Saturday , 14 November 2026

AC Milan vs UC Sampdoria, Serie A 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2022-23
5 – 1
Full Time
Sat 20 May 2023 · 18:45 UTC San Siro HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs UC Sampdoria — Serie A at San Siro.

Match Details

  • Referee Antonio Di Martino
  • Referee Salvatore Longo
  • Referee Marco Scatragli
  • Referee Alessio Berti
  • Referee Francesco Forneau
  • Referee Maria Sole Ferrieri Caputi (Italy)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 May UC Sampdoria H 5–1 W
16 May FC Internazionale Milano A 0–1 L
13 May Spezia Calcio A 0–2 L
10 May FC Internazionale Milano H 0–2 L
06 May SS Lazio H 2–0 W
03 May US Cremonese H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 May AC Milan A 1–5 L
15 May Empoli FC H 1–1 D
08 May Udinese Calcio A 0–2 L
03 May Torino FC H 0–2 L
30 Apr ACF Fiorentina A 0–5 L
22 Apr Spezia Calcio H 1–1 D

Key Stats

61% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
39% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

AC Milan
0-15
6/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
10/3
76+
–/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AC Milan
Adrien Rabiot 5 G 4 A
Alphadjo Cisse 5 G
Diego Moreira 4 G 3 A
Christian Pulisic 4 G 1 A
Goncalo Ramos 2 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at San Siro. AC Milan are looking to make home advantage count against UC Sampdoria.
  • 5' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 9' Goal! Rafael Leao scores his 79 goal in 477 matches.
  • 14' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 19' It looks like no one’s ball. AC Milan is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 20' GOAL! Fabio Quagliarella fires home to make it 1-1!
  • 23' What a strike from Olivier Giroud! The score is 2-1.
  • 27' A moment of madness from Koray Gunter on 27 minutes earns him a Yellow card. UC Sampdoria will be frustrated.
  • 29' Olivier Giroud doubles the advantage! 3-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 30' A meaty challenge results in booking for Alessandro Zanoli on 30.
  • 35' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 40' The travelling UC Sampdoria supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 45' The home supporters are growing impatient. AC Milan must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 50' AC Milan have won 619 goals from 526 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 55' It’s high time Dejan Stanković made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 60' Fresh legs for AC Milan! Alexis Saelemaekers comes on to replace Junior Messias.
  • 63' What a moment for Brahim Diaz! That strike on 63 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 68' Olivier Giroud makes a hat-trick on 68.
  • 69' The supporters are chanting for Bruno Amione. He replaces Bram Nuytinck on 69 minute.
  • 70' The UC Sampdoria bench stirs into life. Manolo Gabbiadini is withdrawn and Sam Lammers gets his opportunity.
  • 75' Controversy at the stadium! Theo Hernandez argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 80' The 22-year-old Emirhan Ilkhan has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 81' AC Milan ring the changes. Sandro Tonali has done his job and it is now time for Tommaso Pobega to step up.
  • 82' It is a substitution in AC Milan team. Theo Hernandez is replaced by Fode Ballo-Toure on 82 minute.
  • 87' AC Milan are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 89' Marios Oikonomou was booked on 89.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for UC Sampdoria.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.09 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88 UC Sampdoria xG
I would bet for: AC Milan to win 64% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan64% Draw22% UC Sampdoria14%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.97
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
85%
Draw or UC Sampdoria
36%
AC Milan or UC Sampdoria
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan46% Draw42% UC Sampdoria12%
Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
11%
1 – 1
10.2%
1 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
9.5%
3 – 0
7.5%
0 – 0
6.8%
3 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
4.2%
1 – 2
4%
4 – 0
3.9%
0 – 1
3.8%
4 – 1
3.5%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push UC Sampdoria covers
-2.5 21% — 79%
-2 21% 20% 59%
-1.5 41% — 59%
-1 41% 23% 36%
-0.5 64% — 36%
+0.5 86% — 14%
+1 86% 9% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
42% ✓
UC Sampdoria keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.