Bolton Wanderers FC vs Birmingham City FC, League One 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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League One · 2024-25

Bolton Wanderers FC

3 – 1

Full Time

Birmingham City FC

Tue 4 Mar 2025 · 19:45 UTC Toughsheet Community Stadium 23,023 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 23' Emil Hansson

John McAtee 39' 1–1

George Thomason 49' 2–1

Aaron Collins 71' 3–1

Y 48' Taylor Gardner-Hickman

John McAtee 53' Y

Aaron Morley 61' Y

Chris Forino-Joseph 90' Y

George Johnston 90' Y

Jordi Osei-Tutu 90' Y

Y 90' Luke Harris

Y 90' Christoph Klarer

Overview

Match Preview

Bolton Wanderers FC vs Birmingham City FC — League One at Toughsheet Community Stadium.

Bolton Wanderers FC 46 games · 75 pts (2026/27)
Birmingham City FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Thomas Kirk (England)
Assistant 1
Assistant 2 Mark Ryder (England)

3 games this season 🟨 2.0/game ⚽ 5.3 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Bradford City AFC	7	15
2	Sheffield Wednesday FC	7	14
3	Stockport County FC	8	13
4	Plymouth Argyle FC	8	13
5	Cambridge United FC	8	13
6	Huddersfield Town AFC	7	12
7	Burton Albion FC	8	12
8	AFC Wimbledon	8	12
9	Reading FC	7	11
10	Oxford United FC	6	11
11	Leyton Orient FC	7	10
12	Wycombe Wanderers FC	8	10
13	Stevenage FC	7	9
14	Leicester City FC	7	9
15	Blackpool FC	7	8
16	Luton Town FC	7	8
17	Mansfield Town FC	7	8
18	Barnsley FC	7	8
19	Bromley FC	7	8
20	Notts County FC	7	7
21	Doncaster Rovers FC	7	6
22	Milton Keynes Dons FC	7	6
23	Peterborough United FC	8	5
24	Wigan Athletic FC	7	4

Head-to-Head

Bolton Wanderers FC 4 games · Avg 2.0 goals Birmingham City FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-03-04 Bolton Wanderers FC 3–1 Birmingham City FC 2024-10-22 Birmingham City FC 2–0 Bolton Wanderers FC 2019-02-12 Birmingham City FC 0–1 Bolton Wanderers FC 2018-08-22 Bolton Wanderers FC 1–0 Birmingham City FC

Recent Form

Bolton Wanderers FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Mar	Birmingham City FC	H	3–1	W
01 Mar	Wrexham AFC	A	0–0	D
22 Feb	Leyton Orient FC	H	2–1	W
15 Feb	Shrewsbury Town FC	A	3–2	W
08 Feb	Crawley Town FC	H	4–3	W
01 Feb	Reading FC	A	0–1	L

Birmingham City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Mar	Bolton Wanderers FC	A	1–3	L
01 Mar	Wycombe Wanderers FC	H	1–0	W
25 Feb	Leyton Orient FC	H	2–0	W
22 Feb	Reading FC	A	0–0	D
15 Feb	Charlton Athletic FC	H	1–0	W
11 Feb	Cambridge United FC	H	4–0	W

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)

25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Bolton Wanderers FC launch into their encounter with Birmingham City FC.
5' Christoph Klarer is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Bolton Wanderers FC so far.
10' Bolton Wanderers FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Birmingham City FC backline.
15' Bolton Wanderers FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
20' Birmingham City FC have won 426 goals from 391 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
23' The Sweden midfielder Emil Hansson breaks the deadlock on 23 minutes. 0-1!
28' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 28 minutes.
33' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
38' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Bolton Wanderers FC and Birmingham City FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
39' What a strike from John McAtee! The score is 1-1.
44' The home supporters are growing impatient. Bolton Wanderers FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
48' The referee has no hesitation. Taylor Gardner-Hickman is booked for Birmingham City FC — card on 48.
49' What a moment for George Thomason! That strike on 49 puts his side firmly in control.
53' The referee does not hesitate — a card for John McAtee on 53 minutes.
58' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
61' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Aaron Morley.
66' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Birmingham City FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
67' The whistle greets Kieran Dowell as he departs to be replaced by Jay Stansfield.
68' Time for substitution for Birmingham City FC. Alfie May is replaced by Lukas Jutkiewicz.
69' Joel Randall is replacing Carlos Mendes Gomes for the Bolton Wanderers FC side.
71' The Wales Aaron Collins breaks the deadlock on 71 minutes. 3-1!
76' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Bolton Wanderers FC and Birmingham City FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
81' Krystian Bielik is replacing Tomoki Iwata for the Birmingham City FC side.
84' Klaidi Lolos is ready to make an impact after coming on for John McAtee at the 84 minute mark.
89' The energy levels are beginning to show. Steven Schumacher might look to freshen things up shortly.
90' Chris Forino-Joseph was booked on 90.
90' The crowd applauds Aaron Morley as he leaves the pitch. Jay Matete steps in for Bolton Wanderers FC.
The referee brings this contest to a close. Bolton Wanderers FC take all three points.

