Thursday , 2 July 2026

Burton Albion FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC, League One 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2024-25
Sat 8 Mar 2025 · 15:00 UTC Pirelli Stadium 4,172 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 22' Aaron Morley
Ryan Sweeney 53' 1–1
1–2 60' Josh Sheehan

Overview

Match Preview

Burton Albion FC vs Bolton Wanderers FCLeague One at Pirelli Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Lee Swabey
  • Assistant 1 Marvyn Amphlett
  • Assistant 2 Grant Taylor

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar Bolton Wanderers FC H 1–2 L
04 Mar Wycombe Wanderers FC A 0–2 L
01 Mar Mansfield Town FC H 1–1 D
22 Feb Lincoln City FC A 1–0 W
18 Feb Stevenage FC A 1–0 W
15 Feb Bristol Rovers FC A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar Burton Albion FC A 2–1 W
04 Mar Birmingham City FC H 3–1 W
01 Mar Wrexham AFC A 0–0 D
22 Feb Leyton Orient FC H 2–1 W
15 Feb Shrewsbury Town FC A 3–2 W
08 Feb Crawley Town FC H 4–3 W

Season Stats

Burton Albion FC Bolton Wanderers FC
#17 Position #5
54 Points 75
46 Played 46
13 / 15 / 18 W / D / L 19 / 18 / 9
50 Scored 70
60 Conceded 52
-10 GD +18
1.17 PPG 1.63
28% Win % 41%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Burton Albion FC are 17th (54 pts). Bolton Wanderers FC are 5th (75 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Pirelli Stadium. Burton Albion FC are looking to make home advantage count against Bolton Wanderers FC.
  • 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 10' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 15' It’s high time Gary Bowyer made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 20' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 22' Aaron Morley makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and Bolton Wanderers FC are in front.
  • 27' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 29' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for JJ McKiernan.
  • 34' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jack Armer made 378 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 39' Max Crocombe has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 42' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Jack Armer on 42 minutes.
  • 47' The referee shows Bolton Wanderers FC player a card on 47.
  • 52' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 53' GOAL! Ryan Sweeney scores on 53.
  • 58' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 59' A moment of madness from Kyran Lofthouse on 59 minutes earns him a card. Burton Albion FC will be frustrated.
  • 60' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Josh Sheehan makes no mistake. 1-2!
  • 65' Bolton Wanderers FC come into this ranked 7 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 70' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 75' It is a cagey affair so far. Burton Albion FC in their trying to find a way past Bolton Wanderers FC's compact .
  • 76' Alex Murphy picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 79' Mason Bennett picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 83' Jack Stretton has so much to prove this time. He replaces Mason Bennett on 83 minute.
  • 84' Kgaogelo Chauke is replacing Rumarn Burrell for the Burton Albion FC side.
  • 89' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 90' Burton Albion FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Tomas Kalinauskas is hanging JJ McKiernan on the field on 90 minute.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Bolton Wanderers FC take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1 Burton Albion FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.51 Bolton Wanderers FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burton Albion FC25% Draw28% Bolton Wanderers FC47%
Actual: Bolton Wanderers FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.51
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Burton Albion FC or Draw
53%
Draw or Bolton Wanderers FC
75%
Burton Albion FC or Bolton Wanderers FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Burton Albion FC19% Draw48% Bolton Wanderers FC33%
Actual: Bolton Wanderers FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 1
11.2%
0 – 0
10.1%
0 – 2
9%
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
7%
2 – 1
5.9%
2 – 2
4.6%
1 – 3
4.5%
0 – 3
4.4%
2 – 0
4%
2 – 3
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Burton Albion FC

Handicap Burton Albion FC covers Push Bolton Wanderers FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 15% 76%
-0.5 24% 76%
+0.5 53% 47%
+1 53% 23% 24%
+1.5 76% 24%
+2 76% 15% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
23%
Bolton Wanderers FC keeps clean sheet
37%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.