Saturday , 14 November 2026

Athletic Club vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, La Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2025-26
Mon 25 Aug 2025 · 17:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Athletic Club vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid — La Liga .

Match Details

  • Referee Juan Martinez Munuera (Spain)
7 games this season 🟨 3.4/game ⚽ 8.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Aug Rayo Vallecano de Madrid H 1–0 W
17 Aug Sevilla FC H 3–2 W
25 May FC Barcelona H 0–3 L
18 May Valencia CF A 1–0 W
15 May Getafe CF A 2–0 W
11 May Deportivo Alaves H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Aug Athletic Club A 0–1 L
15 Aug Girona FC A 3–1 W
24 May RCD Mallorca H 0–0 D
18 May RC Celta de Vigo A 2–1 W
15 May Real Betis Balompie H 2–2 D
09 May UD Las Palmas A 1–0 W

Season Stats

Athletic Club Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
#7 Position #13
16 Points 12
11 Played 11
4 / 4 / 3 W / D / L 3 / 3 / 5
15 Scored 15
11 Conceded 21
+4 GD -6
1.45 PPG 1.09
36% Win % 27%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
45% Clean Sheets
Athletic Club this season
10% Clean Sheets
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid this season

Athletic Club are 7th (16 pts). Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are 13th (12 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Athletic Club
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/3
61-75
3/–
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
0-15
4/2
16-30
2/6
31-45
2/2
46-60
6/3
61-75
1/3
76+
–/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Sergio Camello 7 G 2 A
Alvaro Garcia 3 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Athletic Club Lineups

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.82 Athletic Club xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid xG
I would bet for: Athletic Club to win 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Athletic Club58% Draw24% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid18%
Actual: Athletic Club win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.79
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Athletic Club or Draw
82%
Draw or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
42%
Athletic Club or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Athletic Club40% Draw45% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid15%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
10%
2 – 1
9.5%
0 – 0
7.9%
3 – 0
5.9%
3 – 1
5.8%
0 – 1
5.1%
1 – 2
5%
2 – 2
4.6%
3 – 2
2.9%
0 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Athletic Club

Handicap Athletic Club covers Push Rayo Vallecano de Madrid covers
-2.5 15% — 85%
-2 15% 17% 67%
-1.5 33% — 67%
-1 33% 23% 44%
-0.5 56% — 44%
+0.5 81% — 19%
+1 81% 12% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Athletic Club keeps clean sheet
38% ✗
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.