CA Paranaense vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CA Paranaense vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A at Estadio Mario Celso Petraglia.
- CA Paranaense 34 games · 54 pts (2026/26)
- Gremio FBPA 34 games · 37 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Savio Pereira Sampaio (Brazil)
- Assistant 1 Daniel da Silva Andrade (Brazil)
- Assistant 2 Joverton Wesley de Souza Lima (Brazil)
10 games this season
🟨 2.3/game
⚽ 7.0 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 35 | 51 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 35 | 41 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May | Gremio FBPA | H | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Apr | EC Vitoria | H | 3–1 | W |
| 19 Apr | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Apr | Chapecoense AF | H | 2–0 | W |
| 05 Apr | CA Mineiro | A | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Apr | EC Bahia | A | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May | CA Paranaense | A | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Apr | Coritiba FBC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Apr | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Apr | SC Internacional | A | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Apr | Clube do Remo | H | 0–0 | D |
| 03 Apr | SE Palmeiras | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| CA Paranaense | Gremio FBPA | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #18 |
| 54 | Points | 37 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 15 / 9 / 10 | W / D / L | 9 / 10 / 15 |
| 51 | Scored | 38 |
| 43 | Conceded | 47 |
| +8 | GD | -9 |
| 1.59 | PPG | 1.09 |
| 44% | Win % | 26% |
Key Stats
35%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
35%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
CA Paranaense this season
CA Paranaense this season
29%
Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
Gremio FBPA this season
CA Paranaense are 5th (54 pts). Gremio FBPA are 18th (37 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Paranaense
0-15
7/6
16-30
5/6
31-45
6/4
46-60
6/1
61-75
3/6
76+
8/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
3/6
31-45
7/6
46-60
5/4
61-75
4/8
76+
5/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Paranaense
| Kevin Viveros | 21 G | 3 A |
| Stiven Mendoza | 6 G | 1 A |
| Leozinho | 5 G | |
| Julimar | 3 G | 1 A |
Gremio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 11 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Estadio Mario Celso Petraglia that hosts another battle between CA Paranaense and Gremio FBPA.
- 5' CA Paranaense are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Gremio FBPA backline.
- 10' A quiet spell here at Estadio Mario Celso Petraglia. CA Paranaense seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 15' CA Paranaense currently sit 5 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 20' A meaty challenge results in booking for Kevin Viveros on 20.
- 25' Gremio FBPA looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 30' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both CA Paranaense and Gremio FBPA are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 35' CA Paranaense have won 396 goals from 386 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 40' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-2-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 45' CA Paranaense started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 45.
- 50' Both keepers have barely been tested. CA Paranaense and Gremio FBPA are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 55' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 60' CA Paranaense are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against Gremio FBPA's 3-4-2-1 shape.
- 65' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 70' The 35-year-old Fabian Balbuena has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 75' Cristian Pavon has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 35 appearances with only 3 goals this season.
- 80' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 85' Gremio FBPA seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 90' Gremio FBPA are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.
Lineups
CA Paranaense Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 23
- 7
- 22
- 37
- 29
- 8
- 5
- 4
- 9
- 48
- 27
Bench
- 3
- 1
- 11
- 6
- 33
- 53
- 47
- 63
- 2
- 26
- 70
- 21
Coach
Odair Hellmann
Gremio FBPA Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1
- 2
- 22
- 7
- 3
- 5
- 6
- 99
- 54
- 33
- 37
Bench
- 4
- 17
- 14
- 38
- 10
- 21
- 19
- 12
- 77
- 43
- 65
- 50
Coach
Luis Castro
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Pedro Rocha | 2 |
| Thaciano | 2 |
| Renato Kayzer | 2 |
| Cuiabano | 2 |
| Vitor Roque | 2 |
| Matheus | 2 |
| Thiago Santos | 2 |
| Gustavo Martins | 1 |
Head to Head
CA Paranaense Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 3
1.4
CA Paranaense xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87
Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 61% + Under — clean sheet likely 55%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.27
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 2.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 3.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
CA Paranaense or Draw
75%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
55%
CA Paranaense or Gremio FBPA
70%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
1 – 0
13.3%
0 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
8.5%
0 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
5.3%
3 – 0
4.5%
3 – 1
4%
2 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
1.9%
Asian Handicap — CA Paranaense
| Handicap | CA Paranaense covers | Push | Gremio FBPA covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 15% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 24% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 14% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
CA Paranaense keeps clean sheet
42%
✗
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
25%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

