Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Albirex Niigata vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sun 20 Jul 2025 · 10:00 UTC Denka Big Swan Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Jul Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 0–2 L
05 Jul Kyōto Sanga FC A 1–2 L
29 Jun FC Machida Zelvia H 0–4 L
25 Jun Kawasaki Frontale A 1–3 L
21 Jun Avispa Fukuoka A 2–3 L
15 Jun Yokohama F·Marinos H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Jul Albirex Niigata A 2–0 W
05 Jul Fagiano Okayama FC A 1–0 W
02 Jul Vissel Kobe A 0–1 L
28 Jun Nagoya Grampus H 1–2 L
22 Jun Yokohama FC A 4–0 W
14 Jun Kashima Antlers A 1–1 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
17% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
43% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
5/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Akito Suzuki 6 G 2 A
Shun Ayukawa 3 G 1 A
Sebastien Haller 3 G 1 A
Mutsuki Kato 2 G 3 A
Shuto Nakano 2 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Albirex Niigata host Sanfrecce Hiroshima — let the battle begin!
  • 2' What composure from Shunki Higashi! The Japan international strokes it home. 0-1.
  • 7' With 0 assists to his name this season, Yuji Ono is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Albirex Niigata.
  • 12' The 25-year-old Hiroto Uemura has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 17' Sanfrecce Hiroshima have won 444 goals from 342 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 22' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 27' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 32' It looks surprising Albirex Niigata does not make any changes. Shuto Nakano has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 37' Kosuke Kinoshita is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sanfrecce Hiroshima so far.
  • 42' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Sota Nakamura made 342 appearances and scored 8 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 47' Sanfrecce Hiroshima fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 48' GOAL! Kosuke Kinoshita fires home to make it 0-2!
  • 53' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Yotaro Nakajima suffering a number of foals already.
  • 58' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 59' Albirex Niigata ring the changes. Keisuke Kasai has done his job and it is now time for Takuya Shimamura to step up.
  • 64' A quiet spell here at Denka Big Swan Stadium. Albirex Niigata seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 69' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Michael Fitzgerald.
  • 71' Mutsuki Kato is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kosuke Kinoshita at the 71 minute mark.
  • 72' Time for substitution for Albirex Niigata. Yuto Horigome is replaced by Kakeru Funaki.
  • 77' Albirex Niigata is showing some good football. However, Albirex Niigata are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 79' Fresh legs for Sanfrecce Hiroshima! Naoto Arai comes on to replace Hayato Araki.
  • 82' Albirex Niigata player sees a card in front of him.
  • 84' The supporters are chanting for Ken Yamura. He replaces Jin Okumura on 84 minute.
  • 89' Mutsuki Kato is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Albirex Niigata tonight.
  • 90' Time for substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Ryo Germain is replaced by Valere Germain.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 0-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.94 Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for: Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Albirex Niigata28% Draw31% Sanfrecce Hiroshima41%
Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.23
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Albirex Niigata or Draw
59%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
72%
Albirex Niigata or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Albirex Niigata19% Draw52% Sanfrecce Hiroshima29%
Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
13.1%
0 – 1
12.7%
1 – 0
8.9%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
8.2%
2 – 1
5.9%
2 – 0
4.5%
2 – 2
3.9%
0 – 3
3.7%
1 – 3
3.6%
3 – 1
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata

Handicap Albirex Niigata covers Push Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 7% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 16% 75%
-0.5 25% — 75%
+0.5 57% — 43%
+1 57% 23% 20%
+1.5 80% — 20%
+2 80% 13% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
40% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.