Wednesday , 11 November 2026

São Paulo FC vs EC Juventude, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON

Wed 4 Dec 2024 · 23:00 UTC Morumbi 31,442 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 52' Gabriel Taliari
0–2 62' Erick
Luciano 77' 1–2
Y 83' Gabriel

Overview

Match Preview

São Paulo FC vs EC Juventude — Serie A at Morumbi.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Dec EC Juventude H 1–2 L
01 Dec Gremio FBPA A 1–2 L
24 Nov CA Mineiro H 2–2 D
20 Nov RB Bragantino A 1–1 D
10 Nov CA Paranaense H 2–1 W
06 Nov EC Bahia A 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Dec São Paulo FC A 2–1 W
27 Nov CA Mineiro A 3–2 W
23 Nov Cuiabá EC H 1–1 D
20 Nov Gremio FBPA A 2–2 D
09 Nov EC Bahia H 2–1 W
02 Nov Fortaleza EC H 0–3 L

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
26% Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

São Paulo FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
4/4
31-45
8/6
46-60
–/11
61-75
7/2
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

São Paulo FC
Jonathan Calleri 10 G 2 A
Luciano 9 G 1 A
Artur Guimaraes 4 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Morumbi!
  • 5' EC Juventude seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 10' Joao Lucas needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 15' EC Juventude are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 18' A moment of madness from Lucas Barbosa on 18 minutes earns him a card. EC Juventude will be frustrated.
  • 23' Andre Silva has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 25 cards already picked up this season.
  • 28' EC Juventude fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 33' With 0 assists to his name this season, Rafael Monteiro is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sao Paulo FC.
  • 38' Over 38 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 43' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 46' EC Juventude ring the changes. Nene has done his job and it is now time for Luiz Mandaca to step up.
  • 51' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Sao Paulo FC and EC Juventude are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 52' What composure from Gabriel Taliari! The Brazil international strokes it home. 0-1.
  • 57' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 62' A stunning finish from Erick — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 64' Another substitution for Sao Paulo FC to replace Erick by William da Silva on 64 minute.
  • 69' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 71' Fresh legs for Sao Paulo FC! Rodrigo Nestor comes on to replace Alisson.
  • 76' Sao Paulo FC currently sit 6 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 77' Luciano doubles the advantage! 1-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 78' Igor Vinicius makes way for Joao Moreira at the 78 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sao Paulo FC.
  • 83' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Gabriel.
  • 83' Another substitution for EC Juventude to replace Ewerthon by Ze Marcos on 83 minute.
  • 87' A change in the EC Juventude ranks — Erick exits the field as Gabriel Inocencio enters on 87.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Sao Paulo FC 1-2 EC Juventude.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.39 São Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.34 EC Juventude xG
I would bet for: São Paulo FC or EC Juventude 71% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
São Paulo FC37% Draw29% EC Juventude34%
Actual: EC Juventude win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.73
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

São Paulo FC or Draw
66%
Draw or EC Juventude
63%
São Paulo FC or EC Juventude
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
São Paulo FC27% Draw47% EC Juventude26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
0 – 0
8.4%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 0
8%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
7.7%
2 – 0
6.2%
0 – 2
5.7%
2 – 2
5.5%
3 – 1
3.8%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 0
2.8%

Asian Handicap — São Paulo FC

Handicap São Paulo FC covers Push EC Juventude covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 19% 63%
-0.5 37% — 63%
+0.5 65% — 35%
+1 65% 19% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
EC Juventude keeps clean sheet
26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.