Wednesday , 30 September 2026

AC Milan vs UC Sampdoria, Serie A 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2022-23
5 – 1
Full Time
Sat 20 May 2023 · 18:45 UTC San Siro HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs UC Sampdoria — Serie A at San Siro.

Match Details

  • Referee Antonio Di Martino
  • Referee Salvatore Longo
  • Referee Marco Scatragli
  • Referee Alessio Berti
  • Referee Francesco Forneau
  • Referee Maria Sole Ferrieri Caputi (Italy)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 May UC Sampdoria H 5–1 W
16 May FC Internazionale Milano A 0–1 L
13 May Spezia Calcio A 0–2 L
10 May FC Internazionale Milano H 0–2 L
06 May SS Lazio H 2–0 W
03 May US Cremonese H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 May AC Milan A 1–5 L
15 May Empoli FC H 1–1 D
08 May Udinese Calcio A 0–2 L
03 May Torino FC H 0–2 L
30 Apr ACF Fiorentina A 0–5 L
22 Apr Spezia Calcio H 1–1 D

Key Stats

61% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
39% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
40% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

AC Milan
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
8/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AC Milan
Diego Moreira 3 G
Adrien Rabiot 2 G 2 A
Alphadjo Cisse 2 G
Goncalo Ramos 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for AC Milan to score. At the same time, UC Sampdoria does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Alessandro Zanoli made 514 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 9' Brilliant from the ! Rafael Leao makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 9.
  • 14' AC Milan started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 14.
  • 19' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 20' Fabio Quagliarella makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and UC Sampdoria are in front.
  • 23' Olivier Giroud does the damage! The net is bulging and AC Milan surge ahead!
  • 27' The referee calls foul for Koray Gunter. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 29' What composure from Olivier Giroud! The France international strokes it home. 3-1.
  • 30' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Alessandro Zanoli.
  • 35' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Stefano Pioli will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 40' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 45' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 50' UC Sampdoria have won 364 goals from 461 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 55' Both keepers have barely been tested. AC Milan and UC Sampdoria are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 60' The whistle greets Junior Messias as he departs to be replaced by Alexis Saelemaekers.
  • 63' Brahim Diaz doubles the advantage! 4-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 68' A stunning finish from Olivier Giroud — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 69' The UC Sampdoria manager makes a substitution. Bram Nuytinck departs to be replaced by Bruno Amione.
  • 70' UC Sampdoria make a change. Manolo Gabbiadini trudges off to be replaced by Sam Lammers on 70 minutes.
  • 75' Theo Hernandez is having his name booked by the referee on 75.
  • 80' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 81' Tommaso Pobega gets the nod from AC Milan. He replaces Sandro Tonali and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 82' AC Milan ring the changes. Theo Hernandez has done his job and it is now time for Fode Ballo-Toure to step up.
  • 87' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 89' The referee calls foul for Marios Oikonomou. He receives a Yellow card.
  • The final score is 5-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.09 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88 UC Sampdoria xG
I would bet for: AC Milan to win 64% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan64% Draw22% UC Sampdoria14%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.97
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
85%
Draw or UC Sampdoria
36%
AC Milan or UC Sampdoria
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan46% Draw42% UC Sampdoria12%
Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
11%
1 – 1
10.2%
1 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
9.5%
3 – 0
7.5%
0 – 0
6.8%
3 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
4.2%
1 – 2
4%
4 – 0
3.9%
0 – 1
3.8%
4 – 1
3.5%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push UC Sampdoria covers
-2.5 21% — 79%
-2 21% 20% 59%
-1.5 41% — 59%
-1 41% 23% 36%
-0.5 64% — 36%
+0.5 86% — 14%
+1 86% 9% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
42% ✓
UC Sampdoria keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.