Thursday , 24 September 2026

Burnley FC vs Nottingham Forest FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sat 20 Sep 2025 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Burnley FC vs Nottingham Forest FC — Premier League .

Match Details

  • Referee Thomas Bramall
4 games this season 🟨 2.0/game ⚽ 8.8 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Sep Nottingham Forest FC H 1–1 D
14 Sep Liverpool FC H 0–1 L
30 Aug Manchester United FC A 2–3 L
23 Aug Sunderland AFC H 2–0 W
16 Aug Tottenham Hotspur FC A 0–3 L
03 May Millwall FC H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Sep Burnley FC A 1–1 D
13 Sep Arsenal FC A 0–3 L
31 Aug West Ham United FC H 0–3 L
24 Aug Crystal Palace FC A 1–1 D
17 Aug Brentford FC H 3–1 W
25 May Chelsea FC H 0–1 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Nottingham Forest FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nottingham Forest FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
1/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nottingham Forest FC
Morgan Gibbs-White 1 G 2 A
Dan Ndoye 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Burnley FC Lineups

Nottingham Forest FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.32 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03 Nottingham Forest FC xG
I would bet for: Burnley FC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Burnley FC42% Draw30% Nottingham Forest FC28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.35
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Nottingham Forest FC
58%
Burnley FC or Nottingham Forest FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC29% Draw50% Nottingham Forest FC21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.8%
1 – 0
11.5%
0 – 1
8.7%
2 – 1
8.3%
2 – 0
8.1%
1 – 2
6.4%
0 – 2
4.9%
2 – 2
4.3%
3 – 1
3.7%
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Nottingham Forest FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 22% 58%
-0.5 42% — 58%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 17% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
36% ✓
Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.