Saturday , 14 November 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Arsenal FC, Premier League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2022-23
Sat 18 Feb 2023 · 12:30 UTC Villa Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs Arsenal FC — Premier League at Villa Park.

Match Details

  • Referee John Brooks
  • Referee Stuart Attwell
  • Referee James Mainwaring
  • Referee Simon Hooper
  • Referee Mark Scholes
  • Referee Scott Ledger
9 games this season 🟨 4.9/game ⚽ 13.7 goals/game 🟥 4 total

Head-to-Head

1
Aston Villa FC 1 games · Avg 6.0 goals Arsenal FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Feb Arsenal FC H 2–4 L
12 Feb Manchester City FC A 1–3 L
04 Feb Leicester City FC H 2–4 L
21 Jan Southampton FC A 1–0 W
13 Jan Leeds United FC H 2–1 W
08 Jan Stevenage FC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Feb Aston Villa FC A 4–2 W
18 Feb Racing Club H 0–3 L
12 Feb CA Rosario Central A 1–2 L
04 Feb Estudiantes de La Plata H 1–1 D
28 Jan CA San Lorenzo de Almagro A 0–1 L
24 Oct CA Tigre A 4–1 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Aston Villa FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
3/3
61-75
2/–
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Aston Villa FC
Nicolas Jackson 6 G 1 A
Johan Manzambi 2 G 3 A
Alysson 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Villa Park. Aston Villa FC are looking to make home advantage count against Arsenal FC.
  • 5' Ollie Watkins has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 5 minutes.
  • 10' Arsenal FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
  • 16' What composure from Bukayo Saka! The England international strokes it home. 1-1.
  • 21' With 5 assists to his name this season, Martin Odegaard is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Aston Villa FC.
  • 26' Ezri Konsa has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 10 appearances with only 2 goals this season.
  • 31' Philippe Coutinho makes no mistake. The score reads 2-1 and Aston Villa FC are in front.
  • 36' Fabio Vieira needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 41' The energy levels are beginning to show. Unai Emery might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 45' Douglas Luiz was booked on 45.
  • 50' Arsenal FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 50.
  • 55' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 60' Eddie Nketiah has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 2 goals to his name this season.
  • 61' Against the run of play, Oleksandr Zinchenko has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 62' Jacob Ramsey has so much to prove this time. He replaces Philippe Coutinho on 62 minute.
  • 67' The supporters are chanting for Leon Bailey. He replaces Emiliano Buendia on 67 minute.
  • 68' A tactical swap from Arsenal FC — Martinelli on, Leandro Trossard off on 68 minutes.
  • 73' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 78' Jhon Duran is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ollie Watkins at the 78 minute mark.
  • 79' Takehiro Tomiyasu gets the nod from Arsenal FC. He replaces Ben White and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 84' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Emiliano Martinez.
  • 89' The 29-year-old Kieran Tierney has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 4 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 90' A tactical swap from Arsenal FC — Rob Holding on, Martin Odegaard off on 90 minutes.
  • Another three points for Arsenal FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.6 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.2 Arsenal FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 72% + Both teams to score 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC30% Draw24% Arsenal FC46%
Actual: Arsenal FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes71% 0% No29%
Avg goals/match: 3.8
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 72%
28%
± 3.5 52%
48%
± 4.5 33%
67%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
54%
Draw or Arsenal FC
70%
Aston Villa FC or Arsenal FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC23% Draw38% Arsenal FC39%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–4 not predicted
2 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
8.7%
1 – 2
8.4%
2 – 2
6.6%
2 – 1
6.1%
1 – 3
6.1%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 3
4.9%
0 – 1
4.5%
0 – 3
3.9%
3 – 2
3.6%
0 – 0
3.4%
1 – 4
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Arsenal FC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 8% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 14% 72%
-0.5 28% — 72%
+0.5 50% — 50%
+1 50% 20% 31%
+1.5 69% — 31%
+2 69% 15% 16%
+2.5 84% — 16%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
12% ✓
Arsenal FC keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.