Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Southampton FC vs Birmingham City FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Sat 6 Dec 2025 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Dec Birmingham City FC H 3–1 W
29 Nov Millwall FC A 2–3 L
25 Nov Leicester City FC H 3–0 W
22 Nov Charlton Athletic FC A 5–1 W
08 Nov Sheffield Wednesday FC H 3–1 W
05 Nov Queens Park Rangers FC A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Dec Southampton FC A 1–3 L
01 Dec Watford FC H 2–1 W
26 Nov West Bromwich Albion FC A 1–1 D
22 Nov Norwich City FC H 4–1 W
08 Nov Middlesbrough FC A 1–2 L
04 Nov Millwall FC H 4–0 W

Season Stats

Southampton FC Birmingham City FC
#13 Position #10
10 Points 11
8 Played 8
4 / 2 / 2 W / D / L 2 / 5 / 1
19 Scored 12
10 Conceded 11
+9 GD +1
1.25 PPG 1.38
50% Win % 25%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Southampton FC this season
13% Clean Sheets
Birmingham City FC this season

Southampton FC are 13th (10 pts). Birmingham City FC are 10th (11 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Southampton FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
5/1
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/1
76+
6/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Birmingham City FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/6
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/–
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Southampton FC
Cyle Larin 7 G
Finn Azaz 3 G 4 A
Leo Scienza 2 G 2 A
Birmingham City FC
Phil Neumann 2 G
Demarai Gray 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Southampton FC Lineups

Birmingham City FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.77 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22 Birmingham City FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 75% + Southampton FC to win 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC67% Draw18% Birmingham City FC15%
Actual: Southampton FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.99
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 75%
25%
± 3.5 55%
45%
± 4.5 36%
64%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
85%
Draw or Birmingham City FC
33%
Southampton FC or Birmingham City FC
82%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC51% Draw34% Birmingham City FC15%
Actual: Southampton FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.5%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
7.3%
1 – 1
7%
3 – 0
6.5%
4 – 1
5.3%
2 – 2
5.1%
1 – 0
4.9%
3 – 2
4.7%
4 – 0
4.4%
1 – 2
3.8%
4 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push Birmingham City FC covers
-2.5 29% — 71%
-2 29% 19% 51%
-1.5 49% — 51%
-1 49% 20% 32%
-0.5 68% — 32%
+0.5 86% — 14%
+1 86% 9% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓
Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
7% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.