Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Burnley FC vs Sunderland AFC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sat 23 Aug 2025 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Burnley FC vs Sunderland AFC — Premier League .

Match Details

  • Referee Michael Salisbury
3 games this season 🟨 4.3/game ⚽ 8.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Aug Sunderland AFC H 2–0 W
16 Aug Tottenham Hotspur FC A 0–3 L
03 May Millwall FC H 3–1 W
26 Apr Queens Park Rangers FC A 5–0 W
21 Apr Sheffield United FC H 2–1 W
18 Apr Watford FC A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Aug Burnley FC A 0–2 L
16 Aug West Ham United FC H 3–0 W
24 May Sheffield United FC A 2–1 W
13 May Coventry City FC H 1–1 D
09 May Coventry City FC A 2–1 W
03 May Queens Park Rangers FC H 0–1 L

Key Stats

17% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Sunderland AFC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sunderland AFC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
1/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sunderland AFC
Brian Brobbey 3 G
Nilson Angulo 1 G 1 A
Wilson Isidor 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at !
  • With this win, Burnley FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Burnley FC Lineups

Sunderland AFC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.49 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.92 Sunderland AFC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC51% Draw27% Sunderland AFC22%
Actual: Burnley FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.41
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Sunderland AFC
49%
Burnley FC or Sunderland AFC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC34% Draw49% Sunderland AFC17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
1 – 0
12.4%
0 – 0
11.1%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.9%
0 – 1
7.2%
1 – 2
5.4%
3 – 0
4.7%
3 – 1
4.5%
2 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Sunderland AFC covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 24% 51%
-0.5 49% — 51%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 14% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
40% ✗
Sunderland AFC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.