Thursday , 2 July 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Arsenal FC, Premier League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2022-23
Sat 18 Feb 2023 · 12:30 UTC Villa Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs Arsenal FCPremier League at Villa Park.

Match Details

  • Referee John Brooks
  • Referee Stuart Attwell
  • Referee James Mainwaring
  • Referee Simon Hooper
  • Referee Mark Scholes
  • Referee Scott Ledger
3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 2.7 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
Aston Villa FC 1 games · Avg 6.0 goals Arsenal FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Feb Arsenal FC H 2–4 L
12 Feb Manchester City FC A 1–3 L
04 Feb Leicester City FC H 2–4 L
21 Jan Southampton FC A 1–0 W
13 Jan Leeds United FC H 2–1 W
08 Jan Stevenage FC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Feb Aston Villa FC A 4–2 W
18 Feb Racing Club H 0–3 L
12 Feb CA Rosario Central A 1–2 L
04 Feb Estudiantes de La Plata H 1–1 D
28 Jan CA San Lorenzo de Almagro A 0–1 L
24 Oct CA Tigre A 4–1 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Aston Villa FC and Arsenal FC is underway.
  • 5' A stunning finish from Ollie Watkins — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 10' Arsenal FC is showing some good football. However, Arsenal FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 15' Arsenal FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 16' Against the run of play, Bukayo Saka has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 21' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 26' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Aston Villa FC and Arsenal FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 31' The Brazil Philippe Coutinho breaks the deadlock on 31 minutes. 2-1!
  • 36' Arsenal FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 41' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 45' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Douglas Luiz.
  • 50' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ben White suffering a number of foals already.
  • 55' Aston Villa FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 60' Oleksandr Zinchenko has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 13 cards already picked up this season.
  • 61' What a strike from Oleksandr Zinchenko! The score is 2-2.
  • 62' The whistle greets Philippe Coutinho as he departs to be replaced by Jacob Ramsey.
  • 67' The crowd applauds Emiliano Buendia as he leaves the pitch. Leon Bailey steps in for Aston Villa FC.
  • 68' Time for substitution for Arsenal FC. Leandro Trossard is replaced by Martinelli.
  • 73' Over 73 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 78' Jhon Duran gets the nod from Aston Villa FC. He replaces Ollie Watkins and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 79' Another substitution for Arsenal FC to replace Ben White by Takehiro Tomiyasu on 79 minute.
  • 84' The referee calls foul for Emiliano Martinez. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 89' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 90' Martin Odegaard makes way for Rob Holding at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from Arsenal FC.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-4.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.6 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.2 Arsenal FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 72% + Both teams to score 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC30% Draw24% Arsenal FC46%
Actual: Arsenal FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes71% 0% No29%
Avg goals/match: 3.8
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 72%
28%
± 3.5 52%
48%
± 4.5 33%
67%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
54%
Draw or Arsenal FC
70%
Aston Villa FC or Arsenal FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC23% Draw38% Arsenal FC39%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–4 not predicted
2 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
8.7%
1 – 2
8.4%
2 – 2
6.6%
2 – 1
6.1%
1 – 3
6.1%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 3
4.9%
0 – 1
4.5%
0 – 3
3.9%
3 – 2
3.6%
0 – 0
3.4%
1 – 4
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Arsenal FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 8% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 14% 72%
-0.5 28% 72%
+0.5 50% 50%
+1 50% 20% 31%
+1.5 69% 31%
+2 69% 15% 16%
+2.5 84% 16%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
12%
Arsenal FC keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.