Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Arsenal FC, Premier League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2022-23
Sat 18 Feb 2023 · 12:30 UTC Villa Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs Arsenal FC — Premier League at Villa Park.

Match Details

  • Referee John Brooks
  • Referee Stuart Attwell
  • Referee James Mainwaring
  • Referee Simon Hooper
  • Referee Mark Scholes
  • Referee Scott Ledger
5 games this season 🟨 3.8/game ⚽ 13.4 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

1
Aston Villa FC 1 games · Avg 6.0 goals Arsenal FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Feb Arsenal FC H 2–4 L
12 Feb Manchester City FC A 1–3 L
04 Feb Leicester City FC H 2–4 L
21 Jan Southampton FC A 1–0 W
13 Jan Leeds United FC H 2–1 W
08 Jan Stevenage FC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Feb Aston Villa FC A 4–2 W
18 Feb Racing Club H 0–3 L
12 Feb CA Rosario Central A 1–2 L
04 Feb Estudiantes de La Plata H 1–1 D
28 Jan CA San Lorenzo de Almagro A 0–1 L
24 Oct CA Tigre A 4–1 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Aston Villa FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Villa Park as Aston Villa FC face off against Arsenal FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' What composure from Ollie Watkins! The England international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 10' Aston Villa FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 15' It looks surprising Aston Villa FC does not make any changes. Granit Xhaka has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 16' Bukayo Saka makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and Arsenal FC are in front.
  • 21' The travelling Arsenal FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 26' Arsenal FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 31' What composure from Philippe Coutinho! The Brazil international strokes it home. 2-1.
  • 36' Over 36 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 41' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 45' A meaty challenge results in booking for Douglas Luiz on 45.
  • 50' Takehiro Tomiyasu has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 55' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 60' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 61' A goal from the Ukraine international Oleksandr Zinchenko! He fires home on 61 to make it 2-2!
  • 62' A change in the Aston Villa FC ranks — Philippe Coutinho exits the field as Jacob Ramsey enters on 62.
  • 67' Time for substitution for Aston Villa FC. Emiliano Buendia is replaced by Leon Bailey.
  • 68' Arsenal FC ring the changes. Leandro Trossard has done his job and it is now time for Martinelli to step up.
  • 73' Arsenal FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 78' Jhon Duran gets the nod from Aston Villa FC. He replaces Ollie Watkins and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 79' Arsenal FC ring the changes. Ben White has done his job and it is now time for Takehiro Tomiyasu to step up.
  • 84' The referee shows Aston Villa FC player a Yellow card on 84.
  • 89' Aston Villa FC is showing some good football. However, Aston Villa FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 90' Rob Holding is ready to make an impact after coming on for Martin Odegaard at the 90 minute mark.
  • With this win, Arsenal FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.6 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.2 Arsenal FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 72% + Both teams to score 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC30% Draw24% Arsenal FC46%
Actual: Arsenal FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes71% 0% No29%
Avg goals/match: 3.8
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 72%
28%
± 3.5 52%
48%
± 4.5 33%
67%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
54%
Draw or Arsenal FC
70%
Aston Villa FC or Arsenal FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC23% Draw38% Arsenal FC39%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–4 not predicted
2 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
8.7%
1 – 2
8.4%
2 – 2
6.6%
2 – 1
6.1%
1 – 3
6.1%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 3
4.9%
0 – 1
4.5%
0 – 3
3.9%
3 – 2
3.6%
0 – 0
3.4%
1 – 4
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Arsenal FC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 8% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 14% 72%
-0.5 28% — 72%
+0.5 50% — 50%
+1 50% 20% 31%
+1.5 69% — 31%
+2 69% 15% 16%
+2.5 84% — 16%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
12% ✓
Arsenal FC keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.