 1–1 D
CD Nacional
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Aug AVS A 1–1 D
19 May Rio Ave FC H 1–2 L
16 May FC Famalicão A 0–3 L
11 May Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 1–3 L
06 May Moreirense FC A 2–2 D
01 May Sporting Clube de Portugal A 0–2 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

CD Nacional
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and AVS launch into their encounter with CD Nacional.
  • 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 10' CD Nacional is showing some good football. However, CD Nacional are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 15' AVS is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 20' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 20 minutes.
  • 25' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 30' CD Nacional are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 35' Magnificent from Miguel Baeza! That is 3 goals in 320 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 40' Giorgi Aburjania has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 45' It looks like no one’s ball. AVS is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 46' The referee calls foul for Ulisses. He receives a card.
  • 46' The AVS bench stirs into life. Rafael Rodrigues is withdrawn and Kiki gets his opportunity.
  • 51' CD Nacional seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 56' GOAL! John Mercado fires home to make it 1-1!
  • 58' The CD Nacional manager makes a substitution. Arvin Appiah departs to be replaced by Daniel Penha.
  • 63' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Lucas Piazon suffering a number of foals already.
  • 68' It is a substitution in AVS team. Giorgi Aburjania is replaced by Jonatan Lucca on 68 minute.
  • 71' The supporters are chanting for Bruno Costa. He replaces Miguel Baeza on 71 minute.
  • 76' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 81' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 83' Nene picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 88' AVS are deployed in a 4-3-3 today, looking to exploit space against CD Nacional's 4-3-3 shape.
  • 90' AVS manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yair Mena Palacios is hanging Samuel on the field on 90 minute.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.

Lineups

AVS Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Vitor Campelos

CD Nacional Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Tiago Margarido

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.31 AVS xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01 CD Nacional xG
I would bet for: AVS or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AVS44% Draw29% CD Nacional27%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.32
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

AVS or Draw
73%
Draw or CD Nacional
56%
AVS or CD Nacional
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AVS29% Draw51% CD Nacional20%
Actual: CD Nacional win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
12%
1 – 0
11.7%
0 – 1
8.7%
2 – 1
8.2%
2 – 0
8.2%
1 – 2
6.3%
0 – 2
4.8%
2 – 2
4.3%
3 – 1
3.7%
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
2.1%

Asian Handicap — AVS

Handicap AVS covers Push CD Nacional covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 22% 58%
-0.5 42% — 58%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 17% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

AVS keeps clean sheet
37% ✓
CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.