Thursday , 2 July 2026

Port Vale FC vs Burton Albion FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Tue 19 Sep 2023 · 18:45 UTC Vale Park 5,993 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 11' Bez Lubala
Ben Garrity 40' 1–1
1–2 51' Steve Seddon
1–3 61' Kwadwo Baah
Ollie Arblaster 86' 2–3

Overview

Match Preview

Port Vale FC vs Burton Albion FCLeague One at Vale Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Ben Toner
  • Assistant 1 Declan O'Shea (England)
  • Assistant 2 Jake Topp (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Sep Burton Albion FC H 2–3 L
16 Sep Northampton Town FC H 1–0 W
02 Sep Oxford United FC A 2–1 W
26 Aug Carlisle United FC H 1–0 W
19 Aug Charlton Athletic FC A 3–2 W
15 Aug Blackpool FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Sep Port Vale FC A 3–2 W
16 Sep Barnsley FC A 0–2 L
02 Sep Exeter City FC H 0–1 L
26 Aug Bolton Wanderers FC H 1–1 D
19 Aug Wycombe Wanderers FC A 0–0 D
15 Aug Shrewsbury Town FC A 1–2 L

Season Stats

Port Vale FC Burton Albion FC
#22 Position #17
42 Points 54
46 Played 46
10 / 12 / 24 W / D / L 13 / 15 / 18
36 Scored 50
61 Conceded 60
-25 GD -10
0.91 PPG 1.17
22% Win % 28%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Port Vale FC are 22nd (42 pts). Burton Albion FC are 17th (54 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Port Vale FC vs Burton Albion FC — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Port Vale FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 10' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 11' A stunning finish from Bez Lubala — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 16' It’s high time Dino Maamria made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 17' It’s a booking for Burton Albion FC player. Sam Hughes gets a card.
  • 22' Port Vale FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 27' A quiet spell here at Vale Park. Burton Albion FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 32' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Burton Albion FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 37' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 40' What composure from Ben Garrity! The England international strokes it home. 1-1.
  • 45' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Port Vale FC and Burton Albion FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 50' Port Vale FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 51' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Steve Seddon makes no mistake. 1-2!
  • 56' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 61' Kwadwo Baah has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 61 minutes.
  • 63' Lewis Cass is replacing Kofi Balmer for the Port Vale FC side.
  • 64' Mitchell Clark picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 69' Alex Iacovitti needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 70' That looks like a foul for a card for Connor Ripley.
  • 73' Jake Caprice is replacing Mustapha Carayol for the Burton Albion FC side.
  • 75' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Mark Helm on 75 minutes.
  • 76' Another substitution for Port Vale FC to replace Alex Iacovitti by James Plant on 76 minute.
  • 81' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 86' Ollie Arblaster makes no mistake. The score reads 2-3 and Port Vale FC are in front.
  • 90' A moment of madness from Joe Powell on 90 minutes earns him a card. Burton Albion FC will be frustrated.
  • 90' Ryan Sweeney is ready to make an impact after coming on for Mark Helm at the 90 minute mark.
  • 2-3 the final result. Port Vale FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.33 Port Vale FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.31 Burton Albion FC xG
I would bet for: Port Vale FC or Burton Albion FC 72%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Port Vale FC38% Draw28% Burton Albion FC34%
Actual: Burton Albion FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.64
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Port Vale FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Burton Albion FC
62%
Port Vale FC or Burton Albion FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Port Vale FC27% Draw48% Burton Albion FC25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted
2 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 0
9.1%
1 – 0
8.5%
0 – 1
8.3%
2 – 1
8%
1 – 2
7.8%
2 – 0
6.2%
0 – 2
6%
2 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
3.5%
1 – 3
3.4%
3 – 0
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Port Vale FC

Handicap Port Vale FC covers Push Burton Albion FC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 19% 64%
-0.5 36% 64%
+0.5 65% 35%
+1 65% 19% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Port Vale FC keeps clean sheet
28%
Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.