Atalanta BC vs Borussia Dortmund, Champions League 2025-26 PLAYOFFS
Overview
Match Preview
Atalanta BC vs Borussia Dortmund — Champions League .
- Atalanta BC 8 games · 13 pts (2025/26)
- Borussia Dortmund 8 games · 11 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Jose Sanchez Martinez (Spain)
8 games this season
🟨 0.4/game
⚽ 2.5 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal FC | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool FC | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Barcelona | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea FC | 8 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 8 | 16 |
| 8 | Manchester City FC | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid CF | 8 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Internazionale Milano | 8 | 15 |
| 11 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 8 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle United FC | 8 | 14 |
| 13 | Juventus FC | 8 | 13 |
| 14 | Club Atlético de Madrid | 8 | 13 |
| 15 | Atalanta BC | 8 | 13 |
| 16 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 8 | 12 |
| 17 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 11 |
| 18 | PAE Olympiakos SFP | 8 | 11 |
| 19 | Club Brugge KV | 8 | 10 |
| 20 | Galatasaray SK | 8 | 10 |
| 21 | AS Monaco FC | 8 | 10 |
| 22 | Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 8 | 10 |
| 23 | FK Bodo/Glimt | 8 | 9 |
| 24 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 8 | 9 |
| 25 | Olympique de Marseille | 8 | 9 |
| 26 | Paphos FC | 8 | 9 |
| 27 | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | 8 | 9 |
| 28 | PSV | 8 | 8 |
| 29 | Athletic Club | 8 | 8 |
| 30 | SSC Napoli | 8 | 8 |
| 31 | FC Kobenhavn | 8 | 8 |
| 32 | AFC Ajax | 8 | 6 |
| 33 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 4 |
| 34 | SK Slavia Praha | 8 | 3 |
| 35 | Villarreal CF | 8 | 1 |
| 36 | FK Kairat | 8 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb | Borussia Dortmund | H | 4–1 | W |
| 22 Feb | SSC Napoli | H | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Feb | Borussia Dortmund | A | 0–2 | L |
| 14 Feb | SS Lazio | A | 2–0 | W |
| 09 Feb | US Cremonese | H | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Feb | Como 1907 | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb | Atalanta BC | A | 1–4 | L |
| 21 Feb | RB Leipzig | A | 2–2 | D |
| 17 Feb | Atalanta BC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 13 Feb | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 4–0 | W |
| 07 Feb | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Feb | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | H | 3–2 | W |
Season Stats
| Atalanta BC | Borussia Dortmund | |
|---|---|---|
| #15 | Position | #17 |
| 13 | Points | 11 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 4 / 1 / 3 | W / D / L | 3 / 2 / 3 |
| 10 | Scored | 19 |
| 10 | Conceded | 17 |
| +0 | GD | +2 |
| 1.63 | PPG | 1.38 |
| 50% | Win % | 38% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
25%
Clean Sheets
Atalanta BC this season
Atalanta BC this season
20%
Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season
Borussia Dortmund this season
Atalanta BC are 15th (13 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 17th (11 pts).
Top Scorers (This Season)
Atalanta BC
| Lazar Samardzic | 4 G |
Borussia Dortmund
| Sehrou Guirassy | 4 G | 3 A |
| Karim Adeyemi | 3 G | 2 A |
| Felix Kalu Nmecha | 3 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Atalanta BC to score. At the same time, Borussia Dortmund does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- Another three points for Atalanta BC.
Lineups
Atalanta BC Lineups
Borussia Dortmund Lineups
H2H
Head to Head
Atalanta BC Form
Borussia Dortmund Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.17
Atalanta BC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.56
Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 71% + Both teams to score 70%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Atalanta BC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.73
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 2.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 3.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 4.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
Double Chance
Atalanta BC or Draw
74%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
49%
Atalanta BC or Borussia Dortmund
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Atalanta BC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.9%
2 – 1
8.5%
2 – 2
6.6%
1 – 2
6.2%
3 – 1
6.1%
2 – 0
5.7%
3 – 2
4.8%
1 – 0
4.7%
3 – 0
4.1%
0 – 0
3.6%
2 – 3
3.4%
4 – 1
Actual
Asian Handicap — Atalanta BC
| Handicap | Atalanta BC covers | Push | Borussia Dortmund covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -2 | 16% | 15% | 69% |
| -1.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -1 | 31% | 20% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 14% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 8% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.