Saturday , 14 November 2026

Burton Albion FC vs Port Vale FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 23 Mar 2024 · 15:00 UTC Pirelli Stadium 3,757 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 83' Ryan Loft
Toto Nsiala 28' Y
Tom Hamer 74' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Burton Albion FC vs Port Vale FC — League One at Pirelli Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee David Rock
  • Assistant 1 Marvyn Amphlett
  • Assistant 2
6 games this season 🟨 4.5/game ⚽ 18.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Mar Port Vale FC H 0–1 L
16 Mar Exeter City FC A 0–1 L
12 Mar Portsmouth FC A 1–2 L
09 Mar Peterborough United FC H 1–3 L
02 Mar Cheltenham Town FC A 0–0 D
27 Feb Carlisle United FC H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Mar Burton Albion FC A 1–0 W
16 Mar Oxford United FC H 0–2 L
12 Mar Leyton Orient FC A 0–0 D
09 Mar Shrewsbury Town FC H 1–2 L
02 Mar Derby County FC A 0–3 L
27 Feb Fleetwood Town FC H 2–2 D

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Burton Albion FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Burton Albion FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
6/3
31-45
1/6
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/3
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Burton Albion FC
Jack Armer 3 G 1 A
Finn Delap 3 G
Matthew Dennis 1 G
Kgaogelo Chauke 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Burton Albion FC vs Port Vale FC — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 10' Port Vale FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 15' It is a cagey affair so far. Burton Albion FC in their trying to find a way past Port Vale FC's compact .
  • 20' Port Vale FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 25' The home supporters are growing impatient. Burton Albion FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 28' A moment of madness from Toto Nsiala on 28 minutes earns him a card. Burton Albion FC will be frustrated.
  • 33' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 38' Port Vale FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 43' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 48' It looks like no one’s ball. Burton Albion FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 53' Port Vale FC make a change. Conor Grant trudges off to be replaced by Thomas Sang on 53 minutes.
  • 58' Burton Albion FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Port Vale FC's shape.
  • 63' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for James Wilson suffering a number of foals already.
  • 65' Kyle Hudlin has so much to prove this time. He replaces Mason Bennett on 65 minute.
  • 70' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 74' That is a card for Burton Albion FC. Tom Hamer will be fuming at that decision.
  • 75' A change in the Port Vale FC ranks — James Wilson exits the field as Gavin Massey enters on 75.
  • 80' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Port Vale FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 83' Ryan Loft is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 84' The supporters are chanting for Sam Hughes. He replaces John Brayford on 84 minute.
  • 89' Alex Iacovitti has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • Another three points for Port Vale FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.05 Burton Albion FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13 Port Vale FC xG
I would bet for: Burton Albion FC or Port Vale FC 68% + Under 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burton Albion FC33% Draw32% Port Vale FC35%
Actual: Port Vale FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.18
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Burton Albion FC or Draw
65%
Draw or Port Vale FC
67%
Burton Albion FC or Port Vale FC
68%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Burton Albion FC23% Draw52% Port Vale FC25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.4%
0 – 0
13.6%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10.5%
1 – 2
7.4%
0 – 2
6.9%
2 – 1
6.8%
2 – 0
6%
2 – 2
4%
1 – 3
2.8%
0 – 3
2.6%
3 – 1
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Burton Albion FC

Handicap Burton Albion FC covers Push Port Vale FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 19% 68%
-0.5 32% — 68%
+0.5 64% — 36%
+1 64% 21% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
33% ✓
Port Vale FC keeps clean sheet
36% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.