Burton Albion FC vs Lincoln City FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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League One · 2023-24

Burton Albion FC

0 – 1

Full Time

Lincoln City FC

Sat 3 Feb 2024 · 15:00 UTC Pirelli Stadium 3,995 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 54' Recco Hackett-Fairchild

Jasper Moon 6' Y

Adedeji Oshilaja 17' Y

John Brayford 21' Y

Y 23' Alexander Mitchell

YR 29' Alexander Mitchell

Joe Powell 45' Y

Ryan Sweeney 49' Y

Tolaji Bola 67' Y

Bobby Kamwa 74' Y

Y 90' Ben House

Y 90' Lasse Sorensen

Ademola Ola-Adebomi 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Burton Albion FC vs Lincoln City FC — League One at Pirelli Stadium.

Burton Albion FC 15 games · 17 pts (2026/27)
Lincoln City FC 46 games · 103 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Jeremy Simpson
Assistant 1 Rob Hyde (England)
Assistant 2 Bhupinder Gill

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Huddersfield Town AFC	14	29
2	Stockport County FC	15	29
3	Oxford United FC	13	26
4	Luton Town FC	14	24
5	Sheffield Wednesday FC	14	23
6	Plymouth Argyle FC	15	23
7	Reading FC	15	22
8	Bradford City AFC	13	22
9	Milton Keynes Dons FC	14	21
10	Cambridge United FC	14	21
11	Leicester City FC	13	19
12	Mansfield Town FC	13	19
13	Wycombe Wanderers FC	13	18
14	Leyton Orient FC	13	17
15	Burton Albion FC	15	17
16	Stevenage FC	12	16
17	AFC Wimbledon	14	16
18	Notts County FC	12	14
19	Wigan Athletic FC	15	14
20	Blackpool FC	13	12
21	Doncaster Rovers FC	13	12
22	Peterborough United FC	13	10
23	Barnsley FC	13	9
24	Bromley FC	13	9

Head-to-Head

Burton Albion FC 14 games · Avg 2.6 goals Lincoln City FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-02-03 Burton Albion FC 0–1 Lincoln City FC 2023-10-14 Lincoln City FC 0–1 Burton Albion FC 2023-04-25 Lincoln City FC 0–1 Burton Albion FC 2022-12-26 Burton Albion FC 3–0 Lincoln City FC 2022-01-29 Lincoln City FC 1–2 Burton Albion FC

Recent Form

Burton Albion FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Feb	Lincoln City FC	H	0–1	L
27 Jan	Cambridge United FC	A	0–0	D
20 Jan	Charlton Athletic FC	H	2–0	W
15 Jan	Derby County FC	A	2–3	L
06 Jan	Wycombe Wanderers FC	H	1–1	D
01 Jan	Bolton Wanderers FC	A	0–1	L

Lincoln City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Feb	Burton Albion FC	A	1–0	W
27 Jan	Peterborough United FC	H	0–0	D
20 Jan	Derby County FC	H	0–0	D
13 Jan	Wycombe Wanderers FC	A	1–1	D
01 Jan	Blackpool FC	A	0–2	L
29 Dec	Northampton Town FC	H	1–2	L

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

13% Clean Sheets
Burton Albion FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Burton Albion FC

0-15

1/2

16-30

6/3

31-45

1/7

46-60

3/2

61-75

2/4

76+

5/8

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Burton Albion FC

Jack Armer	3 G	1 A
Finn Delap	3 G
Matthew Dennis	1 G
Kgaogelo Chauke	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' We are underway at Pirelli Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
6' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Jasper Moon on 6 minutes.
11' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Burton Albion FC that had 387 games and scored 438 goals.
16' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
17' A meaty challenge results in booking for Adedeji Oshilaja on 17.
21' John Brayford is having his name booked by the referee on 21.
23' A meaty challenge results in booking for Alexander Mitchell on 23.
28' The 29-year-old Paudie O'Connor has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
29' Poor challenge from Alexander Mitchell. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
34' Burton Albion FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
39' Fresh legs for Lincoln City FC! Paudie O'Connor comes on to replace Dylan Duffy.
44' Burton Albion FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
45' That is a card for Burton Albion FC. Joe Powell will be fuming at that decision.
46' The Burton Albion FC bench stirs into life. Jake Caprice is withdrawn and Bobby Kamwa gets his opportunity.
49' That is a card for Burton Albion FC. Ryan Sweeney will be fuming at that decision.
54' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Recco Hackett-Fairchild makes it 0-1.
58' The supporters are chanting for Mustapha Carayol. He replaces Jasper Moon on 58 minute.
60' A tactical swap from Burton Albion FC — Mason Bennett on, Kyle Hudlin off on 60 minutes.
64' Ben House is replacing Freddie Draper for the Lincoln City FC side.
67' Tolaji Bola picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
72' Antwoine Hackford is replacing Mark Helm for the Burton Albion FC side.
74' Bobby Kamwa catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 74.
79' Supporters expect more eagerness from Lasse Sorensen, as he is very good at scoring at Pirelli Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
82' Another substitution for Lincoln City FC to replace Ted Bishop by Jack Burroughs on 82 minute.
87' Mark Helm needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
90' Ben House catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Lincoln City FC players.

