Bolton Wanderers FC vs Burton Albion FC, League One 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Bolton Wanderers FC vs Burton Albion FC — League One at Toughsheet Community Stadium.
- Bolton Wanderers FC 46 games · 75 pts (2026/27)
- Burton Albion FC 46 games · 54 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Martin Coy
- Assistant 1 Jacob Graham (England)
- Assistant 2 Wayne Grunnill
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City FC | 46 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff City FC | 46 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County FC | 46 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City AFC | 46 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 46 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage FC | 46 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton Town FC | 46 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 46 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 46 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield Town FC | 46 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 46 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading FC | 46 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley FC | 46 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan Athletic FC | 46 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton Albion FC | 46 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough United FC | 46 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter City FC | 46 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale FC | 46 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham United FC | 46 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton Town FC | 46 | 35 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct | Burton Albion FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Oct | Shrewsbury Town FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 01 Oct | Northampton Town FC | A | 4–2 | W |
| 28 Sep | Crawley Town FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Sep | Reading FC | H | 5–2 | W |
| 14 Sep | Huddersfield Town AFC | H | 0–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct | Bolton Wanderers FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 05 Oct | Bristol Rovers FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 01 Oct | Reading FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 28 Sep | Blackpool FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 21 Sep | Barnsley FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Sep | Rotherham United FC | A | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| Bolton Wanderers FC | Burton Albion FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #17 |
| 75 | Points | 54 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 19 / 18 / 9 | W / D / L | 13 / 15 / 18 |
| 70 | Scored | 50 |
| 52 | Conceded | 60 |
| +18 | GD | -10 |
| 1.63 | PPG | 1.17 |
| 41% | Win % | 28% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Bolton Wanderers FC are 5th (75 pts). Burton Albion FC are 17th (54 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Bolton Wanderers FC and Burton Albion FC has kicked off!
- 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kgaogelo Chauke suffering a number of foals already.
- 10' Danilo Orsi-Dadomo is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Burton Albion FC tonight.
- 15' Burton Albion FC have won 418 goals from 372 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 20' Bolton Wanderers FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Burton Albion FC's shape.
- 24' Mason Bennett has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 24.
- 29' Scotland international Elliot Watt has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 34' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Mason Bennett made 385 appearances and scored 20 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 39' Burton Albion FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 44' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 47' Bolton Wanderers FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 52' The travelling Burton Albion FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 57' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 57 minutes.
- 61' GOAL! Aaron Collins fires home to make it 1-0!
- 63' The deadlock is broken! Randell Williams gets on the scoresheet on 63 minutes.
- 65' It is a substitution in Bolton Wanderers FC team. Dion Charles is replaced by Victor Adeboyejo on 65 minute.
- 66' The England Danilo Orsi-Dadomo breaks the deadlock on 66 minutes. 2-1!
- 70' A change in the Bolton Wanderers FC ranks — Kyle Dempsey exits the field as Jay Matete enters on 70.
- 71' Another substitution for Bolton Wanderers FC to replace John McAtee by Scott Arfield on 71 minute.
- 76' A quiet spell here at Toughsheet Community Stadium. Bolton Wanderers FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 77' Jack Armer gets the nod from Burton Albion FC. He replaces Danilo Orsi-Dadomo and will look to change the dynamic.
- 82' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Bolton Wanderers FC that had 318 games and scored 383 goals.
- 85' Randell Williams is having his name booked by the referee on 85.
- 86' Ben Whitfield has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 86.
- 90' Ryan Sweeney picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Burton Albion FC.
Lineups
Bolton Wanderers FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
-
22
Kyle Dempsey ↓ Jay Matete 70'
-
45
John McAtee ↓ Scott Arfield 71'
- 19
- 27
-
10
Dion Charles ↓ Victor Adeboyejo 65'
- 20
- 6
- 23
- 12
- 5
Bench
-
9
Victor Adeboyejo ↑ 65'
-
37
Scott Arfield ↑ 71'
- 40
-
28
Jay Matete ↑ 70'
- 15
- 17
- 52
Coach
Ian Evatt
Burton Albion FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
32
Mason Bennett ↓ Ben Whitfield 65'
- 4
- 6
- 25
- 13
-
20
Jason Sraha ↓ Charlie Webster 77'
-
9
Danilo Orsi-Dadomo ↓ Jack Armer 77'
- 7
- 33
- 19
- 21
Bench
-
34
Ben Whitfield ↑ 65'
- 1
-
17
Jack Armer ↑ 77'
-
8
Charlie Webster ↑ 77'
- 23
- 16
- 14
Coach
Mark Robinson
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Victor Adeboyejo | 2 |
| Lucas Akins | 2 |
| Dion Charles | 2 |
| John Brayford | 2 |
| Jamie Murphy | 2 |
| Joe Dodoo | 1 |
| Dennis Politic | 1 |
| Josh Walker | 1 |
Head to Head
Bolton Wanderers FC Form
2024-10-19
Bolton Wanderers FC
2–1
Burton Albion FC
W
2024-10-05
Bolton Wanderers FC
2–2
Shrewsbury Town FC
D
2024-10-01
Northampton Town FC
2–4
Bolton Wanderers FC
W
2024-09-28
Crawley Town FC
0–2
Bolton Wanderers FC
W
2024-09-21
Bolton Wanderers FC
5–2
Reading FC
W
2024-09-14
Bolton Wanderers FC
0–4
Huddersfield Town AFC
L
Burton Albion FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.91
Bolton Wanderers FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08
Burton Albion FC xG
I would bet for:
Bolton Wanderers FC to win 59% + Over 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Bolton Wanderers FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.99
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
Bolton Wanderers FC or Draw
82%
Draw or Burton Albion FC
41%
Bolton Wanderers FC or Burton Albion FC
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.3%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
9.1%
1 – 0
9%
0 – 0
6.8%
3 – 1
6.1%
3 – 0
5.6%
1 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
5.1%
0 – 1
4.7%
3 – 2
3.3%
4 – 1
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Bolton Wanderers FC
| Handicap | Bolton Wanderers FC covers | Push | Burton Albion FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -2 | 16% | 17% | 67% |
| -1.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| -1 | 33% | 23% | 45% |
| -0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 12% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Bolton Wanderers FC keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.