Sunday , 16 August 2026

Albirex Niigata vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sun 20 Jul 2025 · 10:00 UTC Denka Big Swan Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Albirex Niigata vs Sanfrecce HiroshimaJ. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Jul Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 0–2 L
05 Jul Kyoto Sanga FC A 1–2 L
29 Jun FC Machida Zelvia H 0–4 L
25 Jun Kawasaki Frontale A 1–3 L
21 Jun Avispa Fukuoka A 2–3 L
15 Jun Yokohama F.Marinos H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Jul Albirex Niigata A 2–0 W
05 Jul Fagiano Okayama FC A 1–0 W
02 Jul Vissel Kobe A 0–1 L
28 Jun Nagoya Grampus H 1–2 L
22 Jun Yokohama FC A 4–0 W
14 Jun Kashima Antlers A 1–1 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
17% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
/
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/
46-60
/
61-75
2/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Albirex Niigata vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — let the football do the talking.
  • 2' Shunki Higashi does the damage! The net is bulging and Sanfrecce Hiroshima surge ahead!
  • 7' Yotaro Nakajima has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 12' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Hayato Araki made 335 appearances and scored 21 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 17' Both keepers have barely been tested. Albirex Niigata and Sanfrecce Hiroshima are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 22' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 27' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 32' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 37' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 42' Albirex Niigata are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 47' Albirex Niigata is showing some good football. However, Albirex Niigata are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 48' Kosuke Kinoshita makes no mistake. The score reads 0-2 and Sanfrecce Hiroshima are in front.
  • 53' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 58' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 59' Albirex Niigata manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Takuya Shimamura is hanging Keisuke Kasai on the field on 59 minute.
  • 64' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Albirex Niigata and Sanfrecce Hiroshima are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 69' The referee calls foul for Michael Fitzgerald. He receives a card.
  • 71' Mutsuki Kato is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kosuke Kinoshita at the 71 minute mark.
  • 72' A change in the Albirex Niigata ranks — Yuto Horigome exits the field as Kakeru Funaki enters on 72.
  • 77' A quiet spell here at Denka Big Swan Stadium. Sanfrecce Hiroshima seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 79' Naoto Arai gets the nod from Sanfrecce Hiroshima. He replaces Hayato Araki and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 82' A meaty challenge results in booking for Kazuhiko Chiba on 82.
  • 84' Another change for Albirex Niigata made on 84 minute. Jin Okumura leaves to be changed by Ken Yamura.
  • 89' Over 89 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 90' Time for substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Ryo Germain is replaced by Valere Germain.
  • That’s it! Another goalless match for Albirex Niigata and Sanfrecce Hiroshima (для сухой ничьи).

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.94 Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for: Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Albirex Niigata28% Draw31% Sanfrecce Hiroshima41%
Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.23
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Albirex Niigata or Draw
59%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
72%
Albirex Niigata or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Albirex Niigata19% Draw52% Sanfrecce Hiroshima29%
Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
13.1%
0 – 1
12.7%
1 – 0
8.9%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
8.2%
2 – 1
5.9%
2 – 0
4.5%
2 – 2
3.9%
0 – 3
3.7%
1 – 3
3.6%
3 – 1
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata

Handicap Albirex Niigata covers Push Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 7% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 16% 75%
-0.5 25% 75%
+0.5 57% 43%
+1 57% 23% 20%
+1.5 80% 20%
+2 80% 13% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
28%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
40%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.