Thursday , 2 July 2026

Atlanta United FC vs Orlando City SC, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2023
Sat 15 Jul 2023 · 23:30 UTC Mercedes-Benz Stadium 43,576 HT 45' · FT 45'
Caleb Wiley 22' 1–0
1–1 25' Antonio Carlos
1–2 60' Duncan McGuire

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Jul Orlando City SC H 1–2 L
12 Jul New England Revolution A 1–2 L
08 Jul Montreal Impact FC A 1–0 W
02 Jul Philadelphia Union H 2–0 W
24 Jun New York Red Bulls A 0–4 L
21 Jun New York City FC H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Jul Atlanta United FC A 2–1 W
09 Jul Real Salt Lake A 0–4 L
04 Jul Toronto FC H 4–0 W
01 Jul Chicago Fire FC H 3–1 W
25 Jun Seattle Sounders FC A 0–0 D
21 Jun Philadelphia Union H 2–2 D

Season Stats

Atlanta United FC Orlando City SC
#14 Position #13
11 Points 14
14 Played 15
3 / 2 / 9 W / D / L 4 / 2 / 9
14 Scored 23
23 Conceded 44
-9 GD -21
0.79 PPG 0.93
21% Win % 27%

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
52% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season
7% Clean Sheets
Orlando City SC this season

Atlanta United FC are 14th (11 pts). Orlando City SC are 13th (14 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Atlanta United FC
0-15
/2
16-30
/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Orlando City SC
0-15
1/2
16-30
4/4
31-45
/5
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/2
76+
1/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.84 Atlanta United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.25 Orlando City SC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Atlanta United FC46% Draw26% Orlando City SC28%
Actual: Orlando City SC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.09
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Atlanta United FC or Draw
73%
Draw or Orlando City SC
54%
Atlanta United FC or Orlando City SC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Atlanta United FC37% Draw43% Orlando City SC20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.3%
2 – 1
9.3%
1 – 0
7.6%
2 – 0
7.6%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
5.7%
0 – 1
4.9%
3 – 0
4.6%
3 – 2
3.6%
0 – 2
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Atlanta United FC

Handicap Atlanta United FC covers Push Orlando City SC covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 15% 71%
-1.5 29% 71%
-1 29% 21% 50%
-0.5 50% 50%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 14% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 7% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet
29%
Orlando City SC keeps clean sheet
17%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.