Burton Albion FC vs Lincoln City FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Burton Albion FC vs Lincoln City FC — League One at Pirelli Stadium.
- Burton Albion FC 8 games · 12 pts (2026/27)
- Lincoln City FC 46 games · 103 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Jeremy Simpson
- Assistant 1 Rob Hyde (England)
- Assistant 2 Bhupinder Gill
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bradford City AFC | 7 | 15 |
| 2 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | Stockport County FC | 8 | 13 |
| 4 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 8 | 13 |
| 5 | Cambridge United FC | 8 | 13 |
| 6 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 7 | 12 |
| 7 | Burton Albion FC | 8 | 12 |
| 8 | AFC Wimbledon | 8 | 12 |
| 9 | Reading FC | 7 | 11 |
| 10 | Oxford United FC | 6 | 11 |
| 11 | Leyton Orient FC | 7 | 10 |
| 12 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 13 | Stevenage FC | 7 | 9 |
| 14 | Leicester City FC | 7 | 9 |
| 15 | Blackpool FC | 7 | 8 |
| 16 | Luton Town FC | 7 | 8 |
| 17 | Mansfield Town FC | 7 | 8 |
| 18 | Barnsley FC | 7 | 8 |
| 19 | Bromley FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Notts County FC | 7 | 7 |
| 21 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 7 | 6 |
| 22 | Milton Keynes Dons FC | 7 | 6 |
| 23 | Peterborough United FC | 8 | 5 |
| 24 | Wigan Athletic FC | 7 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb | Lincoln City FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Jan | Cambridge United FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Jan | Charlton Athletic FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Jan | Derby County FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 06 Jan | Wycombe Wanderers FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Jan | Bolton Wanderers FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb | Burton Albion FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Jan | Peterborough United FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Jan | Derby County FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 13 Jan | Wycombe Wanderers FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Jan | Blackpool FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Dec | Northampton Town FC | H | 1–2 | L |
Key Stats
43%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
13%
Clean Sheets
Burton Albion FC this season
Burton Albion FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Burton Albion FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
5/1
31-45
–/3
46-60
1/–
61-75
2/2
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Burton Albion FC
| Jack Armer | 2 G | 1 A |
| Finn Delap | 2 G | |
| Matthew Dennis | 1 G | |
| Kgaogelo Chauke | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Lincoln City FC kicks off things out of here…
- 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Tolaji Bola suffering a number of foals already.
- 6' A meaty challenge results in booking for Jasper Moon on 6.
- 11' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 16' Max Crocombe needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 17' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Adedeji Oshilaja on 17 minutes.
- 21' It’s gonna be a card for John Brayford.
- 23' It’s gonna be a card for Alexander Mitchell.
- 28' Ted Bishop has been relatively quiet despite scoring 4 goals in his last 323 appearances.
- 29' Alexander Mitchell has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 29.
- 34' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 39' The Lincoln City FC bench stirs into life. Dylan Duffy is withdrawn and Paudie O'Connor gets his opportunity.
- 44' Ireland international Sean Roughan has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 45' That looks like a foul for a card for Joe Powell.
- 46' Another substitution for Burton Albion FC to replace Jake Caprice by Bobby Kamwa on 46 minute.
- 49' The referee shows Burton Albion FC player a card on 49.
- 54' Recco Hackett-Fairchild puts Lincoln City FC on the lead.
- 58' Mustapha Carayol has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jasper Moon on 58 minute.
- 60' The supporters are chanting for Mason Bennett. He replaces Kyle Hudlin on 60 minute.
- 64' Another substitution for Lincoln City FC to replace Freddie Draper by Ben House on 64 minute.
- 67' Tolaji Bola is having his name booked by the referee on 67.
- 72' A change in the Burton Albion FC ranks — Mark Helm exits the field as Antwoine Hackford enters on 72.
- 74' A moment of madness from Bobby Kamwa on 74 minutes earns him a card. Burton Albion FC will be frustrated.
- 79' Burton Albion FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Lincoln City FC's shape.
- 82' Another substitution for Lincoln City FC to replace Ted Bishop by Jack Burroughs on 82 minute.
- 87' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 90' Lincoln City FC player sees a card in front of him.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Lincoln City FC players.
Lineups
Burton Albion FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
-
12
Jasper Moon ↓ Mustapha Carayol 58'
- 2
- 6
- 1
-
22
Jake Caprice ↓ Bobby Kamwa 46'
- 23
-
15
Kyle Hudlin ↓ Mason Bennett 60'
-
17
Mark Helm ↓ Antwoine Hackford 72'
-
4
Adedeji Oshilaja ↓ Joe Hugill 60'
- 20
Bench
- 8
-
11
Mason Bennett ↑ 60'
- 30
-
21
Mustapha Carayol ↑ 58'
-
32
Antwoine Hackford ↑ 72'
-
18
Bobby Kamwa ↑ 46'
-
44
Joe Hugill ↑ 60'
Coach
Martin Paterson
Lincoln City FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
- 2
- 5
- 6
- 11
- 1
- 23
-
17
Dylan Duffy ↓ Paudie O'Connor 39'
-
10
Ted Bishop ↓ Jack Burroughs 82'
-
34
Freddie Draper ↓ Ben House 64'
- 25
Bench
-
24
Conor McGrandles ↑ 82'
- 9
-
15
Paudie O'Connor ↑ 39'
-
16
Jack Burroughs ↑ 82'
-
18
Ben House ↑ 64'
- 14
- 12
Coach
Tom Shaw
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Joe Powell | 3 |
| Sam Hughes | 3 |
| Tom Hopper | 2 |
| Jonny Smith | 2 |
| Brennan Johnson | 2 |
| Tony Scully | 2 |
| Paudie O'Connor | 2 |
| Harry Anderson | 2 |
Head to Head
Burton Albion FC Form
2024-02-03
Burton Albion FC
0–1
Lincoln City FC
L
2024-01-27
Cambridge United FC
0–0
Burton Albion FC
D
2024-01-20
Burton Albion FC
2–0
Charlton Athletic FC
W
2024-01-15
Derby County FC
3–2
Burton Albion FC
L
2024-01-06
Burton Albion FC
1–1
Wycombe Wanderers FC
D
2024-01-01
Bolton Wanderers FC
1–0
Burton Albion FC
L
Lincoln City FC Form
2024-02-03
Burton Albion FC
0–1
Lincoln City FC
W
2024-01-27
Lincoln City FC
0–0
Peterborough United FC
D
2024-01-20
Lincoln City FC
0–0
Derby County FC
D
2024-01-13
Wycombe Wanderers FC
1–1
Lincoln City FC
D
2024-01-01
Blackpool FC
2–0
Lincoln City FC
L
2023-12-29
Lincoln City FC
1–2
Northampton Town FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.2
Burton Albion FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.84
Lincoln City FC xG
I would bet for:
Burton Albion FC or Draw 75% + Under 2.5 goals 67%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Lincoln City FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.04
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 1.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 2.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 3.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
| ± 4.5 | 6% |
|
94% |
Double Chance
Burton Albion FC or Draw
75%
Draw or Lincoln City FC
56%
Burton Albion FC or Lincoln City FC
69%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.5%
1 – 0
14.4%
1 – 1
14%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
9%
2 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
5.3%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
3.5%
2 – 2
3.3%
3 – 1
3.1%
1 – 3
1.5%
Asian Handicap — Burton Albion FC
| Handicap | Burton Albion FC covers | Push | Lincoln City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 13% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 24% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 16% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
44%
✓
Lincoln City FC keeps clean sheet
31%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

