Atlanta United FC vs Orlando City SC, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2023

Atlanta United FC

1 – 2

Full Time

Orlando City SC

Sat 15 Jul 2023 · 23:30 UTC Mercedes-Benz Stadium 43,576 HT 45' · FT 45'

Caleb Wiley 22' 1–0

1–1 25' Antonio Carlos

1–2 60' Duncan McGuire

Y 45' Robin Jansson

Y 45' Wilder Cartagena

Osvaldo Alonso 59' Y

Y 65' Duncan McGuire

Y 87' Ivan Angulo

Georgios Giakoumakis 90' Y

Y 90' Antonio Carlos

Y 90' Pedro Gallese

Overview

Match Preview

Atlanta United FC vs Orlando City SC — MLS at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

Atlanta United FC 18 games · 12 pts (2026/26)
Orlando City SC 18 games · 20 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	18	40
2	Internacional CF Miami	18	38
3	New England Revolution	18	30
4	Chicago Fire FC	17	29
5	New York City FC	18	26
6	FC Cincinnati	18	26
7	Charlotte FC	18	25
8	New York Red Bulls	18	25
9	D.C. United SC	18	23
10	Columbus Crew SC	18	20
11	Orlando City SC	18	20
12	Toronto FC	18	17
13	Philadelphia Union	18	16
14	Montreal Impact FC	18	16
15	Atlanta United FC	18	12
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	17	34
17	Los Angeles FC	19	34
18	San Jose Earthquakes	18	33
19	Houston Dynamo	18	32
20	FC Dallas	18	27
21	Real Salt Lake	17	27
22	St. Louis City	18	26
23	Portland Timbers	18	24
24	Seattle Sounders FC	17	24
25	Minnesota United FC	18	24
26	Colorado Rapids SC	18	22
27	Los Angeles Galaxy	19	22
28	San Diego FC	18	21
29	Austin FC	18	17
30	Sporting Kansas City	18	14

Head-to-Head

Atlanta United FC 21 games · Avg 2.6 goals Orlando City SC

Last 5 meetings

2023-07-15 Atlanta United FC 1–2 Orlando City SC 2023-05-27 Orlando City SC 1–1 Atlanta United FC 2022-09-14 Orlando City SC 0–1 Atlanta United FC 2022-07-17 Atlanta United FC 1–1 Orlando City SC 2021-09-10 Atlanta United FC 3–0 Orlando City SC

Recent Form

Atlanta United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Jul	Orlando City SC	H	1–2	L
12 Jul	New England Revolution	A	1–2	L
08 Jul	Montreal Impact FC	A	1–0	W
02 Jul	Philadelphia Union	H	2–0	W
24 Jun	New York Red Bulls	A	0–4	L
21 Jun	New York City FC	H	2–2	D

Orlando City SC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Jul	Atlanta United FC	A	2–1	W
09 Jul	Real Salt Lake	A	0–4	L
04 Jul	Toronto FC	H	4–0	W
01 Jul	Chicago Fire FC	H	3–1	W
25 Jun	Seattle Sounders FC	A	0–0	D
21 Jun	Philadelphia Union	H	2–2	D

Season Stats

Atlanta United FC		Orlando City SC
#15	Position	#11
12	Points	20
18	Played	18
3 / 3 / 12	W / D / L	6 / 2 / 10
19	Scored	30
33	Conceded	47
-14	GD	-17
0.67	PPG	1.11
17%	Win %	33%

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)

52% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

11% Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season

16% Clean Sheets
Orlando City SC this season

Atlanta United FC are 15th (12 pts). Orlando City SC are 11th (20 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Atlanta United FC

