Atlanta United FC vs Orlando City SC, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2023

Atlanta United FC

1 – 2

Full Time

Orlando City SC

Sat 15 Jul 2023 · 23:30 UTC Mercedes-Benz Stadium 43,576 HT 45' · FT 45'

Caleb Wiley 22' 1–0

1–1 25' Antonio Carlos

1–2 60' Duncan McGuire

Y 45' Robin Jansson

Y 45' Wilder Cartagena

Osvaldo Alonso 59' Y

Y 65' Duncan McGuire

Y 87' Ivan Angulo

Georgios Giakoumakis 90' Y

Y 90' Antonio Carlos

Y 90' Pedro Gallese

Overview

Match Preview

Atlanta United FC vs Orlando City SC — MLS at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

Atlanta United FC 34 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Orlando City SC 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	77
2	Internacional CF Miami	34	60
3	New England Revolution	34	58
4	Chicago Fire FC	34	55
5	Charlotte FC	34	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	50
7	Columbus Crew SC	34	47
8	FC Cincinnati	34	46
9	Orlando City SC	34	46
10	New York City FC	34	42
11	New York Red Bulls	34	42
12	Toronto FC	34	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	33
14	D.C. United SC	34	33
15	Montreal Impact FC	34	26
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	34	64
17	FC Dallas	34	58
18	St. Louis City	34	54
19	San Jose Earthquakes	34	52
20	Houston Dynamo	34	51
21	Los Angeles FC	34	47
22	Portland Timbers	34	46
23	Seattle Sounders FC	34	46
24	Real Salt Lake	34	45
25	Minnesota United FC	34	44
26	Los Angeles Galaxy	34	44
27	Colorado Rapids SC	34	43
28	San Diego FC	34	38
29	Austin FC	34	34
30	Sporting Kansas City	34	26

Head-to-Head

Atlanta United FC 22 games · Avg 2.7 goals Orlando City SC

Last 5 meetings

2023-07-15 Atlanta United FC 1–2 Orlando City SC 2023-05-27 Orlando City SC 1–1 Atlanta United FC 2022-09-14 Orlando City SC 0–1 Atlanta United FC 2022-07-17 Atlanta United FC 1–1 Orlando City SC 2021-09-10 Atlanta United FC 3–0 Orlando City SC

Recent Form

Atlanta United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Jul	Orlando City SC	H	1–2	L
12 Jul	New England Revolution	A	1–2	L
08 Jul	Montreal Impact FC	A	1–0	W
02 Jul	Philadelphia Union	H	2–0	W
24 Jun	New York Red Bulls	A	0–4	L
21 Jun	New York City FC	H	2–2	D

Orlando City SC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Jul	Atlanta United FC	A	2–1	W
09 Jul	Real Salt Lake	A	0–4	L
04 Jul	Toronto FC	H	4–0	W
01 Jul	Chicago Fire FC	H	3–1	W
25 Jun	Seattle Sounders FC	A	0–0	D
21 Jun	Philadelphia Union	H	2–2	D

Season Stats

Atlanta United FC		Orlando City SC
#13	Position	#9
33	Points	46
34	Played	34
9 / 6 / 19	W / D / L	13 / 7 / 14
43	Scored	63
60	Conceded	78
-17	GD	-15
0.97	PPG	1.35
26%	Win %	38%

Key Stats

59% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)

55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

15% Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season

18% Clean Sheets
Orlando City SC this season

Atlanta United FC are 13th (33 pts). Orlando City SC are 9th (46 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Atlanta United FC

