Birmingham City FC vs Lincoln City FC, FA Cup 2024-25 ROUND 3
Overview
Match Preview
Birmingham City FC vs Lincoln City FC — FA Cup at St Andrew's Ground.
- Birmingham City FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
- Lincoln City FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Martin Coy
- Assistant 1 Graeme Fyvie
- Assistant 2 Daniel Jarvis (England)
6 games this season
🟨 2.2/game
⚽ 10.5 goals/game
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan | Lincoln City FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Jan | Wigan Athletic FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 01 Jan | Stockport County FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Dec | Blackpool FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Dec | Burton Albion FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 23 Dec | Crawley Town FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan | Birmingham City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 04 Jan | Stevenage FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 01 Jan | Rotherham United FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Dec | Bolton Wanderers FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 26 Dec | Shrewsbury Town FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Dec | Reading FC | H | 2–0 | W |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Birmingham City FC welcome Lincoln City FC for this crunch clash at St Andrew's Ground.
- 1' Against the run of play, Ayumu Yokoyama has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 6' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Birmingham City FC winning 100% of all matches.
- 11' Erik Ring has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 16' Ethan Erhahon is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Birmingham City FC tonight.
- 21' Birmingham City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 21.
- 26' Recco Hackett-Fairchild has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 1 appearances with only 2 goals this season.
- 31' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Alfons Sampsted suffering a number of foals already.
- 36' Marc Leonard has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 41' Lewis Montsma is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Birmingham City FC so far.
- 46' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 51' It’s high time Chris Davies made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 56' It looks surprising Lincoln City FC does not make any changes. Freddie Draper has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 61' Birmingham City FC ring the changes. Scott Wright has done his job and it is now time for Ethan Laird to step up.
- 66' The 30-year-old Bailey Peacock-Farrell has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
- 68' Lincoln City FC ring the changes. Bailey Cadamarteri has done his job and it is now time for Tom Bayliss to step up.
- 72' Ayumu Yokoyama makes way for Willum Thor Willumsson at the 72 minute mark. A tactical switch from Birmingham City FC.
- 77' Lyndon Dykes adds to his 5 season tally! Birmingham City FC lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
- 81' Lincoln City FC ring the changes. Conor McGrandles has done his job and it is now time for Ethan Hamilton to step up.
- 83' Poor challenge from Lewis Montsma. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 85' The Lincoln City FC manager makes a substitution. Dom Jefferies departs to be replaced by Erik Ring.
- 86' The Birmingham City FC manager makes a substitution. Luke Harris departs to be replaced by Zaid Betteka.
- 90' GOAL! Jovon Makama fires home to make it 2-1!
- Birmingham City FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Birmingham City FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
10
Lukas Jutkiewicz ↓ Alfie Chang 72'
- 45
-
11
Scott Wright ↓ Ethan Laird 61'
-
23
Alfons Sampsted ↓ Seung-Ho Paik 72'
- 17
- 20
- 4
- 19
- 12
-
26
Luke Harris ↓ Zaid Betteka 86'
- 33
Bench
- 25
- 9
- 21
- 24
-
2
Ethan Laird ↑ 61'
-
15
Alfie Chang ↑ 72'
-
18
Willum Thor Willumsson ↑ 72'
-
13
Seung-Ho Paik ↑ 72'
-
43
Zaid Betteka ↑ 86'
Coach
Chris Davies
Lincoln City FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 14
- 2
- 15
- 6
- 4
- 23
- –
- 27
-
16
Dom Jefferies ↓ Erik Ring 85'
- 9
- 28
Bench
-
7
Recco Hackett-Fairchild ↑ 68'
- 5
-
8
Tom Bayliss ↑ 68'
-
11
Ethan Hamilton ↑ 81'
- 21
-
12
Erik Ring ↑ 85'
- 17
-
34
Freddie Draper ↑ 68'
- 36
Coach
Michael Skubala
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| August Priske | 2 |
| Keshi Anderson | 2 |
| Willum Thor Willumsson | 1 |
| Bailey Cadamarteri | 1 |
| Kieran Dowell | 1 |
| Lyndon Dykes | 1 |
| Ayumu Yokoyama | 1 |
| Jovon Makama | 1 |
Head to Head
Birmingham City FC Form
2025-01-11
Birmingham City FC
2–1
Lincoln City FC
W
2025-01-04
Wigan Athletic FC
0–3
Birmingham City FC
W
2025-01-01
Stockport County FC
1–1
Birmingham City FC
D
2024-12-29
Birmingham City FC
0–0
Blackpool FC
D
2024-12-26
Birmingham City FC
2–0
Burton Albion FC
W
2024-12-23
Crawley Town FC
0–1
Birmingham City FC
W
Lincoln City FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.7
Birmingham City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87
Lincoln City FC xG
I would bet for:
Birmingham City FC to win 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Birmingham City FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.57
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
Birmingham City FC or Draw
83%
Draw or Lincoln City FC
41%
Birmingham City FC or Lincoln City FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Birmingham City FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
1 – 0
12.1%
2 – 0
10.7%
0 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
6%
0 – 1
5.7%
3 – 1
5.3%
1 – 2
4.7%
2 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
2.8%
4 – 0
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Birmingham City FC
| Handicap | Birmingham City FC covers | Push | Lincoln City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 17% | 69% |
| -1.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -1 | 31% | 24% | 45% |
| -0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +0.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +1 | 82% | 12% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
42%
✓
Lincoln City FC keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.