Saturday , 14 November 2026

Burton Albion FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 26 Aug 2023 · 14:00 UTC Pirelli Stadium 3,711 HT 45' · FT 45'
Mark Helm 46' 1–0
1–1 58' Dion Charles

Overview

Match Preview

Burton Albion FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC — League One at Pirelli Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Carl Brook
  • Assistant 1 James Vallance (England)
  • Assistant 2 Oliver Bickle
7 games this season 🟨 4.3/game ⚽ 12.4 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Aug Bolton Wanderers FC H 1–1 D
19 Aug Wycombe Wanderers FC A 0–0 D
15 Aug Shrewsbury Town FC A 1–2 L
12 Aug Derby County FC H 0–3 L
05 Aug Blackpool FC A 0–2 L
07 May Milton Keynes Dons FC H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Aug Burton Albion FC A 1–1 D
19 Aug Wigan Athletic FC H 0–4 L
15 Aug Fleetwood Town FC H 3–1 W
12 Aug Cheltenham Town FC A 3–0 W
05 Aug Lincoln City FC H 3–0 W
07 May Bristol Rovers FC A 3–2 W

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Burton Albion FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Burton Albion FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
6/3
31-45
1/6
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/3
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Burton Albion FC
Jack Armer 3 G 1 A
Finn Delap 3 G
Matthew Dennis 1 G
Kgaogelo Chauke 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Burton Albion FC and Bolton Wanderers FC has kicked off!
  • 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Burton Albion FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 10' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 15' The referee calls foul for Rekeem Harper. He receives a card.
  • 20' Edmond-Paris Maghoma has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 20.
  • 25' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Ian Evatt will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 30' It is a cagey affair so far. Burton Albion FC in their trying to find a way past Bolton Wanderers FC's compact .
  • 35' Bolton Wanderers FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 35.
  • 40' With 0 assists to his name this season, Jake Caprice is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Burton Albion FC.
  • 44' A moment of madness from George Thomason on 44 minutes earns him a card. Bolton Wanderers FC will be frustrated.
  • 45' The crowd applauds Mason Bennett as he leaves the pitch. Josh Gordon steps in for Burton Albion FC.
  • 46' The whistle greets Ricardo Santos as he departs to be replaced by Will Forrester.
  • 46' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Mark Helm makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 51' Bolton Wanderers FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 56' Burton Albion FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 56.
  • 57' Poor challenge from Max Crocombe. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 58' Dion Charles has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 58 minutes.
  • 63' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Randell Williams suffering a number of foals already.
  • 68' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 72' Fresh legs for Bolton Wanderers FC! Cameron Jerome comes on to replace Victor Adeboyejo.
  • 74' That is a card for Burton Albion FC. Jake Caprice will be fuming at that decision.
  • 78' Rekeem Harper makes way for Mustapha Carayol at the 78 minute mark. A tactical switch from Burton Albion FC.
  • 82' The Bolton Wanderers FC manager makes a substitution. Dion Charles departs to be replaced by Dan N'Lundulu.
  • 84' It’s gonna be a card for Jasper Moon.
  • 87' Mustapha Carayol has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 87.
  • 90' Burton Albion FC make a change. Jake Caprice trudges off to be replaced by Kwadwo Baah on 90 minutes.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.11 Burton Albion FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.28 Bolton Wanderers FC xG
I would bet for: Burton Albion FC or Bolton Wanderers FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Burton Albion FC33% Draw30% Bolton Wanderers FC37%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.39
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Burton Albion FC or Draw
63%
Draw or Bolton Wanderers FC
67%
Burton Albion FC or Bolton Wanderers FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Burton Albion FC23% Draw50% Bolton Wanderers FC27%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.4%
0 – 1
10.6%
1 – 0
9%
1 – 2
8%
0 – 2
7.2%
2 – 1
7%
2 – 0
5.5%
2 – 2
4.6%
1 – 3
3.5%
0 – 3
3%
3 – 1
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Burton Albion FC

Handicap Burton Albion FC covers Push Bolton Wanderers FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 18% 69%
-0.5 31% — 69%
+0.5 61% — 39%
+1 61% 21% 18%
+1.5 82% — 18%
+2 82% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
29% ✓
Bolton Wanderers FC keeps clean sheet
34% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.