Thursday , 2 July 2026

Burton Albion FC vs Port Vale FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 23 Mar 2024 · 15:00 UTC Pirelli Stadium 3,757 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 83' Ryan Loft
Toto Nsiala 28' Y
Tom Hamer 74' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Burton Albion FC vs Port Vale FCLeague One at Pirelli Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee David Rock
  • Assistant 1 Marvyn Amphlett
  • Assistant 2

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Mar Port Vale FC H 0–1 L
16 Mar Exeter City FC A 0–1 L
12 Mar Portsmouth FC A 1–2 L
09 Mar Peterborough United FC H 1–3 L
02 Mar Cheltenham Town FC A 0–0 D
27 Feb Carlisle United FC H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Mar Burton Albion FC A 1–0 W
16 Mar Oxford United FC H 0–2 L
12 Mar Leyton Orient FC A 0–0 D
09 Mar Shrewsbury Town FC H 1–2 L
02 Mar Derby County FC A 0–3 L
27 Feb Fleetwood Town FC H 2–2 D

Season Stats

Burton Albion FC Port Vale FC
#17 Position #22
54 Points 42
46 Played 46
13 / 15 / 18 W / D / L 10 / 12 / 24
50 Scored 36
60 Conceded 61
-10 GD -25
1.17 PPG 0.91
28% Win % 22%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Burton Albion FC are 17th (54 pts). Port Vale FC are 22nd (42 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Burton Albion FC to score. At the same time, Port Vale FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Burton Albion FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Port Vale FC's shape.
  • 10' Sam Hughes has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 4 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 15' Ethan Chislett has been relatively quiet despite scoring 15 goals in his last 14 appearances.
  • 20' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 25' With 0 assists to his name this season, Ben Garrity is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Burton Albion FC.
  • 28' Burton Albion FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 28.
  • 33' James Plant is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Port Vale FC so far.
  • 38' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Martin Paterson will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 43' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 48' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 53' Port Vale FC ring the changes. Conor Grant has done his job and it is now time for Thomas Sang to step up.
  • 58' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Burton Albion FC and Port Vale FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 63' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Burton Albion FC that had 372 games and scored 418 goals.
  • 65' Another change for Burton Albion FC made on 65 minute. Mason Bennett leaves to be changed by Kyle Hudlin.
  • 70' It looks like no one’s ball. Port Vale FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 74' Tom Hamer picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 75' Gavin Massey gets the nod from Port Vale FC. He replaces James Wilson and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 80' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 83' A goal from the England international Ryan Loft! He fires home on 83 to make it 0-1!
  • 84' Another substitution for Burton Albion FC to replace John Brayford by Sam Hughes on 84 minute.
  • 89' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 0-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.03 Burton Albion FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.98 Port Vale FC xG
I would bet for: Burton Albion FC or Draw 68% + Under 2.5 goals 67%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Burton Albion FC35% Draw33% Port Vale FC32%
Actual: Port Vale FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 2.01
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 60%
40%
± 2.5 33%
67%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Burton Albion FC or Draw
68%
Draw or Port Vale FC
65%
Burton Albion FC or Port Vale FC
67%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Burton Albion FC24% Draw55% Port Vale FC21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.8%
1 – 1
14.5%
1 – 0
12.5%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
6.8%
2 – 1
6.8%
1 – 2
6.4%
0 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
3.5%
3 – 1
2.4%
3 – 0
2.3%
1 – 3
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Burton Albion FC

Handicap Burton Albion FC covers Push Port Vale FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 10% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 21% 66%
-0.5 34% 66%
+0.5 69% 31%
+1 69% 19% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 9% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
38%
Port Vale FC keeps clean sheet
36%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.