Thursday , 2 July 2026

Nottingham Forest FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2018-19
Mon 25 Feb 2019 · 19:45 UTC The City Ground HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Nottingham Forest FC vs Derby County FCChampionship at The City Ground.

Match Details

  • Referee Robert Jones
  • Referee Graham Kane
  • Referee Shaun Hudson
  • Referee Andy Madley
  • Referee David Webb

Head-to-Head

3
5
Nottingham Forest FC 8 games · Avg 1.6 goals Derby County FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Feb Derby County FC H 1–0 W
16 Feb Preston North End FC A 0–0 D
12 Feb West Bromwich Albion FC A 2–2 D
09 Feb Brentford FC H 2–1 W
02 Feb Birmingham City FC A 0–2 L
26 Jan Wigan Athletic FC H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Feb Nottingham Forest FC A 0–1 L
20 Feb Millwall FC H 0–1 L
16 Feb Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 1–2 L
13 Feb Ipswich Town FC A 1–1 D
09 Feb Hull City AFC H 2–0 W
01 Feb Preston North End FC A 0–0 D

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
13% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Derby County FC gets underway.
  • 2' Yohan Benalouane makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Nottingham Forest FC are in front.
  • 7' With 0 assists to his name this season, Jayden Bogle is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Derby County FC.
  • 12' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 12 minutes.
  • 17' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 22' A quiet spell here at The City Ground. Derby County FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 26' Derby County FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 26.
  • 29' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Ryan Yates.
  • 34' It looks surprising Nottingham Forest FC does not make any changes. Joe Lolley has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 39' Duane Holmes has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 44' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 46' It is a substitution in Derby County FC team. Tom Huddlestone is replaced by Florian Jozefzoon on 46 minute.
  • 51' The energy levels are beginning to show. Martin O'Neill might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 53' Another substitution for Derby County FC to replace Andy King by Bradley Johnson on 53 minute.
  • 58' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 63' The home supporters are growing impatient. Nottingham Forest FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 68' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 71' Nottingham Forest FC make a change. Ben Watson trudges off to be replaced by Adlene Guedioura on 71 minutes.
  • 76' Derby County FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 81' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 82' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Jack Colback.
  • 85' The supporters are chanting for Leo Bonatini. He replaces Daryl Murphy on 85 minute.
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Fikayo Tomori. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 90' The Nottingham Forest FC manager makes a substitution. Ben Osborn departs to be replaced by Molla Wague.
  • It finishes all square. Nottingham Forest FC and Derby County FC share the spoils 1-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.2 Nottingham Forest FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.69 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 70% + Under — clean sheet likely 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Nottingham Forest FC50% Draw30% Derby County FC20%
Actual: Nottingham Forest FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes36% 0% No64%
Avg goals/match: 1.89
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 83%
17%
± 1.5 57%
43%
± 2.5 30%
70%
± 3.5 13%
87%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Nottingham Forest FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Derby County FC
50%
Nottingham Forest FC or Derby County FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Nottingham Forest FC30% Draw55% Derby County FC15%
Actual: Nottingham Forest FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17.5%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.4%
2 – 0
10.4%
0 – 1
9%
2 – 1
7.4%
1 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
4.1%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 1
3.1%
2 – 2
2.7%
4 – 0
1.3%

Asian Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC

Handicap Nottingham Forest FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 14% 79%
-1.5 21% 79%
-1 21% 26% 53%
-0.5 47% 53%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 14% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet
51%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
31%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.