Thursday , 2 July 2026

Burton Albion FC vs Cambridge United FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Wed 3 May 2023 · 18:45 UTC Pirelli Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May Cambridge United FC H 1–0 W
29 Apr Plymouth Argyle FC A 0–1 L
25 Apr Lincoln City FC A 1–0 W
22 Apr Derby County FC A 0–1 L
18 Apr Bolton Wanderers FC H 1–1 D
15 Apr Sheffield Wednesday FC H 3–2 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Burton Albion FC and Cambridge United FC get this one started.
  • 5' It looks like no one’s ball. Cambridge United FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 13' A moment of madness from Thierry Latty-Fairweather on 13 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Burton Albion FC will be frustrated.
  • 18' Fresh legs for Burton Albion FC! Ben Radcliffe comes on to replace Thierry Latty-Fairweather.
  • 23' The travelling Cambridge United FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 28' What composure from Mark Helm! The England international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 33' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 38' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 43' Over 43 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 46' A tactical swap from Cambridge United FCGeorge Thomas on, James Brophy off on 46 minutes.
  • 51' A quiet spell here at Pirelli Stadium. Burton Albion FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 56' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 61' With 0 assists to his name this season, Liam O'Neil is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Cambridge United FC.
  • 64' Bobby Kamwa is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jonny Smith at the 64 minute mark.
  • 69' Dale Taylor has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 71' The whistle greets Harvey Knibbs as he departs to be replaced by Fejiri Okenabirhie.
  • 76' It looks surprising Cambridge United FC does not make any changes. Sam Smith has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 77' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Charlie Kirk on 77 minutes.
  • 82' Cambridge United FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 85' Another substitution for Burton Albion FC to replace Charlie Kirk by Sam Winnall on 85 minute.
  • 86' The supporters are chanting for Liam O'Neil. He replaces Paul Digby on 86 minute.
  • 90' The referee has no hesitation. Michael Morrison is booked for Cambridge United FC — Yellow card on 90.
  • Full Time. Burton Albion FC beats Cambridge United FC

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.42 Burton Albion FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.25 Cambridge United FC xG
I would bet for: Burton Albion FC or Cambridge United FC 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burton Albion FC43% Draw27% Cambridge United FC30%
Actual: Burton Albion FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.67
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Burton Albion FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Cambridge United FC
57%
Burton Albion FC or Cambridge United FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Burton Albion FC29% Draw47% Cambridge United FC24%
Actual: Burton Albion FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 0
8.9%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.4%
0 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
7.4%
2 – 0
6.8%
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
4%
3 – 0
3.2%
1 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Burton Albion FC

Handicap Burton Albion FC covers Push Cambridge United FC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 20% 60%
-0.5 40% 60%
+0.5 68% 32%
+1 68% 18% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
29%
Cambridge United FC keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.