Wednesday , 30 September 2026

CA Mineiro vs SC Recife, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
CA Mineiro
3 – 1
Full Time
SC Recife
Wed 8 Oct 2025 · 22:00 UTC Mineirao HT 45' · FT 45'
Guilherme Arana 40' Y
Igor Gomes 44' Y
Y 53' Ramon
Y 85' Christian Rivera
Vitor Hugo 86' Y
Hulk 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

CA Mineiro vs SC Recife — Serie A at Mineirao.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CR Flamengo 28 60
2 SE Palmeiras 28 57
3 CA Paranaense 28 49
4 Fluminense FC 28 48
5 EC Bahia 28 46
6 Cruzeiro EC 28 45
7 CA Mineiro 27 40
8 Santos FC 27 38
9 Coritiba FBC 28 38
10 RB Bragantino 27 36
11 Sao Paulo FC 27 36
12 Botafogo FR 28 35
13 EC Vitoria 28 33
14 SC Corinthians Paulista 28 32
15 Mirassol FC 28 32
16 CR Vasco da Gama 27 31
17 Gremio FBPA 28 29
18 SC Internacional 28 28
19 Clube do Remo 28 23
20 Chapecoense AF 27 18

Head-to-Head

6
3
2
CA Mineiro 11 games · Avg 3.8 goals SC Recife
Last 5 meetings
2025-10-08 CA Mineiro 3–1 SC Recife 2021-09-18 CA Mineiro 3–0 SC Recife 2021-06-06 SC Recife 0–1 CA Mineiro 2021-02-21 SC Recife 2–3 CA Mineiro 2020-10-25 CA Mineiro 0–0 SC Recife

Recent Form

CA Mineiro
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Oct SC Recife H 3–1 W
04 Oct Fluminense FC A 0–3 L
01 Oct EC Juventude H 0–0 D
28 Sep Mirassol FC H 1–0 W
20 Sep Botafogo FR A 0–1 L
14 Sep Santos FC H 1–1 D
SC Recife
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Oct CA Mineiro A 1–3 L
05 Oct Cruzeiro EC A 1–1 D
01 Oct Fluminense FC H 2–2 D
27 Sep Fortaleza EC A 0–1 L
21 Sep SC Corinthians Paulista H 1–0 W
14 Sep RB Bragantino A 1–1 D

Key Stats

73% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
73% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA Mineiro
0-15
2/3
16-30
6/–
31-45
5/4
46-60
1/2
61-75
8/5
76+
5/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA Mineiro
Tomas Cuello 5 G 2 A
Victor Hugo Gomes 4 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against CA Mineiro and SC Recife has kicked off!
  • 5' CA Mineiro are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against SC Recife's shape.
  • 9' Assisted by Rony with the perfectly-timed delivery and Vitor Hugo makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 9' The supporters are chanting for Rodrigo Atencio. He replaces Hyoran on 9 minute.
  • 14' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering CA Mineiro that had 482 games and scored 486 goals.
  • 18' Time for substitution for CA Mineiro. Lyanco is replaced by Ruan.
  • 23' CA Mineiro currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 28' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 33' The home supporters are growing impatient. CA Mineiro must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 38' Brilliant from the ! Guilherme Arana makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 38.
  • 40' CA Mineiro player sees a card in front of him.
  • 44' Igor Gomes picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 46' SC Recife manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Lucas Lima is hanging ze Lucas on the field on 46 minute.
  • 51' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 53' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Ramon on 53 minutes.
  • 58' It’s high time Jorge Sampaoli made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 59' Gabriel Teixeira is ready to make an impact after coming on for Dudu at the 59 minute mark.
  • 62' GOAL! Rony scores on 62. Assisted by Gabriel Teixeira
  • 66' The CA Mineiro manager makes a substitution. Guilherme Arana departs to be replaced by Caio Paulista.
  • 71' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 75' Time for substitution for SC Recife. Aderlan Silva is replaced by Matheus Alexandre.
  • 77' SC Recife make a change. Rodrigo Atencio trudges off to be replaced by Sergio Oliveira on 77 minutes.
  • 82' Against the run of play, Derik Lacerda has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 85' Christian Rivera was booked on 85.
  • 86' That is a card for CA Mineiro. Vitor Hugo will be fuming at that decision.
  • 90' The referee has no hesitation. Hulk is booked for CA Mineiro — card on 90.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from CA Mineiro to claim maximum points.

Lineups

CA Mineiro Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Jorge Sampaoli

SC Recife Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Daniel Paulista

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Hulk 3
Rony 3
Leo Augusto 2
Ricardo Oliveira 2
Michel Bastos 2
Juan Cazares 2
Ricardo Oliveira 2
Michel Bastos 2

Head to Head

2025-10-08 CA Mineiro 3–1 SC Recife 2021-09-18 CA Mineiro 3–0 SC Recife 2021-06-06 SC Recife 0–1 CA Mineiro 2021-02-21 SC Recife 2–3 CA Mineiro 2020-10-25 CA Mineiro 0–0 SC Recife

CA Mineiro Form

2025-10-08 CA Mineiro 3–1 SC Recife W 2025-10-04 Fluminense FC 3–0 CA Mineiro L 2025-10-01 CA Mineiro 0–0 EC Juventude D 2025-09-28 CA Mineiro 1–0 Mirassol FC W 2025-09-20 Botafogo FR 1–0 CA Mineiro L 2025-09-14 CA Mineiro 1–1 Santos FC D

SC Recife Form

2025-10-08 CA Mineiro 3–1 SC Recife L 2025-10-05 Cruzeiro EC 1–1 SC Recife D 2025-10-01 SC Recife 2–2 Fluminense FC D 2025-09-27 Fortaleza EC 1–0 SC Recife L 2025-09-21 SC Recife 1–0 SC Corinthians Paulista W 2025-09-14 RB Bragantino 1–1 SC Recife D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.55 CA Mineiro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.86 SC Recife xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
CA Mineiro54% Draw26% SC Recife20%
Actual: CA Mineiro win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.41
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

CA Mineiro or Draw
81%
Draw or SC Recife
46%
CA Mineiro or SC Recife
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
CA Mineiro36% Draw49% SC Recife15%
Actual: CA Mineiro win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13%
1 – 1
12.8%
0 – 0
11.1%
2 – 0
10.5%
2 – 1
9%
0 – 1
6.7%
3 – 0
5.3%
1 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
3.9%
0 – 2
3.2%
3 – 2
2.1%

Asian Handicap — CA Mineiro

Handicap CA Mineiro covers Push SC Recife covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 16% 72%
-1.5 28% — 72%
-1 28% 24% 48%
-0.5 52% — 48%
+0.5 81% — 19%
+1 81% 13% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
43% ✓
SC Recife keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.