Sunday , 20 September 2026

CA Independiente vs CA River Plate, Superliga Argentina 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Sat 9 Aug 2025 · 21:30 UTC Libertadores de America HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

CA Independiente vs CA River PlateSuperliga Argentina at Libertadores de America.

Match Details

  • Referee Nazareno Arasa
  • Assistant 1
  • Assistant 2 Diego Bonfa
23 games this season 🟨 3.0/game 6.1 goals/game 🟥 3 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Aug CA River Plate H 0–0 D
27 Jul Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata A 0–1 L
21 Jul CA Talleres H 1–2 L
13 Jul CA Sarmiento de Junin A 2–2 D
14 Dec CA Boca Juniors A 0–0 D
10 Dec CA Tucuman H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Aug CA Independiente A 0–0 D
27 Jul CA San Lorenzo de Almagro H 0–0 D
20 Jul Instituto AC Cordoba A 4–0 W
14 Jul CA Platense H 3–1 W
26 Jun FC Internazionale Milano A 0–2 L
22 Jun CF Monterrey H 0–0 D

Season Stats

CA Independiente CA River Plate
#7 Position #5
40 Points 43
27 Played 27
9 / 13 / 5 W / D / L 11 / 10 / 6
25 Scored 38
17 Conceded 21
+8 GD +17
1.48 PPG 1.59
33% Win % 41%

Key Stats

29% Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
30% Clean Sheets
CA Independiente this season
32% Clean Sheets
CA River Plate this season

CA Independiente are 7th (40 pts). CA River Plate are 5th (43 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA Independiente
0-15
3/2
16-30
2/
31-45
3/3
46-60
5/5
61-75
/3
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CA River Plate
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/3
31-45
7/2
46-60
3/
61-75
3/4
76+
7/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA Independiente
Gabriel Avalos 11 G 5 A
Matias Abaldo 5 G 3 A
Santiago Gabriel Montiel 4 G 4 A
CA River Plate
Gonzalo Montiel 6 G 2 A
Sebastian Driussi 6 G
Juan Fernando Quintero 3 G 2 A
Juan Quintero 3 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.65 CA Independiente xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93 CA River Plate xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 79% + CA River Plate or Draw 73%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
CA Independiente27% Draw36% CA River Plate37%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes30% 0% No70%
Avg goals/match: 1.58
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 77%
23%
± 1.5 47%
53%
± 2.5 21%
79%
± 3.5 8%
92%
± 4.5 3%
97%

Double Chance

CA Independiente or Draw
63%
Draw or CA River Plate
73%
CA Independiente or CA River Plate
64%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
CA Independiente15% Draw61% CA River Plate24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
17.7%
1 – 1
13.4%
1 – 0
11.8%
0 – 2
8.4%
1 – 2
5.8%
2 – 1
4%
2 – 0
4%
0 – 3
2.5%
2 – 2
2%
1 – 3
1.9%
3 – 1
0.9%

Asian Handicap — CA Independiente

Handicap CA Independiente covers Push CA River Plate covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 5% 94%
-1.5 6% 94%
-1 6% 16% 78%
-0.5 22% 78%
+0.5 61% 39%
+1 61% 24% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 10% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

CA Independiente keeps clean sheet
40%
CA River Plate keeps clean sheet
53%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.