Thursday , 2 July 2026

Bolton Wanderers FC vs Birmingham City FC, League One 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2024-25
Tue 4 Mar 2025 · 19:45 UTC Toughsheet Community Stadium 23,023 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 23' Emil Hansson
John McAtee 39' 1–1
George Thomason 49' 2–1
Aaron Collins 71' 3–1

Overview

Match Preview

Bolton Wanderers FC vs Birmingham City FCLeague One at Toughsheet Community Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Thomas Kirk (England)
  • Assistant 1
  • Assistant 2 Mark Ryder (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Mar Birmingham City FC H 3–1 W
01 Mar Wrexham AFC A 0–0 D
22 Feb Leyton Orient FC H 2–1 W
15 Feb Shrewsbury Town FC A 3–2 W
08 Feb Crawley Town FC H 4–3 W
01 Feb Reading FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Mar Bolton Wanderers FC A 1–3 L
01 Mar Wycombe Wanderers FC H 1–0 W
25 Feb Leyton Orient FC H 2–0 W
22 Feb Reading FC A 0–0 D
15 Feb Charlton Athletic FC H 1–0 W
11 Feb Cambridge United FC H 4–0 W

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Bolton Wanderers FC and Birmingham City FC has kicked off!
  • 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 15' Bolton Wanderers FC is showing some good football. However, Bolton Wanderers FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 20' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Bolton Wanderers FC that had 318 games and scored 383 goals.
  • 23' GOAL! Emil Hansson scores on 23.
  • 28' Bolton Wanderers FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 33' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 38' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 39' What a strike from John McAtee! The score is 1-1.
  • 44' The travelling Birmingham City FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 48' It’s gonna be a card for Taylor Gardner-Hickman.
  • 49' Goal! George Thomason scores his 12 goal in 318 matches.
  • 53' A meaty challenge results in booking for John McAtee on 53.
  • 58' Bolton Wanderers FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 61' Bolton Wanderers FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 61.
  • 66' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Josh Dacres-Cogley made 318 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 67' Jay Stansfield is replacing Kieran Dowell for the Birmingham City FC side.
  • 68' Birmingham City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Lukas Jutkiewicz is hanging Alfie May on the field on 68 minute.
  • 69' The supporters are chanting for Joel Randall. He replaces Carlos Mendes Gomes on 69 minute.
  • 71' GOAL! Aaron Collins scores on 71. Assisted by Joel Randall
  • 76' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jay Stansfield, as he is very good at scoring at Toughsheet Community Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 81' The supporters are chanting for Krystian Bielik. He replaces Tomoki Iwata on 81 minute.
  • 84' The whistle greets John McAtee as he departs to be replaced by Klaidi Lolos.
  • 89' Alex Cochrane has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 2 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 90' Chris Forino-Joseph was booked on 90.
  • 90' Another change for Bolton Wanderers FC made on 90 minute. Aaron Morley leaves to be changed by Jay Matete.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 3-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.66 Bolton Wanderers FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01 Birmingham City FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Bolton Wanderers FC53% Draw26% Birmingham City FC21%
Actual: Bolton Wanderers FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.67
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Bolton Wanderers FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Birmingham City FC
47%
Bolton Wanderers FC or Birmingham City FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Bolton Wanderers FC36% Draw46% Birmingham City FC18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
1 – 0
10.6%
2 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
9.3%
0 – 0
8.9%
0 – 1
6%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
5%
2 – 2
4.7%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Bolton Wanderers FC

Handicap Bolton Wanderers FC covers Push Birmingham City FC covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 16% 72%
-1.5 28% 72%
-1 28% 23% 49%
-0.5 51% 49%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 14% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Bolton Wanderers FC keeps clean sheet
37%
Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.