Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Atalanta BC vs US Salernitana 1919, Serie A 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2023-24
Mon 18 Dec 2023 · 19:45 UTC Gewiss Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 10' Lorenzo Pirola
Luis Muriel 47' 1–1
Mario Pasalic 52' 2–1
Aleksei Miranchuk 89' 4–1

Overview

Match Preview

Atalanta BC vs US Salernitana 1919 — Serie A at Gewiss Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Ermanno Feliciani (Italy)
  • Assistant 1 Marcello Rossi
  • Assistant 2 Alessandro Cipressa

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Dec US Salernitana 1919 H 4–1 W
14 Dec RKS Rakow Czestochowa A 4–0 W
09 Dec AC Milan H 3–2 W
04 Dec Torino FC A 0–3 L
30 Nov Sporting Clube de Portugal H 1–1 D
25 Nov SSC Napoli H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Dec Atalanta BC A 1–4 L
10 Dec Bologna FC 1909 H 1–2 L
03 Dec ACF Fiorentina A 0–3 L
25 Nov SS Lazio H 2–1 W
10 Nov US Sassuolo Calcio A 2–2 D
04 Nov SSC Napoli H 0–2 L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Atalanta BC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Atalanta BC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/–
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.14 Atalanta BC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1 US Salernitana 1919 xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 62% + Atalanta BC to win 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Atalanta BC60% Draw22% US Salernitana 191918%
Actual: Atalanta BC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 3.24
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

Atalanta BC or Draw
82%
Draw or US Salernitana 1919
40%
Atalanta BC or US Salernitana 1919
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Atalanta BC43% Draw41% US Salernitana 191916%
Actual: US Salernitana 1919 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
8.9%
1 – 0
7.8%
3 – 1
6.7%
3 – 0
6.2%
0 – 0
5.4%
2 – 2
5.2%
1 – 2
4.9%
3 – 2
3.8%
4 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Atalanta BC

Handicap Atalanta BC covers Push US Salernitana 1919 covers
-2.5 19% — 81%
-2 19% 18% 62%
-1.5 38% — 62%
-1 38% 22% 40%
-0.5 60% — 40%
+0.5 82% — 18%
+1 82% 11% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
34% ✓
US Salernitana 1919 keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.