Lineups

Burton Albion FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

8
Rekeem Harper
11
Mason Bennett ↑ 60'
30
Jamal Blackman
21
Mustapha Carayol ↑ 58'
32
Antwoine Hackford ↑ 72'
18
Bobby Kamwa ↑ 46'
44
Joe Hugill ↑ 60'

Coach Martin Paterson

Lincoln City FC Lineups

Starting XI

7
Recco Hackett-Fairchild ↓ Conor McGrandles 82'
2
Lasse Sorensen
5
Adam Jackson
6
Ethan Erhahon
11
Ethan Hamilton
1
Lukas Jensen
23
Sean Roughan
17
Dylan Duffy ↓ Paudie O'Connor 39'
10
Ted Bishop ↓ Jack Burroughs 82'
34
Freddie Draper ↓ Ben House 64'
25
Alexander Mitchell

Bench

24
Conor McGrandles ↑ 82'
9
Joe Taylor
15
Paudie O'Connor ↑ 39'
16
Jack Burroughs ↑ 82'
18
Ben House ↑ 64'
14
Daniel Mandroiu
12
Jordan Wright

Coach Tom Shaw

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Joe Powell	3
Sam Hughes	3
Paudie O'Connor	2
Harry Anderson	2
Tom Hopper	2
Jonny Smith	2
Brennan Johnson	2
Tony Scully	2

Head to Head

Burton Albion FC Form

2024-02-03 Burton Albion FC 0–1 Lincoln City FC L 2024-01-27 Cambridge United FC 0–0 Burton Albion FC D 2024-01-20 Burton Albion FC 2–0 Charlton Athletic FC W 2024-01-15 Derby County FC 3–2 Burton Albion FC L 2024-01-06 Burton Albion FC 1–1 Wycombe Wanderers FC D 2024-01-01 Bolton Wanderers FC 1–0 Burton Albion FC L

Lincoln City FC Form

2024-02-03 Burton Albion FC 0–1 Lincoln City FC W 2024-01-27 Lincoln City FC 0–0 Peterborough United FC D 2024-01-20 Lincoln City FC 0–0 Derby County FC D 2024-01-13 Wycombe Wanderers FC 1–1 Lincoln City FC D 2024-01-01 Blackpool FC 2–0 Lincoln City FC L 2023-12-29 Lincoln City FC 1–2 Northampton Town FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.2 Burton Albion FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.84 Lincoln City FC xG

I would bet for: Burton Albion FC or Draw 75% + Under 2.5 goals 67%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Burton Albion FC44% Draw31% Lincoln City FC25%

Actual: Lincoln City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes41% 0% No59%

Avg goals/match: 2.04

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	85%	15%
± 1.5	61%	39%
± 2.5	33%	67%
± 3.5	16%	84%
± 4.5	6%	94%

Double Chance

Burton Albion FC or Draw

75%

Draw or Lincoln City FC

56%

Burton Albion FC or Lincoln City FC

69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Burton Albion FC29% Draw54% Lincoln City FC17%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

15.5%

1 – 0

14.4%

1 – 1

14%

0 – 1

Actual

2 – 0

2 – 1

7.7%

1 – 2

5.3%

0 – 2

4.3%

3 – 0

3.5%

2 – 2

3.3%

3 – 1

3.1%

1 – 3

1.5%

Asian Handicap — Burton Albion FC

Handicap	Burton Albion FC covers	Push	Lincoln City FC covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	13%	81%
-1.5	19%	—	81%
-1	19%	24%	57%
-0.5	43%	—	57%
+0.5	76%	—	24%
+1	76%	16%	8%
+1.5	92%	—	8%
+2	92%	6%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet

44% ✓

Lincoln City FC keeps clean sheet

31% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.