Thursday , 2 July 2026

Birmingham City FC vs Lincoln City FC, League One 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2024-25
Sat 8 Mar 2025 · 15:00 UTC St Andrew's Ground 26,210 HT 45' · FT 45'
Kieran Dowell pen 71' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Birmingham City FC vs Lincoln City FCLeague One at St Andrew's Ground.

Match Details

  • Referee David Rock
  • Assistant 1 Lewis Raper (England)
  • Assistant 2 Emily Carney (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar Lincoln City FC H 1–0 W
04 Mar Bolton Wanderers FC A 1–3 L
01 Mar Wycombe Wanderers FC H 1–0 W
25 Feb Leyton Orient FC H 2–0 W
22 Feb Reading FC A 0–0 D
15 Feb Charlton Athletic FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar Birmingham City FC A 0–1 L
04 Mar Crawley Town FC H 4–1 W
01 Mar Barnsley FC A 3–4 L
22 Feb Burton Albion FC H 0–1 L
18 Feb Mansfield Town FC A 3–0 W
15 Feb Leyton Orient FC A 2–3 L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Lincoln City FC gets underway.
  • 5' Paudie O'Connor has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 49 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 10' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Lincoln City FC that had 318 games and scored 382 goals.
  • 20' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Lincoln City FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 25' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 30' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 35' Supporters expect more eagerness from George Wickens, as he is very good at scoring at St Andrew's Ground with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 40' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 45' It looks surprising Lincoln City FC does not make any changes. Dom Jefferies has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 50' It’s high time Chris Davies made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 55' It looks like no one’s ball. Lincoln City FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 60' Lincoln City FC is showing some good football. However, Lincoln City FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 65' The travelling Lincoln City FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 70' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Sean Roughan made 318 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 71' Goal! Kieran Dowell scores his 25 goal in 319 matches.
  • 76' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 81' Birmingham City FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 86' Alex Cochrane needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • With this win, Birmingham City FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.56 Birmingham City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.94 Lincoln City FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Birmingham City FC54% Draw26% Lincoln City FC20%
Actual: Birmingham City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.5
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Birmingham City FC or Draw
80%
Draw or Lincoln City FC
46%
Birmingham City FC or Lincoln City FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Birmingham City FC35% Draw48% Lincoln City FC17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
10.3%
2 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
9%
0 – 1
6.7%
1 – 2
5.4%
3 – 0
4.9%
3 – 1
4.7%
2 – 2
4.3%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Birmingham City FC

Handicap Birmingham City FC covers Push Lincoln City FC covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 16% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 24% 50%
-0.5 50% 50%
+0.5 79% 21%
+1 79% 14% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
40%
Lincoln City FC keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.