Saturday , 14 November 2026

Port Vale FC vs Burton Albion FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Sat 18 Mar 2023 · 15:00 UTC Vale Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

3
3
2
Port Vale FC 8 games · Avg 2.4 goals Burton Albion FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Mar Burton Albion FC H 2–3 L
11 Mar Fleetwood Town FC A 1–1 D
04 Mar Milton Keynes Dons FC H 1–0 W
25 Feb Bolton Wanderers FC A 1–2 L
21 Feb Morecambe FC A 0–1 L
18 Feb Exeter City FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Mar Port Vale FC A 3–2 W
14 Mar Peterborough United FC H 2–5 L
11 Mar Wycombe Wanderers FC H 2–1 W
04 Mar Ipswich Town FC A 0–4 L
25 Feb Accrington Stanley FC H 0–0 D
18 Feb Bristol Rovers FC A 2–1 W

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Burton Albion FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Burton Albion FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
6/3
31-45
1/6
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/3
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Burton Albion FC
Jack Armer 3 G 1 A
Finn Delap 3 G
Matthew Dennis 1 G
Kgaogelo Chauke 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.66 Port Vale FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.34 Burton Albion FC xG
I would bet for: Port Vale FC or Burton Albion FC 73% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Port Vale FC42% Draw27% Burton Albion FC31%
Actual: Burton Albion FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Port Vale FC or Draw
69%
Draw or Burton Albion FC
58%
Port Vale FC or Burton Albion FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Port Vale FC32% Draw44% Burton Albion FC24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted
2 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
12%
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 0
6.8%
0 – 0
6.7%
2 – 2
5.9%
0 – 1
5.8%
3 – 1
4.9%
0 – 2
4.4%
3 – 0
3.7%
3 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Port Vale FC

Handicap Port Vale FC covers Push Burton Albion FC covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 13% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 20% 56%
-0.5 44% — 56%
+0.5 70% — 30%
+1 70% 16% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Port Vale FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.