0-15

–/4

16-30

1/3

31-45

1/3

46-60

3/3

61-75

3/6

76+

4/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Orlando City SC

0-15

2/2

16-30

5/6

31-45

–/6

46-60

6/3

61-75

5/2

76+

1/8

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Atlanta United FC

Aleksei Miranchuk

5 G

2 A

Orlando City SC

Martin Ojeda

11 G

Events

Match Events

0' Welcome to Mercedes-Benz Stadium that hosts another battle between Atlanta United FC and Orlando City SC.
5' It is a cagey affair so far. Atlanta United FC in their 3-4-2-1 trying to find a way past Orlando City SC's compact 4-2-3-1.
10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Caleb Wiley suffering a number of foals already.
15' Both keepers have barely been tested. Atlanta United FC and Orlando City SC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
20' A quiet spell here at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Atlanta United FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
22' A goal from the USA international Caleb Wiley! He fires home on 22 to make it 1-0!
25' Brilliant from the ! Antonio Carlos makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 25.
30' Orlando City SC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
31' Atlanta United FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Derrick Etienne is hanging Machop Chol on the field on 31 minute.
36' Atlanta United FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
41' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
45' A moment of madness from Robin Jansson on 45 minutes earns him a card. Orlando City SC will be frustrated.
50' It looks surprising Atlanta United FC does not make any changes. Martin Ojeda has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
55' Atlanta United FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Orlando City SC backline.
57' Another substitution for Atlanta United FC to replace Amar Sejdic by Osvaldo Alonso on 57 minute.
58' Matheus Rossetto gets the nod from Atlanta United FC. He replaces Santiago Sosa and will look to change the dynamic.
59' It’s a booking for Atlanta United FC player. Osvaldo Alonso gets a card.
60' Sensational shot from Duncan McGuire. Orlando City SC is back in the lead.
65' The referee calls foul for Duncan McGuire. He receives a card.
65' Orlando City SC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ramiro Enrique is hanging Duncan McGuire on the field on 65 minute.
70' Time for substitution for Atlanta United FC. Miguel Berry is replaced by Georgios Giakoumakis.
74' A tactical swap from Orlando City SC — Martin Ojeda on, Mauricio Pereyra off on 74 minutes.
75' Dagur THorhallsson gets the nod from Orlando City SC. He replaces Kyle Smith and will look to change the dynamic.
80' Machop Chol is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Orlando City SC tonight.
85' Atlanta United FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
87' That is a card for Orlando City SC. Ivan Angulo will be fuming at that decision.
90' Georgios Giakoumakis picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
90' The crowd applauds Ivan Angulo as he leaves the pitch. Felipe Martins steps in for Orlando City SC.
The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Atlanta United FC.

Lineups

Atlanta United FC Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

11
Brooks Lennon
4
Luis Abram
5
Santiago Sosa ↓ Matheus Rossetto 58'
1
Brad Guzan
23
Thiago Almada
2
Ronald Hernandez ↓ Edwin Mosquera 70'
13
Amar Sejdic ↓ Osvaldo Alonso 57'
19
Miguel Berry ↓ Georgios Giakoumakis 70'
30
Machop Chol ↓ Derrick Etienne 31'
26
Caleb Wiley
22
Juan Sanchez

Bench

Orlando City SC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

25
Antonio Carlos
1
Pedro Gallese
16
Wilder Cartagena
10
Mauricio Pereyra ↓ Martin Ojeda 74'
3
Rafael Santos
6
Robin Jansson
24
Kyle Smith ↓ Dagur THorhallsson 75'
77
Ivan Angulo ↓ Felipe Martins 90'
17
Facundo Torres Perez ↓ Rodrigo Schlegel 75'
5
Cesar Araujo
13
Duncan McGuire ↓ Ramiro Enrique 65'

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Josef Martinez	5
Ezequiel Barco	3
Josef Martinez	3
Christopher Mueller	2
Miguel Almiron	2
Miguel Almiron	2
Silvester van der Water	2
Saba Lobzhanidze	2

Head to Head

Atlanta United FC Form

2023-07-15 Atlanta United FC 1–2 Orlando City SC L 2023-07-12 New England Revolution 2–1 Atlanta United FC L 2023-07-08 Montreal Impact FC 0–1 Atlanta United FC W 2023-07-02 Atlanta United FC 2–0 Philadelphia Union W 2023-06-24 New York Red Bulls 4–0 Atlanta United FC L 2023-06-21 Atlanta United FC 2–2 New York City FC D

Orlando City SC Form

2023-07-15 Atlanta United FC 1–2 Orlando City SC W 2023-07-09 Real Salt Lake 4–0 Orlando City SC L 2023-07-04 Orlando City SC 4–0 Toronto FC W 2023-07-01 Orlando City SC 3–1 Chicago Fire FC W 2023-06-25 Seattle Sounders FC 0–0 Orlando City SC D 2023-06-21 Orlando City SC 2–2 Philadelphia Union D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.81 Atlanta United FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.43 Orlando City SC xG

I would bet for: Atlanta United FC or Orlando City SC 74% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Atlanta United FC43% Draw26% Orlando City SC31%

Actual: Orlando City SC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes63% 0% No37%

Avg goals/match: 3.24

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	83%	17%
± 2.5	62%	38%
± 3.5	40%	60%
± 4.5	23%	77%

Double Chance

Atlanta United FC or Draw

69%

Draw or Orlando City SC

57%

Atlanta United FC or Orlando City SC

74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Atlanta United FC34% Draw42% Orlando City SC24%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.1%

2 – 1

8.8%

1 – 2

Actual

1 – 0

6.4%

2 – 0

6.4%

2 – 2

6.3%

0 – 0

5.5%

3 – 1

5.3%

0 – 1

4.9%

0 – 2

3 – 2

3.8%

3 – 0

3.8%

Asian Handicap — Atlanta United FC

Handicap	Atlanta United FC covers	Push	Orlando City SC covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	14%	75%
-1.5	25%	—	75%
-1	25%	20%	55%
-0.5	45%	—	55%
+0.5	70%	—	30%
+1	70%	16%	14%
+1.5	86%	—	14%
+2	86%	9%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet

25% ✓

Orlando City SC keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.