Bolton Wanderers FC vs Birmingham City FC, League One 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Bolton Wanderers FC vs Birmingham City FC — League One at Toughsheet Community Stadium.
- Bolton Wanderers FC 46 games · 75 pts (2026/27)
- Birmingham City FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Thomas Kirk (England)
- Assistant 1
- Assistant 2 Mark Ryder (England)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City FC | 46 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff City FC | 46 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County FC | 46 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City AFC | 46 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 46 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage FC | 46 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton Town FC | 46 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 46 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 46 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield Town FC | 46 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 46 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading FC | 46 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley FC | 46 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan Athletic FC | 46 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton Albion FC | 46 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough United FC | 46 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter City FC | 46 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale FC | 46 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham United FC | 46 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton Town FC | 46 | 35 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar | Birmingham City FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 01 Mar | Wrexham AFC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Feb | Leyton Orient FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Feb | Shrewsbury Town FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 08 Feb | Crawley Town FC | H | 4–3 | W |
| 01 Feb | Reading FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar | Bolton Wanderers FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 01 Mar | Wycombe Wanderers FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Feb | Leyton Orient FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Feb | Reading FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Feb | Charlton Athletic FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Feb | Cambridge United FC | H | 4–0 | W |
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Bolton Wanderers FC and Birmingham City FC has kicked off!
- 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 15' Bolton Wanderers FC is showing some good football. However, Bolton Wanderers FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 20' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Bolton Wanderers FC that had 318 games and scored 383 goals.
- 23' GOAL! Emil Hansson scores on 23.
- 28' Bolton Wanderers FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 33' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 38' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 39' What a strike from John McAtee! The score is 1-1.
- 44' The travelling Birmingham City FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 48' It’s gonna be a card for Taylor Gardner-Hickman.
- 49' Goal! George Thomason scores his 12 goal in 318 matches.
- 53' A meaty challenge results in booking for John McAtee on 53.
- 58' Bolton Wanderers FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 61' Bolton Wanderers FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 61.
- 66' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Josh Dacres-Cogley made 318 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 67' Jay Stansfield is replacing Kieran Dowell for the Birmingham City FC side.
- 68' Birmingham City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Lukas Jutkiewicz is hanging Alfie May on the field on 68 minute.
- 69' The supporters are chanting for Joel Randall. He replaces Carlos Mendes Gomes on 69 minute.
- 71' GOAL! Aaron Collins scores on 71. Assisted by Joel Randall
- 76' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jay Stansfield, as he is very good at scoring at Toughsheet Community Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 81' The supporters are chanting for Krystian Bielik. He replaces Tomoki Iwata on 81 minute.
- 84' The whistle greets John McAtee as he departs to be replaced by Klaidi Lolos.
- 89' Alex Cochrane has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 2 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 90' Chris Forino-Joseph was booked on 90.
- 90' Another change for Bolton Wanderers FC made on 90 minute. Aaron Morley leaves to be changed by Jay Matete.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 3-1.
Lineups
Bolton Wanderers FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
16
Aaron Morley ↓ Jay Matete 90'
-
45
John McAtee ↓ Klaidi Lolos 84'
- 19
- 7
- 18
- 20
- 14
- 6
-
4
George Thomason ↓ Josh Sheehan 90'
- 21
- 12
Bench
- 1
-
8
Josh Sheehan ↑ 90'
-
31
Joel Randall ↑ 69'
-
28
Jay Matete ↑ 90'
- 23
-
17
Klaidi Lolos ↑ 84'
- 3
Coach
Steven Schumacher
Birmingham City FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
30
Kieran Dowell ↓ Jay Stansfield 67'
- 25
- 45
-
9
Alfie May ↓ Lukas Jutkiewicz 68'
- 7
-
24
Tomoki Iwata ↓ Krystian Bielik 81'
- 20
- 4
- 19
- 18
- 13
Bench
- 31
-
10
Lukas Jutkiewicz ↑ 68'
-
6
Krystian Bielik ↑ 81'
- 23
-
28
Jay Stansfield ↑ 67'
- 26
- 48
Coach
Chris Davies
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Will Buckley | 1 |
| Will Buckley | 1 |
| Callum Connolly | 1 |
| Tomoki Iwata | 1 |
| Jay Stansfield | 1 |
| John McAtee | 1 |
| Aaron Collins | 1 |
| George Thomason | 1 |
Head to Head
Bolton Wanderers FC Form
2025-03-04
Bolton Wanderers FC
3–1
Birmingham City FC
W
2025-03-01
Wrexham AFC
0–0
Bolton Wanderers FC
D
2025-02-22
Bolton Wanderers FC
2–1
Leyton Orient FC
W
2025-02-15
Shrewsbury Town FC
2–3
Bolton Wanderers FC
W
2025-02-08
Bolton Wanderers FC
4–3
Crawley Town FC
W
2025-02-01
Reading FC
1–0
Bolton Wanderers FC
L
Birmingham City FC Form
2025-03-04
Bolton Wanderers FC
3–1
Birmingham City FC
L
2025-03-01
Birmingham City FC
1–0
Wycombe Wanderers FC
W
2025-02-25
Birmingham City FC
2–0
Leyton Orient FC
W
2025-02-22
Reading FC
0–0
Birmingham City FC
D
2025-02-15
Birmingham City FC
1–0
Charlton Athletic FC
W
2025-02-11
Birmingham City FC
4–0
Cambridge United FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.66
Bolton Wanderers FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01
Birmingham City FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Bolton Wanderers FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.67
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
Bolton Wanderers FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Birmingham City FC
47%
Bolton Wanderers FC or Birmingham City FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
1 – 0
10.6%
2 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
9.3%
0 – 0
8.9%
0 – 1
6%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
5%
2 – 2
4.7%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
2.7%
Asian Handicap — Bolton Wanderers FC
| Handicap | Bolton Wanderers FC covers | Push | Birmingham City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 16% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 23% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 14% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Bolton Wanderers FC keeps clean sheet
37%
✓
Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

