Burton Albion FC vs Lincoln City FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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League One · 2023-24

Burton Albion FC

0 – 1

Full Time

Lincoln City FC

Sat 3 Feb 2024 · 15:00 UTC Pirelli Stadium 3,995 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 54' Recco Hackett-Fairchild

Jasper Moon 6' Y

Adedeji Oshilaja 17' Y

John Brayford 21' Y

Y 23' Alexander Mitchell

YR 29' Alexander Mitchell

Joe Powell 45' Y

Ryan Sweeney 49' Y

Tolaji Bola 67' Y

Bobby Kamwa 74' Y

Y 90' Ben House

Y 90' Lasse Sorensen

Ademola Ola-Adebomi 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Burton Albion FC vs Lincoln City FC — League One at Pirelli Stadium.

Burton Albion FC 46 games · 54 pts (2026/27)
Lincoln City FC 46 games · 103 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Jeremy Simpson
Assistant 1 Rob Hyde (England)
Assistant 2 Bhupinder Gill

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Lincoln City FC	46	103
2	Cardiff City FC	46	91
3	Stockport County FC	46	77
4	Bradford City AFC	46	77
5	Bolton Wanderers FC	46	75
6	Stevenage FC	46	75
7	Luton Town FC	46	74
8	Plymouth Argyle FC	46	73
9	Huddersfield Town AFC	46	67
10	Mansfield Town FC	46	65
11	Wycombe Wanderers FC	46	63
12	Reading FC	46	63
13	Blackpool FC	46	60
14	Doncaster Rovers FC	46	60
15	Barnsley FC	46	59
16	Wigan Athletic FC	46	56
17	Burton Albion FC	46	54
18	Peterborough United FC	46	53
19	AFC Wimbledon	46	53
20	Leyton Orient FC	46	52
21	Exeter City FC	46	49
22	Port Vale FC	46	42
23	Rotherham United FC	46	41
24	Northampton Town FC	46	35

Head-to-Head

Burton Albion FC 14 games · Avg 2.6 goals Lincoln City FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-02-03 Burton Albion FC 0–1 Lincoln City FC 2023-10-14 Lincoln City FC 0–1 Burton Albion FC 2023-04-25 Lincoln City FC 0–1 Burton Albion FC 2022-12-26 Burton Albion FC 3–0 Lincoln City FC 2022-01-29 Lincoln City FC 1–2 Burton Albion FC

Recent Form

Burton Albion FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Feb	Lincoln City FC	H	0–1	L
27 Jan	Cambridge United FC	A	0–0	D
20 Jan	Charlton Athletic FC	H	2–0	W
15 Jan	Derby County FC	A	2–3	L
06 Jan	Wycombe Wanderers FC	H	1–1	D
01 Jan	Bolton Wanderers FC	A	0–1	L

Lincoln City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Feb	Burton Albion FC	A	1–0	W
27 Jan	Peterborough United FC	H	0–0	D
20 Jan	Derby County FC	H	0–0	D
13 Jan	Wycombe Wanderers FC	A	1–1	D
01 Jan	Blackpool FC	A	0–2	L
29 Dec	Northampton Town FC	H	1–2	L

Season Stats

Burton Albion FC		Lincoln City FC
#17	Position	#1
54	Points	103
46	Played	46
13 / 15 / 18	W / D / L	31 / 10 / 5
50	Scored	89
60	Conceded	41
-10	GD	+48
1.17	PPG	2.24
28%	Win %	67%

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Burton Albion FC are 17th (54 pts). Lincoln City FC are 1st (103 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: Burton Albion FC gets underway.
5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jasper Moon, as he is very good at scoring at Pirelli Stadium with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
6' Jasper Moon is having his name booked by the referee on 6.
11' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Tom Shaw will be considering his options from the bench.
16' Lincoln City FC is showing some good football. However, Lincoln City FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
17' It’s gonna be a card for Adedeji Oshilaja.
21' Poor challenge from John Brayford. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
23' Poor challenge from Alexander Mitchell. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
28' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
29' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Alexander Mitchell on 29 minutes.
34' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
39' A tactical swap from Lincoln City FC — Paudie O'Connor on, Dylan Duffy off on 39 minutes.
44' Lincoln City FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
45' It’s a booking for Burton Albion FC player. Joe Powell gets a card.
46' Fresh legs for Burton Albion FC! Bobby Kamwa comes on to replace Jake Caprice.
49' The referee shows Burton Albion FC player a card on 49.
54' What composure from Recco Hackett-Fairchild! The Saint Lucia international strokes it home. 0-1.
58' It is a substitution in Burton Albion FC team. Jasper Moon is replaced by Mustapha Carayol on 58 minute.
60' The Burton Albion FC bench stirs into life. Kyle Hudlin is withdrawn and Mason Bennett gets his opportunity.
64' The whistle greets Freddie Draper as he departs to be replaced by Ben House.
67' Tolaji Bola was booked on 67.
72' Another substitution for Burton Albion FC to replace Mark Helm by Antwoine Hackford on 72 minute.
74' Bobby Kamwa is having his name booked by the referee on 74.
79' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
82' Ted Bishop makes way for Jack Burroughs at the 82 minute mark. A tactical switch from Lincoln City FC.
87' Burton Albion FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 87.
90' A moment of madness from Ben House on 90 minutes earns him a card. Lincoln City FC will be frustrated.
The referee brings this contest to a close. Lincoln City FC take all three points.

