Lincoln City FC vs Birmingham City FC, League One 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Lincoln City FC vs Birmingham City FC — League One at LNER Stadium.
- Lincoln City FC 46 games · 103 pts (2026/27)
- Birmingham City FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Simon Mather
- Assistant 1 Anthony Da Costa
- Assistant 2 Daniel Jarvis (England)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City FC | 46 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff City FC | 46 | 91 |
| 3 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 46 | 75 |
| 4 | Exeter City FC | 46 | 49 |
| 5 | Port Vale FC | 46 | 42 |
| 6 | Rotherham United FC | 46 | 41 |
| 7 | Northampton Town FC | 46 | 35 |
| 8 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Stockport County FC | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Bradford City AFC | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Luton Town FC | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Cambridge United FC | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Mansfield Town FC | 1 | 3 |
| 14 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 1 | 3 |
| 15 | Bromley FC | 1 | 3 |
| 16 | Oxford United FC | 1 | 1 |
| 17 | Milton Keynes Dons FC | 1 | 1 |
| 18 | Stevenage FC | 1 | 1 |
| 19 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 1 | 1 |
| 20 | Blackpool FC | 1 | 1 |
| 21 | Burton Albion FC | 1 | 1 |
| 22 | Leicester City FC | 1 | 1 |
| 23 | Notts County FC | 1 | 1 |
| 24 | Reading FC | 1 | 0 |
| 25 | Wigan Athletic FC | 1 | 0 |
| 26 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 1 | 0 |
| 27 | Leyton Orient FC | 1 | 0 |
| 28 | Barnsley FC | 1 | 0 |
| 29 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 1 | 0 |
| 30 | Peterborough United FC | 1 | 0 |
| 31 | AFC Wimbledon | 1 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct | Birmingham City FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 05 Oct | Leyton Orient FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Oct | Blackpool FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Sep | Cambridge United FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Sep | Wigan Athletic FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 14 Sep | Peterborough United FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct | Lincoln City FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 05 Oct | Charlton Athletic FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Oct | Huddersfield Town AFC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Sep | Peterborough United FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 21 Sep | Rotherham United FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Sep | Wrexham AFC | H | 3–1 | W |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at LNER Stadium. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Lincoln City FC and Birmingham City FC.
- 1' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Bailey Cadamarteri makes it 1-0.
- 6' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Tom Hamer suffering a number of foals already.
- 11' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 14' Goal! Keshi Anderson scores his 15 goal in 57 matches.
- 19' Lincoln City FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Birmingham City FC's shape.
- 24' Japan international Tomoki Iwata has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 29' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Chris Davies will be considering his options from the bench.
- 34' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 39' Lincoln City FC currently sit 5 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 44' The home supporters are growing impatient. Lincoln City FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 47' Christoph Klarer picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 51' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Alex Cochrane on 51 minutes.
- 52' What composure from Willum Thor Willumsson! The Iceland international strokes it home. 1-2.
- 55' A change in the Birmingham City FC ranks — Emil Hansson exits the field as Ayumu Yokoyama enters on 55.
- 59' Lincoln City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Freddie Draper is hanging Bailey Cadamarteri on the field on 59 minute.
- 60' Ethan Hamilton has so much to prove this time. He replaces Dom Jefferies on 60 minute.
- 65' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ethan Laird made 409 appearances and scored 6 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 66' Lyndon Dykes is ready to make an impact after coming on for Taylor Gardner-Hickman at the 66 minute mark.
- 70' The crowd applauds Ben House as he leaves the pitch. Recco Hackett-Fairchild steps in for Lincoln City FC.
- 75' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 79' What a strike from Keshi Anderson! The score is 1-3.
- 79' Fresh legs for Lincoln City FC! Lewis Montsma comes on to replace Tendayi Darikwa.
- 83' Another substitution for Birmingham City FC to replace Keshi Anderson by Marc Leonard on 83 minute.
- 85' The referee has no hesitation. Tomoki Iwata is booked for Birmingham City FC — card on 85.
- 90' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Lincoln City FC.
Lineups
Lincoln City FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 14
-
2
Tendayi Darikwa ↓ Lewis Montsma 79'
- 15
- 22
- 6
- 18
- 23
- 1
-
16
Dom Jefferies ↓ Ethan Hamilton 60'
- 9
-
28
Jack Moylan ↓ Erik Ring 60'
Bench
-
7
Recco Hackett-Fairchild ↑ 70'
-
11
Ethan Hamilton ↑ 60'
- 21
-
4
Lewis Montsma ↑ 79'
-
12
Erik Ring ↑ 60'
- 10
-
34
Freddie Draper ↑ 59'
Coach
Michael Skubala
Birmingham City FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 25
-
9
Alfie May ↓ Ethan Laird 66'
- 21
-
14
Keshi Anderson ↓ Marc Leonard 83'
-
7
Emil Hansson ↓ Ayumu Yokoyama 55'
- 24
- 20
- 4
- 19
- 18
- 13
Bench
- 45
- 23
- 5
-
17
Lyndon Dykes ↑ 66'
-
2
Ethan Laird ↑ 66'
-
12
Marc Leonard ↑ 83'
-
33
Ayumu Yokoyama ↑ 55'
Coach
Chris Davies
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Keshi Anderson | 2 |
| Jovon Makama | 1 |
| Willum Thor Willumsson | 1 |
| Bailey Cadamarteri | 1 |
| Kieran Dowell | 1 |
| Lyndon Dykes | 1 |
| Ayumu Yokoyama | 1 |
Head to Head
Lincoln City FC Form
2024-10-19
Lincoln City FC
1–3
Birmingham City FC
L
2024-10-05
Lincoln City FC
2–1
Leyton Orient FC
W
2024-10-01
Blackpool FC
1–1
Lincoln City FC
D
2024-09-28
Cambridge United FC
0–2
Lincoln City FC
W
2024-09-21
Lincoln City FC
0–0
Wigan Athletic FC
D
2024-09-14
Peterborough United FC
1–1
Lincoln City FC
D
Birmingham City FC Form
2024-10-19
Lincoln City FC
1–3
Birmingham City FC
W
2024-10-05
Charlton Athletic FC
1–0
Birmingham City FC
L
2024-10-01
Birmingham City FC
1–0
Huddersfield Town AFC
W
2024-09-28
Birmingham City FC
3–2
Peterborough United FC
W
2024-09-21
Rotherham United FC
0–2
Birmingham City FC
W
2024-09-16
Birmingham City FC
3–1
Wrexham AFC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.15
Lincoln City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.66
Birmingham City FC xG
I would bet for:
Lincoln City FC or Birmingham City FC 72% + Both teams to score 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Birmingham City FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.81
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 3.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
Lincoln City FC or Draw
56%
Draw or Birmingham City FC
72%
Lincoln City FC or Birmingham City FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 1
9.1%
0 – 2
8.1%
0 – 0
7.9%
2 – 1
6.4%
1 – 0
6%
2 – 2
5.3%
1 – 3
Actual
0 – 3
4.4%
2 – 0
3.9%
2 – 3
3%
Asian Handicap — Lincoln City FC
| Handicap | Lincoln City FC covers | Push | Birmingham City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 7% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 15% | 75% |
| -0.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| +0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +1 | 52% | 22% | 26% |
| +1.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +2 | 74% | 15% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
Lincoln City FC keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

