Sunday , 16 August 2026

Athletic Club vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, La Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2025-26
Mon 25 Aug 2025 · 17:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Athletic Club vs Rayo Vallecano de MadridLa Liga .

Match Details

  • Referee Juan Martinez Munuera (Spain)
6 games this season 🟨 0.7/game 2.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Aug Rayo Vallecano de Madrid H 1–0 W
17 Aug Sevilla FC H 3–2 W
25 May FC Barcelona H 0–3 L
18 May Valencia CF A 1–0 W
15 May Getafe CF A 2–0 W
11 May Deportivo Alavés H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Aug Athletic Club A 0–1 L
15 Aug Girona FC A 3–1 W
24 May RCD Mallorca H 0–0 D
18 May RC Celta de Vigo A 2–1 W
15 May Real Betis Balompié H 2–2 D
09 May UD Las Palmas A 1–0 W

Season Stats

Athletic Club Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
#18 Position #22
0 Points 0
0 Played 1
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 1
0 Scored 1
0 Conceded 2
+0 GD -1
PPG 0.00
Win % 0%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Athletic Club are 18th (0 pts). Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are 22nd (0 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
0-15
1/
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
/1
61-75
/
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Athletic Club Lineups

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.79 Athletic Club xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.52 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 85% + Athletic Club or Draw 81%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Athletic Club45% Draw36% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid19%
Actual: Athletic Club win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes24% 0% No76%
Avg goals/match: 1.31
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 70%
30%
± 1.5 38%
62%
± 2.5 15%
85%
± 3.5 5%
95%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

Athletic Club or Draw
81%
Draw or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
55%
Athletic Club or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
64%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Athletic Club22% Draw66% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid12%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
29.9%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
12.3%
1 – 1
12.1%
2 – 0
7.7%
2 – 1
4.5%
0 – 2
3.2%
1 – 2
2.9%
3 – 0
2%
2 – 2
1.3%
3 – 1
1.3%
0 – 3
0.5%

Asian Handicap — Athletic Club

Handicap Athletic Club covers Push Rayo Vallecano de Madrid covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 9% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 25% 63%
-0.5 37% 63%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 16% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Athletic Club keeps clean sheet
60%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid keeps clean sheet
46%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.