Sunday , 16 August 2026

Port Vale FC vs Burton Albion FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Tue 19 Sep 2023 · 18:45 UTC Vale Park 5,993 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 11' Bez Lubala
Ben Garrity 40' 1–1
1–2 51' Steve Seddon
1–3 61' Kwadwo Baah
Ollie Arblaster 86' 2–3

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Sep Burton Albion FC H 2–3 L
16 Sep Northampton Town FC H 1–0 W
02 Sep Oxford United FC A 2–1 W
26 Aug Carlisle United FC H 1–0 W
19 Aug Charlton Athletic FC A 3–2 W
15 Aug Blackpool FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Sep Port Vale FC A 3–2 W
16 Sep Barnsley FC A 0–2 L
02 Sep Exeter City FC H 0–1 L
26 Aug Bolton Wanderers FC H 1–1 D
19 Aug Wycombe Wanderers FC A 0–0 D
15 Aug Shrewsbury Town FC A 1–2 L

Season Stats

Port Vale FC Burton Albion FC
#5 Position #21
42 Points 1
46 Played 1
10 / 12 / 24 W / D / L 0 / 1 / 0
36 Scored 1
61 Conceded 1
-25 GD +0
0.91 PPG 1.00
22% Win % 0%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Burton Albion FC this season

Port Vale FC are 5th (42 pts). Burton Albion FC are 21st (1 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Burton Albion FC
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
1/
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Vale Park. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Port Vale FC and Burton Albion FC.
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 10' Port Vale FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 11' Bez Lubala doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 16' Jake Caprice, a England , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 17' The referee shows Burton Albion FC player a card on 17.
  • 22' A quiet spell here at Vale Park. Burton Albion FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 27' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 32' Over 32 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 37' England international Nathan Smith has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 40' Ben Garrity does the damage! The net is bulging and Port Vale FC surge ahead!
  • 45' Supporters expect more eagerness from Conor Grant, as he is very good at scoring at Vale Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 50' Rekeem Harper has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 377 appearances.
  • 51' Steve Seddon puts Burton Albion FC on the lead.
  • 56' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 61' Kwadwo Baah does the damage! The net is bulging and Burton Albion FC surge ahead!
  • 63' Lewis Cass is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kofi Balmer at the 63 minute mark.
  • 64' It’s gonna be a card for Mitchell Clark.
  • 69' Alfie Devine is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Burton Albion FC tonight.
  • 70' Connor Ripley picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 73' The whistle greets Mustapha Carayol as he departs to be replaced by Jake Caprice.
  • 75' A meaty challenge results in booking for Mark Helm on 75.
  • 76' James Plant is replacing Alex Iacovitti for the Port Vale FC side.
  • 81' Burton Albion FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 86' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Ollie Arblaster makes no mistake. 2-3!
  • 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Joe Powell.
  • 90' The crowd applauds Mark Helm as he leaves the pitch. Ryan Sweeney steps in for Burton Albion FC.
  • Port Vale FC will have plenty to reflect on. Burton Albion FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.23 Port Vale FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.27 Burton Albion FC xG
I would bet for: Port Vale FC or Burton Albion FC 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Port Vale FC37% Draw29% Burton Albion FC34%
Actual: Burton Albion FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.5
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Port Vale FC or Draw
66%
Draw or Burton Albion FC
63%
Port Vale FC or Burton Albion FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Port Vale FC25% Draw49% Burton Albion FC26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted
2 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
10.4%
0 – 1
9.4%
1 – 0
9%
1 – 2
7.8%
2 – 1
7.6%
0 – 2
6.5%
2 – 0
6%
2 – 2
4.9%
1 – 3
3.3%
3 – 1
3.1%
0 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Port Vale FC

Handicap Port Vale FC covers Push Burton Albion FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 19% 66%
-0.5 34% 66%
+0.5 64% 36%
+1 64% 20% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Port Vale FC keeps clean sheet
29%
Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.