Lineups

Bolton Wanderers FC Lineups

Starting XI

16
Aaron Morley ↓ Jay Matete 90'
45
John McAtee ↓ Klaidi Lolos 84'
19
Aaron Collins
7
Carlos Mendes Gomes ↓ Joel Randall 69'
18
Eoin Toal
20
Luke Southwood
14
Jordi Osei-Tutu
6
George Johnston
4
George Thomason ↓ Josh Sheehan 90'
21
Chris Forino-Joseph
12
Josh Dacres-Cogley

Bench

1
Nathan Baxter
8
Josh Sheehan ↑ 90'
31
Joel Randall ↑ 69'
28
Jay Matete ↑ 90'
23
Szabolcs Schon
17
Klaidi Lolos ↑ 84'
3
Alex Murphy

Coach Steven Schumacher

Birmingham City FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Chris Davies

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Will Buckley	1
Callum Connolly	1
Tomoki Iwata	1
Jay Stansfield	1
John McAtee	1
Aaron Collins	1
George Thomason	1
Emil Hansson	1

Head to Head

Bolton Wanderers FC Form

2025-03-04 Bolton Wanderers FC 3–1 Birmingham City FC W 2025-03-01 Wrexham AFC 0–0 Bolton Wanderers FC D 2025-02-22 Bolton Wanderers FC 2–1 Leyton Orient FC W 2025-02-15 Shrewsbury Town FC 2–3 Bolton Wanderers FC W 2025-02-08 Bolton Wanderers FC 4–3 Crawley Town FC W 2025-02-01 Reading FC 1–0 Bolton Wanderers FC L

Birmingham City FC Form

2025-03-04 Bolton Wanderers FC 3–1 Birmingham City FC L 2025-03-01 Birmingham City FC 1–0 Wycombe Wanderers FC W 2025-02-25 Birmingham City FC 2–0 Leyton Orient FC W 2025-02-22 Reading FC 0–0 Birmingham City FC D 2025-02-15 Birmingham City FC 1–0 Charlton Athletic FC W 2025-02-11 Birmingham City FC 4–0 Cambridge United FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.66 Bolton Wanderers FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.01 Birmingham City FC xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

Bolton Wanderers FC53% Draw26% Birmingham City FC21%

Actual: Bolton Wanderers FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes52% 0% No48%

Avg goals/match: 2.67

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	75%	25%
± 2.5	49%	51%
± 3.5	28%	72%
± 4.5	14%	86%

Double Chance

Bolton Wanderers FC or Draw

78%

Draw or Birmingham City FC

47%

Bolton Wanderers FC or Birmingham City FC

74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Bolton Wanderers FC36% Draw46% Birmingham City FC18%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.5%

1 – 0

10.6%

2 – 0

9.3%

2 – 1

9.3%

0 – 0

8.9%

0 – 1

1 – 2

5.6%

3 – 1

Actual

3 – 0

2 – 2

4.7%

0 – 2

3.5%

3 – 2

2.7%

Asian Handicap — Bolton Wanderers FC

Handicap	Bolton Wanderers FC covers	Push	Birmingham City FC covers
-2.5	12%	—	88%
-2	12%	16%	72%
-1.5	28%	—	72%
-1	28%	23%	49%
-0.5	51%	—	49%
+0.5	78%	—	22%
+1	78%	14%	8%
+1.5	92%	—	8%
+2	92%	6%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Bolton Wanderers FC keeps clean sheet

37% ✓

Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.