Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Burton Albion FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 26 Aug 2023 · 14:00 UTC Pirelli Stadium 3,711 HT 45' · FT 45'
Mark Helm 46' 1–0
1–1 58' Dion Charles

Overview

Match Preview

Burton Albion FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC — League One at Pirelli Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Carl Brook
  • Assistant 1 James Vallance (England)
  • Assistant 2 Oliver Bickle
5 games this season 🟨 2.2/game ⚽ 6.6 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Aug Bolton Wanderers FC H 1–1 D
19 Aug Wycombe Wanderers FC A 0–0 D
15 Aug Shrewsbury Town FC A 1–2 L
12 Aug Derby County FC H 0–3 L
05 Aug Blackpool FC A 0–2 L
07 May Milton Keynes Dons FC H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Aug Burton Albion FC A 1–1 D
19 Aug Wigan Athletic FC H 0–4 L
15 Aug Fleetwood Town FC H 3–1 W
12 Aug Cheltenham Town FC A 3–0 W
05 Aug Lincoln City FC H 3–0 W
07 May Bristol Rovers FC A 3–2 W

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Burton Albion FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Burton Albion FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
5/1
31-45
–/3
46-60
1/–
61-75
2/2
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Burton Albion FC
Jack Armer 2 G 1 A
Finn Delap 2 G
Matthew Dennis 1 G
Kgaogelo Chauke 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.11 Burton Albion FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.28 Bolton Wanderers FC xG
I would bet for: Burton Albion FC or Bolton Wanderers FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Burton Albion FC33% Draw30% Bolton Wanderers FC37%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.39
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Burton Albion FC or Draw
63%
Draw or Bolton Wanderers FC
67%
Burton Albion FC or Bolton Wanderers FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Burton Albion FC23% Draw50% Bolton Wanderers FC27%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.4%
0 – 1
10.6%
1 – 0
9%
1 – 2
8%
0 – 2
7.2%
2 – 1
7%
2 – 0
5.5%
2 – 2
4.6%
1 – 3
3.5%
0 – 3
3%
3 – 1
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Burton Albion FC

Handicap Burton Albion FC covers Push Bolton Wanderers FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 18% 69%
-0.5 31% — 69%
+0.5 61% — 39%
+1 61% 21% 18%
+1.5 82% — 18%
+2 82% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
29% ✓
Bolton Wanderers FC keeps clean sheet
34% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.