Saturday , 26 September 2026

São Paulo FC vs EC Juventude, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON

Wed 4 Dec 2024 · 23:00 UTC Morumbi 31,442 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 52' Gabriel Taliari
0–2 62' Erick
Luciano 77' 1–2
Y 83' Gabriel

Overview

Match Preview

São Paulo FC vs EC Juventude — Serie A at Morumbi.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Dec EC Juventude H 1–2 L
01 Dec Gremio FBPA A 1–2 L
24 Nov CA Mineiro H 2–2 D
20 Nov RB Bragantino A 1–1 D
10 Nov CA Paranaense H 2–1 W
06 Nov EC Bahia A 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Dec São Paulo FC A 2–1 W
27 Nov CA Mineiro A 3–2 W
23 Nov Cuiaba EC H 1–1 D
20 Nov Gremio FBPA A 2–2 D
09 Nov EC Bahia H 2–1 W
02 Nov Fortaleza EC H 0–3 L

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
26% Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

São Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/9
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

São Paulo FC
Luciano 8 G 1 A
Jonathan Calleri 8 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Sao Paulo FC host EC Juventude — let the battle begin!
  • 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 10' It’s high time Fábio Matias made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 15' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sao Paulo FC and EC Juventude are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 18' That looks like a foul for a card for Lucas Barbosa.
  • 23' Ewerthon is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sao Paulo FC so far.
  • 28' Sao Paulo FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against EC Juventude's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 33' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 38' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Sao Paulo FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 43' Over 43 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 46' The EC Juventude bench stirs into life. Nene is withdrawn and Luiz Mandaca gets his opportunity.
  • 51' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 52' Goal! Gabriel Taliari scores his 12 goal in 380 matches.
  • 57' The energy levels are beginning to show. Fábio Matias might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 62' Erick has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 62 minutes.
  • 64' Fresh legs for Sao Paulo FC! William da Silva comes on to replace Erick.
  • 69' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sao Paulo FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 71' A change in the Sao Paulo FC ranks — Alisson exits the field as Rodrigo Nestor enters on 71.
  • 76' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jadson made 393 appearances and scored 8 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 77' The Brazil Luciano breaks the deadlock on 77 minutes. 1-2!
  • 78' A tactical swap from Sao Paulo FC — Joao Moreira on, Igor Vinicius off on 78 minutes.
  • 83' That looks like a foul for a card for Gabriel.
  • 83' The EC Juventude manager makes a substitution. Ewerthon departs to be replaced by Ze Marcos.
  • 87' The EC Juventude bench stirs into life. Erick is withdrawn and Gabriel Inocencio gets his opportunity.
  • 1-2 the final result. Sao Paulo FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.39 São Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.34 EC Juventude xG
I would bet for: São Paulo FC or EC Juventude 71% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
São Paulo FC37% Draw29% EC Juventude34%
Actual: EC Juventude win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.73
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

São Paulo FC or Draw
66%
Draw or EC Juventude
63%
São Paulo FC or EC Juventude
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
São Paulo FC27% Draw47% EC Juventude26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
0 – 0
8.4%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 0
8%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
7.7%
2 – 0
6.2%
0 – 2
5.7%
2 – 2
5.5%
3 – 1
3.8%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 0
2.8%

Asian Handicap — São Paulo FC

Handicap São Paulo FC covers Push EC Juventude covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 19% 63%
-0.5 37% — 63%
+0.5 65% — 35%
+1 65% 19% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
EC Juventude keeps clean sheet
26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.