Burton Albion FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Burton Albion FC vs Derby County FC — League One at Pirelli Stadium.
- Burton Albion FC 1 games · 1 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee James Bell
- Assistant 1 Ian Cooper
- Assistant 2 George Byrne
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City FC | 46 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff City FC | 46 | 91 |
| 3 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 46 | 75 |
| 4 | Exeter City FC | 46 | 49 |
| 5 | Port Vale FC | 46 | 42 |
| 6 | Rotherham United FC | 46 | 41 |
| 7 | Northampton Town FC | 46 | 35 |
| 8 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Stockport County FC | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Bradford City AFC | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Luton Town FC | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Cambridge United FC | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Mansfield Town FC | 1 | 3 |
| 14 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 1 | 3 |
| 15 | Bromley FC | 1 | 3 |
| 16 | Oxford United FC | 1 | 1 |
| 17 | Milton Keynes Dons FC | 1 | 1 |
| 18 | Stevenage FC | 1 | 1 |
| 19 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 1 | 1 |
| 20 | Blackpool FC | 1 | 1 |
| 21 | Burton Albion FC | 1 | 1 |
| 22 | Leicester City FC | 1 | 1 |
| 23 | Notts County FC | 1 | 1 |
| 24 | Reading FC | 1 | 0 |
| 25 | Wigan Athletic FC | 1 | 0 |
| 26 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 1 | 0 |
| 27 | Leyton Orient FC | 1 | 0 |
| 28 | Barnsley FC | 1 | 0 |
| 29 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 1 | 0 |
| 30 | Peterborough United FC | 1 | 0 |
| 31 | AFC Wimbledon | 1 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug | Derby County FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 05 Aug | Blackpool FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 07 May | Milton Keynes Dons FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 03 May | Cambridge United FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Apr | Plymouth Argyle FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Apr | Lincoln City FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug | Burton Albion FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 05 Aug | Wigan Athletic FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 07 May | Sheffield Wednesday FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Apr | Portsmouth FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Apr | Burton Albion FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Apr | Exeter City FC | A | 2–1 | W |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Burton Albion FC this season
Burton Albion FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Burton Albion FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Burton Albion FC welcome Derby County FC for this crunch clash at Pirelli Stadium.
- 2' A moment of madness from Steve Seddon on 2 minutes earns him a card. Burton Albion FC will be frustrated.
- 7' What a strike from James Collins! The score is 0-1.
- 12' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 17' Martyn Waghorn needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 22' Burton Albion FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 22.
- 27' The home supporters are growing impatient. Burton Albion FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 32' A quiet spell here at Pirelli Stadium. Derby County FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 37' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 42' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 45' Nathaniel Mendez-Laing was booked on 45.
- 50' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 55' Conor Hourihane is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Derby County FC tonight.
- 58' It is a substitution in Burton Albion FC team. Jake Caprice is replaced by Mason Bennett on 58 minute.
- 63' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 63 minutes.
- 68' It’s a booking for Derby County FC player. Conor Hourihane gets a card.
- 73' Bobby Kamwa gets the nod from Burton Albion FC. He replaces Rekeem Harper and will look to change the dynamic.
- 78' GOAL! Conor Hourihane scores on 78. Assisted by Max Bird
- 81' Another change for Derby County FC made on 81 minute. Nathaniel Mendez-Laing leaves to be changed by Conor Washington.
- 82' A tactical swap from Derby County FC — Martyn Waghorn on, Conor Hourihane off on 82 minutes.
- 83' The whistle greets Steve Seddon as he departs to be replaced by Mustapha Carayol.
- 84' GOAL! Conor Washington fires home to make it 0-3!
- 87' Derby County FC make a change. James Collins trudges off to be replaced by Liam Thompson on 87 minutes.
- 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Eiran Cashin.
- 90' Derby County FC make a change. Craig Forsyth trudges off to be replaced by Callum Elder on 90 minutes.
- The final score is 0-3.
Lineups
Burton Albion FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
8
Rekeem Harper ↓ Bobby Kamwa 73'
- 7
- 2
- 30
- 10
- 6
-
3
Steve Seddon ↓ Mustapha Carayol 83'
-
22
Jake Caprice ↓ Mason Bennett 58'
- 5
- 17
- 4
Bench
-
11
Mason Bennett ↑ 58'
- 19
-
21
Mustapha Carayol ↑ 83'
- 1
- 25
-
18
Bobby Kamwa ↑ 73'
- 16
Coach
Dino Maamria
Derby County FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 12
-
3
Craig Forsyth ↓ Callum Elder 90'
- 8
- 11
- 4
- 35
-
23
Joe Ward ↓ Kane Wilson 90'
-
9
James Collins ↓ Liam Thompson 87'
- 5
- 6
- 1
Bench
-
10
Martyn Waghorn ↑ 82'
-
14
Conor Washington ↑ 81'
-
2
Kane Wilson ↑ 90'
- 31
-
20
Callum Elder ↑ 90'
-
16
Liam Thompson ↑ 87'
- 34
Coach
Paul Warne
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| James Collins | 3 |
| Conor Hourihane | 2 |
| Victor Adeboyejo | 1 |
| David McGoldrick | 1 |
| Conor Washington | 1 |
| Thomas Barkhuizen | 1 |
| Steve Seddon | 1 |
| Joe Hugill | 1 |
Head to Head
Burton Albion FC Form
2023-08-12
Burton Albion FC
0–3
Derby County FC
L
2023-08-05
Blackpool FC
2–0
Burton Albion FC
L
2023-05-07
Burton Albion FC
0–0
Milton Keynes Dons FC
D
2023-05-03
Burton Albion FC
1–0
Cambridge United FC
W
2023-04-29
Plymouth Argyle FC
1–0
Burton Albion FC
L
2023-04-25
Lincoln City FC
0–1
Burton Albion FC
W
Derby County FC Form
2023-08-12
Burton Albion FC
0–3
Derby County FC
W
2023-08-05
Derby County FC
1–2
Wigan Athletic FC
L
2023-05-07
Sheffield Wednesday FC
1–0
Derby County FC
L
2023-04-29
Derby County FC
1–1
Portsmouth FC
D
2023-04-22
Derby County FC
1–0
Burton Albion FC
W
2023-04-18
Exeter City FC
1–2
Derby County FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.85
Burton Albion FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.35
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Derby County FC or Draw 75% + Under 2.5 goals 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Derby County FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.2
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 2.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 3.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Burton Albion FC or Draw
56%
Draw or Derby County FC
75%
Burton Albion FC or Derby County FC
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Derby County FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 1
13.9%
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 0
13.4%
0 – 2
9.8%
1 – 2
8.3%
1 – 0
8.2%
2 – 1
5.2%
0 – 3
Actual
1 – 3
3.8%
2 – 0
3.8%
2 – 2
3.6%
2 – 3
1.7%
Asian Handicap — Burton Albion FC
| Handicap | Burton Albion FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 6% | 93% |
| -1.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -1 | 7% | 15% | 78% |
| -0.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| +0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +1 | 53% | 24% | 23% |
| +1.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +2 | 77% | 14% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
43%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.