AC Milan vs UC Sampdoria, Serie A 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AC Milan vs UC Sampdoria — Serie A at San Siro.
- AC Milan 38 games · 70 pts (2026/27)
- UC Sampdoria 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Antonio Di Martino
- Referee Salvatore Longo
- Referee Marco Scatragli
- Referee Alessio Berti
- Referee Francesco Forneau
- Referee Maria Sole Ferrieri Caputi (Italy)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Internazionale Milano | 38 | 87 |
| 2 | SSC Napoli | 38 | 76 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 38 | 73 |
| 4 | Como 1907 | 38 | 71 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 38 | 70 |
| 6 | Juventus FC | 38 | 69 |
| 7 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 59 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 38 | 56 |
| 9 | SS Lazio | 38 | 54 |
| 10 | Udinese Calcio | 38 | 50 |
| 11 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 38 | 49 |
| 12 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Torino FC | 38 | 45 |
| 14 | Cagliari Calcio | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 38 | 42 |
| 16 | Genoa CFC | 38 | 41 |
| 17 | US Lecce | 38 | 38 |
| 18 | US Cremonese | 38 | 34 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona FC | 38 | 21 |
| 20 | AC Pisa 1909 | 38 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May | UC Sampdoria | H | 5–1 | W |
| 16 May | FC Internazionale Milano | A | 0–1 | L |
| 13 May | Spezia Calcio | A | 0–2 | L |
| 10 May | FC Internazionale Milano | H | 0–2 | L |
| 06 May | SS Lazio | H | 2–0 | W |
| 03 May | US Cremonese | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May | AC Milan | A | 1–5 | L |
| 15 May | Empoli FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 08 May | Udinese Calcio | A | 0–2 | L |
| 03 May | Torino FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 30 Apr | ACF Fiorentina | A | 0–5 | L |
| 22 Apr | Spezia Calcio | H | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
61%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
39%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to San Siro that hosts another battle between AC Milan and UC Sampdoria.
- 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Bram Nuytinck made 456 appearances and scored 6 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 9' Rafael Leao puts AC Milan on the lead.
- 14' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering UC Sampdoria that had 456 games and scored 358 goals.
- 19' It’s high time Dejan Stanković made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 20' What an equalizer from Fabio Quagliarella!
- 23' AC Milan is taking the lead after the goal scored by Olivier Giroud on 23.
- 27' A meaty challenge results in booking for Koray Gunter on 27.
- 29' GOAL! Olivier Giroud scores on 29.
- 30' UC Sampdoria receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 30.
- 35' Junior Messias needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 40' UC Sampdoria seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 45' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 50' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 55' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Tommaso Augello suffering a number of foals already.
- 60' Time for substitution for AC Milan. Junior Messias is replaced by Alexis Saelemaekers.
- 63' What a strike from Brahim Diaz! The score is 4-1.
- 68' Olivier Giroud makes a hat-trick on 68.
- 69' The UC Sampdoria manager makes a substitution. Bram Nuytinck departs to be replaced by Bruno Amione.
- 70' UC Sampdoria manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Sam Lammers is hanging Manolo Gabbiadini on the field on 70 minute.
- 75' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Theo Hernandez.
- 80' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 81' The AC Milan manager makes a substitution. Sandro Tonali departs to be replaced by Tommaso Pobega.
- 82' AC Milan manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Fode Ballo-Toure is hanging Theo Hernandez on the field on 82 minute.
- 87' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 89' It’s a booking for UC Sampdoria player. Marios Oikonomou gets a Yellow card.
- Another three points for AC Milan.
Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
- 10
-
23
Fikayo Tomori ↓ Simon Kjaer 81'
- 16
- 17
- 19
- 2
-
8
Sandro Tonali ↓ Tommaso Pobega 81'
- 33
- 28
- 30
Bench
- 7
-
5
Fode Ballo-Toure ↑ 81'
- 1
-
24
Simon Kjaer ↑ 81'
- 83
- 14
-
56
Alexis Saelemaekers ↑ 60'
- 46
-
90
Charles De Ketelaere ↑ 70'
- 20
-
32
Tommaso Pobega ↑ 81'
Coach
Stefano Pioli
UC Sampdoria Lineups
Starting XI
- 30
-
23
Manolo Gabbiadini ↓ Sam Lammers 69'
- 20
-
8
Tomas Rincon ↓ Flavio Paoletti 82'
- 27
-
7
Filip Duricic ↓ Emirhan Ilkhan 82'
- 4
-
17
Bram Nuytinck ↓ Bruno Amione 69'
- 37
- 3
- 59
Bench
- 99
-
10
Sam Lammers ↑ 69'
- 21
- 29
-
5
Marios Oikonomou ↑ 69'
-
2
Bruno Amione ↑ 69'
- 9
- 22
-
26
Emirhan Ilkhan ↑ 82'
- 32
- 19
-
36
Flavio Paoletti ↑ 82'
Coach
Dejan Stanković
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Olivier Giroud | 4 |
| Rafael Leao | 3 |
| Fabio Quagliarella | 3 |
| Zlatan Ibrahimovic | 2 |
| Brahim Diaz | 2 |
| Junior Messias | 1 |
| Hakan Calhanoglu | 1 |
| Filip Duricic | 1 |
Head to Head
AC Milan Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.09
AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88
UC Sampdoria xG
I would bet for:
AC Milan to win 64% + Over 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.97
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 3.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw
85%
Draw or UC Sampdoria
36%
AC Milan or UC Sampdoria
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 5–1 not predicted5 – 1Actual
2 – 0
11%
1 – 1
10.2%
1 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
9.5%
3 – 0
7.5%
0 – 0
6.8%
3 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
4.2%
1 – 2
4%
4 – 0
3.9%
0 – 1
3.8%
4 – 1
3.5%
Asian Handicap — AC Milan
| Handicap | AC Milan covers | Push | UC Sampdoria covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -2 | 21% | 20% | 59% |
| -1.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| -1 | 41% | 23% | 36% |
| -0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +0.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +1 | 86% | 9% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
42%
✓
UC Sampdoria keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

