Saturday , 14 November 2026

Port Vale FC vs Burton Albion FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Tue 19 Sep 2023 · 18:45 UTC Vale Park 5,993 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 11' Bez Lubala
Ben Garrity 40' 1–1
1–2 51' Steve Seddon
1–3 61' Kwadwo Baah
Ollie Arblaster 86' 2–3

Overview

Match Preview

Port Vale FC vs Burton Albion FC — League One at Vale Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Ben Toner
  • Assistant 1 Declan O'Shea (England)
  • Assistant 2 Jake Topp (England)
5 games this season 🟨 4.4/game ⚽ 10.2 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Sep Burton Albion FC H 2–3 L
16 Sep Northampton Town FC H 1–0 W
02 Sep Oxford United FC A 2–1 W
26 Aug Carlisle United FC H 1–0 W
19 Aug Charlton Athletic FC A 3–2 W
15 Aug Blackpool FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Sep Port Vale FC A 3–2 W
16 Sep Barnsley FC A 0–2 L
02 Sep Exeter City FC H 0–1 L
26 Aug Bolton Wanderers FC H 1–1 D
19 Aug Wycombe Wanderers FC A 0–0 D
15 Aug Shrewsbury Town FC A 1–2 L

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Burton Albion FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Burton Albion FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
6/3
31-45
1/6
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/3
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Burton Albion FC
Jack Armer 3 G 1 A
Finn Delap 3 G
Matthew Dennis 1 G
Kgaogelo Chauke 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Port Vale FC host Burton Albion FC — let the battle begin!
  • 5' The 33-year-old Adedeji Oshilaja has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 10' Jasper Moon has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 398 appearances.
  • 11' What composure from Bez Lubala! The DR Congo international strokes it home. 0-1.
  • 16' The travelling Burton Albion FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 17' The referee has no hesitation. Sam Hughes is booked for Burton Albion FC — card on 17.
  • 22' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Dino Maamria will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 27' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 32' Port Vale FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Burton Albion FC's shape.
  • 37' Burton Albion FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 40' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Ben Garrity makes it 1-1.
  • 45' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 50' Port Vale FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 51' What a strike from Steve Seddon! The score is 1-2.
  • 56' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Burton Albion FC that had 387 games and scored 438 goals.
  • 61' The deadlock is broken! Kwadwo Baah gets on the scoresheet on 61 minutes.
  • 63' Kofi Balmer makes way for Lewis Cass at the 63 minute mark. A tactical switch from Port Vale FC.
  • 64' Mitchell Clark was booked on 64.
  • 69' The energy levels are beginning to show. Dino Maamria might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 70' It’s a booking for Port Vale FC player. Connor Ripley gets a card.
  • 73' The whistle greets Mustapha Carayol as he departs to be replaced by Jake Caprice.
  • 75' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Mark Helm on 75 minutes.
  • 76' James Plant is replacing Alex Iacovitti for the Port Vale FC side.
  • 81' It looks surprising Port Vale FC does not make any changes. Ryan Sweeney has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 86' Goal! Ollie Arblaster scores his 6 goal in 381 matches.
  • 90' Burton Albion FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 90' A tactical swap from Burton Albion FC — Ryan Sweeney on, Mark Helm off on 90 minutes.
  • The final score is 2-3.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.53 Port Vale FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.31 Burton Albion FC xG
I would bet for: Port Vale FC or Burton Albion FC 73% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Port Vale FC42% Draw27% Burton Albion FC31%
Actual: Burton Albion FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.84
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Port Vale FC or Draw
69%
Draw or Burton Albion FC
58%
Port Vale FC or Burton Albion FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Port Vale FC30% Draw46% Burton Albion FC24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted
2 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
12.6%
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 0
8%
0 – 0
7.7%
1 – 2
7.4%
0 – 1
6.7%
2 – 0
6.7%
2 – 2
5.7%
0 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.4%
3 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Port Vale FC

Handicap Port Vale FC covers Push Burton Albion FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 20% 59%
-0.5 41% — 59%
+0.5 69% — 31%
+1 69% 17% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Port Vale FC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.