Lineups

Burton Albion FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

8
Rekeem Harper
11
Mason Bennett ↑ 60'
30
Jamal Blackman
21
Mustapha Carayol ↑ 58'
32
Antwoine Hackford ↑ 72'
18
Bobby Kamwa ↑ 46'
44
Joe Hugill ↑ 60'

Coach Martin Paterson

Lincoln City FC Lineups

Starting XI

7
Recco Hackett-Fairchild ↓ Conor McGrandles 82'
2
Lasse Sorensen
5
Adam Jackson
6
Ethan Erhahon
11
Ethan Hamilton
1
Lukas Jensen
23
Sean Roughan
17
Dylan Duffy ↓ Paudie O'Connor 39'
10
Ted Bishop ↓ Jack Burroughs 82'
34
Freddie Draper ↓ Ben House 64'
25
Alexander Mitchell

Bench

24
Conor McGrandles ↑ 82'
9
Joe Taylor
15
Paudie O'Connor ↑ 39'
16
Jack Burroughs ↑ 82'
18
Ben House ↑ 64'
14
Daniel Mandroiu
12
Jordan Wright

Coach Tom Shaw

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Joe Powell	3
Sam Hughes	3
Paudie O'Connor	2
Harry Anderson	2
Tom Hopper	2
Jonny Smith	2
Brennan Johnson	2
Tony Scully	2

Head to Head

Burton Albion FC Form

2024-02-03 Burton Albion FC 0–1 Lincoln City FC L 2024-01-27 Cambridge United FC 0–0 Burton Albion FC D 2024-01-20 Burton Albion FC 2–0 Charlton Athletic FC W 2024-01-15 Derby County FC 3–2 Burton Albion FC L 2024-01-06 Burton Albion FC 1–1 Wycombe Wanderers FC D 2024-01-01 Bolton Wanderers FC 1–0 Burton Albion FC L

Lincoln City FC Form

2024-02-03 Burton Albion FC 0–1 Lincoln City FC W 2024-01-27 Lincoln City FC 0–0 Peterborough United FC D 2024-01-20 Lincoln City FC 0–0 Derby County FC D 2024-01-13 Wycombe Wanderers FC 1–1 Lincoln City FC D 2024-01-01 Blackpool FC 2–0 Lincoln City FC L 2023-12-29 Lincoln City FC 1–2 Northampton Town FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

0.97 Burton Albion FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.23 Lincoln City FC xG

I would bet for: Burton Albion FC or Lincoln City FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Burton Albion FC33% Draw30% Lincoln City FC37%

Actual: Lincoln City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes45% 0% No55%

Avg goals/match: 2.2

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	87%	13%
± 1.5	65%	35%
± 2.5	38%	62%
± 3.5	19%	81%
± 4.5	8%	92%

Double Chance

Burton Albion FC or Draw

63%

Draw or Lincoln City FC

67%

Burton Albion FC or Lincoln City FC

70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Burton Albion FC20% Draw52% Lincoln City FC28%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

14.2%

0 – 0

13.4%

0 – 1

Actual

1 – 0

9.5%

0 – 2

1 – 2

7.9%

2 – 1

6.2%

2 – 0

2 – 2

3.9%

1 – 3

3.3%

0 – 3

3.2%

3 – 1

Asian Handicap — Burton Albion FC

Handicap	Burton Albion FC covers	Push	Lincoln City FC covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	7%	90%
-1.5	10%	—	90%
-1	10%	17%	72%
-0.5	28%	—	72%
+0.5	60%	—	40%
+1	60%	22%	18%
+1.5	82%	—	18%
+2	82%	12%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

Lincoln City FC keeps clean sheet

38% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.