Thursday , 2 July 2026

Burton Albion FC vs Milton Keynes Dons FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Sun 7 May 2023 · 11:00 UTC Pirelli Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 May Milton Keynes Dons FC H 0–0 D
03 May Cambridge United FC H 1–0 W
29 Apr Plymouth Argyle FC A 0–1 L
25 Apr Lincoln City FC A 1–0 W
22 Apr Derby County FC A 0–1 L
18 Apr Bolton Wanderers FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 May Burton Albion FC A 0–0 D
29 Apr Barnsley FC H 4–4 D
22 Apr Fleetwood Town FC A 0–1 L
18 Apr Charlton Athletic FC H 0–1 L
15 Apr Cheltenham Town FC H 2–2 D
10 Apr Derby County FC A 1–1 D

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Pirelli Stadium that hosts another battle between Burton Albion FC and Milton Keynes Dons FC.
  • 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Burton Albion FC that had 372 games and scored 418 goals.
  • 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
  • 15' Burton Albion FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 20' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 25' Josh McEachran has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 41 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 30' Zac Ashworth needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 9 Yellow cards this season.
  • 32' Milton Keynes Dons FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 37' Supporters expect more eagerness from Dean Lewington, as he is very good at scoring at Pirelli Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 42' It looks like no one’s ball. Burton Albion FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 47' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 52' It is a substitution in Burton Albion FC team. Dale Taylor is replaced by Josh Walker on 52 minute.
  • 53' A meaty challenge results in booking for Deji Oshilaja on 53.
  • 58' The supporters are chanting for Dawson Devoy. He replaces Josh McEachran on 58 minute.
  • 63' Time for substitution for Burton Albion FC. Tom Hamer is replaced by Charlie Kirk.
  • 68' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 73' Milton Keynes Dons FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 73.
  • 78' It looks surprising Burton Albion FC does not make any changes. Mustapha Carayol has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 79' Will Grigg has so much to prove this time. He replaces Sullay Kaikai on 79 minute.
  • 80' Another change for Burton Albion FC made on 80 minute. Mustapha Carayol leaves to be changed by Sam Winnall.
  • 85' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jasper Moon made 385 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 90' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Mohamed Eisa suffering a number of foals already.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.95 Burton Albion FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.79 Milton Keynes Dons FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 74% + Burton Albion FC or Draw 72%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Burton Albion FC39% Draw34% Milton Keynes Dons FC27%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes35% 0% No65%
Avg goals/match: 1.74
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 80%
20%
± 1.5 52%
48%
± 2.5 26%
74%
± 3.5 11%
89%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

Burton Albion FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Milton Keynes Dons FC
61%
Burton Albion FC or Milton Keynes Dons FC
66%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Burton Albion FC23% Draw58% Milton Keynes Dons FC19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
15.1%
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 1
12.4%
2 – 0
7.4%
2 – 1
6.2%
0 – 2
5.2%
1 – 2
5.1%
2 – 2
2.6%
3 – 0
2.3%
3 – 1
2%
1 – 3
1.4%

Asian Handicap — Burton Albion FC

Handicap Burton Albion FC covers Push Milton Keynes Dons FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 10% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 22% 64%
-0.5 36% 64%
+0.5 73% 27%
+1 73% 18% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
46%
Milton Keynes Dons FC keeps clean sheet
39%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.