Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Birmingham City FC vs Lincoln City FC, League One 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2024-25
Sat 8 Mar 2025 · 15:00 UTC St Andrew's Ground 26,210 HT 45' · FT 45'
Kieran Dowell pen 71' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Birmingham City FC vs Lincoln City FC — League One at St Andrew's Ground.

Match Details

  • Referee David Rock
  • Assistant 1 Lewis Raper (England)
  • Assistant 2 Emily Carney (England)
4 games this season 🟨 1.8/game ⚽ 7.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar Lincoln City FC H 1–0 W
04 Mar Bolton Wanderers FC A 1–3 L
01 Mar Wycombe Wanderers FC H 1–0 W
25 Feb Leyton Orient FC H 2–0 W
22 Feb Reading FC A 0–0 D
15 Feb Charlton Athletic FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar Birmingham City FC A 0–1 L
04 Mar Crawley Town FC H 4–1 W
01 Mar Barnsley FC A 3–4 L
22 Feb Burton Albion FC H 0–1 L
18 Feb Mansfield Town FC A 3–0 W
15 Feb Leyton Orient FC A 2–3 L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Birmingham City FC to score. At the same time, Lincoln City FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' It is a cagey affair so far. Birmingham City FC in their trying to find a way past Lincoln City FC's compact .
  • 10' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Birmingham City FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 15' Both keepers have barely been tested. Birmingham City FC and Lincoln City FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 20' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 25' Lincoln City FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 30' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 35' Lincoln City FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 40' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Christoph Klarer suffering a number of foals already.
  • 45' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ben Davies, as he is very good at scoring at St Andrew's Ground with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 50' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 55' England international Ryan Allsop has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 60' It looks surprising Birmingham City FC does not make any changes. Emil Hansson has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 65' It looks like no one’s ball. Lincoln City FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 70' It’s high time Chris Davies made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 71' Kieran Dowell does the damage! The net is bulging and Birmingham City FC surge ahead!
  • 76' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Lincoln City FC that had 326 games and scored 389 goals.
  • 81' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Michael Skubala will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 86' Lincoln City FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • Another three points for Birmingham City FC.

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.56 Birmingham City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.94 Lincoln City FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Birmingham City FC54% Draw26% Lincoln City FC20%
Actual: Birmingham City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.5
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Birmingham City FC or Draw
80%
Draw or Lincoln City FC
46%
Birmingham City FC or Lincoln City FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Birmingham City FC35% Draw48% Lincoln City FC17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
10.3%
2 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
9%
0 – 1
6.7%
1 – 2
5.4%
3 – 0
4.9%
3 – 1
4.7%
2 – 2
4.3%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Birmingham City FC

Handicap Birmingham City FC covers Push Lincoln City FC covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 16% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 24% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 14% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
40% ✗
Lincoln City FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.