Thursday , 2 July 2026

AC Milan vs UC Sampdoria, Serie A 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2022-23
5 1
Full Time
Sat 20 May 2023 · 18:45 UTC San Siro HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs UC SampdoriaSerie A at San Siro.

Match Details

  • Referee Antonio Di Martino
  • Referee Salvatore Longo
  • Referee Marco Scatragli
  • Referee Alessio Berti
  • Referee Francesco Forneau
  • Referee Maria Sole Ferrieri Caputi (Italy)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 May UC Sampdoria H 5–1 W
16 May FC Internazionale Milano A 0–1 L
13 May Spezia Calcio A 0–2 L
10 May FC Internazionale Milano H 0–2 L
06 May SS Lazio H 2–0 W
03 May US Cremonese H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 May AC Milan A 1–5 L
15 May Empoli FC H 1–1 D
08 May Udinese Calcio A 0–2 L
03 May Torino FC H 0–2 L
30 Apr ACF Fiorentina A 0–5 L
22 Apr Spezia Calcio H 1–1 D

Key Stats

61% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
39% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to San Siro that hosts another battle between AC Milan and UC Sampdoria.
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Bram Nuytinck made 456 appearances and scored 6 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 9' Rafael Leao puts AC Milan on the lead.
  • 14' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering UC Sampdoria that had 456 games and scored 358 goals.
  • 19' It’s high time Dejan Stanković made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 20' What an equalizer from Fabio Quagliarella!
  • 23' AC Milan is taking the lead after the goal scored by Olivier Giroud on 23.
  • 27' A meaty challenge results in booking for Koray Gunter on 27.
  • 29' GOAL! Olivier Giroud scores on 29.
  • 30' UC Sampdoria receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 30.
  • 35' Junior Messias needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 40' UC Sampdoria seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 45' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 50' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 55' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Tommaso Augello suffering a number of foals already.
  • 60' Time for substitution for AC Milan. Junior Messias is replaced by Alexis Saelemaekers.
  • 63' What a strike from Brahim Diaz! The score is 4-1.
  • 68' Olivier Giroud makes a hat-trick on 68.
  • 69' The UC Sampdoria manager makes a substitution. Bram Nuytinck departs to be replaced by Bruno Amione.
  • 70' UC Sampdoria manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Sam Lammers is hanging Manolo Gabbiadini on the field on 70 minute.
  • 75' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Theo Hernandez.
  • 80' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 81' The AC Milan manager makes a substitution. Sandro Tonali departs to be replaced by Tommaso Pobega.
  • 82' AC Milan manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Fode Ballo-Toure is hanging Theo Hernandez on the field on 82 minute.
  • 87' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 89' It’s a booking for UC Sampdoria player. Marios Oikonomou gets a Yellow card.
  • Another three points for AC Milan.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.09 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88 UC Sampdoria xG
I would bet for: AC Milan to win 64% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan64% Draw22% UC Sampdoria14%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.97
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
85%
Draw or UC Sampdoria
36%
AC Milan or UC Sampdoria
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan46% Draw42% UC Sampdoria12%
Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
11%
1 – 1
10.2%
1 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
9.5%
3 – 0
7.5%
0 – 0
6.8%
3 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
4.2%
1 – 2
4%
4 – 0
3.9%
0 – 1
3.8%
4 – 1
3.5%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push UC Sampdoria covers
-2.5 21% 79%
-2 21% 20% 59%
-1.5 41% 59%
-1 41% 23% 36%
-0.5 64% 36%
+0.5 86% 14%
+1 86% 9% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
42%
UC Sampdoria keeps clean sheet
13%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.