Lincoln City FC vs Burton Albion FC, League One 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Lincoln City FC vs Burton Albion FC — League One at LNER Stadium.
- Lincoln City FC 46 games · 103 pts (2026/27)
- Burton Albion FC 15 games · 17 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Ruebyn Ricardo (England)
- Assistant 1 Jack Nield (England)
- Assistant 2 Jonathan Wyatt (England)
4 games this season
🟨 7.3/game
⚽ 23.0 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 14 | 29 |
| 2 | Stockport County FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Oxford United FC | 13 | 26 |
| 4 | Luton Town FC | 14 | 24 |
| 5 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 14 | 23 |
| 6 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 15 | 23 |
| 7 | Reading FC | 15 | 22 |
| 8 | Bradford City AFC | 13 | 22 |
| 9 | Milton Keynes Dons FC | 14 | 21 |
| 10 | Cambridge United FC | 14 | 21 |
| 11 | Leicester City FC | 13 | 19 |
| 12 | Mansfield Town FC | 13 | 19 |
| 13 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 13 | 18 |
| 14 | Leyton Orient FC | 13 | 17 |
| 15 | Burton Albion FC | 15 | 17 |
| 16 | Stevenage FC | 12 | 16 |
| 17 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 16 |
| 18 | Notts County FC | 12 | 14 |
| 19 | Wigan Athletic FC | 15 | 14 |
| 20 | Blackpool FC | 13 | 12 |
| 21 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 13 | 12 |
| 22 | Peterborough United FC | 13 | 10 |
| 23 | Barnsley FC | 13 | 9 |
| 24 | Bromley FC | 13 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb | Burton Albion FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Feb | Mansfield Town FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 15 Feb | Leyton Orient FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 08 Feb | Cambridge United FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Feb | Wigan Athletic FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Jan | Blackpool FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb | Lincoln City FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Feb | Stevenage FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Feb | Bristol Rovers FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 08 Feb | Blackpool FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Feb | Barnsley FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Jan | Reading FC | H | 3–2 | W |
Key Stats
43%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
13%
Clean Sheets
Burton Albion FC this season
Burton Albion FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Burton Albion FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
6/3
31-45
1/6
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/3
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Burton Albion FC
| Jack Armer | 3 G | 1 A |
| Finn Delap | 3 G | |
| Matthew Dennis | 1 G | |
| Kgaogelo Chauke | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Lincoln City FC have kicked off against Burton Albion FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 10' The home supporters are growing impatient. Lincoln City FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 15' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 20' Both keepers have barely been tested. Lincoln City FC and Burton Albion FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 25' Burton Albion FC come into this ranked 21 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 30' It’s high time Gary Bowyer made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 35' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 40' The energy levels are beginning to show. Gary Bowyer might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 45' Burton Albion FC is showing some good football. However, Burton Albion FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 49' Paudie O'Connor has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 49.
- 54' It looks surprising Burton Albion FC does not make any changes. Conor McGrandles has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 59' A quiet spell here at LNER Stadium. Lincoln City FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 62' The whistle greets Jon Bodvarsson as he departs to be replaced by Mason Bennett.
- 64' The Lincoln City FC manager makes a substitution. Sam Clucas departs to be replaced by Tom Bayliss.
- 69' Jack Armer has been relatively quiet despite scoring 6 goals in his last 393 appearances.
- 70' Controversy at the stadium! Tomas Kalinauskas argues furiously but the card stands.
- 73' Time for substitution for Lincoln City FC. Jovon Makama is replaced by Freddie Draper.
- 76' Fresh legs for Burton Albion FC! James Jones comes on to replace Kgaogelo Chauke.
- 79' Ben House makes way for Ethan Hamilton at the 79 minute mark. A tactical switch from Lincoln City FC.
- 82' Burton Albion FC ring the changes. Rumarn Burrell has done his job and it is now time for Anthony Forde to step up.
- 87' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ethan Hamilton on 87.
- 90' Poor challenge from Tom Bayliss. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- Burton Albion FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Lincoln City FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 14
-
24
Sam Clucas ↓ Tom Bayliss 64'
- 2
- 5
- 15
- 25
-
18
Ben House ↓ Ethan Hamilton 79'
- 23
- 31
-
27
Jovon Makama ↓ Freddie Draper 73'
- 16
Bench
-
7
Recco Hackett-Fairchild ↑ 64'
-
8
Tom Bayliss ↑ 64'
-
11
Ethan Hamilton ↑ 79'
- 21
- 4
- 12
-
34
Freddie Draper ↑ 73'
Coach
Michael Skubala
Burton Albion FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
- 1
-
18
Rumarn Burrell ↓ Anthony Forde 82'
- 2
- 36
- 17
- 3
- 7
-
33
Kgaogelo Chauke ↓ James Jones 76'
- 8
-
10
Jon Bodvarsson ↓ Mason Bennett 62'
Bench
-
35
James Jones ↑ 76'
-
32
Mason Bennett ↑ 62'
-
44
Anthony Forde ↑ 82'
- 13
- 26
- 19
-
22
Julian Larsson ↑ 82'
Coach
Gary Bowyer
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Joe Powell | 3 |
| Sam Hughes | 3 |
| Harry Anderson | 2 |
| Tom Hopper | 2 |
| Jonny Smith | 2 |
| Brennan Johnson | 2 |
| Tony Scully | 2 |
| Paudie O'Connor | 2 |
Head to Head
Lincoln City FC Form
2025-02-22
Lincoln City FC
0–1
Burton Albion FC
L
2025-02-18
Mansfield Town FC
0–3
Lincoln City FC
W
2025-02-15
Leyton Orient FC
3–2
Lincoln City FC
L
2025-02-08
Lincoln City FC
1–1
Cambridge United FC
D
2025-02-01
Wigan Athletic FC
1–1
Lincoln City FC
D
2025-01-28
Lincoln City FC
0–2
Blackpool FC
L
Burton Albion FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.97
Lincoln City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06
Burton Albion FC xG
I would bet for:
Burton Albion FC or Draw 69% + Under 2.5 goals 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Burton Albion FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.03
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 1.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 2.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 3.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
| ± 4.5 | 6% |
|
94% |
Double Chance
Lincoln City FC or Draw
64%
Draw or Burton Albion FC
69%
Lincoln City FC or Burton Albion FC
68%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.6%
1 – 1
14.5%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11.4%
0 – 2
7%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 1
6.4%
2 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
3.5%
1 – 3
2.5%
0 – 3
2.4%
3 – 1
2.1%
Asian Handicap — Lincoln City FC
| Handicap | Lincoln City FC covers | Push | Burton Albion FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 8% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 19% | 69% |
| -0.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 21% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 10% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Lincoln City FC keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
39%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.