Thursday , 2 July 2026

AVS vs CD Nacional, Primeira Liga 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025
AVS
1 – 1
Full Time
CD Nacional
Sat 10 Aug 2024 · 14:30 UTC Estadio do CD Aves 1,596 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 35' Miguel Baeza
John Mercado 56' 1–1
Y 46' Ulisses
Nene 83' Y

Overview

Match Preview

AVS vs CD Nacional — Primeira Liga at Estadio do CD Aves.

  • AVS 34 games · 21 pts (2025/26)
  • CD Nacional 34 games · 34 pts (2025/26)

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Porto 34 88
2 Sporting Clube de Portugal 34 82
3 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 34 80
4 Sporting Clube de Braga 34 59
5 FC Famalicão 34 56
6 Gil Vicente FC 34 50
7 Moreirense FC 34 43
8 FC Arouca 34 42
9 Vitória SC 34 42
10 GD Estoril Praia 34 39
11 FC Alverca 34 39
12 Rio Ave FC 34 36
13 CD Santa Clara 34 36
14 CD Nacional 34 34
15 CF Estrela da Amadora 34 30
16 Casa Pia AC 34 30
17 CD Tondela 34 28
18 AVS 34 21

Head-to-Head

1
2
1
AVS 4 games · Avg 3.3 goals CD Nacional
Last 5 meetings
2024-08-10 AVS 1–1 CD Nacional

Recent Form

AVS
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Aug CD Nacional H 1–1 D
CD Nacional
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Aug AVS A 1–1 D
19 May Rio Ave FC H 1–2 L
16 May FC Famalicão A 0–3 L
11 May Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 1–3 L
06 May Moreirense FC A 2–2 D
01 May Sporting Clube de Portugal A 0–2 L

Season Stats

AVS CD Nacional
#18 Position #14
21 Points 34
34 Played 34
3 / 12 / 19 W / D / L 9 / 7 / 18
27 Scored 37
67 Conceded 45
-40 GD -8
0.62 PPG 1.00
9% Win % 26%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
15% Clean Sheets
AVS this season
24% Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season

AVS are 18th (21 pts). CD Nacional are 14th (34 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

AVS
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
3/–
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CD Nacional
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
3/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for AVS to score. At the same time, CD Nacional does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' The travelling CD Nacional supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 10' CD Nacional come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 15' AVS are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 20' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 20 minutes.
  • 25' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 4-3-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 30' The home supporters are growing impatient. AVS must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 35' GOAL! Miguel Baeza fires home to make it 0-1!
  • 40' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for John Mercado suffering a number of foals already.
  • 45' It is a cagey affair so far. AVS in their 4-3-3 trying to find a way past CD Nacional's compact 4-3-3.
  • 46' Ulisses catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 46.
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Kiki. He replaces Rafael Rodrigues on 46 minute.
  • 51' AVS are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 56' John Mercado does the damage! The net is bulging and AVS surge ahead!
  • 58' Daniel Penha has so much to prove this time. He replaces Arvin Appiah on 58 minute.
  • 63' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 68' Another substitution for AVS to replace Giorgi Aburjania by Jonatan Lucca on 68 minute.
  • 71' A tactical swap from CD Nacional — Bruno Costa on, Miguel Baeza off on 71 minutes.
  • 76' Both keepers have barely been tested. AVS and CD Nacional are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 81' A quiet spell here at Estadio do CD Aves. AVS seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 83' AVS player sees a card in front of him.
  • 88' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering CD Nacional that had 266 games and scored 106 goals.
  • 90' Yair Mena Palacios has so much to prove this time. He replaces Samuel on 90 minute.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-1.

Lineups

AVS Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Vitor Campelos

CD Nacional Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Tiago Margarido

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.12 AVS xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.25 CD Nacional xG
I would bet for: AVS or CD Nacional 71% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AVS37% Draw29% CD Nacional34%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.37
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

AVS or Draw
66%
Draw or CD Nacional
63%
AVS or CD Nacional
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AVS23% Draw50% CD Nacional27%
Actual: CD Nacional win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.6%
0 – 1
10.6%
1 – 0
9.3%
1 – 2
7.9%
0 – 2
7.1%
2 – 1
7%
2 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
4.5%
1 – 3
3.3%
0 – 3
2.9%
3 – 1
2.7%

Asian Handicap — AVS

Handicap AVS covers Push CD Nacional covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 18% 69%
-0.5 31% — 69%
+0.5 62% — 38%
+1 62% 21% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

AVS keeps clean sheet
29% ✓
CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
33% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.