0-15

3/4

16-30

5/6

31-45

4/7

46-60

5/12

61-75

6/8

76+

7/11

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Orlando City SC

0-15

5/5

16-30

10/10

31-45

5/8

46-60

10/10

61-75

7/5

76+

13/15

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Atlanta United FC

Aleksei Miranchuk

6 G

6 A

Orlando City SC

Martin Ojeda	16 G	4 A
Antoine Griezmann	14 G	6 A
Tyrese Spicer	6 G

Events

Match Events

0' The game is set. Atlanta United FC kicks off things out of here…
5' It looks surprising Atlanta United FC does not make any changes. Robin Jansson has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
10' Atlanta United FC are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against Orlando City SC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
15' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Atlanta United FC and Orlando City SC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
20' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Atlanta United FC that had 303 games and scored 454 goals.
22' GOAL! Caleb Wiley scores on 22.
25' Antonio Carlos has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 25 minutes.
30' The travelling Orlando City SC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
31' The crowd applauds Machop Chol as he leaves the pitch. Derrick Etienne steps in for Atlanta United FC.
36' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Dagur THorhallsson made 302 appearances and scored 8 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
41' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
45' The referee has no hesitation. Robin Jansson is booked for Orlando City SC — card on 45.
50' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
55' Brooks Lennon needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 21 Yellow cards this season.
57' Osvaldo Alonso has so much to prove this time. He replaces Amar Sejdic on 57 minute.
58' A change in the Atlanta United FC ranks — Santiago Sosa exits the field as Matheus Rossetto enters on 58.
59' That looks like a foul for a card for Osvaldo Alonso.
60' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Duncan McGuire makes it 1-2.
65' Orlando City SC receives a card for a hard tackle on 65.
65' Ramiro Enrique is replacing Duncan McGuire for the Orlando City SC side.
70' Atlanta United FC ring the changes. Miguel Berry has done his job and it is now time for Georgios Giakoumakis to step up.
74' Time for substitution for Orlando City SC. Mauricio Pereyra is replaced by Martin Ojeda.
75' The Orlando City SC manager makes a substitution. Kyle Smith departs to be replaced by Dagur THorhallsson.
80' Santiago Sosa has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 215 appearances.
85' Both keepers have barely been tested. Atlanta United FC and Orlando City SC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
87' Ivan Angulo catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 87.
90' Atlanta United FC player sees a card in front of him.
90' The Orlando City SC manager makes a substitution. Ivan Angulo departs to be replaced by Felipe Martins.
With this win, Orlando City SC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Atlanta United FC Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

11
Brooks Lennon
4
Luis Abram
5
Santiago Sosa ↓ Matheus Rossetto 58'
1
Brad Guzan
23
Thiago Almada
2
Ronald Hernandez ↓ Edwin Mosquera 70'
13
Amar Sejdic ↓ Osvaldo Alonso 57'
19
Miguel Berry ↓ Georgios Giakoumakis 70'
30
Machop Chol ↓ Derrick Etienne 31'
26
Caleb Wiley
22
Juan Sanchez

Bench

Orlando City SC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

25
Antonio Carlos
1
Pedro Gallese
16
Wilder Cartagena
10
Mauricio Pereyra ↓ Martin Ojeda 74'
3
Rafael Santos
6
Robin Jansson
24
Kyle Smith ↓ Dagur THorhallsson 75'
77
Ivan Angulo ↓ Felipe Martins 90'
17
Facundo Torres Perez ↓ Rodrigo Schlegel 75'
5
Cesar Araujo
13
Duncan McGuire ↓ Ramiro Enrique 65'

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Josef Martinez	5
Ezequiel Barco	3
Josef Martinez	3
Antoine Griezmann	2
Silvester van der Water	2
Ezequiel Barco	2
Nani	2
Kyle Smith	2

Head to Head

Atlanta United FC Form

2023-07-15 Atlanta United FC 1–2 Orlando City SC L 2023-07-12 New England Revolution 2–1 Atlanta United FC L 2023-07-08 Montreal Impact FC 0–1 Atlanta United FC W 2023-07-02 Atlanta United FC 2–0 Philadelphia Union W 2023-06-24 New York Red Bulls 4–0 Atlanta United FC L 2023-06-21 Atlanta United FC 2–2 New York City FC D

Orlando City SC Form

2023-07-15 Atlanta United FC 1–2 Orlando City SC W 2023-07-09 Real Salt Lake 4–0 Orlando City SC L 2023-07-04 Orlando City SC 4–0 Toronto FC W 2023-07-01 Orlando City SC 3–1 Chicago Fire FC W 2023-06-25 Seattle Sounders FC 0–0 Orlando City SC D 2023-06-21 Orlando City SC 2–2 Philadelphia Union D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.85 Atlanta United FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.48 Orlando City SC xG

I would bet for: Atlanta United FC or Orlando City SC 74% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Atlanta United FC43% Draw26% Orlando City SC31%

Actual: Orlando City SC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes65% 0% No35%

Avg goals/match: 3.33

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	84%	16%
± 2.5	64%	36%
± 3.5	42%	58%
± 4.5	25%	75%

Double Chance

Atlanta United FC or Draw

69%

Draw or Orlando City SC

57%

Atlanta United FC or Orlando City SC

74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Atlanta United FC34% Draw42% Orlando City SC24%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.7%

2 – 1

8.7%

1 – 2

Actual

2 – 2

6.4%

2 – 0

6.1%

1 – 0

5.9%

3 – 1

5.3%

0 – 0

5.1%

0 – 1

4.6%

3 – 2

0 – 2

3 – 0

3.7%

Asian Handicap — Atlanta United FC

Handicap	Atlanta United FC covers	Push	Orlando City SC covers
-2.5	12%	—	88%
-2	12%	14%	75%
-1.5	25%	—	75%
-1	25%	20%	55%
-0.5	45%	—	55%
+0.5	70%	—	30%
+1	70%	16%	14%
+1.5	86%	—	14%
+2	86%	9%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Orlando City SC keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.