Thursday , 2 July 2026

Stevenage FC vs Burton Albion FC, League One 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2024-25
Tue 18 Feb 2025 · 19:45 UTC Lamex Stadium 2,801 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 45' Charlie Webster

Overview

Match Preview

Stevenage FC vs Burton Albion FCLeague One at Lamex Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee James Durkin
  • Assistant 1
  • Assistant 2 Andrew Ellis (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Feb Burton Albion FC H 0–1 L
15 Feb Peterborough United FC H 1–1 D
11 Feb Crawley Town FC A 1–3 L
08 Feb Charlton Athletic FC A 0–2 L
01 Feb Exeter City FC H 4–1 W
28 Jan Wrexham AFC A 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Feb Stevenage FC A 1–0 W
15 Feb Bristol Rovers FC A 1–3 L
08 Feb Blackpool FC H 1–1 D
01 Feb Barnsley FC A 0–0 D
28 Jan Reading FC H 3–2 W
25 Jan Rotherham United FC H 4–2 W

Season Stats

Stevenage FC Burton Albion FC
#6 Position #17
75 Points 54
46 Played 46
21 / 12 / 13 W / D / L 13 / 15 / 18
49 Scored 50
46 Conceded 60
+3 GD -10
1.63 PPG 1.17
46% Win % 28%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Stevenage FC are 6th (75 pts). Burton Albion FC are 17th (54 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Stevenage FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Stevenage FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Burton Albion FC's shape.
  • 10' England international Nick Freeman has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Burton Albion FC that had 372 games and scored 418 goals.
  • 20' Over 20 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 25' Both keepers have barely been tested. Stevenage FC and Burton Albion FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 30' It looks surprising Stevenage FC does not make any changes. Owen Dodgson has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 35' The home supporters are growing impatient. Stevenage FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 40' Burton Albion FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 40.
  • 45' Charlie Webster puts Burton Albion FC on the lead.
  • 50' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 55' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Stevenage FC and Burton Albion FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 57' That looks like a foul for a card for Terence Vancooten.
  • 62' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 63' Another substitution for Stevenage FC to replace Eli King by Elliott List on 63 minute.
  • 65' Fresh legs for Burton Albion FC! Tomas Kalinauskas comes on to replace Rumarn Burrell.
  • 69' Jordan Roberts makes way for Nick Freeman at the 69 minute mark. A tactical switch from Stevenage FC.
  • 74' Kyle Edwards is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kane Smith at the 74 minute mark.
  • 75' Jake Young is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jamie Reid at the 75 minute mark.
  • 79' Owen Dodgson catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 79.
  • 84' Another substitution for Burton Albion FC to replace Jon Bodvarsson by Mason Bennett on 84 minute.
  • 89' Mason Bennett is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Stevenage FC so far.
  • 90' A moment of madness from Max Crocombe on 90 minutes earns him a card. Burton Albion FC will be frustrated.
  • 0-1 the final result. Stevenage FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.13 Stevenage FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88 Burton Albion FC xG
I would bet for: Stevenage FC or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 68%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Stevenage FC38% Draw33% Burton Albion FC29%
Actual: Burton Albion FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 2.01
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 60%
40%
± 2.5 32%
68%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Stevenage FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Burton Albion FC
62%
Stevenage FC or Burton Albion FC
67%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Stevenage FC27% Draw55% Burton Albion FC18%
Actual: Burton Albion FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.9%
1 – 1
14.3%
1 – 0
13.9%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.2%
2 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
5.7%
0 – 2
4.9%
2 – 2
3.3%
3 – 0
3%
3 – 1
2.8%
1 – 3
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Stevenage FC

Handicap Stevenage FC covers Push Burton Albion FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 23% 60%
-0.5 40% 60%
+0.5 74% 26%
+1 74% 17% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Stevenage FC keeps clean sheet
42%
Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
33%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.