Sunday , 16 August 2026

Albirex Niigata vs Kashiwa Reysol, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sun 30 Nov 2025 · 05:00 UTC Denka Big Swan Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Albirex Niigata vs Kashiwa ReysolJ. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Nov Kashiwa Reysol H 1–3 L
08 Nov Shonan Bellmare A 2–5 L
26 Oct Vissel Kobe H 2–2 D
18 Oct Tokyo Verdy A 0–1 L
04 Oct Fagiano Okayama FC H 1–1 D
27 Sep Gamba Osaka A 2–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Nov Albirex Niigata A 3–1 W
08 Nov Nagoya Grampus H 1–0 W
25 Oct Yokohama FC H 2–0 W
18 Oct Gamba Osaka A 5–0 W
04 Oct Yokohama F.Marinos H 1–0 W
28 Sep Kawasaki Frontale A 4–4 D

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
17% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Kashiwa Reysol this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kashiwa Reysol
0-15
1/1
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
1/
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Albirex Niigata kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Kashiwa Reysol come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 10' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Albirex Niigata and Kashiwa Reysol are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 20' What composure from Mao Hosoya! The Japan international strokes it home. 0-1.
  • 25' Kashiwa Reysol are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 28' The referee shows Albirex Niigata player a card on 28.
  • 33' Eiji Shirai is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Albirex Niigata so far.
  • 38' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Toru Irie will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 43' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Kashiwa Reysol needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 45' Mao Hosoya has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 45 minutes.
  • 46' The whistle greets Kaito Taniguchi as he departs to be replaced by Abdelrahman Saidi.
  • 51' The energy levels are beginning to show. Ricardo Rodríguez might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 55' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Mao Hosoya makes it 0-3.
  • 60' Diego needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 61' Another change for Kashiwa Reysol made on 61 minute. Nobuteru Nakagawa leaves to be changed by Sachiro Toshima.
  • 62' Kashiwa Reysol ring the changes. Diego has done his job and it is now time for Tojiro Kubo to step up.
  • 64' The Albirex Niigata manager makes a substitution. Kento Hashimoto departs to be replaced by Yuto Horigome.
  • 69' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 72' Brilliant from the ! Keisuke Kasai makes it 1-3 with a superb finish on 72.
  • 76' Kashiwa Reysol make a change. Yusei Yamanouchi trudges off to be replaced by Hayato Nakama on 76 minutes.
  • 81' Kashiwa Reysol manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yuki Kakita is hanging Mao Hosoya on the field on 81 minute.
  • 83' Poor challenge from Michael Fitzgerald. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 87' Time for substitution for Albirex Niigata. Motoki Ohara is replaced by Yoshiaki Takagi.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Albirex Niigata.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.24 Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.73 Kashiwa Reysol xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Albirex Niigata27% Draw26% Kashiwa Reysol47%
Actual: Kashiwa Reysol win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.97
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Albirex Niigata or Draw
53%
Draw or Kashiwa Reysol
73%
Albirex Niigata or Kashiwa Reysol
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Albirex Niigata21% Draw44% Kashiwa Reysol35%
Actual: Kashiwa Reysol win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.9%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 1
8.1%
0 – 2
7.6%
0 – 0
6.9%
2 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
5.7%
1 – 0
5.5%
1 – 3
Actual
0 – 3
4.3%
2 – 0
3.9%
2 – 3
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata

Handicap Albirex Niigata covers Push Kashiwa Reysol covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 15% 74%
-0.5 26% 74%
+0.5 52% 48%
+1 52% 21% 26%
+1.5 74% 26%
+2 74% 15% 12%
+2.5 88% 12%

Clean Sheet

Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
19%
Kashiwa Reysol keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.