Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Nottingham Forest FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2018-19
Nottingham Forest FC
1 – 0
Full Time
Derby County FC
Mon 25 Feb 2019 · 19:45 UTC The City Ground HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 26' Harry Wilson
Ryan Yates 29' Y
Y 29' Duane Holmes
Jack Colback 82' Y
Y 90' Fikayo Tomori

Overview

Match Preview

Nottingham Forest FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at The City Ground.

Match Details

  • Referee Robert Jones
  • Referee Graham Kane
  • Referee Shaun Hudson
  • Referee Andy Madley
  • Referee David Webb
3 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 11.7 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Swansea City AFC 8 17
2 West Ham United FC 8 15
3 Middlesbrough FC 8 15
4 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 7 14
5 West Bromwich Albion FC 8 14
6 Queens Park Rangers FC 8 13
7 Stoke City FC 8 13
8 Bristol City FC 8 13
9 Charlton Athletic FC 8 12
10 Birmingham City FC 8 11
11 Millwall FC 8 11
12 Lincoln City FC 8 11
13 Southampton FC 8 10
14 Wrexham AFC 8 10
15 Bolton Wanderers FC 8 10
16 Blackburn Rovers FC 8 9
17 Norwich City FC 8 9
18 Sheffield United FC 8 9
19 Portsmouth FC 7 8
20 Watford FC 8 8
21 Cardiff City FC 8 7
22 Derby County FC 8 5
23 Preston North End FC 8 4
24 Burnley FC 8 4

Head-to-Head

3
5
Nottingham Forest FC 8 games · Avg 1.6 goals Derby County FC
Last 5 meetings
2019-02-25 Nottingham Forest FC 1–0 Derby County FC 2018-12-17 Derby County FC 0–0 Nottingham Forest FC

Recent Form

Nottingham Forest FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Feb Derby County FC H 1–0 W
16 Feb Preston North End FC A 0–0 D
12 Feb West Bromwich Albion FC A 2–2 D
09 Feb Brentford FC H 2–1 W
02 Feb Birmingham City FC A 0–2 L
26 Jan Wigan Athletic FC H 3–1 W
Derby County FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Feb Nottingham Forest FC A 0–1 L
20 Feb Millwall FC H 0–1 L
16 Feb Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 1–2 L
13 Feb Ipswich Town FC A 1–1 D
09 Feb Hull City AFC H 2–0 W
01 Feb Preston North End FC A 0–0 D

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
13% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 2 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 2 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Nottingham Forest FC host Derby County FC — let the battle begin!
  • 2' Yohan Benalouane is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 7' A quiet spell here at The City Ground. Derby County FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 12' Derby County FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 17' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 22' The energy levels are beginning to show. Martin O'Neill might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 26' That is a Yellow card for Derby County FC. Harry Wilson will be fuming at that decision.
  • 29' Ryan Yates catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 29.
  • 34' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 34 minutes.
  • 39' The travelling Derby County FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 44' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 46' A change in the Derby County FC ranks — Tom Huddlestone exits the field as Florian Jozefzoon enters on 46.
  • 51' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 53' Bradley Johnson is replacing Andy King for the Derby County FC side.
  • 58' Supporters expect more eagerness from Alexander Milosevic, as he is very good at scoring at The City Ground with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 63' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Nottingham Forest FC and Derby County FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 68' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 71' The Nottingham Forest FC bench stirs into life. Ben Watson is withdrawn and Adlene Guedioura gets his opportunity.
  • 76' Derby County FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 81' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 82' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Jack Colback.
  • 85' Nottingham Forest FC make a change. Daryl Murphy trudges off to be replaced by Leo Bonatini on 85 minutes.
  • 90' Controversy at the stadium! Fikayo Tomori argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 90' The crowd applauds Ben Osborn as he leaves the pitch. Molla Wague steps in for Nottingham Forest FC.
  • It finishes all square. Nottingham Forest FC and Derby County FC share the spoils 1-0.

Lineups

Nottingham Forest FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Martin O'Neill

Derby County FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Frank Lampard

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Tom Lawrence 2
Brennan Johnson 2
Lewis Grabban 2
Joe Lolley 1
Martyn Waghorn 1
Lyle Taylor 1
Colin Kazim-Richards 1
James Garner 1

Head to Head

2019-02-25 Nottingham Forest FC 1–0 Derby County FC 2018-12-17 Derby County FC 0–0 Nottingham Forest FC

Nottingham Forest FC Form

2019-02-25 Nottingham Forest FC 1–0 Derby County FC W 2019-02-16 Preston North End FC 0–0 Nottingham Forest FC D 2019-02-12 West Bromwich Albion FC 2–2 Nottingham Forest FC D 2019-02-09 Nottingham Forest FC 2–1 Brentford FC W 2019-02-02 Birmingham City FC 2–0 Nottingham Forest FC L 2019-01-26 Nottingham Forest FC 3–1 Wigan Athletic FC W

Derby County FC Form

2019-02-25 Nottingham Forest FC 1–0 Derby County FC L 2019-02-20 Derby County FC 0–1 Millwall FC L 2019-02-16 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 2–1 Derby County FC L 2019-02-13 Ipswich Town FC 1–1 Derby County FC D 2019-02-09 Derby County FC 2–0 Hull City AFC W 2019-02-01 Preston North End FC 0–0 Derby County FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.2 Nottingham Forest FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.69 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 70% + Under — clean sheet likely 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Nottingham Forest FC50% Draw30% Derby County FC20%
Actual: Nottingham Forest FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes36% 0% No64%
Avg goals/match: 1.89
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 83%
17%
± 1.5 57%
43%
± 2.5 30%
70%
± 3.5 13%
87%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Nottingham Forest FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Derby County FC
50%
Nottingham Forest FC or Derby County FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Nottingham Forest FC30% Draw55% Derby County FC15%
Actual: Nottingham Forest FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17.5%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.4%
2 – 0
10.4%
0 – 1
9%
2 – 1
7.4%
1 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
4.1%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 1
3.1%
2 – 2
2.7%
4 – 0
1.3%

Asian Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC

Handicap Nottingham Forest FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 14% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 26% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 81% — 19%
+1 81% 14% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet
51% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.