Burton Albion FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Burton Albion FC vs Derby County FC — League One at Pirelli Stadium.
- Burton Albion FC 8 games · 12 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee James Bell
- Assistant 1 Ian Cooper
- Assistant 2 George Byrne
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bradford City AFC | 7 | 15 |
| 2 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | Stockport County FC | 8 | 13 |
| 4 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 8 | 13 |
| 5 | Cambridge United FC | 8 | 13 |
| 6 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 7 | 12 |
| 7 | Burton Albion FC | 8 | 12 |
| 8 | AFC Wimbledon | 8 | 12 |
| 9 | Reading FC | 7 | 11 |
| 10 | Oxford United FC | 6 | 11 |
| 11 | Leyton Orient FC | 7 | 10 |
| 12 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 13 | Stevenage FC | 7 | 9 |
| 14 | Leicester City FC | 7 | 9 |
| 15 | Blackpool FC | 7 | 8 |
| 16 | Luton Town FC | 7 | 8 |
| 17 | Mansfield Town FC | 7 | 8 |
| 18 | Barnsley FC | 7 | 8 |
| 19 | Bromley FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Notts County FC | 7 | 7 |
| 21 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 7 | 6 |
| 22 | Milton Keynes Dons FC | 7 | 6 |
| 23 | Peterborough United FC | 8 | 5 |
| 24 | Wigan Athletic FC | 7 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug | Derby County FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 05 Aug | Blackpool FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 07 May | Milton Keynes Dons FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 03 May | Cambridge United FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Apr | Plymouth Argyle FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Apr | Lincoln City FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug | Burton Albion FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 05 Aug | Wigan Athletic FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 07 May | Sheffield Wednesday FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Apr | Portsmouth FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Apr | Burton Albion FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Apr | Exeter City FC | A | 2–1 | W |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
13%
Clean Sheets
Burton Albion FC this season
Burton Albion FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Burton Albion FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
5/1
31-45
–/3
46-60
1/–
61-75
2/2
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Burton Albion FC
| Jack Armer | 2 G | 1 A |
| Finn Delap | 2 G | |
| Matthew Dennis | 1 G | |
| Kgaogelo Chauke | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Burton Albion FC and Derby County FC is underway.
- 2' The referee calls foul for Steve Seddon. He receives a card.
- 7' A goal from the Ireland international James Collins! He fires home on 7 to make it 0-1!
- 12' Derby County FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 17' Eiran Cashin has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 9 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 22' John Brayford has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 2 cards already picked up this season.
- 27' England international Sam Hughes has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 32' Callum Elder, a Australia defender, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 37' The 26-year-old Kane Wilson has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 42' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 45' It’s a booking for Derby County FC player. Nathaniel Mendez-Laing gets a card.
- 50' Joe Wildsmith is a natural goalkeeper and has been asked to do a very specific job for Burton Albion FC tonight.
- 55' Burton Albion FC is showing some good football. However, Burton Albion FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 58' Burton Albion FC make a change. Jake Caprice trudges off to be replaced by Mason Bennett on 58 minutes.
- 63' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 68' That is a card for Derby County FC. Conor Hourihane will be fuming at that decision.
- 73' Bobby Kamwa is replacing Rekeem Harper for the Burton Albion FC side.
- 78' Conor Hourihane adds to his 0 season tally! Derby County FC lead 0-2 — and this changes everything.
- 81' The Derby County FC manager makes a substitution. Nathaniel Mendez-Laing departs to be replaced by Conor Washington.
- 82' Martyn Waghorn is ready to make an impact after coming on for Conor Hourihane at the 82 minute mark.
- 83' Mustapha Carayol is replacing Steve Seddon for the Burton Albion FC side.
- 84' GOAL! Conor Washington fires home to make it 0-3!
- 87' Time for substitution for Derby County FC. James Collins is replaced by Liam Thompson.
- 90' It’s a booking for Derby County FC player. Eiran Cashin gets a card.
- 90' The Derby County FC manager makes a substitution. Craig Forsyth departs to be replaced by Callum Elder.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. Derby County FC take all three points.
Lineups
Burton Albion FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
8
Rekeem Harper ↓ Bobby Kamwa 73'
- 7
- 2
- 30
- 10
- 6
-
3
Steve Seddon ↓ Mustapha Carayol 83'
-
22
Jake Caprice ↓ Mason Bennett 58'
- 5
- 17
- 4
Bench
-
11
Mason Bennett ↑ 58'
- 19
-
21
Mustapha Carayol ↑ 83'
- 1
- 25
-
18
Bobby Kamwa ↑ 73'
- 16
Coach
Dino Maamria
Derby County FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 12
-
3
Craig Forsyth ↓ Callum Elder 90'
- 8
- 11
- 4
- 35
-
23
Joe Ward ↓ Kane Wilson 90'
-
9
James Collins ↓ Liam Thompson 87'
- 5
- 6
- 1
Bench
-
10
Martyn Waghorn ↑ 82'
-
14
Conor Washington ↑ 81'
-
2
Kane Wilson ↑ 90'
- 31
-
20
Callum Elder ↑ 90'
-
16
Liam Thompson ↑ 87'
- 34
Coach
Paul Warne
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| James Collins | 3 |
| Conor Hourihane | 2 |
| Victor Adeboyejo | 1 |
| David McGoldrick | 1 |
| Conor Washington | 1 |
| Thomas Barkhuizen | 1 |
| Steve Seddon | 1 |
| Joe Hugill | 1 |
Head to Head
Burton Albion FC Form
2023-08-12
Burton Albion FC
0–3
Derby County FC
L
2023-08-05
Blackpool FC
2–0
Burton Albion FC
L
2023-05-07
Burton Albion FC
0–0
Milton Keynes Dons FC
D
2023-05-03
Burton Albion FC
1–0
Cambridge United FC
W
2023-04-29
Plymouth Argyle FC
1–0
Burton Albion FC
L
2023-04-25
Lincoln City FC
0–1
Burton Albion FC
W
Derby County FC Form
2023-08-12
Burton Albion FC
0–3
Derby County FC
W
2023-08-05
Derby County FC
1–2
Wigan Athletic FC
L
2023-05-07
Sheffield Wednesday FC
1–0
Derby County FC
L
2023-04-29
Derby County FC
1–1
Portsmouth FC
D
2023-04-22
Derby County FC
1–0
Burton Albion FC
W
2023-04-18
Exeter City FC
1–2
Derby County FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.85
Burton Albion FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.35
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Derby County FC or Draw 75% + Under 2.5 goals 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Derby County FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.2
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 2.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 3.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Burton Albion FC or Draw
56%
Draw or Derby County FC
75%
Burton Albion FC or Derby County FC
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Derby County FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 1
13.9%
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 0
13.4%
0 – 2
9.8%
1 – 2
8.3%
1 – 0
8.2%
2 – 1
5.2%
0 – 3
Actual
1 – 3
3.8%
2 – 0
3.8%
2 – 2
3.6%
2 – 3
1.7%
Asian Handicap — Burton Albion FC
| Handicap | Burton Albion FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 6% | 93% |
| -1.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -1 | 7% | 15% | 78% |
| -0.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| +0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +1 | 53% | 24% | 23% |
| +1.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +2 | 77% | 14% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
43%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

