Thursday , 2 July 2026

Burton Albion FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 26 Aug 2023 · 14:00 UTC Pirelli Stadium 3,711 HT 45' · FT 45'
Mark Helm 46' 1–0
1–1 58' Dion Charles

Overview

Match Preview

Burton Albion FC vs Bolton Wanderers FCLeague One at Pirelli Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Carl Brook
  • Assistant 1 James Vallance (England)
  • Assistant 2 Oliver Bickle

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Aug Bolton Wanderers FC H 1–1 D
19 Aug Wycombe Wanderers FC A 0–0 D
15 Aug Shrewsbury Town FC A 1–2 L
12 Aug Derby County FC H 0–3 L
05 Aug Blackpool FC A 0–2 L
07 May Milton Keynes Dons FC H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Aug Burton Albion FC A 1–1 D
19 Aug Wigan Athletic FC H 0–4 L
15 Aug Fleetwood Town FC H 3–1 W
12 Aug Cheltenham Town FC A 3–0 W
05 Aug Lincoln City FC H 3–0 W
07 May Bristol Rovers FC A 3–2 W

Season Stats

Burton Albion FC Bolton Wanderers FC
#17 Position #5
54 Points 75
46 Played 46
13 / 15 / 18 W / D / L 19 / 18 / 9
50 Scored 70
60 Conceded 52
-10 GD +18
1.17 PPG 1.63
28% Win % 41%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Burton Albion FC are 17th (54 pts). Bolton Wanderers FC are 5th (75 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1 Burton Albion FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.47 Bolton Wanderers FC xG
I would bet for: Bolton Wanderers FC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Burton Albion FC28% Draw29% Bolton Wanderers FC43%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.47
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Burton Albion FC or Draw
57%
Draw or Bolton Wanderers FC
72%
Burton Albion FC or Bolton Wanderers FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Burton Albion FC19% Draw49% Bolton Wanderers FC32%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
11.4%
0 – 0
10.5%
0 – 2
8.9%
1 – 2
8.8%
1 – 0
7.3%
2 – 1
6%
2 – 2
4.5%
1 – 3
4.4%
0 – 3
4.3%
2 – 0
4.1%
2 – 3
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Burton Albion FC

Handicap Burton Albion FC covers Push Bolton Wanderers FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 7% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 15% 76%
-0.5 24% 76%
+0.5 53% 47%
+1 53% 23% 24%
+1.5 76% 24%
+2 76% 14% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
24%
Bolton Wanderers FC keeps clean sheet
37%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.