Sunday , 16 August 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Arsenal FC, Premier League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2022-23
Sat 18 Feb 2023 · 12:30 UTC Villa Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs Arsenal FCPremier League at Villa Park.

Match Details

  • Referee John Brooks
  • Referee Stuart Attwell
  • Referee James Mainwaring
  • Referee Simon Hooper
  • Referee Mark Scholes
  • Referee Scott Ledger
3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 2.7 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
Aston Villa FC 1 games · Avg 6.0 goals Arsenal FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Feb Arsenal FC H 2–4 L
12 Feb Manchester City FC A 1–3 L
04 Feb Leicester City FC H 2–4 L
21 Jan Southampton FC A 1–0 W
13 Jan Leeds United FC H 2–1 W
08 Jan Stevenage FC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Feb Aston Villa FC A 4–2 W
18 Feb Racing Club H 0–3 L
12 Feb CA Rosario Central A 1–2 L
04 Feb Estudiantes de La Plata H 1–1 D
28 Jan CA San Lorenzo de Almagro A 0–1 L
24 Oct CA Tigre A 4–1 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Villa Park as Aston Villa FC face off against Arsenal FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' Ollie Watkins doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 16' Goal! Bukayo Saka scores his 96 goal in 414 matches.
  • 21' Aston Villa FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Arsenal FC's shape.
  • 26' It looks surprising Aston Villa FC does not make any changes. Tyrone Mings has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 31' A goal from the Brazil international Philippe Coutinho! He fires home on 31 to make it 2-1!
  • 36' Aston Villa FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 41' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Fabio Vieira made 491 appearances and scored 23 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 45' The referee has no hesitation. Douglas Luiz is booked for Aston Villa FC — Yellow card on 45.
  • 50' Arsenal FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 50.
  • 55' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 60' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 61' What a strike from Oleksandr Zinchenko! The score is 2-2.
  • 62' The crowd applauds Philippe Coutinho as he leaves the pitch. Jacob Ramsey steps in for Aston Villa FC.
  • 67' Leon Bailey gets the nod from Aston Villa FC. He replaces Emiliano Buendia and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 68' Another substitution for Arsenal FC to replace Leandro Trossard by Martinelli on 68 minute.
  • 73' Belgium international Leandro Trossard has been a key figure this campaign — 2 goals and 2 assists in the Array this season.
  • 78' Jhon Duran gets the nod from Aston Villa FC. He replaces Ollie Watkins and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 79' A change in the Arsenal FC ranks — Ben White exits the field as Takehiro Tomiyasu enters on 79.
  • 84' Emiliano Martinez has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 84.
  • 89' Boubacar Kamara has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 3 cards already picked up this season.
  • 90' Rob Holding is ready to make an impact after coming on for Martin Odegaard at the 90 minute mark.
  • Aston Villa FC will have plenty to reflect on. Arsenal FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.6 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.2 Arsenal FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 72% + Both teams to score 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC30% Draw24% Arsenal FC46%
Actual: Arsenal FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes71% 0% No29%
Avg goals/match: 3.8
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 72%
28%
± 3.5 52%
48%
± 4.5 33%
67%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
54%
Draw or Arsenal FC
70%
Aston Villa FC or Arsenal FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC23% Draw38% Arsenal FC39%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–4 not predicted
2 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
8.7%
1 – 2
8.4%
2 – 2
6.6%
2 – 1
6.1%
1 – 3
6.1%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 3
4.9%
0 – 1
4.5%
0 – 3
3.9%
3 – 2
3.6%
0 – 0
3.4%
1 – 4
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Arsenal FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 8% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 14% 72%
-0.5 28% 72%
+0.5 50% 50%
+1 50% 20% 31%
+1.5 69% 31%
+2 69% 15% 16%
+2.5 84% 16%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
12%
Arsenal FC keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.