Monday , 27 July 2026

CA Mineiro vs SC Recife, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
CA Mineiro
3 – 1
Full Time
SC Recife
Wed 8 Oct 2025 · 22:00 UTC Mineirao HT 45' · FT 45'
Guilherme Arana 40' Y
Igor Gomes 44' Y
Y 53' Ramon
Y 85' Christian Rivera
Vitor Hugo 86' Y
Hulk 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

CA Mineiro vs SC Recife — Serie A at Mineirao.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SE Palmeiras 20 44
2 CR Flamengo 19 38
3 CA Paranaense 20 36
4 Fluminense FC 20 33
5 RB Bragantino 20 31
6 EC Bahia 20 31
7 Botafogo FR 20 29
8 SC Corinthians Paulista 20 28
9 CA Mineiro 20 28
10 Coritiba FBC 20 27
11 Cruzeiro EC 20 27
12 Sao Paulo FC 20 26
13 EC Vitoria 20 26
14 Santos FC 20 22
15 Grêmio FBPA 20 22
16 SC Internacional 20 21
17 CR Vasco da Gama 20 21
18 Clube do Remo 20 21
19 Mirassol FC 19 20
20 Chapecoense AF 20 10

Head-to-Head

6
3
2
CA Mineiro 11 games · Avg 3.8 goals SC Recife
Last 5 meetings
2025-10-08 CA Mineiro 3–1 SC Recife 2021-09-18 CA Mineiro 3–0 SC Recife 2021-06-06 SC Recife 0–1 CA Mineiro 2021-02-21 SC Recife 2–3 CA Mineiro 2020-10-25 CA Mineiro 0–0 SC Recife

Recent Form

CA Mineiro
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Oct SC Recife H 3–1 W
04 Oct Fluminense FC A 0–3 L
01 Oct EC Juventude H 0–0 D
28 Sep Mirassol FC H 1–0 W
20 Sep Botafogo FR A 0–1 L
14 Sep Santos FC H 1–1 D
SC Recife
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Oct CA Mineiro A 1–3 L
05 Oct Cruzeiro EC A 1–1 D
01 Oct Fluminense FC H 2–2 D
27 Sep Fortaleza EC A 0–1 L
21 Sep SC Corinthians Paulista H 1–0 W
14 Sep RB Bragantino A 1–1 D

Key Stats

73% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
73% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA Mineiro
0-15
2/2
16-30
4/–
31-45
3/3
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/2
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA Mineiro
Victor Hugo Gomes 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — CA Mineiro and SC Recife get this one started.
  • 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Christian Rivera, as he is very good at scoring at Mineirao with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 9' What composure from Vitor Hugo! The Brazil international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 9' Another change for SC Recife made on 9 minute. Hyoran leaves to be changed by Rodrigo Atencio.
  • 14' The 36-year-old Lucas Lima has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 18' CA Mineiro manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ruan is hanging Lyanco on the field on 18 minute.
  • 23' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering CA Mineiro that had 474 games and scored 473 goals.
  • 28' Rafael Thyere has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 33' SC Recife are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 38' Guilherme Arana doubles the advantage! 2-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 40' Guilherme Arana has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 40.
  • 44' Poor challenge from Igor Gomes. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 46' Another substitution for SC Recife to replace ze Lucas by Lucas Lima on 46 minute.
  • 51' It is a cagey affair so far. CA Mineiro in their trying to find a way past SC Recife's compact .
  • 53' The referee shows SC Recife player a card on 53.
  • 58' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both CA Mineiro and SC Recife are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 59' CA Mineiro make a change. Dudu trudges off to be replaced by Gabriel Teixeira on 59 minutes.
  • 62' Rony makes no mistake. The score reads 3-0 and CA Mineiro are in front.
  • 66' Caio Paulista has so much to prove this time. He replaces Guilherme Arana on 66 minute.
  • 71' CA Mineiro are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined SC Recife backline.
  • 75' Aderlan Silva makes way for Matheus Alexandre at the 75 minute mark. A tactical switch from SC Recife.
  • 77' The whistle greets Rodrigo Atencio as he departs to be replaced by Sergio Oliveira.
  • 82' Derik Lacerda does the damage! The net is bulging and SC Recife surge ahead!
  • 85' Christian Rivera was booked on 85.
  • 86' It’s a booking for CA Mineiro player. Vitor Hugo gets a card.
  • 90' The referee shows CA Mineiro player a card on 90.
  • 3-1 the final result. SC Recife will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

CA Mineiro Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Jorge Sampaoli

SC Recife Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Daniel Paulista

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Hulk 3
Rony 3
Michel Bastos 2
Juan Cazares 2
Ricardo Oliveira 2
Michel Bastos 2
Juan Cazares 2
Leo Augusto 2

Head to Head

2025-10-08 CA Mineiro 3–1 SC Recife 2021-09-18 CA Mineiro 3–0 SC Recife 2021-06-06 SC Recife 0–1 CA Mineiro 2021-02-21 SC Recife 2–3 CA Mineiro 2020-10-25 CA Mineiro 0–0 SC Recife

CA Mineiro Form

2025-10-08 CA Mineiro 3–1 SC Recife W 2025-10-04 Fluminense FC 3–0 CA Mineiro L 2025-10-01 CA Mineiro 0–0 EC Juventude D 2025-09-28 CA Mineiro 1–0 Mirassol FC W 2025-09-20 Botafogo FR 1–0 CA Mineiro L 2025-09-14 CA Mineiro 1–1 Santos FC D

SC Recife Form

2025-10-08 CA Mineiro 3–1 SC Recife L 2025-10-05 Cruzeiro EC 1–1 SC Recife D 2025-10-01 SC Recife 2–2 Fluminense FC D 2025-09-27 Fortaleza EC 1–0 SC Recife L 2025-09-21 SC Recife 1–0 SC Corinthians Paulista W 2025-09-14 RB Bragantino 1–1 SC Recife D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.55 CA Mineiro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.86 SC Recife xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
CA Mineiro54% Draw26% SC Recife20%
Actual: CA Mineiro win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.41
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

CA Mineiro or Draw
81%
Draw or SC Recife
46%
CA Mineiro or SC Recife
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
CA Mineiro36% Draw49% SC Recife15%
Actual: CA Mineiro win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13%
1 – 1
12.8%
0 – 0
11.1%
2 – 0
10.5%
2 – 1
9%
0 – 1
6.7%
3 – 0
5.3%
1 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
3.9%
0 – 2
3.2%
3 – 2
2.1%

Asian Handicap — CA Mineiro

Handicap CA Mineiro covers Push SC Recife covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 16% 72%
-1.5 28% — 72%
-1 28% 24% 48%
-0.5 52% — 48%
+0.5 81% — 19%
+1 81% 13% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
43% ✓
SC Recife keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.