Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Albirex Niigata vs Kashiwa Reysol, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sun 30 Nov 2025 · 05:00 UTC Denka Big Swan Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Albirex Niigata vs Kashiwa Reysol — J. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Nov Kashiwa Reysol H 1–3 L
08 Nov Shonan Bellmare A 2–5 L
26 Oct Vissel Kobe H 2–2 D
18 Oct Tokyo Verdy A 0–1 L
04 Oct Fagiano Okayama FC H 1–1 D
27 Sep Gamba Osaka A 2–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Nov Albirex Niigata A 3–1 W
08 Nov Nagoya Grampus H 1–0 W
25 Oct Yokohama FC H 2–0 W
18 Oct Gamba Osaka A 5–0 W
04 Oct Yokohama F.Marinos H 1–0 W
28 Sep Kawasaki Frontale A 4–4 D

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
17% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Kashiwa Reysol this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kashiwa Reysol
0-15
2/2
16-30
–/2
31-45
–/2
46-60
3/3
61-75
6/1
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Kashiwa Reysol
Yusuke Segawa 6 G 2 A
Yoshio Koizumi 3 G 2 A
Tojiro Kubo 2 G 1 A
Keita Endo 2 G
Yuki Kakita 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Albirex Niigata gets underway.
  • 5' Both keepers have barely been tested. Albirex Niigata and Kashiwa Reysol are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 20' GOAL! Mao Hosoya scores on 20. Assisted by Yusuke Segawa
  • 25' Kashiwa Reysol fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 28' Eiji Shirai catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 28.
  • 33' Kashiwa Reysol are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 38' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Kashiwa Reysol that had 418 games and scored 360 goals.
  • 43' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 45' What composure from Mao Hosoya! The Japan international strokes it home. 0-2.
  • 46' The whistle greets Kaito Taniguchi as he departs to be replaced by Abdelrahman Saidi.
  • 51' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 51 minutes.
  • 55' The deadlock is broken! Mao Hosoya gets on the scoresheet on 55 minutes.
  • 60' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 61' Time for substitution for Kashiwa Reysol. Nobuteru Nakagawa is replaced by Sachiro Toshima.
  • 62' Tojiro Kubo gets the nod from Kashiwa Reysol. He replaces Diego and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 64' Fresh legs for Albirex Niigata! Yuto Horigome comes on to replace Kento Hashimoto.
  • 69' Albirex Niigata are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Kashiwa Reysol's shape.
  • 72' Keisuke Kasai adds to his 0 season tally! Albirex Niigata lead 1-3 — and this changes everything.
  • 76' Hayato Nakama is ready to make an impact after coming on for Yusei Yamanouchi at the 76 minute mark.
  • 81' Yuki Kakita is ready to make an impact after coming on for Mao Hosoya at the 81 minute mark.
  • 83' The referee has no hesitation. Michael Fitzgerald is booked for Albirex Niigata — card on 83.
  • 87' Albirex Niigata manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yoshiaki Takagi is hanging Motoki Ohara on the field on 87 minute.
  • Albirex Niigata will have plenty to reflect on. Kashiwa Reysol were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.24 Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.73 Kashiwa Reysol xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Albirex Niigata27% Draw26% Kashiwa Reysol47%
Actual: Kashiwa Reysol win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.97
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Albirex Niigata or Draw
53%
Draw or Kashiwa Reysol
73%
Albirex Niigata or Kashiwa Reysol
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Albirex Niigata21% Draw44% Kashiwa Reysol35%
Actual: Kashiwa Reysol win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.9%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 1
8.1%
0 – 2
7.6%
0 – 0
6.9%
2 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
5.7%
1 – 0
5.5%
1 – 3
Actual
0 – 3
4.3%
2 – 0
3.9%
2 – 3
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata

Handicap Albirex Niigata covers Push Kashiwa Reysol covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% — 89%
-1 11% 15% 74%
-0.5 26% — 74%
+0.5 52% — 48%
+1 52% 21% 26%
+1.5 74% — 26%
+2 74% 15% 12%
+2.5 88% — 12%

Clean Sheet

Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
19% ✓
Kashiwa Reysol keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.