Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Birmingham City FC vs Lincoln City FC, FA Cup 2024-25 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2024-25
Sat 11 Jan 2025 · 12:00 UTC St Andrew's Ground 17,032 HT 45' · FT 45'
Ayumu Yokoyama 1' 1–0
Lyndon Dykes 77' 2–0
2–1 90' Jovon Makama pen

Overview

Match Preview

Birmingham City FC vs Lincoln City FC — FA Cup at St Andrew's Ground.

Match Details

  • Referee Martin Coy
  • Assistant 1 Graeme Fyvie
  • Assistant 2 Daniel Jarvis (England)
4 games this season 🟨 0.0/game ⚽ 5.5 goals/game

Head-to-Head

3
Birmingham City FC 3 games · Avg 2.7 goals Lincoln City FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan Lincoln City FC H 2–1 W
04 Jan Wigan Athletic FC A 3–0 W
01 Jan Stockport County FC A 1–1 D
29 Dec Blackpool FC H 0–0 D
26 Dec Burton Albion FC H 2–0 W
23 Dec Crawley Town FC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan Birmingham City FC A 1–2 L
04 Jan Stevenage FC H 0–0 D
01 Jan Rotherham United FC H 0–1 L
29 Dec Bolton Wanderers FC A 0–3 L
26 Dec Shrewsbury Town FC A 0–1 L
21 Dec Reading FC H 2–0 W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Birmingham City FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Lincoln City FC this season

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Birmingham City FC and Lincoln City FC has kicked off!
  • 1' Ayumu Yokoyama doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 6' Birmingham City FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 11' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Lincoln City FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 16' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Birmingham City FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 21' The travelling Lincoln City FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 26' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Michael Skubala will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 31' Supporters expect more eagerness from Christoph Klarer, as he is very good at scoring at St Andrew's Ground with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 36' Lincoln City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 36.
  • 41' With 0 assists to his name this season, Bailey Cadamarteri is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Lincoln City FC.
  • 46' Lincoln City FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 51' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 56' Bailey Peacock-Farrell is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Lincoln City FC so far.
  • 61' The Birmingham City FC bench stirs into life. Scott Wright is withdrawn and Ethan Laird gets his opportunity.
  • 66' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 68' Time for substitution for Lincoln City FC. Bailey Cadamarteri is replaced by Tom Bayliss.
  • 72' Birmingham City FC ring the changes. Ayumu Yokoyama has done his job and it is now time for Willum Thor Willumsson to step up.
  • 77' Magnificent from Lyndon Dykes! That is 53 goals in 251 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 81' The supporters are chanting for Ethan Hamilton. He replaces Conor McGrandles on 81 minute.
  • 83' It’s gonna be a card for Lewis Montsma.
  • 85' Erik Ring is ready to make an impact after coming on for Dom Jefferies at the 85 minute mark.
  • 86' Another substitution for Birmingham City FC to replace Luke Harris by Zaid Betteka on 86 minute.
  • 90' Magnificent from Jovon Makama! That is 12 goals in 323 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Birmingham City FC take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.7 Birmingham City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87 Lincoln City FC xG
I would bet for: Birmingham City FC to win 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Birmingham City FC59% Draw24% Lincoln City FC17%
Actual: Birmingham City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.57
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Birmingham City FC or Draw
83%
Draw or Lincoln City FC
41%
Birmingham City FC or Lincoln City FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Birmingham City FC39% Draw47% Lincoln City FC14%
Actual: Birmingham City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
1 – 0
12.1%
2 – 0
10.7%
0 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
6%
0 – 1
5.7%
3 – 1
5.3%
1 – 2
4.7%
2 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
2.8%
4 – 0
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Birmingham City FC

Handicap Birmingham City FC covers Push Lincoln City FC covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 17% 69%
-1.5 31% — 69%
-1 31% 24% 45%
-0.5 55% — 45%
+0.5 82% — 18%
+1 82% 12% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
42% ✓
Lincoln City FC keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.