Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Port Vale FC vs Burton Albion FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Tue 19 Sep 2023 · 18:45 UTC Vale Park 5,993 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 11' Bez Lubala
Ben Garrity 40' 1–1
1–2 51' Steve Seddon
1–3 61' Kwadwo Baah
Ollie Arblaster 86' 2–3

Overview

Match Preview

Port Vale FC vs Burton Albion FC — League One at Vale Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Ben Toner
  • Assistant 1 Declan O'Shea (England)
  • Assistant 2 Jake Topp (England)
4 games this season 🟨 5.5/game ⚽ 12.5 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Sep Burton Albion FC H 2–3 L
16 Sep Northampton Town FC H 1–0 W
02 Sep Oxford United FC A 2–1 W
26 Aug Carlisle United FC H 1–0 W
19 Aug Charlton Athletic FC A 3–2 W
15 Aug Blackpool FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Sep Port Vale FC A 3–2 W
16 Sep Barnsley FC A 0–2 L
02 Sep Exeter City FC H 0–1 L
26 Aug Bolton Wanderers FC H 1–1 D
19 Aug Wycombe Wanderers FC A 0–0 D
15 Aug Shrewsbury Town FC A 1–2 L

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Burton Albion FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Burton Albion FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
5/1
31-45
–/3
46-60
1/–
61-75
2/2
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Burton Albion FC
Jack Armer 2 G 1 A
Finn Delap 2 G
Matthew Dennis 1 G
Kgaogelo Chauke 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Port Vale FC vs Burton Albion FC — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 10' Burton Albion FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 11' A stunning finish from Bez Lubala — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 16' Connor Ripley is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Burton Albion FC tonight.
  • 17' The referee shows Burton Albion FC player a card on 17.
  • 22' Port Vale FC is showing some good football. However, Port Vale FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 27' Over 27 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 32' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 37' Burton Albion FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 40' Ben Garrity adds to his 0 season tally! Port Vale FC lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 45' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 50' The energy levels are beginning to show. Dino Maamria might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 51' Sensational shot from Steve Seddon. Burton Albion FC is back in the lead.
  • 56' Port Vale FC have won 112 goals from 153 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 61' A stunning finish from Kwadwo Baah — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 63' The supporters are chanting for Lewis Cass. He replaces Kofi Balmer on 63 minute.
  • 64' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Mitchell Clark.
  • 69' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Port Vale FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 70' Connor Ripley picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 73' A change in the Burton Albion FC ranks — Mustapha Carayol exits the field as Jake Caprice enters on 73.
  • 75' A meaty challenge results in booking for Mark Helm on 75.
  • 76' Another substitution for Port Vale FC to replace Alex Iacovitti by James Plant on 76 minute.
  • 81' The home supporters are growing impatient. Port Vale FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 86' What a strike from Ollie Arblaster! The score is 2-3.
  • 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Joe Powell.
  • 90' Mark Helm makes way for Ryan Sweeney at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from Burton Albion FC.
  • Port Vale FC will have plenty to reflect on. Burton Albion FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.53 Port Vale FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.31 Burton Albion FC xG
I would bet for: Port Vale FC or Burton Albion FC 73% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Port Vale FC42% Draw27% Burton Albion FC31%
Actual: Burton Albion FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.84
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Port Vale FC or Draw
69%
Draw or Burton Albion FC
58%
Port Vale FC or Burton Albion FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Port Vale FC30% Draw46% Burton Albion FC24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted
2 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
12.6%
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 0
8%
0 – 0
7.7%
1 – 2
7.4%
0 – 1
6.7%
2 – 0
6.7%
2 – 2
5.7%
0 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.4%
3 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Port Vale FC

Handicap Port Vale FC covers Push Burton Albion FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 20% 59%
-0.5 41% — 59%
+0.5 69% — 31%
+1 69% 17% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Port Vale FC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.