Saturday , 14 November 2026

Nottingham Forest FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2018-19
Nottingham Forest FC
1 – 0
Full Time
Derby County FC
Mon 25 Feb 2019 · 19:45 UTC The City Ground HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 26' Harry Wilson
Ryan Yates 29' Y
Y 29' Duane Holmes
Jack Colback 82' Y
Y 90' Fikayo Tomori

Overview

Match Preview

Nottingham Forest FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at The City Ground.

Match Details

  • Referee Robert Jones
  • Referee Graham Kane
  • Referee Shaun Hudson
  • Referee Andy Madley
  • Referee David Webb
6 games this season 🟨 2.7/game ⚽ 9.3 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Birmingham City FC 15 29
2 Middlesbrough FC 15 29
3 Stoke City FC 15 29
4 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 15 28
5 West Bromwich Albion FC 15 28
6 Swansea City AFC 15 26
7 Southampton FC 15 24
8 Queens Park Rangers FC 15 24
9 West Ham United FC 15 23
10 Sheffield United FC 15 22
11 Portsmouth FC 15 22
12 Norwich City FC 15 21
13 Blackburn Rovers FC 15 21
14 Cardiff City FC 15 18
15 Wrexham AFC 15 18
16 Millwall FC 15 18
17 Bristol City FC 15 18
18 Bolton Wanderers FC 15 17
19 Charlton Athletic FC 15 17
20 Watford FC 15 15
21 Lincoln City FC 15 15
22 Burnley FC 15 10
23 Derby County FC 15 10
24 Preston North End FC 15 8

Head-to-Head

3
5
Nottingham Forest FC 8 games · Avg 1.6 goals Derby County FC
Last 5 meetings
2019-02-25 Nottingham Forest FC 1–0 Derby County FC 2018-12-17 Derby County FC 0–0 Nottingham Forest FC

Recent Form

Nottingham Forest FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Feb Derby County FC H 1–0 W
16 Feb Preston North End FC A 0–0 D
12 Feb West Bromwich Albion FC A 2–2 D
09 Feb Brentford FC H 2–1 W
02 Feb Birmingham City FC A 0–2 L
26 Jan Wigan Athletic FC H 3–1 W
Derby County FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Feb Nottingham Forest FC A 0–1 L
20 Feb Millwall FC H 0–1 L
16 Feb Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 1–2 L
13 Feb Ipswich Town FC A 1–1 D
09 Feb Hull City AFC H 2–0 W
01 Feb Preston North End FC A 0–0 D

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
13% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
7% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
1/5
16-30
3/6
31-45
2/7
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/4
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 3 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 3 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Nottingham Forest FC get us underway at The City Ground.
  • 2' Yohan Benalouane has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 2 minutes.
  • 7' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 7 minutes.
  • 12' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 17' It is a cagey affair so far. Nottingham Forest FC in their trying to find a way past Derby County FC's compact .
  • 22' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 26' Harry Wilson catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 26.
  • 29' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Ryan Yates on 29 minutes.
  • 34' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 39' It looks like no one’s ball. Derby County FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 44' Nottingham Forest FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 46' Derby County FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Florian Jozefzoon is hanging Tom Huddlestone on the field on 46 minute.
  • 51' It looks surprising Nottingham Forest FC does not make any changes. Harry Wilson has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 53' The Derby County FC bench stirs into life. Andy King is withdrawn and Bradley Johnson gets his opportunity.
  • 58' A quiet spell here at The City Ground. Nottingham Forest FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 63' The home supporters are growing impatient. Nottingham Forest FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 68' The energy levels are beginning to show. Frank Lampard might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 71' A tactical swap from Nottingham Forest FC — Adlene Guedioura on, Ben Watson off on 71 minutes.
  • 76' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 81' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 82' Poor challenge from Jack Colback. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 85' Another change for Nottingham Forest FC made on 85 minute. Daryl Murphy leaves to be changed by Leo Bonatini.
  • 90' Fikayo Tomori picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 90' Time for substitution for Nottingham Forest FC. Ben Osborn is replaced by Molla Wague.
  • Another three points for Nottingham Forest FC.

Lineups

Nottingham Forest FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Martin O'Neill

Derby County FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Frank Lampard

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Lewis Grabban 2
Tom Lawrence 2
Brennan Johnson 2
Yohan Benalouane 1
Chris Martin 1
Joe Lolley 1
Martyn Waghorn 1
Lyle Taylor 1

Head to Head

2019-02-25 Nottingham Forest FC 1–0 Derby County FC 2018-12-17 Derby County FC 0–0 Nottingham Forest FC

Nottingham Forest FC Form

2019-02-25 Nottingham Forest FC 1–0 Derby County FC W 2019-02-16 Preston North End FC 0–0 Nottingham Forest FC D 2019-02-12 West Bromwich Albion FC 2–2 Nottingham Forest FC D 2019-02-09 Nottingham Forest FC 2–1 Brentford FC W 2019-02-02 Birmingham City FC 2–0 Nottingham Forest FC L 2019-01-26 Nottingham Forest FC 3–1 Wigan Athletic FC W

Derby County FC Form

2019-02-25 Nottingham Forest FC 1–0 Derby County FC L 2019-02-20 Derby County FC 0–1 Millwall FC L 2019-02-16 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 2–1 Derby County FC L 2019-02-13 Ipswich Town FC 1–1 Derby County FC D 2019-02-09 Derby County FC 2–0 Hull City AFC W 2019-02-01 Preston North End FC 0–0 Derby County FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.2 Nottingham Forest FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.69 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 70% + Under — clean sheet likely 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Nottingham Forest FC50% Draw30% Derby County FC20%
Actual: Nottingham Forest FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes36% 0% No64%
Avg goals/match: 1.89
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 83%
17%
± 1.5 57%
43%
± 2.5 30%
70%
± 3.5 13%
87%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Nottingham Forest FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Derby County FC
50%
Nottingham Forest FC or Derby County FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Nottingham Forest FC30% Draw55% Derby County FC15%
Actual: Nottingham Forest FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17.5%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.4%
2 – 0
10.4%
0 – 1
9%
2 – 1
7.4%
1 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
4.1%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 1
3.1%
2 – 2
2.7%
4 – 0
1.3%

Asian Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC

Handicap Nottingham Forest FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 14% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 26% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 81% — 19%
+1 81% 14% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet
51% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.