Saturday , 14 November 2026

CA Paranaense vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Sat 2 May 2026 · 23:30 UTC Estadio Mario Celso Petraglia HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

CA Paranaense vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A at Estadio Mario Celso Petraglia.

Match Details

  • Referee Savio Pereira Sampaio (Brazil)
  • Assistant 1 Daniel da Silva Andrade (Brazil)
  • Assistant 2 Joverton Wesley de Souza Lima (Brazil)
10 games this season 🟨 2.3/game ⚽ 7.0 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 May Gremio FBPA H 0–0 D
26 Apr EC Vitoria H 3–1 W
19 Apr SE Palmeiras A 0–1 L
12 Apr Chapecoense AF H 2–0 W
05 Apr CA Mineiro A 1–2 L
01 Apr EC Bahia A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 May CA Paranaense A 0–0 D
26 Apr Coritiba FBC H 1–0 W
18 Apr Cruzeiro EC A 0–2 L
11 Apr SC Internacional A 0–0 D
05 Apr Clube do Remo H 0–0 D
03 Apr SE Palmeiras A 1–2 L

Season Stats

CA Paranaense Gremio FBPA
#5 Position #18
54 Points 37
34 Played 34
15 / 9 / 10 W / D / L 9 / 10 / 15
51 Scored 38
43 Conceded 47
+8 GD -9
1.59 PPG 1.09
44% Win % 26%

Key Stats

35% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
35% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
CA Paranaense this season
29% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

CA Paranaense are 5th (54 pts). Gremio FBPA are 18th (37 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA Paranaense
0-15
7/6
16-30
5/6
31-45
6/4
46-60
6/1
61-75
3/6
76+
8/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
3/6
31-45
7/6
46-60
5/4
61-75
4/8
76+
5/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA Paranaense
Kevin Viveros 21 G 3 A
Stiven Mendoza 6 G 1 A
Leozinho 5 G
Julimar 3 G 1 A
Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 11 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Estadio Mario Celso Petraglia that hosts another battle between CA Paranaense and Gremio FBPA.
  • 5' CA Paranaense are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Gremio FBPA backline.
  • 10' A quiet spell here at Estadio Mario Celso Petraglia. CA Paranaense seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 15' CA Paranaense currently sit 5 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 20' A meaty challenge results in booking for Kevin Viveros on 20.
  • 25' Gremio FBPA looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
  • 30' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both CA Paranaense and Gremio FBPA are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 35' CA Paranaense have won 396 goals from 386 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 40' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-2-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 45' CA Paranaense started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 45.
  • 50' Both keepers have barely been tested. CA Paranaense and Gremio FBPA are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 55' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 60' CA Paranaense are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against Gremio FBPA's 3-4-2-1 shape.
  • 65' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 70' The 35-year-old Fabian Balbuena has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 75' Cristian Pavon has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 35 appearances with only 3 goals this season.
  • 80' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 85' Gremio FBPA seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 90' Gremio FBPA are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 3
1.4 CA Paranaense xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87 Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 61% + Under — clean sheet likely 55%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
CA Paranaense45% Draw30% Gremio FBPA25%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.27
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

CA Paranaense or Draw
75%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
55%
CA Paranaense or Gremio FBPA
70%

Half-Time Result

CA Paranaense33% Draw51% Gremio FBPA16%

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
1 – 0
13.3%
0 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
8.5%
0 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
5.3%
3 – 0
4.5%
3 – 1
4%
2 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
1.9%

Asian Handicap — CA Paranaense

Handicap CA Paranaense covers Push Gremio FBPA covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 15% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 24% 52%
-0.5 48% — 52%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 14% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

CA Paranaense keeps clean sheet
42% ✗
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
25% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.