Burnley FC vs Brentford FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Premier League · 2025-26

Burnley FC

3 – 4

Full Time

Brentford FC

Sat 28 Feb 2026 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Burnley FC vs Brentford FC — Premier League .

Burnley FC 38 games · 22 pts (2026/27)
Brentford FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Sam Barrott (England)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	West Ham United FC	38	39
2	Burnley FC	38	22
3	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	38	20
4	Tottenham Hotspur FC	0	0
5	Coventry City FC	0	0
6	Hull City AFC	0	0
7	Ipswich Town FC	0	0
8	Arsenal FC	0	0
9	Manchester City FC	0	0
10	Manchester United FC	0	0
11	Aston Villa FC	0	0
12	Liverpool FC	0	0
13	AFC Bournemouth	0	0
14	Sunderland AFC	0	0
15	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	0	0
16	Brentford FC	0	0
17	Chelsea FC	0	0
18	Fulham FC	0	0
19	Newcastle United FC	0	0
20	Everton FC	0	0
21	Leeds United FC	0	0
22	Crystal Palace FC	0	0
23	Nottingham Forest FC	0	0

Head-to-Head

Burnley FC 6 games · Avg 3.8 goals Brentford FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-02-28 Burnley FC 3–4 Brentford FC 2025-11-29 Brentford FC 3–1 Burnley FC 2024-03-16 Burnley FC 2–1 Brentford FC 2023-10-21 Brentford FC 3–0 Burnley FC 2022-03-12 Brentford FC 2–0 Burnley FC

Recent Form

Burnley FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Feb	Brentford FC	H	3–4	L
21 Feb	Chelsea FC	A	1–1	D
14 Feb	Mansfield Town FC	H	1–2	L
11 Feb	Crystal Palace FC	A	3–2	W
07 Feb	West Ham United FC	H	0–2	L
02 Feb	Sunderland AFC	A	0–3	L

Brentford FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Feb	Burnley FC	A	4–3	W
21 Feb	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	H	0–2	L
16 Feb	Macclesfield Town FC	A	1–0	W
12 Feb	Arsenal FC	H	1–1	D
07 Feb	Newcastle United FC	A	3–2	W
01 Feb	Aston Villa FC	A	1–0	W

Season Stats

Burnley FC		Brentford FC
#2	Position	#16
22	Points	0
38	Played	0
4 / 10 / 24	W / D / L	0 / 0 / 0
38	Scored	0
75	Conceded	0
-37	GD	+0
0.58	PPG	–
11%	Win %	–

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Burnley FC are 2nd (22 pts). Brentford FC are 16th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Burnley FC to score. At the same time, Brentford FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
Full Time. Brentford FC beats Burnley FC

Lineups

Burnley FC Lineups

Brentford FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Ivan Toney	3
Maxwel Cornet	2
Saman Ghoddos	1
Kristoffer Ajer	1
Jacob Bruun Larsen	1
David Fofana	1
Saman Ghoddoos	1
Matthew Lowton	1

Head to Head

Burnley FC Form

2026-02-28 Burnley FC 3–4 Brentford FC L 2026-02-21 Chelsea FC 1–1 Burnley FC D 2026-02-14 Burnley FC 1–2 Mansfield Town FC L 2026-02-11 Crystal Palace FC 2–3 Burnley FC W 2026-02-07 Burnley FC 0–2 West Ham United FC L 2026-02-02 Sunderland AFC 3–0 Burnley FC L

Brentford FC Form

2026-02-28 Burnley FC 3–4 Brentford FC W 2026-02-21 Brentford FC 0–2 Brighton & Hove Albion FC L 2026-02-16 Macclesfield Town FC 0–1 Brentford FC W 2026-02-12 Brentford FC 1–1 Arsenal FC D 2026-02-07 Newcastle United FC 2–3 Brentford FC W 2026-02-01 Aston Villa FC 0–1 Brentford FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

0.74 Burnley FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.38 Brentford FC xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 65% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Burnley FC22% Draw30% Brentford FC48%

Actual: Brentford FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes40% 0% No60%

Avg goals/match: 2.12

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	86%	14%
± 1.5	63%	37%
± 2.5	35%	65%
± 3.5	17%	83%
± 4.5	7%	93%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw

51%

Draw or Brentford FC

78%

Burnley FC or Brentford FC

70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Burnley FC14% Draw52% Brentford FC34%

Actual: Brentford FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–4 not predicted

3 – 4

Actual

0 – 1

15.5%

0 – 0

14.3%

1 – 1

13.1%

0 – 2

11%

1 – 2

8.2%

1 – 0

7.7%

0 – 3

2 – 1

4.3%

1 – 3

3.9%

2 – 2

3.1%

2 – 0

3.1%

0 – 4

1.7%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap	Burnley FC covers	Push	Brentford FC covers
-2.5	1%	—	99%
-2	1%	4%	94%
-1.5	6%	—	94%
-1	6%	13%	82%
-0.5	18%	—	82%
+0.5	50%	—	50%
+1	50%	25%	25%
+1.5	75%	—	25%
+2	75%	15%	10%
+2.5	90%	—	10%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet

26% ✓

Brentford FC keeps clean sheet

48% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.