Nottingham Forest FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2018-19

Nottingham Forest FC

1 – 0

Full Time

Derby County FC

Mon 25 Feb 2019 · 19:45 UTC The City Ground HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 26' Harry Wilson

Ryan Yates 29' Y

Y 29' Duane Holmes

Jack Colback 82' Y

Y 90' Fikayo Tomori

Overview

Match Preview

Nottingham Forest FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at The City Ground.

Nottingham Forest FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Derby County FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Robert Jones
Referee Graham Kane
Referee Shaun Hudson
Referee Andy Madley
Referee David Webb

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Coventry City FC	46	95
2	Ipswich Town FC	46	84
3	Hull City AFC	46	73
4	Oxford United FC	46	47
5	Leicester City FC	46	46
6	Blackburn Rovers FC	1	1
7	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	1	1
8	Queens Park Rangers FC	0	0
9	Millwall FC	0	0
10	Middlesbrough FC	0	0
11	Swansea City AFC	0	0
12	Charlton Athletic FC	0	0
13	West Bromwich Albion FC	0	0
14	Bolton Wanderers FC	0	0
15	Birmingham City FC	0	0
16	Sheffield United FC	0	0
17	Southampton FC	0	0
18	Wrexham AFC	0	0
19	Watford FC	0	0
20	Burnley FC	0	0
21	Cardiff City FC	0	0
22	West Ham United FC	0	0
23	Derby County FC	0	0
24	Norwich City FC	0	0
25	Preston North End FC	0	0
26	Stoke City FC	0	0
27	Lincoln City FC	0	0
28	Portsmouth FC	0	0
29	Bristol City FC	0	0
30	Sheffield Wednesday FC	46	0

Head-to-Head

Nottingham Forest FC 8 games · Avg 1.6 goals Derby County FC

Last 5 meetings

2019-02-25 Nottingham Forest FC 1–0 Derby County FC 2018-12-17 Derby County FC 0–0 Nottingham Forest FC

Recent Form

Nottingham Forest FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Feb	Derby County FC	H	1–0	W
16 Feb	Preston North End FC	A	0–0	D
12 Feb	West Bromwich Albion FC	A	2–2	D
09 Feb	Brentford FC	H	2–1	W
02 Feb	Birmingham City FC	A	0–2	L
26 Jan	Wigan Athletic FC	H	3–1	W

Derby County FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Feb	Nottingham Forest FC	A	0–1	L
20 Feb	Millwall FC	H	0–1	L
16 Feb	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	A	1–2	L
13 Feb	Ipswich Town FC	A	1–1	D
09 Feb	Hull City AFC	H	2–0	W
01 Feb	Preston North End FC	A	0–0	D

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

13% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/–

31-45

–/–

46-60

–/–

61-75

–/1

76+

–/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: Derby County FC gets underway.
2' What a moment for Yohan Benalouane! That strike on 2 puts his side firmly in control.
7' The energy levels are beginning to show. Martin O'Neill might look to freshen things up shortly.
12' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
17' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
22' Derby County FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 22.
26' The referee has no hesitation. Harry Wilson is booked for Derby County FC — Yellow card on 26.
29' The referee calls foul for Ryan Yates. He receives a Yellow card.
34' Both keepers have barely been tested. Nottingham Forest FC and Derby County FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
39' A quiet spell here at The City Ground. Derby County FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
44' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Nottingham Forest FC and Derby County FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
46' A change in the Derby County FC ranks — Tom Huddlestone exits the field as Florian Jozefzoon enters on 46.
51' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
53' It is a substitution in Derby County FC team. Andy King is replaced by Bradley Johnson on 53 minute.
58' Nottingham Forest FC is showing some good football. However, Nottingham Forest FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
63' Alexander Milosevic, a Sweden , has 3 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
68' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Derby County FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
71' A change in the Nottingham Forest FC ranks — Ben Watson exits the field as Adlene Guedioura enters on 71.
76' It looks like no one’s ball. Nottingham Forest FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
81' With 0 assists to his name this season, Mason Bennett is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Derby County FC.
82' That is a Yellow card for Nottingham Forest FC. Jack Colback will be fuming at that decision.
85' The Nottingham Forest FC manager makes a substitution. Daryl Murphy departs to be replaced by Leo Bonatini.
90' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Fikayo Tomori on 90 minutes.
90' Molla Wague is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ben Osborn at the 90 minute mark.
Full Time. Nottingham Forest FC beats Derby County FC

Lineups

Nottingham Forest FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

15
Luke Steele
5
Adlene Guedioura ↑ 71'
10
Joao Carvalho
19
Diogo Goncalves
33
Leo Bonatini ↑ 85'
28
Pele
13
Molla Wague ↑ 90'

Coach Martin O'Neill

Derby County FC Lineups

Starting XI

24
Andy King ↓ Bradley Johnson 53'
21
Kelle Roos
6
Richard Keogh C
37
Jayden Bogle
44
Tom Huddlestone ↓ Florian Jozefzoon 46'
9
Martyn Waghorn
14
Jack Marriott
23
Duane Holmes
5
Fikayo Tomori
7
Harry Wilson ↓ Mason Bennett 71'
26
Ashley Cole

Bench

Coach Frank Lampard

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Tom Lawrence	2
Brennan Johnson	2
Lewis Grabban	2
Martyn Waghorn	1
Lyle Taylor	1
Colin Kazim-Richards	1
James Garner	1
Yohan Benalouane	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.2 Nottingham Forest FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.69 Derby County FC xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 70% + Under — clean sheet likely 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Nottingham Forest FC50% Draw30% Derby County FC20%

Actual: Nottingham Forest FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes36% 0% No64%

Avg goals/match: 1.89

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	83%	17%
± 1.5	57%	43%
± 2.5	30%	70%
± 3.5	13%	87%
± 4.5	5%	95%

Double Chance

Nottingham Forest FC or Draw

81%

Draw or Derby County FC

50%

Nottingham Forest FC or Derby County FC

70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Nottingham Forest FC30% Draw55% Derby County FC15%

Actual: Nottingham Forest FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

17.5%

1 – 0

Actual

1 – 1

13.4%

2 – 0

10.4%

0 – 1

2 – 1

7.4%

1 – 2

4.2%

3 – 0

4.1%

0 – 2

3.3%

3 – 1

3.1%

2 – 2

2.7%

4 – 0

1.3%

Asian Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC

Handicap	Nottingham Forest FC covers	Push	Derby County FC covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	14%	79%
-1.5	21%	—	79%
-1	21%	26%	53%
-0.5	47%	—	53%
+0.5	81%	—	19%
+1	81%	14%	6%
+1.5	94%	—	6%
+2	94%	4%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet

51% ✓

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet

31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

Nottingham Forest FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Overview

Match Preview

Match Details

Standings

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

Key Stats

Goal Timing (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Nottingham Forest FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Derby County FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Head to Head

Nottingham Forest FC Form

Derby County FC Form

Predictions

Match Result

Both Teams to Score

Over / Under Goals

Double Chance

Half-Time Result

Correct Score

Asian Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC

Clean Sheet