Burton Albion FC vs Carlisle United FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Burton Albion FC vs Carlisle United FC — League One at Pirelli Stadium.
- Burton Albion FC 15 games · 17 pts (2026/27)
- Carlisle United FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Craig Hicks
- Assistant 1
- Assistant 2 Christopher Husband (England)
5 games this season
🟨 2.6/game
⚽ 6.4 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 14 | 29 |
| 2 | Stockport County FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Oxford United FC | 13 | 26 |
| 4 | Luton Town FC | 14 | 24 |
| 5 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 14 | 23 |
| 6 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 15 | 23 |
| 7 | Reading FC | 15 | 22 |
| 8 | Bradford City AFC | 13 | 22 |
| 9 | Milton Keynes Dons FC | 14 | 21 |
| 10 | Cambridge United FC | 14 | 21 |
| 11 | Leicester City FC | 13 | 19 |
| 12 | Mansfield Town FC | 13 | 19 |
| 13 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 13 | 18 |
| 14 | Leyton Orient FC | 13 | 17 |
| 15 | Burton Albion FC | 15 | 17 |
| 16 | Stevenage FC | 12 | 16 |
| 17 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 16 |
| 18 | Notts County FC | 12 | 14 |
| 19 | Blackpool FC | 13 | 12 |
| 20 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 13 | 12 |
| 21 | Wigan Athletic FC | 15 | 12 |
| 22 | Barnsley FC | 13 | 10 |
| 23 | Peterborough United FC | 13 | 10 |
| 24 | Bromley FC | 13 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb | Carlisle United FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Feb | Northampton Town FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 17 Feb | Leyton Orient FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Feb | Bristol Rovers FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 03 Feb | Lincoln City FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Jan | Cambridge United FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb | Burton Albion FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Feb | Bristol Rovers FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Feb | Cambridge United FC | H | 0–4 | L |
| 10 Feb | Portsmouth FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 03 Feb | Leyton Orient FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 27 Jan | Bolton Wanderers FC | H | 1–4 | L |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
Burton Albion FC this season
Burton Albion FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Burton Albion FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
6/3
31-45
1/6
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/3
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Burton Albion FC
| Jack Armer | 3 G | 1 A |
| Finn Delap | 3 G | |
| Matthew Dennis | 1 G | |
| Kgaogelo Chauke | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Burton Albion FC and Carlisle United FC is underway.
- 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. Martin Paterson might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 10' It is a cagey affair so far. Burton Albion FC in their trying to find a way past Carlisle United FC's compact .
- 12' Jack Diamond was booked on 12.
- 17' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Carlisle United FC that had 57 games and scored 53 goals.
- 18' Another substitution for Burton Albion FC to replace Mason Bennett by Antwoine Hackford on 18 minute.
- 23' It looks surprising Burton Albion FC does not make any changes. Ademola Ola-Adebomi has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 27' Paul Huntington puts Carlisle United FC on the lead.
- 32' The 25-year-old Jack Robinson has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 37' The travelling Carlisle United FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 42' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 47' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jon Mellish made 13 appearances and scored 12 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 52' Tom Hamer has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 21 cards already picked up this season.
- 57' Burton Albion FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 62' John Brayford has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 67' With 0 assists to his name this season, Taylor Charters is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Carlisle United FC.
- 72' Burton Albion FC make a change. John Brayford trudges off to be replaced by Joe Hugill on 72 minutes.
- 77' Harrison Neal is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Carlisle United FC tonight.
- 82' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 83' Another change for Carlisle United FC made on 83 minute. Taylor Charters leaves to be changed by Daniel Butterworth.
- 86' Poor challenge from Josh Vela. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 88' Carlisle United FC make a change. Josh Vela trudges off to be replaced by Alfie McCalmont on 88 minutes.
- With this win, Carlisle United FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Burton Albion FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
- 11
-
2
John Brayford ↓ Joe Hugill 72'
- 37
- 6
- 1
- 23
- 17
- 46
- 4
- 20
Bench
- 8
- 30
- 3
- 21
-
32
Antwoine Hackford ↑ 18'
- 18
-
44
Joe Hugill ↑ 72'
Coach
Martin Paterson
Carlisle United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
- 35
- 40
-
27
Jack Diamond ↓ Jack Robinson 83'
- 6
-
36
Josh Vela ↓ Alfie McCalmont 88'
- 5
- 15
- 3
- 18
- 33
Bench
- 24
-
11
Daniel Butterworth ↑ 83'
-
10
Alfie McCalmont ↑ 88'
-
19
Jack Robinson ↑ 83'
- 13
- 7
- 34
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Joe Garner | 1 |
| Jordan Gibson | 1 |
| Paul Huntington | 1 |
| Mark Helm | 1 |
Head to Head
Burton Albion FC Form
2024-02-27
Burton Albion FC
0–1
Carlisle United FC
L
2024-02-24
Burton Albion FC
0–2
Northampton Town FC
L
2024-02-17
Leyton Orient FC
1–2
Burton Albion FC
W
2024-02-10
Bristol Rovers FC
1–2
Burton Albion FC
W
2024-02-03
Burton Albion FC
0–1
Lincoln City FC
L
2024-01-27
Cambridge United FC
0–0
Burton Albion FC
D
Carlisle United FC Form
2024-02-27
Burton Albion FC
0–1
Carlisle United FC
W
2024-02-24
Bristol Rovers FC
2–1
Carlisle United FC
L
2024-02-17
Carlisle United FC
0–4
Cambridge United FC
L
2024-02-10
Carlisle United FC
0–1
Portsmouth FC
L
2024-02-03
Leyton Orient FC
3–2
Carlisle United FC
L
2024-01-27
Carlisle United FC
1–4
Bolton Wanderers FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.97
Burton Albion FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.24
Carlisle United FC xG
I would bet for:
Burton Albion FC or Carlisle United FC 69% + Under 2.5 goals 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Carlisle United FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.21
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 2.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 3.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Burton Albion FC or Draw
62%
Draw or Carlisle United FC
69%
Burton Albion FC or Carlisle United FC
69%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Carlisle United FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 0
13.2%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9.4%
0 – 2
8.1%
1 – 2
7.9%
2 – 1
6.2%
2 – 0
4.9%
2 – 2
4%
1 – 3
3.3%
0 – 3
3.3%
3 – 1
2%
Asian Handicap — Burton Albion FC
| Handicap | Burton Albion FC covers | Push | Carlisle United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 7% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 17% | 73% |
| -0.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| +0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +1 | 59% | 22% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +2 | 82% | 12% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Carlisle United FC keeps clean sheet
38%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.